Opinion Poll by Europion, 14–15 October 2026
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tisztelet és Szabadság (EPP) | 0.0% | 61.0% | 59.6–62.4% | 59.2–62.8% | 58.9–63.1% | 58.2–63.8% |
| Fidesz–Kereszténydemokrata Néppárt (PfE) | 0.0% | 26.0% | 24.8–27.3% | 24.4–27.6% | 24.1–27.9% | 23.5–28.6% |
| Mi Hazánk Mozgalom (ESN) | 0.0% | 9.0% | 8.2–9.9% | 8.0–10.1% | 7.8–10.3% | 7.5–10.8% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tisztelet és Szabadság (EPP) | 0 | 14 | 13–14 | 13–14 | 13–14 | 13–15 |
| Fidesz–Kereszténydemokrata Néppárt (PfE) | 0 | 6 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 5–6 |
| Mi Hazánk Mozgalom (ESN) | 0 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
Tisztelet és Szabadság (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Tisztelet és Szabadság (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | Majority |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 33% | 100% | |
| 14 | 65% | 67% | Median |
| 15 | 2% | 2% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% |
Fidesz–Kereszténydemokrata Néppárt (PfE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fidesz–Kereszténydemokrata Néppárt (PfE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 44% | 100% | |
| 6 | 56% | 56% | Median |
| 7 | 0% | 0% |
Mi Hazánk Mozgalom (ESN)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Mi Hazánk Mozgalom (ESN) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 24% | 100% | |
| 2 | 76% | 76% | Median |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fidesz–Kereszténydemokrata Néppárt (PfE) | 0 | 6 | 0% | 5–6 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 5–6 |
| Mi Hazánk Mozgalom (ESN) | 0 | 2 | 0% | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
Fidesz–Kereszténydemokrata Néppárt (PfE)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 44% | 100% | |
| 6 | 56% | 56% | Median |
| 7 | 0% | 0% |
Mi Hazánk Mozgalom (ESN)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 24% | 100% | |
| 2 | 76% | 76% | Median |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Europion
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 14–15 October 2026
Calculations
- Sample size: 2032
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 0.12%