Opinion Poll by Norstat for TV3 Latvija, 1–31 May 2018
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība | 19.5% | 23.9% | 21.9–26.0% | 21.4–26.7% | 20.9–27.2% | 20.0–28.2% |
| Sociāldemokrātiskā Partija “Saskaņa” | 23.0% | 22.8% | 20.9–24.9% | 20.3–25.5% | 19.9–26.0% | 19.0–27.1% |
| Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” | 16.6% | 12.7% | 11.2–14.5% | 10.8–15.0% | 10.5–15.4% | 9.8–16.2% |
| Vienotība | 21.9% | 8.7% | 7.5–10.2% | 7.1–10.6% | 6.8–11.0% | 6.3–11.7% |
| Jaunā konservatīvā partija | 0.7% | 8.5% | 7.3–10.0% | 7.0–10.4% | 6.7–10.8% | 6.2–11.6% |
| Kustība Par! | 0.0% | 5.0% | 4.1–6.2% | 3.9–6.6% | 3.7–6.9% | 3.3–7.5% |
| KPV LV | 0.0% | 4.9% | 4.0–6.1% | 3.7–6.4% | 3.5–6.7% | 3.2–7.4% |
| Latvijas Reģionu apvienība | 6.7% | 4.5% | 3.6–5.6% | 3.4–6.0% | 3.2–6.3% | 2.8–6.9% |
| No sirds Latvijai | 6.8% | 2.9% | 2.3–3.9% | 2.1–4.2% | 1.9–4.5% | 1.6–5.0% |
| Latvijas attīstībai | 0.9% | 2.5% | 1.9–3.4% | 1.7–3.7% | 1.6–3.9% | 1.3–4.5% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība | 21 | 29 | 24–33 | 23–33 | 23–33 | 23–35 |
| Sociāldemokrātiskā Partija “Saskaņa” | 24 | 28 | 24–32 | 24–32 | 23–33 | 22–33 |
| Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” | 17 | 15 | 13–17 | 13–18 | 13–18 | 11–20 |
| Vienotība | 23 | 10 | 9–12 | 8–12 | 7–13 | 7–14 |
| Jaunā konservatīvā partija | 0 | 10 | 8–12 | 8–13 | 8–13 | 8–15 |
| Kustība Par! | 0 | 7 | 0–7 | 0–7 | 0–8 | 0–9 |
| KPV LV | 0 | 0 | 0–8 | 0–8 | 0–8 | 0–9 |
| Latvijas Reģionu apvienība | 8 | 0 | 0–7 | 0–8 | 0–8 | 0–8 |
| No sirds Latvijai | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Latvijas attīstībai | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 0.1% | 100% | Last Result |
| 22 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 23 | 9% | 99.7% | |
| 24 | 5% | 90% | |
| 25 | 4% | 85% | |
| 26 | 3% | 81% | |
| 27 | 10% | 78% | |
| 28 | 11% | 68% | |
| 29 | 10% | 57% | Median |
| 30 | 32% | 47% | |
| 31 | 3% | 15% | |
| 32 | 2% | 12% | |
| 33 | 8% | 10% | |
| 34 | 2% | 2% | |
| 35 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 36 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% |
Sociāldemokrātiskā Partija “Saskaņa”
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sociāldemokrātiskā Partija “Saskaņa” page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 22 | 1.2% | 99.8% | |
| 23 | 2% | 98.5% | |
| 24 | 15% | 97% | Last Result |
| 25 | 4% | 82% | |
| 26 | 8% | 77% | |
| 27 | 16% | 69% | |
| 28 | 21% | 53% | Median |
| 29 | 12% | 32% | |
| 30 | 2% | 20% | |
| 31 | 4% | 18% | |
| 32 | 11% | 14% | |
| 33 | 3% | 3% | |
| 34 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK”
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 11 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 12 | 0.7% | 99.4% | |
| 13 | 23% | 98.7% | |
| 14 | 13% | 76% | |
| 15 | 30% | 64% | Median |
| 16 | 18% | 34% | |
| 17 | 9% | 15% | Last Result |
| 18 | 4% | 6% | |
| 19 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 20 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 21 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% |
Vienotība
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vienotība page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 4% | 100% | |
| 8 | 2% | 96% | |
| 9 | 42% | 94% | |
| 10 | 11% | 52% | Median |
| 11 | 13% | 41% | |
| 12 | 25% | 28% | |
| 13 | 2% | 3% | |
| 14 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 15 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 16 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Jaunā konservatīvā partija
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Jaunā konservatīvā partija page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 8 | 27% | 99.8% | |
| 9 | 9% | 73% | |
| 10 | 29% | 64% | Median |
| 11 | 19% | 35% | |
| 12 | 9% | 16% | |
| 13 | 5% | 7% | |
| 14 | 0.5% | 1.4% | |
| 15 | 0.9% | 0.9% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% |
Kustība Par!
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kustība Par! page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 49% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 51% | |
| 2 | 0% | 51% | |
| 3 | 0% | 51% | |
| 4 | 0% | 51% | |
| 5 | 0% | 51% | |
| 6 | 0% | 51% | |
| 7 | 47% | 51% | Median |
| 8 | 2% | 4% | |
| 9 | 2% | 2% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
KPV LV
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the KPV LV page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 56% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0% | 44% | |
| 2 | 0% | 44% | |
| 3 | 0% | 44% | |
| 4 | 0% | 44% | |
| 5 | 0% | 44% | |
| 6 | 4% | 44% | |
| 7 | 24% | 40% | |
| 8 | 15% | 16% | |
| 9 | 0.9% | 0.9% | |
| 10 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Latvijas Reģionu apvienība
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Latvijas Reģionu apvienība page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 72% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 28% | |
| 2 | 0% | 28% | |
| 3 | 0% | 28% | |
| 4 | 0% | 28% | |
| 5 | 0% | 28% | |
| 6 | 5% | 28% | |
| 7 | 17% | 23% | |
| 8 | 6% | 7% | Last Result |
| 9 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
No sirds Latvijai
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the No sirds Latvijai page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.7% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 7 | 0.3% | 0.3% | Last Result |
| 8 | 0% | 0% |
Latvijas attīstībai
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Latvijas attīstībai page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Vienotība – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Kustība Par! | 61 | 68 | 100% | 62–72 | 60–73 | 59–73 | 58–75 |
| Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Vienotība – Jaunā konservatīvā partija | 61 | 65 | 100% | 55–71 | 55–71 | 55–72 | 53–72 |
| Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Sociāldemokrātiskā Partija “Saskaņa” – KPV LV | 45 | 60 | 99.5% | 54–65 | 53–65 | 51–66 | 50–67 |
| Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Vienotība – Kustība Par! | 61 | 58 | 97% | 52–62 | 52–63 | 50–64 | 48–65 |
| Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Kustība Par! | 38 | 57 | 97% | 53–62 | 51–63 | 50–63 | 48–65 |
| Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Vienotība | 61 | 54 | 75% | 45–59 | 45–59 | 45–62 | 45–63 |
| Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija | 38 | 54 | 75% | 46–59 | 46–60 | 46–60 | 44–63 |
| Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Kustība Par! | 38 | 47 | 13% | 43–51 | 42–52 | 41–54 | 38–55 |
| Sociāldemokrātiskā Partija “Saskaņa” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Kustība Par! | 24 | 41 | 0.1% | 36–46 | 36–47 | 35–47 | 33–48 |
| Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Vienotība – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Kustība Par! | 40 | 39 | 0% | 35–43 | 34–44 | 32–46 | 31–47 |
| Sociāldemokrātiskā Partija “Saskaņa” – Kustība Par! | 24 | 31 | 0% | 27–35 | 26–37 | 25–38 | 24–38 |
| Sociāldemokrātiskā Partija “Saskaņa” – KPV LV | 24 | 31 | 0% | 27–35 | 26–36 | 25–36 | 24–38 |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Vienotība – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Kustība Par!
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 56 | 0% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 58 | 0.6% | 99.8% | |
| 59 | 2% | 99.2% | |
| 60 | 2% | 97% | |
| 61 | 0.8% | 95% | Last Result |
| 62 | 10% | 94% | |
| 63 | 2% | 84% | |
| 64 | 5% | 82% | |
| 65 | 10% | 76% | |
| 66 | 8% | 66% | |
| 67 | 8% | 58% | |
| 68 | 17% | 51% | |
| 69 | 5% | 33% | |
| 70 | 2% | 29% | |
| 71 | 11% | 27% | Median |
| 72 | 8% | 16% | |
| 73 | 6% | 8% | |
| 74 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 75 | 1.0% | 1.2% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 77 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Vienotība – Jaunā konservatīvā partija
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 52 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 53 | 1.5% | 99.9% | |
| 54 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 55 | 9% | 98% | |
| 56 | 0.9% | 89% | |
| 57 | 2% | 89% | |
| 58 | 3% | 87% | |
| 59 | 7% | 84% | |
| 60 | 5% | 76% | |
| 61 | 6% | 71% | Last Result |
| 62 | 5% | 65% | |
| 63 | 4% | 60% | |
| 64 | 6% | 56% | Median |
| 65 | 13% | 50% | |
| 66 | 8% | 38% | |
| 67 | 4% | 29% | |
| 68 | 13% | 25% | |
| 69 | 1.3% | 13% | |
| 70 | 0.9% | 12% | |
| 71 | 8% | 11% | |
| 72 | 2% | 3% | |
| 73 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Sociāldemokrātiskā Partija “Saskaņa” – KPV LV
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 45 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 46 | 0% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 50 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 51 | 2% | 99.5% | Majority |
| 52 | 2% | 97% | |
| 53 | 3% | 96% | |
| 54 | 10% | 93% | |
| 55 | 3% | 82% | |
| 56 | 7% | 79% | |
| 57 | 7% | 73% | Median |
| 58 | 7% | 66% | |
| 59 | 6% | 59% | |
| 60 | 6% | 53% | |
| 61 | 9% | 47% | |
| 62 | 20% | 38% | |
| 63 | 5% | 18% | |
| 64 | 3% | 13% | |
| 65 | 6% | 11% | |
| 66 | 3% | 4% | |
| 67 | 0.9% | 1.3% | |
| 68 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Vienotība – Kustība Par!
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 49 | 1.0% | 99.4% | |
| 50 | 2% | 98% | |
| 51 | 1.2% | 97% | Majority |
| 52 | 12% | 95% | |
| 53 | 2% | 84% | |
| 54 | 8% | 81% | |
| 55 | 5% | 73% | |
| 56 | 7% | 69% | |
| 57 | 8% | 61% | |
| 58 | 15% | 53% | |
| 59 | 11% | 38% | |
| 60 | 9% | 27% | |
| 61 | 6% | 18% | Last Result, Median |
| 62 | 3% | 12% | |
| 63 | 4% | 9% | |
| 64 | 4% | 4% | |
| 65 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 66 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Kustība Par!
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 48 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 49 | 0.5% | 99.4% | |
| 50 | 2% | 98.9% | |
| 51 | 3% | 97% | Majority |
| 52 | 2% | 94% | |
| 53 | 11% | 92% | |
| 54 | 6% | 81% | |
| 55 | 5% | 76% | |
| 56 | 19% | 70% | |
| 57 | 7% | 52% | |
| 58 | 11% | 44% | |
| 59 | 6% | 33% | |
| 60 | 12% | 27% | |
| 61 | 3% | 15% | Median |
| 62 | 3% | 12% | |
| 63 | 8% | 9% | |
| 64 | 0.5% | 1.3% | |
| 65 | 0.7% | 0.8% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Vienotība
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 43 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 45 | 10% | 99.8% | |
| 46 | 0.4% | 90% | |
| 47 | 2% | 89% | |
| 48 | 3% | 88% | |
| 49 | 5% | 85% | |
| 50 | 5% | 80% | |
| 51 | 5% | 75% | Majority |
| 52 | 6% | 70% | |
| 53 | 10% | 65% | |
| 54 | 12% | 55% | Median |
| 55 | 4% | 43% | |
| 56 | 6% | 39% | |
| 57 | 8% | 32% | |
| 58 | 12% | 24% | |
| 59 | 8% | 12% | |
| 60 | 0.4% | 4% | |
| 61 | 1.1% | 4% | Last Result |
| 62 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 63 | 1.2% | 1.3% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 44 | 1.2% | 99.8% | |
| 45 | 0.2% | 98.6% | |
| 46 | 8% | 98% | |
| 47 | 3% | 90% | |
| 48 | 2% | 87% | |
| 49 | 3% | 85% | |
| 50 | 7% | 82% | |
| 51 | 11% | 75% | Majority |
| 52 | 5% | 65% | |
| 53 | 7% | 60% | |
| 54 | 6% | 53% | Median |
| 55 | 5% | 47% | |
| 56 | 24% | 42% | |
| 57 | 3% | 18% | |
| 58 | 4% | 15% | |
| 59 | 2% | 11% | |
| 60 | 8% | 9% | |
| 61 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 62 | 0.5% | 1.1% | |
| 63 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Kustība Par!
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | 0% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 38 | 0.5% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 39 | 0.4% | 99.4% | |
| 40 | 0.5% | 99.0% | |
| 41 | 2% | 98% | |
| 42 | 3% | 96% | |
| 43 | 12% | 94% | |
| 44 | 3% | 82% | |
| 45 | 11% | 79% | |
| 46 | 17% | 68% | |
| 47 | 6% | 52% | |
| 48 | 13% | 45% | |
| 49 | 5% | 33% | |
| 50 | 15% | 28% | |
| 51 | 3% | 13% | Median, Majority |
| 52 | 5% | 10% | |
| 53 | 2% | 5% | |
| 54 | 2% | 3% | |
| 55 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 56 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 57 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% |
Sociāldemokrātiskā Partija “Saskaņa” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Kustība Par!
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 33 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 34 | 0.9% | 99.4% | |
| 35 | 2% | 98% | |
| 36 | 7% | 96% | |
| 37 | 3% | 89% | |
| 38 | 5% | 86% | |
| 39 | 11% | 82% | |
| 40 | 2% | 70% | |
| 41 | 21% | 68% | |
| 42 | 16% | 47% | |
| 43 | 8% | 30% | |
| 44 | 6% | 22% | |
| 45 | 5% | 16% | Median |
| 46 | 5% | 11% | |
| 47 | 4% | 6% | |
| 48 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 49 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0.1% | Majority |
| 52 | 0% | 0% |
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| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 31 | 2% | 99.6% | |
| 32 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 33 | 2% | 97% | |
| 34 | 4% | 95% | |
| 35 | 9% | 91% | |
| 36 | 4% | 82% | |
| 37 | 6% | 78% | |
| 38 | 22% | 72% | |
| 39 | 17% | 50% | |
| 40 | 7% | 33% | Last Result |
| 41 | 7% | 26% | |
| 42 | 7% | 19% | Median |
| 43 | 3% | 12% | |
| 44 | 6% | 9% | |
| 45 | 0.6% | 3% | |
| 46 | 2% | 3% | |
| 47 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 48 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% |
Sociāldemokrātiskā Partija “Saskaņa” – Kustība Par!
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 24 | 2% | 99.7% | Last Result |
| 25 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 26 | 3% | 97% | |
| 27 | 6% | 95% | |
| 28 | 12% | 89% | |
| 29 | 10% | 77% | |
| 30 | 3% | 67% | |
| 31 | 15% | 64% | |
| 32 | 15% | 49% | |
| 33 | 8% | 34% | |
| 34 | 10% | 26% | |
| 35 | 8% | 16% | Median |
| 36 | 2% | 7% | |
| 37 | 2% | 5% | |
| 38 | 3% | 3% | |
| 39 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% |
Sociāldemokrātiskā Partija “Saskaņa” – KPV LV
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 24 | 1.4% | 99.6% | Last Result |
| 25 | 2% | 98% | |
| 26 | 3% | 96% | |
| 27 | 9% | 93% | |
| 28 | 13% | 85% | Median |
| 29 | 11% | 72% | |
| 30 | 3% | 61% | |
| 31 | 14% | 58% | |
| 32 | 16% | 44% | |
| 33 | 7% | 28% | |
| 34 | 7% | 21% | |
| 35 | 9% | 14% | |
| 36 | 3% | 6% | |
| 37 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 38 | 1.0% | 1.4% | |
| 39 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 40 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 41 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Norstat
- Commissioner(s): TV3 Latvija
- Fieldwork period: 1–31 May 2018
Calculations
- Sample size: 715
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.28%