Latvijas Reģionu apvienība
Voting Intentions
Last result: 6.7% (General Election of 4 October 2014)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 2.8% | 0.7–4.1% | 0.6–4.5% | 0.5–4.9% | 0.3–5.6% |
| 24–30 September 2018 | FACTUM | 3.0% | 2.6–3.4% | 2.5–3.6% | 2.4–3.7% | 2.2–3.9% |
| 17–23 September 2018 | FACTUM | 3.0% | 2.6–3.5% | 2.5–3.7% | 2.4–3.8% | 2.2–4.1% |
| 8–18 September 2018 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
3.6% | 2.8–4.7% | 2.5–5.0% | 2.4–5.3% | 2.0–5.9% |
| 10–16 September 2018 | FACTUM | 2.9% | 2.4–3.7% | 2.2–3.9% | 2.1–4.1% | 1.9–4.5% |
| 10–14 September 2018 | Norstat | 2.5% | 1.6–4.1% | 1.4–4.6% | 1.2–5.0% | 0.9–5.9% |
| 8 August–12 September 2018 | Kantar TNS Delfi |
0.7% | 0.5–1.4% | 0.4–1.5% | 0.3–1.7% | 0.2–2.1% |
| 31 August–9 September 2018 | FACTUM | 3.9% | 3.3–4.7% | 3.2–5.0% | 3.0–5.2% | 2.7–5.6% |
| 30 August–5 September 2018 | FACTUM | 3.9% | 3.4–4.5% | 3.2–4.7% | 3.1–4.9% | 2.9–5.2% |
| 27 August–2 September 2018 | FACTUM | 2.9% | 2.5–3.5% | 2.4–3.6% | 2.3–3.8% | 2.1–4.1% |
| 25–31 August 2018 | FACTUM | 2.9% | 2.4–3.4% | 2.3–3.6% | 2.2–3.7% | 2.0–4.1% |
| 22–28 August 2018 | FACTUM | 1.9% | 1.6–2.6% | 1.5–2.8% | 1.4–2.9% | 1.2–3.2% |
| 20–26 August 2018 | FACTUM | 1.9% | 1.5–2.5% | 1.4–2.7% | 1.3–2.8% | 1.2–3.1% |
| 1–23 August 2018 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
4.4% | 3.5–5.7% | 3.3–6.1% | 3.0–6.4% | 2.7–7.1% |
| 13–19 August 2018 | FACTUM | 3.9% | 3.3–4.6% | 3.2–4.9% | 3.0–5.0% | 2.8–5.4% |
| 17–23 July 2018 | FACTUM | 4.1% | 3.6–5.0% | 3.4–5.2% | 3.3–5.4% | 3.0–5.7% |
| 1–30 June 2018 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
2.7% | 2.0–3.7% | 1.8–4.0% | 1.7–4.3% | 1.4–4.8% |
| 1–31 May 2018 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
2.9% | 2.2–4.0% | 2.0–4.3% | 1.8–4.6% | 1.5–5.2% |
| 1–31 May 2018 | Norstat TV3 Latvija |
4.5% | 3.6–5.6% | 3.4–6.0% | 3.2–6.3% | 2.8–6.9% |
| 1–30 April 2018 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
4.4% | 3.6–5.7% | 3.3–6.0% | 3.1–6.3% | 2.7–7.0% |
| 1–31 March 2018 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
2.8% | 2.1–3.9% | 1.9–4.2% | 1.7–4.5% | 1.4–5.1% |
| 1–28 February 2018 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
3.4% | 2.6–4.5% | 2.4–4.8% | 2.2–5.1% | 1.9–5.7% |
| 1–31 January 2018 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
4.3% | 3.4–5.7% | 3.2–6.0% | 3.0–6.3% | 2.6–7.0% |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Latvijas Reģionu apvienība.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 4% | 100% | |
| 0.5–1.5% | 21% | 96% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 14% | 74% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 40% | 61% | Median |
| 3.5–4.5% | 16% | 20% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 4% | 5% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 0% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 7.5–8.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 8 seats (General Election of 4 October 2014)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–6 | 0–7 |
| 24–30 September 2018 | FACTUM | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17–23 September 2018 | FACTUM | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8–18 September 2018 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
0 | 0 | 0–7 | 0–7 | 0–7 |
| 10–16 September 2018 | FACTUM | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10–14 September 2018 | Norstat | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–7 |
| 8 August–12 September 2018 | Kantar TNS Delfi |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 August–9 September 2018 | FACTUM | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–7 | 0–7 |
| 30 August–5 September 2018 | FACTUM | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–7 |
| 27 August–2 September 2018 | FACTUM | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 25–31 August 2018 | FACTUM | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 22–28 August 2018 | FACTUM | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 20–26 August 2018 | FACTUM | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1–23 August 2018 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
0 | 0–7 | 0–7 | 0–8 | 0–9 |
| 13–19 August 2018 | FACTUM | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–7 | 0–7 |
| 17–23 July 2018 | FACTUM | 0 | 0–7 | 0–7 | 0–7 | 0–7 |
| 1–30 June 2018 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1–31 May 2018 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1–31 May 2018 | Norstat TV3 Latvija |
0 | 0–7 | 0–8 | 0–8 | 0–8 |
| 1–30 April 2018 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
0 | 0–6 | 0–6 | 0–7 | 0–9 |
| 1–31 March 2018 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1–28 February 2018 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0–6 | 0–6 |
| 1–31 January 2018 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
0 | 0–6 | 0–7 | 0–7 | 0–9 |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Latvijas Reģionu apvienība.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 97% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 3% | |
| 2 | 0% | 3% | |
| 3 | 0% | 3% | |
| 4 | 0% | 3% | |
| 5 | 0% | 3% | |
| 6 | 0.3% | 3% | |
| 7 | 2% | 2% | |
| 8 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |