Opinion Poll by 21 Kutatóközpont, 23 June–1 July 2026
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tisztelet és Szabadság (EPP) | 0.0% | 67.0% | 65.4–68.5% | 65.0–69.0% | 64.6–69.3% | 63.8–70.1% |
| Fidesz–Kereszténydemokrata Néppárt (PfE) | 0.0% | 23.0% | 21.6–24.4% | 21.3–24.8% | 20.9–25.2% | 20.3–25.9% |
| Mi Hazánk Mozgalom (ESN) | 0.0% | 7.0% | 6.2–7.9% | 6.0–8.2% | 5.8–8.4% | 5.5–8.9% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tisztelet és Szabadság (EPP) | 0 | 15 | 15 | 15–16 | 15–16 | 14–16 |
| Fidesz–Kereszténydemokrata Néppárt (PfE) | 0 | 5 | 5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–6 |
| Mi Hazánk Mozgalom (ESN) | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1–2 |
Tisztelet és Szabadság (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Tisztelet és Szabadság (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | Majority |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 1.3% | 100% | |
| 15 | 92% | 98.7% | Median |
| 16 | 6% | 6% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% |
Fidesz–Kereszténydemokrata Néppárt (PfE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fidesz–Kereszténydemokrata Néppárt (PfE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 7% | 100% | |
| 5 | 93% | 93% | Median |
| 6 | 0.7% | 0.7% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% |
Mi Hazánk Mozgalom (ESN)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Mi Hazánk Mozgalom (ESN) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 98.9% | 100% | Median |
| 2 | 1.1% | 1.1% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fidesz–Kereszténydemokrata Néppárt (PfE) | 0 | 5 | 0% | 5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–6 |
| Mi Hazánk Mozgalom (ESN) | 0 | 1 | 0% | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1–2 |
Fidesz–Kereszténydemokrata Néppárt (PfE)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 7% | 100% | |
| 5 | 93% | 93% | Median |
| 6 | 0.7% | 0.7% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% |
Mi Hazánk Mozgalom (ESN)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 98.9% | 100% | Median |
| 2 | 1.1% | 1.1% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: 21 Kutatóközpont
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 23 June–1 July 2026
Calculations
- Sample size: 1500
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 0.08%