Opinion Poll by Europion, 7–8 September 2026

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Tisztelet és Szabadság (EPP) 0.0% 58.4% 57.0–59.8% 56.6–60.2% 56.3–60.5% 55.6–61.2%
Fidesz–Kereszténydemokrata Néppárt (PfE) 0.0% 26.7% 25.5–28.0% 25.1–28.3% 24.9–28.7% 24.3–29.3%
Mi Hazánk Mozgalom (ESN) 0.0% 9.9% 9.1–10.8% 8.9–11.1% 8.7–11.3% 8.3–11.7%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Tisztelet és Szabadság (EPP) 0 13 13–14 13–14 13–14 13–14
Fidesz–Kereszténydemokrata Néppárt (PfE) 0 6 6 5–6 5–6 5–6
Mi Hazánk Mozgalom (ESN) 0 2 2 2 2 1–2

Tisztelet és Szabadság (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Tisztelet és Szabadság (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100% Majority
12 0.1% 100%  
13 89% 99.9% Median
14 11% 11%  
15 0% 0%  

Fidesz–Kereszténydemokrata Néppárt (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fidesz–Kereszténydemokrata Néppárt (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 10% 100%  
6 90% 90% Median
7 0.1% 0.1%  
8 0% 0%  

Mi Hazánk Mozgalom (ESN)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Mi Hazánk Mozgalom (ESN) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 1.0% 100%  
2 99.0% 99.0% Median
3 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Fidesz–Kereszténydemokrata Néppárt (PfE) 0 6 0% 6 5–6 5–6 5–6
Mi Hazánk Mozgalom (ESN) 0 2 0% 2 2 2 1–2

Fidesz–Kereszténydemokrata Néppárt (PfE)

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 10% 100%  
6 90% 90% Median
7 0.1% 0.1%  
8 0% 0%  

Mi Hazánk Mozgalom (ESN)

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 1.0% 100%  
2 99.0% 99.0% Median
3 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations