Opinion Poll by Europion, 6–8 June 2026
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions

Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tisztelet és Szabadság (EPP) | 0.0% | 63.0% | 61.7–64.3% | 61.3–64.7% | 61.0–65.0% | 60.3–65.6% |
| Fidesz–Kereszténydemokrata Néppárt (PfE) | 0.0% | 28.0% | 26.8–29.3% | 26.4–29.6% | 26.2–29.9% | 25.6–30.5% |
| Mi Hazánk Mozgalom (ESN) | 0.0% | 6.0% | 5.4–6.7% | 5.2–6.9% | 5.1–7.1% | 4.8–7.4% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats


Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tisztelet és Szabadság (EPP) | 0 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14–15 | 13–15 |
| Fidesz–Kereszténydemokrata Néppárt (PfE) | 0 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 5–7 |
| Mi Hazánk Mozgalom (ESN) | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0–1 |
Tisztelet és Szabadság (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Tisztelet és Szabadság (EPP) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | Majority |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0.7% | 100% | |
| 14 | 96% | 99.3% | Median |
| 15 | 3% | 3% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% |
Fidesz–Kereszténydemokrata Néppárt (PfE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fidesz–Kereszténydemokrata Néppárt (PfE) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 1.5% | 100% | |
| 6 | 98% | 98.5% | Median |
| 7 | 1.0% | 1.0% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% |
Mi Hazánk Mozgalom (ESN)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Mi Hazánk Mozgalom (ESN) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 98% | 98% | Median |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fidesz–Kereszténydemokrata Néppárt (PfE) | 0 | 6 | 0% | 6 | 6 | 6 | 5–7 |
| Mi Hazánk Mozgalom (ESN) | 0 | 1 | 0% | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0–1 |
Fidesz–Kereszténydemokrata Néppárt (PfE)

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 1.5% | 100% | |
| 6 | 98% | 98.5% | Median |
| 7 | 1.0% | 1.0% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% |
Mi Hazánk Mozgalom (ESN)

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 98% | 98% | Median |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Europion
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 6–8 June 2026
Calculations
- Sample size: 2200
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 0.03%