Opinion Poll by SKDS for Latvijas Televīzija, 1–30 April 2018
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sociāldemokrātiskā Partija “Saskaņa” | 23.0% | 36.8% | 34.4–39.3% | 33.7–40.0% | 33.1–40.6% | 32.0–41.8% |
| Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība | 19.5% | 20.3% | 18.3–22.5% | 17.8–23.1% | 17.3–23.6% | 16.4–24.7% |
| Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” | 16.6% | 13.2% | 11.6–15.0% | 11.1–15.6% | 10.7–16.0% | 10.0–17.0% |
| Vienotība | 21.9% | 7.8% | 6.6–9.3% | 6.2–9.7% | 5.9–10.1% | 5.4–10.9% |
| Jaunā konservatīvā partija | 0.7% | 5.9% | 4.8–7.2% | 4.5–7.6% | 4.3–8.0% | 3.8–8.7% |
| Latvijas Reģionu apvienība | 6.7% | 4.4% | 3.6–5.7% | 3.3–6.0% | 3.1–6.3% | 2.7–7.0% |
| KPV LV | 0.0% | 3.8% | 3.0–5.0% | 2.8–5.3% | 2.6–5.6% | 2.2–6.2% |
| Vienoti Latvijai | 1.2% | 3.3% | 2.6–4.4% | 2.4–4.8% | 2.2–5.0% | 1.9–5.6% |
| Kustība Par! | 0.0% | 2.7% | 2.0–3.7% | 1.8–4.0% | 1.7–4.3% | 1.4–4.8% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sociāldemokrātiskā Partija “Saskaņa” | 24 | 41 | 38–45 | 38–46 | 37–46 | 36–47 |
| Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība | 21 | 25 | 23–28 | 23–28 | 22–29 | 19–31 |
| Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” | 17 | 16 | 14–19 | 13–19 | 12–19 | 11–20 |
| Vienotība | 23 | 10 | 8–11 | 8–11 | 7–11 | 7–13 |
| Jaunā konservatīvā partija | 0 | 7 | 0–8 | 0–8 | 0–9 | 0–10 |
| Latvijas Reģionu apvienība | 8 | 0 | 0–6 | 0–6 | 0–7 | 0–9 |
| KPV LV | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–6 | 0–7 |
| Vienoti Latvijai | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–7 |
| Kustība Par! | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Sociāldemokrātiskā Partija “Saskaņa”
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sociāldemokrātiskā Partija “Saskaņa” page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 35 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 36 | 1.3% | 99.6% | |
| 37 | 2% | 98% | |
| 38 | 9% | 96% | |
| 39 | 6% | 87% | |
| 40 | 22% | 81% | |
| 41 | 23% | 59% | Median |
| 42 | 9% | 36% | |
| 43 | 11% | 27% | |
| 44 | 4% | 16% | |
| 45 | 5% | 12% | |
| 46 | 5% | 7% | |
| 47 | 2% | 2% | |
| 48 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 49 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0.8% | 99.3% | |
| 21 | 0.8% | 98.5% | Last Result |
| 22 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 23 | 7% | 96% | |
| 24 | 25% | 89% | |
| 25 | 27% | 64% | Median |
| 26 | 9% | 37% | |
| 27 | 15% | 28% | |
| 28 | 10% | 13% | |
| 29 | 2% | 3% | |
| 30 | 0.5% | 1.1% | |
| 31 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 32 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK”
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 1.3% | 100% | |
| 12 | 3% | 98.7% | |
| 13 | 3% | 96% | |
| 14 | 10% | 93% | |
| 15 | 22% | 83% | |
| 16 | 24% | 61% | Median |
| 17 | 12% | 37% | Last Result |
| 18 | 15% | 25% | |
| 19 | 9% | 10% | |
| 20 | 0.8% | 1.2% | |
| 21 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 22 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% |
Vienotība
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vienotība page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 2 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 6 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 7 | 3% | 99.9% | |
| 8 | 30% | 97% | |
| 9 | 16% | 67% | |
| 10 | 24% | 51% | Median |
| 11 | 24% | 27% | |
| 12 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 13 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 14 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Jaunā konservatīvā partija
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Jaunā konservatīvā partija page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 15% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 85% | |
| 2 | 0% | 85% | |
| 3 | 0% | 85% | |
| 4 | 0% | 85% | |
| 5 | 0% | 85% | |
| 6 | 0% | 85% | |
| 7 | 66% | 85% | Median |
| 8 | 16% | 20% | |
| 9 | 2% | 4% | |
| 10 | 1.2% | 1.3% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Latvijas Reģionu apvienība
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Latvijas Reģionu apvienība page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 77% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 23% | |
| 2 | 0% | 23% | |
| 3 | 0% | 23% | |
| 4 | 0% | 23% | |
| 5 | 0% | 23% | |
| 6 | 20% | 23% | |
| 7 | 2% | 3% | |
| 8 | 0.5% | 1.5% | Last Result |
| 9 | 1.0% | 1.0% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
KPV LV
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the KPV LV page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 97% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0% | 3% | |
| 2 | 0% | 3% | |
| 3 | 0% | 3% | |
| 4 | 0% | 3% | |
| 5 | 0% | 3% | |
| 6 | 3% | 3% | |
| 7 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 8 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 9 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
Vienoti Latvijai
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vienoti Latvijai page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 98% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0% | 2% | |
| 2 | 0% | 2% | |
| 3 | 0% | 2% | |
| 4 | 0% | 2% | |
| 5 | 0% | 2% | |
| 6 | 0% | 2% | |
| 7 | 2% | 2% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% |
Kustība Par!
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kustība Par! page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.9% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 7 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Vienotība – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Kustība Par! | 61 | 57 | 98% | 53–60 | 52–61 | 51–61 | 49–62 |
| Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Vienotība – Jaunā konservatīvā partija | 61 | 57 | 98% | 53–60 | 52–61 | 51–61 | 49–62 |
| Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Vienotība – Kustība Par! | 61 | 51 | 60% | 47–54 | 46–57 | 45–57 | 43–58 |
| Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Vienotība | 61 | 51 | 60% | 47–54 | 46–57 | 45–57 | 43–58 |
| Sociāldemokrātiskā Partija “Saskaņa” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Kustība Par! | 24 | 48 | 12% | 43–51 | 43–52 | 41–53 | 40–54 |
| Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Kustība Par! | 38 | 48 | 8% | 44–50 | 43–51 | 42–51 | 40–53 |
| Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija | 38 | 48 | 8% | 44–50 | 43–51 | 42–51 | 40–53 |
| Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Kustība Par! | 38 | 41 | 0.1% | 38–44 | 37–46 | 36–47 | 34–47 |
| Sociāldemokrātiskā Partija “Saskaņa” – Kustība Par! | 24 | 41 | 0% | 38–45 | 38–46 | 37–46 | 36–47 |
| Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Vienotība – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Kustība Par! | 40 | 32 | 0% | 28–36 | 26–36 | 25–36 | 23–37 |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Vienotība – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Kustība Par!
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 46 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 48 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 49 | 0.9% | 99.5% | |
| 50 | 0.6% | 98.6% | |
| 51 | 2% | 98% | Majority |
| 52 | 2% | 96% | |
| 53 | 5% | 94% | |
| 54 | 11% | 89% | |
| 55 | 6% | 77% | |
| 56 | 11% | 71% | |
| 57 | 11% | 60% | |
| 58 | 8% | 49% | Median |
| 59 | 21% | 41% | |
| 60 | 15% | 21% | |
| 61 | 4% | 5% | Last Result |
| 62 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Vienotība – Jaunā konservatīvā partija
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 46 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 48 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 49 | 0.9% | 99.5% | |
| 50 | 0.6% | 98.6% | |
| 51 | 2% | 98% | Majority |
| 52 | 2% | 96% | |
| 53 | 5% | 94% | |
| 54 | 11% | 89% | |
| 55 | 6% | 77% | |
| 56 | 11% | 71% | |
| 57 | 11% | 60% | |
| 58 | 8% | 49% | Median |
| 59 | 21% | 41% | |
| 60 | 15% | 20% | |
| 61 | 4% | 5% | Last Result |
| 62 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Vienotība – Kustība Par!
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 41 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 43 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 44 | 1.4% | 99.3% | |
| 45 | 1.5% | 98% | |
| 46 | 3% | 96% | |
| 47 | 9% | 94% | |
| 48 | 7% | 85% | |
| 49 | 11% | 77% | |
| 50 | 7% | 66% | |
| 51 | 13% | 60% | Median, Majority |
| 52 | 21% | 46% | |
| 53 | 13% | 26% | |
| 54 | 5% | 12% | |
| 55 | 0.8% | 7% | |
| 56 | 0.7% | 6% | |
| 57 | 5% | 6% | |
| 58 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Vienotība
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 41 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 43 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 44 | 1.4% | 99.3% | |
| 45 | 1.5% | 98% | |
| 46 | 3% | 96% | |
| 47 | 9% | 94% | |
| 48 | 7% | 85% | |
| 49 | 11% | 77% | |
| 50 | 7% | 66% | |
| 51 | 13% | 60% | Median, Majority |
| 52 | 21% | 46% | |
| 53 | 13% | 25% | |
| 54 | 5% | 12% | |
| 55 | 0.8% | 7% | |
| 56 | 0.7% | 6% | |
| 57 | 5% | 6% | |
| 58 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sociāldemokrātiskā Partija “Saskaņa” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Kustība Par!
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 40 | 0.8% | 99.6% | |
| 41 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 42 | 1.1% | 97% | |
| 43 | 7% | 96% | |
| 44 | 2% | 89% | |
| 45 | 9% | 87% | |
| 46 | 7% | 78% | |
| 47 | 18% | 71% | |
| 48 | 21% | 53% | Median |
| 49 | 13% | 32% | |
| 50 | 6% | 18% | |
| 51 | 4% | 12% | Majority |
| 52 | 4% | 8% | |
| 53 | 3% | 4% | |
| 54 | 0.8% | 1.0% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Kustība Par!
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | 0% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 38 | 0.1% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 39 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 40 | 0.6% | 99.6% | |
| 41 | 1.4% | 98.9% | |
| 42 | 2% | 98% | |
| 43 | 4% | 96% | |
| 44 | 4% | 92% | |
| 45 | 7% | 88% | |
| 46 | 10% | 82% | |
| 47 | 21% | 71% | |
| 48 | 9% | 50% | Median |
| 49 | 11% | 41% | |
| 50 | 22% | 30% | |
| 51 | 6% | 8% | Majority |
| 52 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 53 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 54 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | 0% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 38 | 0.1% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 39 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 40 | 0.6% | 99.5% | |
| 41 | 1.4% | 98.9% | |
| 42 | 2% | 98% | |
| 43 | 4% | 96% | |
| 44 | 4% | 92% | |
| 45 | 7% | 88% | |
| 46 | 10% | 81% | |
| 47 | 21% | 71% | |
| 48 | 9% | 50% | Median |
| 49 | 11% | 41% | |
| 50 | 22% | 30% | |
| 51 | 6% | 8% | Majority |
| 52 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 53 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 54 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Kustība Par!
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 34 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 35 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 36 | 3% | 99.0% | |
| 37 | 2% | 96% | |
| 38 | 6% | 95% | Last Result |
| 39 | 9% | 88% | |
| 40 | 19% | 80% | |
| 41 | 14% | 61% | Median |
| 42 | 10% | 47% | |
| 43 | 25% | 37% | |
| 44 | 4% | 13% | |
| 45 | 3% | 9% | |
| 46 | 2% | 6% | |
| 47 | 4% | 5% | |
| 48 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 49 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0.1% | Majority |
| 52 | 0% | 0% |
Sociāldemokrātiskā Partija “Saskaņa” – Kustība Par!
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 35 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 36 | 1.3% | 99.6% | |
| 37 | 2% | 98% | |
| 38 | 9% | 96% | |
| 39 | 6% | 87% | |
| 40 | 22% | 81% | |
| 41 | 23% | 59% | Median |
| 42 | 9% | 36% | |
| 43 | 11% | 27% | |
| 44 | 4% | 16% | |
| 45 | 5% | 12% | |
| 46 | 5% | 7% | |
| 47 | 2% | 2% | |
| 48 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 49 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Vienotība – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Kustība Par!
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 22 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 23 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 24 | 2% | 99.4% | |
| 25 | 2% | 98% | |
| 26 | 3% | 96% | |
| 27 | 2% | 93% | |
| 28 | 4% | 92% | |
| 29 | 10% | 87% | |
| 30 | 10% | 77% | |
| 31 | 8% | 67% | |
| 32 | 21% | 59% | |
| 33 | 10% | 38% | Median |
| 34 | 8% | 29% | |
| 35 | 10% | 21% | |
| 36 | 9% | 11% | |
| 37 | 2% | 2% | |
| 38 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 39 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: SKDS
- Commissioner(s): Latvijas Televīzija
- Fieldwork period: 1–30 April 2018
Calculations
- Sample size: 631
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.24%