Opinion Poll by SKDS for Latvijas Televīzija, 1–31 January 2018
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sociāldemokrātiskā Partija “Saskaņa” | 23.0% | 35.5% | 33.0–38.1% | 32.3–38.8% | 31.7–39.5% | 30.5–40.7% |
| Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība | 19.5% | 26.6% | 24.3–29.1% | 23.7–29.8% | 23.2–30.4% | 22.1–31.6% |
| Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” | 16.6% | 10.1% | 8.6–11.9% | 8.2–12.4% | 7.9–12.8% | 7.2–13.7% |
| Jaunā konservatīvā partija | 0.7% | 7.1% | 5.9–8.7% | 5.6–9.1% | 5.3–9.5% | 4.8–10.3% |
| Vienotība | 21.9% | 5.0% | 4.0–6.4% | 3.8–6.8% | 3.5–7.2% | 3.1–7.9% |
| Latvijas Reģionu apvienība | 6.7% | 4.3% | 3.4–5.7% | 3.2–6.0% | 3.0–6.3% | 2.6–7.0% |
| KPV LV | 0.0% | 3.5% | 2.7–4.7% | 2.5–5.0% | 2.3–5.3% | 1.9–5.9% |
| Kustība Par! | 0.0% | 2.4% | 1.8–3.5% | 1.6–3.8% | 1.5–4.1% | 1.2–4.6% |
| No sirds Latvijai | 6.8% | 1.7% | 1.2–2.7% | 1.1–2.9% | 0.9–3.2% | 0.7–3.7% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sociāldemokrātiskā Partija “Saskaņa” | 24 | 41 | 38–45 | 37–46 | 37–46 | 35–48 |
| Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība | 21 | 33 | 29–36 | 28–37 | 27–37 | 26–39 |
| Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” | 17 | 12 | 10–14 | 10–15 | 9–17 | 7–17 |
| Jaunā konservatīvā partija | 0 | 8 | 7–10 | 7–11 | 7–11 | 0–12 |
| Vienotība | 23 | 0 | 0–8 | 0–8 | 0–8 | 0–9 |
| Latvijas Reģionu apvienība | 8 | 0 | 0–6 | 0–7 | 0–7 | 0–9 |
| KPV LV | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–6 | 0–7 |
| Kustība Par! | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| No sirds Latvijai | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Sociāldemokrātiskā Partija “Saskaņa”
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sociāldemokrātiskā Partija “Saskaņa” page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 34 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 35 | 0.5% | 99.5% | |
| 36 | 1.3% | 99.0% | |
| 37 | 3% | 98% | |
| 38 | 8% | 95% | |
| 39 | 11% | 86% | |
| 40 | 13% | 75% | |
| 41 | 23% | 62% | Median |
| 42 | 12% | 38% | |
| 43 | 11% | 26% | |
| 44 | 3% | 15% | |
| 45 | 5% | 12% | |
| 46 | 6% | 8% | |
| 47 | 0.9% | 1.5% | |
| 48 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 49 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0.6% | 99.8% | |
| 27 | 2% | 99.2% | |
| 28 | 3% | 97% | |
| 29 | 5% | 94% | |
| 30 | 5% | 89% | |
| 31 | 13% | 84% | |
| 32 | 17% | 71% | |
| 33 | 14% | 54% | Median |
| 34 | 20% | 40% | |
| 35 | 9% | 21% | |
| 36 | 5% | 12% | |
| 37 | 5% | 7% | |
| 38 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 39 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 40 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK”
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 0.9% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0.6% | 99.1% | |
| 9 | 3% | 98.5% | |
| 10 | 13% | 95% | |
| 11 | 31% | 82% | |
| 12 | 6% | 51% | Median |
| 13 | 15% | 45% | |
| 14 | 22% | 31% | |
| 15 | 4% | 8% | |
| 16 | 2% | 5% | |
| 17 | 3% | 3% | Last Result |
| 18 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% |
Jaunā konservatīvā partija
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Jaunā konservatīvā partija page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1.2% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 98.8% | |
| 2 | 0% | 98.8% | |
| 3 | 0% | 98.8% | |
| 4 | 0% | 98.8% | |
| 5 | 0% | 98.8% | |
| 6 | 0% | 98.8% | |
| 7 | 17% | 98.8% | |
| 8 | 37% | 82% | Median |
| 9 | 24% | 44% | |
| 10 | 13% | 21% | |
| 11 | 7% | 7% | |
| 12 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 13 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 14 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% |
Vienotība
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vienotība page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 51% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 49% | |
| 2 | 0% | 49% | |
| 3 | 0% | 49% | |
| 4 | 0% | 49% | |
| 5 | 0% | 49% | |
| 6 | 0% | 49% | |
| 7 | 34% | 49% | |
| 8 | 13% | 15% | |
| 9 | 2% | 2% | |
| 10 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 11 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Latvijas Reģionu apvienība
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Latvijas Reģionu apvienība page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 75% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 25% | |
| 2 | 0% | 25% | |
| 3 | 0% | 25% | |
| 4 | 0% | 25% | |
| 5 | 0% | 25% | |
| 6 | 19% | 25% | |
| 7 | 4% | 7% | |
| 8 | 1.3% | 2% | Last Result |
| 9 | 1.2% | 1.2% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
KPV LV
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the KPV LV page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 96% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0% | 4% | |
| 2 | 0% | 4% | |
| 3 | 0% | 4% | |
| 4 | 0% | 4% | |
| 5 | 0% | 4% | |
| 6 | 3% | 4% | |
| 7 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 8 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 9 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
Kustība Par!
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kustība Par! page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.9% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 7 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% |
No sirds Latvijai
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the No sirds Latvijai page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sociāldemokrātiskā Partija “Saskaņa” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – KPV LV | 45 | 74 | 100% | 69–80 | 68–81 | 66–81 | 64–83 |
| Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Vienotība – Kustība Par! | 61 | 57 | 98% | 53–60 | 52–61 | 52–62 | 48–63 |
| Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Vienotība | 61 | 57 | 98% | 53–60 | 52–61 | 52–62 | 48–63 |
| Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Kustība Par! | 38 | 53 | 81% | 48–58 | 47–59 | 46–59 | 45–61 |
| Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija | 38 | 53 | 81% | 48–58 | 47–59 | 46–59 | 45–61 |
| Sociāldemokrātiskā Partija “Saskaņa” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Kustība Par! | 24 | 50 | 35% | 46–53 | 45–55 | 44–55 | 42–57 |
| Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Vienotība – Kustība Par! | 61 | 48 | 27% | 45–52 | 44–53 | 43–54 | 40–55 |
| Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Vienotība | 61 | 48 | 27% | 45–52 | 44–53 | 43–54 | 40–55 |
| Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Kustība Par! | 38 | 45 | 6% | 41–49 | 39–51 | 38–51 | 37–53 |
| Sociāldemokrātiskā Partija “Saskaņa” – KPV LV | 24 | 41 | 0.3% | 38–45 | 38–46 | 37–47 | 35–49 |
| Sociāldemokrātiskā Partija “Saskaņa” – Kustība Par! | 24 | 41 | 0% | 38–45 | 37–46 | 37–46 | 35–48 |
| Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Vienotība – Kustība Par! | 40 | 24 | 0% | 19–29 | 19–30 | 18–31 | 16–32 |
Sociāldemokrātiskā Partija “Saskaņa” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – KPV LV
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 45 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 46 | 0% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0% | 100% | Majority |
| 52 | 0% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 64 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 65 | 1.1% | 99.4% | |
| 66 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 67 | 1.4% | 97% | |
| 68 | 5% | 96% | |
| 69 | 4% | 91% | |
| 70 | 5% | 87% | |
| 71 | 9% | 82% | |
| 72 | 8% | 73% | |
| 73 | 13% | 66% | |
| 74 | 7% | 53% | Median |
| 75 | 10% | 47% | |
| 76 | 8% | 37% | |
| 77 | 7% | 29% | |
| 78 | 8% | 22% | |
| 79 | 2% | 14% | |
| 80 | 6% | 12% | |
| 81 | 4% | 6% | |
| 82 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 83 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 86 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Vienotība – Kustība Par!
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 46 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 48 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 49 | 0.6% | 99.4% | |
| 50 | 0.4% | 98.9% | |
| 51 | 0.9% | 98% | Majority |
| 52 | 6% | 98% | |
| 53 | 5% | 92% | Median |
| 54 | 9% | 87% | |
| 55 | 11% | 78% | |
| 56 | 8% | 67% | |
| 57 | 11% | 59% | |
| 58 | 9% | 48% | |
| 59 | 20% | 39% | |
| 60 | 10% | 19% | |
| 61 | 4% | 9% | Last Result |
| 62 | 3% | 5% | |
| 63 | 0.9% | 1.2% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 65 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Vienotība
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 46 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 48 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 49 | 0.6% | 99.4% | |
| 50 | 0.4% | 98.9% | |
| 51 | 0.9% | 98% | Majority |
| 52 | 6% | 98% | |
| 53 | 5% | 92% | Median |
| 54 | 9% | 87% | |
| 55 | 11% | 78% | |
| 56 | 8% | 67% | |
| 57 | 11% | 59% | |
| 58 | 9% | 48% | |
| 59 | 20% | 39% | |
| 60 | 10% | 19% | |
| 61 | 4% | 9% | Last Result |
| 62 | 3% | 5% | |
| 63 | 0.9% | 1.2% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 65 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Kustība Par!
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 44 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 45 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 46 | 3% | 99.4% | |
| 47 | 3% | 96% | |
| 48 | 5% | 94% | |
| 49 | 4% | 88% | |
| 50 | 3% | 84% | |
| 51 | 7% | 81% | Majority |
| 52 | 18% | 74% | |
| 53 | 9% | 56% | Median |
| 54 | 12% | 48% | |
| 55 | 7% | 36% | |
| 56 | 4% | 28% | |
| 57 | 10% | 25% | |
| 58 | 5% | 15% | |
| 59 | 8% | 10% | |
| 60 | 0.6% | 1.4% | |
| 61 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 44 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 45 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 46 | 3% | 99.4% | |
| 47 | 3% | 96% | |
| 48 | 5% | 94% | |
| 49 | 4% | 88% | |
| 50 | 3% | 84% | |
| 51 | 7% | 81% | Majority |
| 52 | 18% | 74% | |
| 53 | 9% | 56% | Median |
| 54 | 12% | 48% | |
| 55 | 7% | 36% | |
| 56 | 4% | 28% | |
| 57 | 10% | 25% | |
| 58 | 5% | 15% | |
| 59 | 8% | 10% | |
| 60 | 0.6% | 1.4% | |
| 61 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% |
Sociāldemokrātiskā Partija “Saskaņa” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Kustība Par!
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 41 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 42 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 43 | 0.4% | 99.3% | |
| 44 | 2% | 98.9% | |
| 45 | 3% | 97% | |
| 46 | 9% | 94% | |
| 47 | 6% | 85% | |
| 48 | 14% | 79% | |
| 49 | 14% | 65% | Median |
| 50 | 16% | 51% | |
| 51 | 8% | 35% | Majority |
| 52 | 8% | 26% | |
| 53 | 10% | 18% | |
| 54 | 2% | 8% | |
| 55 | 5% | 6% | |
| 56 | 0.5% | 1.1% | |
| 57 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Vienotība – Kustība Par!
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 40 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 41 | 0.4% | 99.4% | |
| 42 | 1.0% | 99.0% | |
| 43 | 1.5% | 98% | |
| 44 | 6% | 97% | |
| 45 | 9% | 91% | Median |
| 46 | 6% | 82% | |
| 47 | 13% | 76% | |
| 48 | 14% | 63% | |
| 49 | 8% | 49% | |
| 50 | 13% | 40% | |
| 51 | 11% | 27% | Majority |
| 52 | 9% | 16% | |
| 53 | 3% | 7% | |
| 54 | 3% | 4% | |
| 55 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 56 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Vienotība
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 40 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 41 | 0.4% | 99.4% | |
| 42 | 1.0% | 99.0% | |
| 43 | 1.5% | 98% | |
| 44 | 6% | 97% | |
| 45 | 9% | 91% | Median |
| 46 | 6% | 82% | |
| 47 | 13% | 76% | |
| 48 | 14% | 63% | |
| 49 | 8% | 49% | |
| 50 | 13% | 40% | |
| 51 | 11% | 27% | Majority |
| 52 | 9% | 16% | |
| 53 | 3% | 7% | |
| 54 | 3% | 4% | |
| 55 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 56 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Kustība Par!
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 35 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 37 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 38 | 2% | 99.3% | Last Result |
| 39 | 2% | 97% | |
| 40 | 4% | 95% | |
| 41 | 7% | 91% | |
| 42 | 7% | 84% | |
| 43 | 13% | 77% | |
| 44 | 9% | 64% | |
| 45 | 15% | 56% | Median |
| 46 | 6% | 41% | |
| 47 | 13% | 34% | |
| 48 | 7% | 22% | |
| 49 | 5% | 14% | |
| 50 | 3% | 9% | |
| 51 | 6% | 6% | Majority |
| 52 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 53 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% |
Sociāldemokrātiskā Partija “Saskaņa” – KPV LV
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 35 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 36 | 0.9% | 99.2% | |
| 37 | 3% | 98% | |
| 38 | 7% | 96% | |
| 39 | 11% | 88% | |
| 40 | 13% | 77% | |
| 41 | 23% | 65% | Median |
| 42 | 12% | 41% | |
| 43 | 11% | 29% | |
| 44 | 4% | 18% | |
| 45 | 5% | 14% | |
| 46 | 7% | 9% | |
| 47 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 48 | 0.7% | 1.4% | |
| 49 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 51 | 0.2% | 0.3% | Majority |
| 52 | 0% | 0% |
Sociāldemokrātiskā Partija “Saskaņa” – Kustība Par!
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 34 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 35 | 0.5% | 99.5% | |
| 36 | 1.3% | 99.0% | |
| 37 | 3% | 98% | |
| 38 | 8% | 95% | |
| 39 | 11% | 87% | |
| 40 | 13% | 75% | |
| 41 | 23% | 62% | Median |
| 42 | 12% | 38% | |
| 43 | 11% | 26% | |
| 44 | 3% | 15% | |
| 45 | 5% | 12% | |
| 46 | 6% | 8% | |
| 47 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 48 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 49 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Vienotība – Kustība Par!
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 13 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 14 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 15 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 16 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 17 | 0.8% | 99.3% | |
| 18 | 3% | 98.5% | |
| 19 | 7% | 95% | |
| 20 | 7% | 89% | Median |
| 21 | 4% | 81% | |
| 22 | 10% | 77% | |
| 23 | 8% | 67% | |
| 24 | 10% | 59% | |
| 25 | 10% | 49% | |
| 26 | 9% | 39% | |
| 27 | 13% | 31% | |
| 28 | 4% | 18% | |
| 29 | 9% | 14% | |
| 30 | 2% | 5% | |
| 31 | 2% | 3% | |
| 32 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 33 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: SKDS
- Commissioner(s): Latvijas Televīzija
- Fieldwork period: 1–31 January 2018
Calculations
- Sample size: 575
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.72%