Opinion Poll by Europion, 11 August 2026

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Tisztelet és Szabadság (EPP) 0.0% 61.0% 59.5–62.5% 59.0–62.9% 58.6–63.3% 57.9–64.0%
Fidesz–Kereszténydemokrata Néppárt (PfE) 0.0% 25.0% 23.7–26.4% 23.3–26.8% 23.0–27.1% 22.4–27.8%
Mi Hazánk Mozgalom (ESN) 0.0% 10.0% 9.1–11.0% 8.9–11.3% 8.7–11.5% 8.2–12.0%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Tisztelet és Szabadság (EPP) 0 14 13–14 13–14 13–14 13–14
Fidesz–Kereszténydemokrata Néppárt (PfE) 0 5 5–6 5–6 5–6 5–6
Mi Hazánk Mozgalom (ESN) 0 2 2 2 2 1–2

Tisztelet és Szabadság (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Tisztelet és Szabadság (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100% Majority
12 0% 100%  
13 22% 100%  
14 78% 78% Median
15 0.4% 0.4%  
16 0% 0%  

Fidesz–Kereszténydemokrata Néppárt (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fidesz–Kereszténydemokrata Néppárt (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 77% 100% Median
6 23% 23%  
7 0% 0%  

Mi Hazánk Mozgalom (ESN)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Mi Hazánk Mozgalom (ESN) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 2% 100%  
2 98% 98% Median
3 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Fidesz–Kereszténydemokrata Néppárt (PfE) 0 5 0% 5–6 5–6 5–6 5–6
Mi Hazánk Mozgalom (ESN) 0 2 0% 2 2 2 1–2

Fidesz–Kereszténydemokrata Néppárt (PfE)

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 77% 100% Median
6 23% 23%  
7 0% 0%  

Mi Hazánk Mozgalom (ESN)

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 2% 100%  
2 98% 98% Median
3 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations