Mi Hazánk Mozgalom (ESN)
Voting Intentions
Last result: 0.0% (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 6.0% | 4.0–8.2% | 3.6–8.7% | 3.4–9.1% | 2.9–9.9% |
| 1–31 December 2024 | Századvég | 7.0% | 6.1–8.2% | 5.8–8.5% | 5.6–8.8% | 5.2–9.3% |
| 16–18 December 2024 | Társadalomkutató | 5.0% | 4.2–6.0% | 4.0–6.3% | 3.8–6.5% | 3.5–7.1% |
| 9–11 December 2024 | Nézőpont Intézet | 4.0% | 3.3–4.9% | 3.1–5.2% | 2.9–5.4% | 2.7–5.9% |
| 29 November–6 December 2024 | IDEA Intézet | 5.9% | 5.2–6.8% | 5.0–7.0% | 4.8–7.3% | 4.5–7.7% |
| 28 November–5 December 2024 | Republikon Intézet | 8.0% | 7.0–9.2% | 6.7–9.6% | 6.5–9.9% | 6.0–10.5% |
| 20–30 November 2024 | ZRI Závecz Research | 6.9% | 6.0–8.0% | 5.7–8.4% | 5.5–8.7% | 5.1–9.2% |
| 25–27 November 2024 | Real-PR 93 | 7.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 20–26 November 2024 | Medián | 6.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 19–22 November 2024 | Társadalomkutató | 6.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 14–19 November 2024 | Századvég | 7.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 14–19 November 2024 | Publicus Research | 5.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 11–13 November 2024 | Nézőpont Intézet | 8.0% | 7.0–9.2% | 6.7–9.6% | 6.5–9.9% | 6.0–10.5% |
| 31 October–8 November 2024 | IDEA Intézet | 6.9% | 6.2–7.8% | 5.9–8.1% | 5.7–8.3% | 5.4–8.8% |
| 28 October–4 November 2024 | Medián | 6.0% | 5.1–7.1% | 4.9–7.4% | 4.7–7.7% | 4.3–8.2% |
| 1–31 October 2024 | Századvég | 7.0% | 6.1–8.2% | 5.8–8.5% | 5.6–8.8% | 5.2–9.3% |
| 28–30 October 2024 | Real-PR 93 | 7.0% | 6.1–8.2% | 5.8–8.5% | 5.6–8.8% | 5.2–9.3% |
| 24–29 October 2024 | Republikon Intézet | 7.9% | 6.9–9.1% | 6.6–9.4% | 6.4–9.7% | 5.9–10.3% |
| 11–18 October 2024 | Publicus Research | 4.0% | 3.3–4.9% | 3.1–5.2% | 2.9–5.4% | 2.7–5.9% |
| 14–17 October 2024 | Nézőpont Intézet | 6.0% | 5.1–7.1% | 4.9–7.4% | 4.7–7.7% | 4.3–8.2% |
| 9–15 October 2024 | 21 Kutatóközpont | 5.0% | 4.2–6.0% | 4.0–6.3% | 3.8–6.5% | 3.5–7.1% |
| 28 September–8 October 2024 | ZRI Závecz Research | 5.0% | 4.2–6.0% | 4.0–6.3% | 3.8–6.5% | 3.5–7.1% |
| 27 September–7 October 2024 | IDEA Intézet | 6.9% | 6.2–7.8% | 5.9–8.1% | 5.7–8.3% | 5.4–8.8% |
| 16–18 September 2024 | Nézőpont Intézet | 6.0% | 5.1–7.1% | 4.9–7.4% | 4.7–7.7% | 4.3–8.2% |
| 9–11 September 2024 | Nézőpont Intézet | 5.0% | 4.3–6.2% | 4.1–6.5% | 3.9–6.7% | 3.6–7.3% |
| 3–10 September 2024 | Medián | 4.0% | 3.3–4.9% | 3.1–5.2% | 2.9–5.4% | 2.7–5.9% |
| 28 August–6 September 2024 | IDEA Intézet | 6.9% | 6.2–7.8% | 5.9–8.1% | 5.7–8.3% | 5.4–8.8% |
| 21–31 August 2024 | ZRI Závecz Research | 7.0% | 6.1–8.2% | 5.8–8.5% | 5.6–8.8% | 5.2–9.3% |
| 24–31 July 2024 | IDEA Intézet | 6.0% | 5.3–6.9% | 5.1–7.1% | 4.9–7.3% | 4.6–7.8% |
| 15–17 July 2024 | Nézőpont Intézet | 9.0% | 7.9–10.3% | 7.6–10.6% | 7.4–10.9% | 6.9–11.6% |
| 4–10 July 2024 | Medián | 7.1% | 6.2–8.3% | 5.9–8.6% | 5.7–8.9% | 5.2–9.4% |
| 3–8 July 2024 | Republikon Intézet | 5.0% | 4.2–6.0% | 4.0–6.3% | 3.8–6.5% | 3.5–7.1% |
| 19–27 June 2024 | IDEA Intézet | 6.0% | 5.3–6.9% | 5.1–7.1% | 4.9–7.3% | 4.6–7.8% |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Mi Hazánk Mozgalom (ESN).
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 4% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 16% | 96% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 20% | 80% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 22% | 60% | Median |
| 6.5–7.5% | 18% | 38% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 14% | 20% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 6% | 7% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 1 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 |
| 1–31 December 2024 | Századvég | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 16–18 December 2024 | Társadalomkutató | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 9–11 December 2024 | Nézőpont Intézet | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 29 November–6 December 2024 | IDEA Intézet | 1 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–2 |
| 28 November–5 December 2024 | Republikon Intézet | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 20–30 November 2024 | ZRI Závecz Research | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 |
| 25–27 November 2024 | Real-PR 93 | |||||
| 20–26 November 2024 | Medián | |||||
| 19–22 November 2024 | Társadalomkutató | |||||
| 14–19 November 2024 | Századvég | |||||
| 14–19 November 2024 | Publicus Research | |||||
| 11–13 November 2024 | Nézőpont Intézet | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 31 October–8 November 2024 | IDEA Intézet | 1 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 28 October–4 November 2024 | Medián | 1 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–2 |
| 1–31 October 2024 | Századvég | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 28–30 October 2024 | Real-PR 93 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 24–29 October 2024 | Republikon Intézet | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 11–18 October 2024 | Publicus Research | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 14–17 October 2024 | Nézőpont Intézet | 1 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–2 |
| 9–15 October 2024 | 21 Kutatóközpont | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 28 September–8 October 2024 | ZRI Závecz Research | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 27 September–7 October 2024 | IDEA Intézet | 1 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 16–18 September 2024 | Nézőpont Intézet | 1 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–2 |
| 9–11 September 2024 | Nézőpont Intézet | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 3–10 September 2024 | Medián | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 28 August–6 September 2024 | IDEA Intézet | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 21–31 August 2024 | ZRI Závecz Research | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 24–31 July 2024 | IDEA Intézet | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0–1 |
| 15–17 July 2024 | Nézőpont Intézet | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 4–10 July 2024 | Medián | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 3–8 July 2024 | Republikon Intézet | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 19–27 June 2024 | IDEA Intézet | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Mi Hazánk Mozgalom (ESN).
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 29% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 53% | 71% | Median |
| 2 | 18% | 18% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |