Opinion Poll by 21 Kutatóközpont, 28–30 September 2026
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tisztelet és Szabadság (EPP) | 0.0% | 62.0% | 60.0–63.9% | 59.4–64.5% | 58.9–65.0% | 58.0–65.9% |
| Fidesz–Kereszténydemokrata Néppárt (PfE) | 0.0% | 26.0% | 24.3–27.8% | 23.8–28.4% | 23.4–28.8% | 22.6–29.7% |
| Mi Hazánk Mozgalom (ESN) | 0.0% | 10.0% | 8.9–11.3% | 8.6–11.7% | 8.3–12.0% | 7.8–12.7% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tisztelet és Szabadság (EPP) | 0 | 14 | 13–14 | 13–14 | 13–14 | 13–15 |
| Fidesz–Kereszténydemokrata Néppárt (PfE) | 0 | 5 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 5–6 |
| Mi Hazánk Mozgalom (ESN) | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
Tisztelet és Szabadság (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Tisztelet és Szabadság (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | Majority |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 36% | 100% | |
| 14 | 62% | 64% | Median |
| 15 | 2% | 2% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% |
Fidesz–Kereszténydemokrata Néppárt (PfE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fidesz–Kereszténydemokrata Néppárt (PfE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 5 | 58% | 99.9% | Median |
| 6 | 42% | 42% | |
| 7 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% |
Mi Hazánk Mozgalom (ESN)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Mi Hazánk Mozgalom (ESN) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 7% | 100% | |
| 2 | 92% | 93% | Median |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fidesz–Kereszténydemokrata Néppárt (PfE) | 0 | 5 | 0% | 5–6 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 5–6 |
| Mi Hazánk Mozgalom (ESN) | 0 | 2 | 0% | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
Fidesz–Kereszténydemokrata Néppárt (PfE)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 5 | 58% | 99.9% | Median |
| 6 | 42% | 42% | |
| 7 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% |
Mi Hazánk Mozgalom (ESN)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 7% | 100% | |
| 2 | 92% | 93% | Median |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: 21 Kutatóközpont
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 28–30 September 2026
Calculations
- Sample size: 1000
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 0.15%