Vienotība
Voting Intentions
Last result: 21.9% (General Election of 4 October 2014)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 6.3% | 4.6–9.1% | 4.2–9.4% | 3.8–9.7% | 3.1–10.2% |
| 24–30 September 2018 | FACTUM | 8.9% | 8.2–9.7% | 8.0–9.9% | 7.9–10.1% | 7.5–10.5% |
| 17–23 September 2018 | FACTUM | 9.1% | 8.4–9.9% | 8.2–10.1% | 8.0–10.3% | 7.7–10.7% |
| 8–18 September 2018 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
6.1% | 5.1–7.6% | 4.8–8.0% | 4.5–8.3% | 4.0–9.1% |
| 10–16 September 2018 | FACTUM | 9.8% | 8.7–11.0% | 8.5–11.3% | 8.2–11.6% | 7.7–12.2% |
| 10–14 September 2018 | Norstat | 5.3% | 3.9–7.4% | 3.5–8.0% | 3.2–8.5% | 2.7–9.6% |
| 8 August–12 September 2018 | Kantar TNS Delfi |
5.6% | 4.6–6.8% | 4.3–7.2% | 4.1–7.5% | 3.6–8.2% |
| 31 August–9 September 2018 | FACTUM | 8.8% | 7.9–9.9% | 7.6–10.2% | 7.4–10.5% | 7.0–11.0% |
| 30 August–5 September 2018 | FACTUM | 7.8% | 7.0–8.6% | 6.8–8.8% | 6.6–9.0% | 6.3–9.4% |
| 27 August–2 September 2018 | FACTUM | 6.8% | 6.1–7.6% | 5.9–7.8% | 5.7–8.0% | 5.4–8.4% |
| 25–31 August 2018 | FACTUM | 6.7% | 6.0–7.5% | 5.8–7.8% | 5.6–8.0% | 5.3–8.4% |
| 22–28 August 2018 | FACTUM | 6.8% | 6.2–8.0% | 6.0–8.3% | 5.8–8.5% | 5.4–9.0% |
| 20–26 August 2018 | FACTUM | 6.6% | 6.1–7.8% | 5.8–8.1% | 5.6–8.4% | 5.3–8.8% |
| 1–23 August 2018 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
7.9% | 6.6–9.5% | 6.2–9.9% | 5.9–10.3% | 5.4–11.2% |
| 13–19 August 2018 | FACTUM | 5.8% | 5.1–6.7% | 4.9–6.9% | 4.7–7.1% | 4.4–7.6% |
| 17–23 July 2018 | FACTUM | 5.1% | 4.6–6.1% | 4.4–6.3% | 4.3–6.6% | 4.0–7.0% |
| 1–30 June 2018 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
4.3% | 3.4–5.5% | 3.2–5.9% | 3.0–6.2% | 2.6–6.8% |
| 1–31 May 2018 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
6.3% | 5.2–7.8% | 4.9–8.2% | 4.6–8.6% | 4.1–9.3% |
| 1–31 May 2018 | Norstat TV3 Latvija |
8.7% | 7.5–10.2% | 7.1–10.6% | 6.8–11.0% | 6.3–11.7% |
| 1–30 April 2018 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
7.8% | 6.6–9.3% | 6.2–9.7% | 5.9–10.1% | 5.4–10.9% |
| 1–31 March 2018 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
8.6% | 7.2–10.3% | 6.9–10.7% | 6.6–11.2% | 6.0–12.0% |
| 1–28 February 2018 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
7.4% | 6.2–9.0% | 5.9–9.4% | 5.6–9.8% | 5.1–10.6% |
| 1–31 January 2018 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
5.0% | 4.0–6.4% | 3.8–6.8% | 3.5–7.2% | 3.1–7.9% |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Vienotība.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 1.3% | 99.9% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 8% | 98.6% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 21% | 91% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 26% | 70% | Median |
| 6.5–7.5% | 14% | 44% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 10% | 30% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 16% | 20% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 4% | 4% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 12.5–13.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 13.5–14.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 14.5–15.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 15.5–16.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 16.5–17.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 17.5–18.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 18.5–19.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 19.5–20.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 20.5–21.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 21.5–22.5% | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Seats
Last result: 23 seats (General Election of 4 October 2014)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 7 | 0–10 | 0–10 | 0–10 | 0–11 |
| 24–30 September 2018 | FACTUM | 10 | 9–10 | 8–10 | 8–10 | 8–11 |
| 17–23 September 2018 | FACTUM | 9 | 9–10 | 9–10 | 9–10 | 8–12 |
| 8–18 September 2018 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
7 | 0–8 | 0–9 | 0–10 | 0–10 |
| 10–16 September 2018 | FACTUM | 10 | 10–13 | 10–13 | 9–13 | 8–14 |
| 10–14 September 2018 | Norstat | 7 | 0–8 | 0–10 | 0–10 | 0–11 |
| 8 August–12 September 2018 | Kantar TNS Delfi |
7 | 0–8 | 0–8 | 0–8 | 0–10 |
| 31 August–9 September 2018 | FACTUM | 12 | 10–12 | 9–12 | 9–13 | 8–14 |
| 30 August–5 September 2018 | FACTUM | 10 | 9–11 | 8–12 | 8–12 | 8–12 |
| 27 August–2 September 2018 | FACTUM | 8 | 8–10 | 8–10 | 7–10 | 7–11 |
| 25–31 August 2018 | FACTUM | 8 | 8–10 | 8–10 | 7–10 | 7–12 |
| 22–28 August 2018 | FACTUM | 8 | 8–10 | 7–10 | 7–10 | 7–11 |
| 20–26 August 2018 | FACTUM | 7 | 7–8 | 7–9 | 7–9 | 7–9 |
| 1–23 August 2018 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
9 | 8–12 | 7–12 | 7–12 | 7–13 |
| 13–19 August 2018 | FACTUM | 8 | 7–8 | 0–10 | 0–10 | 0–10 |
| 17–23 July 2018 | FACTUM | 7 | 0–7 | 0–7 | 0–7 | 0–7 |
| 1–30 June 2018 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
0 | 0–7 | 0–7 | 0–7 | 0–7 |
| 1–31 May 2018 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
8 | 7–10 | 7–10 | 0–11 | 0–11 |
| 1–31 May 2018 | Norstat TV3 Latvija |
10 | 9–12 | 8–12 | 7–13 | 7–14 |
| 1–30 April 2018 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
10 | 8–11 | 8–11 | 7–11 | 7–13 |
| 1–31 March 2018 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
11 | 8–11 | 8–13 | 8–13 | 7–14 |
| 1–28 February 2018 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
9 | 8–11 | 7–11 | 7–11 | 7–12 |
| 1–31 January 2018 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
0 | 0–8 | 0–8 | 0–8 | 0–9 |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Vienotība.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 22% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 78% | |
| 2 | 0% | 78% | |
| 3 | 0% | 78% | |
| 4 | 0% | 78% | |
| 5 | 0% | 78% | |
| 6 | 0% | 78% | |
| 7 | 37% | 78% | Median |
| 8 | 12% | 41% | |
| 9 | 7% | 29% | |
| 10 | 21% | 22% | |
| 11 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 12 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |