Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK”
Voting Intentions
Last result: 16.6% (General Election of 4 October 2014)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 10.3% | 7.0–12.5% | 6.5–12.9% | 6.1–13.3% | 5.5–14.2% |
| 24–30 September 2018 | FACTUM | 11.9% | 11.1–12.8% | 10.9–13.0% | 10.7–13.2% | 10.3–13.6% |
| 17–23 September 2018 | FACTUM | 12.1% | 11.3–13.0% | 11.1–13.3% | 10.9–13.5% | 10.5–14.0% |
| 8–18 September 2018 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
11.2% | 9.7–13.0% | 9.3–13.5% | 8.9–13.9% | 8.2–14.8% |
| 10–16 September 2018 | FACTUM | 12.7% | 11.5–14.1% | 11.2–14.4% | 10.9–14.8% | 10.4–15.4% |
| 10–14 September 2018 | Norstat | 8.8% | 7.0–11.3% | 6.4–12.0% | 6.0–12.6% | 5.2–13.9% |
| 8 August–12 September 2018 | Kantar TNS Delfi |
7.5% | 6.3–8.9% | 6.0–9.3% | 5.7–9.7% | 5.2–10.4% |
| 31 August–9 September 2018 | FACTUM | 13.7% | 12.5–15.0% | 12.2–15.4% | 11.9–15.7% | 11.4–16.3% |
| 30 August–5 September 2018 | FACTUM | 12.6% | 11.7–13.7% | 11.4–13.9% | 11.2–14.2% | 10.8–14.7% |
| 27 August–2 September 2018 | FACTUM | 11.6% | 10.7–12.6% | 10.5–12.9% | 10.3–13.2% | 9.9–13.7% |
| 25–31 August 2018 | FACTUM | 11.4% | 10.5–12.5% | 10.2–12.8% | 10.0–13.0% | 9.6–13.5% |
| 22–28 August 2018 | FACTUM | 11.7% | 10.9–13.2% | 10.6–13.5% | 10.3–13.8% | 9.8–14.4% |
| 20–26 August 2018 | FACTUM | 11.4% | 10.7–13.0% | 10.4–13.3% | 10.2–13.6% | 9.7–14.2% |
| 1–23 August 2018 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
9.4% | 8.0–11.1% | 7.6–11.6% | 7.3–12.0% | 6.7–12.9% |
| 13–19 August 2018 | FACTUM | 11.7% | 10.6–12.8% | 10.3–13.1% | 10.1–13.4% | 9.6–14.0% |
| 17–23 July 2018 | FACTUM | 14.3% | 13.6–16.0% | 13.3–16.3% | 13.0–16.6% | 12.5–17.2% |
| 1–30 June 2018 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
9.7% | 8.3–11.3% | 7.9–11.8% | 7.6–12.2% | 7.0–13.1% |
| 1–31 May 2018 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
11.9% | 10.3–13.8% | 9.9–14.3% | 9.5–14.8% | 8.8–15.7% |
| 1–31 May 2018 | Norstat TV3 Latvija |
12.7% | 11.2–14.5% | 10.8–15.0% | 10.5–15.4% | 9.8–16.2% |
| 1–30 April 2018 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
13.2% | 11.6–15.0% | 11.1–15.6% | 10.7–16.0% | 10.0–17.0% |
| 1–31 March 2018 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
11.0% | 9.5–12.9% | 9.1–13.4% | 8.7–13.9% | 8.0–14.8% |
| 1–28 February 2018 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
12.6% | 11.0–14.5% | 10.6–15.0% | 10.2–15.5% | 9.5–16.4% |
| 1–31 January 2018 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
10.1% | 8.6–11.9% | 8.2–12.4% | 7.9–12.8% | 7.2–13.7% |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK”.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3.5–4.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 5% | 99.4% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 12% | 95% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 14% | 83% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 11% | 69% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 11% | 58% | Median |
| 10.5–11.5% | 17% | 47% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 21% | 30% | |
| 12.5–13.5% | 7% | 9% | |
| 13.5–14.5% | 1.2% | 1.5% | |
| 14.5–15.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 15.5–16.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 16.5–17.5% | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Seats
Last result: 17 seats (General Election of 4 October 2014)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 12 | 7–14 | 7–15 | 6–15 | 6–17 |
| 24–30 September 2018 | FACTUM | 13 | 12–14 | 12–14 | 12–14 | 12–15 |
| 17–23 September 2018 | FACTUM | 13 | 12–14 | 12–14 | 12–14 | 12–15 |
| 8–18 September 2018 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
13 | 11–15 | 10–15 | 10–15 | 9–18 |
| 10–16 September 2018 | FACTUM | 14 | 12–17 | 12–17 | 12–17 | 12–17 |
| 10–14 September 2018 | Norstat | 11 | 7–13 | 7–15 | 6–15 | 6–17 |
| 8 August–12 September 2018 | Kantar TNS Delfi |
8 | 6–10 | 6–11 | 6–12 | 6–13 |
| 31 August–9 September 2018 | FACTUM | 18 | 16–18 | 16–18 | 15–18 | 14–18 |
| 30 August–5 September 2018 | FACTUM | 16 | 15–18 | 15–18 | 14–18 | 14–18 |
| 27 August–2 September 2018 | FACTUM | 15 | 15–16 | 14–18 | 14–18 | 13–18 |
| 25–31 August 2018 | FACTUM | 15 | 15–16 | 14–16 | 14–18 | 12–18 |
| 22–28 August 2018 | FACTUM | 15 | 14–16 | 13–18 | 12–18 | 12–18 |
| 20–26 August 2018 | FACTUM | 13 | 12–13 | 12–14 | 12–15 | 11–16 |
| 1–23 August 2018 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
11 | 10–14 | 8–14 | 8–15 | 7–16 |
| 13–19 August 2018 | FACTUM | 15 | 14–18 | 14–18 | 14–18 | 13–18 |
| 17–23 July 2018 | FACTUM | 16 | 14–18 | 14–18 | 13–18 | 13–19 |
| 1–30 June 2018 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
11 | 9–13 | 8–14 | 8–14 | 7–15 |
| 1–31 May 2018 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
14 | 12–17 | 11–17 | 11–18 | 10–20 |
| 1–31 May 2018 | Norstat TV3 Latvija |
15 | 13–17 | 13–18 | 13–18 | 11–20 |
| 1–30 April 2018 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
16 | 14–19 | 13–19 | 12–19 | 11–20 |
| 1–31 March 2018 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
14 | 11–15 | 11–16 | 10–17 | 9–18 |
| 1–28 February 2018 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
15 | 14–18 | 13–18 | 12–19 | 11–20 |
| 1–31 January 2018 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
12 | 10–14 | 10–15 | 9–17 | 7–17 |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK”.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 2 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 6 | 3% | 99.8% | |
| 7 | 11% | 96% | |
| 8 | 6% | 86% | |
| 9 | 8% | 80% | |
| 10 | 7% | 72% | |
| 11 | 6% | 65% | |
| 12 | 21% | 59% | Median |
| 13 | 20% | 37% | |
| 14 | 10% | 17% | |
| 15 | 6% | 7% | |
| 16 | 0.5% | 1.1% | |
| 17 | 0.2% | 0.5% | Last Result |
| 18 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% |