Opinion Poll by Spinter tyrimai for Delfi, 18–28 March 2025

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Lietuvos socialdemokratų partija (S&D) 0.0% 18.7% 16.9–20.7% 16.4–21.3% 16.0–21.8% 15.2–22.8%
Tėvynės sąjunga–Lietuvos krikščionys demokratai (EPP) 0.0% 18.4% 16.6–20.4% 16.1–21.0% 15.7–21.5% 14.9–22.5%
Demokratų sąjunga „Vardan Lietuvos“ (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 11.3% 9.9–13.0% 9.5–13.5% 9.2–13.9% 8.5–14.8%
Nemuno aušra (S&D) 0.0% 10.4% 9.1–12.1% 8.7–12.6% 8.4–13.0% 7.8–13.8%
Lietuvos valstiečių ir žaliųjų sąjunga (ECR) 0.0% 10.3% 8.9–11.9% 8.6–12.4% 8.2–12.8% 7.6–13.6%
Liberalų Sąjūdis (RE) 0.0% 9.9% 8.6–11.5% 8.2–11.9% 7.9–12.3% 7.3–13.1%
Laisvės partija (RE) 0.0% 5.2% 4.3–6.5% 4.0–6.8% 3.8–7.2% 3.4–7.8%
Nacionalinis Susivienijimas (*) 0.0% 3.2% 2.5–4.2% 2.3–4.5% 2.1–4.8% 1.8–5.3%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Lietuvos socialdemokratų partija (S&D) 0 2 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Tėvynės sąjunga–Lietuvos krikščionys demokratai (EPP) 0 2 2 2–3 2–3 2–3
Demokratų sąjunga „Vardan Lietuvos“ (Greens/EFA) 0 1 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Nemuno aušra (S&D) 0 1 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Lietuvos valstiečių ir žaliųjų sąjunga (ECR) 0 1 1 1–2 1–2 1–2
Liberalų Sąjūdis (RE) 0 1 1 1 1–2 1–2
Laisvės partija (RE) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Nacionalinis Susivienijimas (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0–1

Lietuvos socialdemokratų partija (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Lietuvos socialdemokratų partija (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 90% 100% Median
3 10% 10%  
4 0% 0%  

Tėvynės sąjunga–Lietuvos krikščionys demokratai (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Tėvynės sąjunga–Lietuvos krikščionys demokratai (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 92% 100% Median
3 8% 8%  
4 0% 0%  

Demokratų sąjunga „Vardan Lietuvos“ (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokratų sąjunga „Vardan Lietuvos“ (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 75% 100% Median
2 25% 25%  
3 0% 0%  

Nemuno aušra (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nemuno aušra (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 90% 100% Median
2 10% 10%  
3 0% 0%  

Lietuvos valstiečių ir žaliųjų sąjunga (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Lietuvos valstiečių ir žaliųjų sąjunga (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 90% 100% Median
2 10% 10%  
3 0% 0%  

Liberalų Sąjūdis (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalų Sąjūdis (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 96% 100% Median
2 4% 4%  
3 0% 0%  

Laisvės partija (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Laisvės partija (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 35% 100% Last Result
1 65% 65% Median
2 0% 0%  

Nacionalinis Susivienijimas (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nacionalinis Susivienijimas (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 98.6% 100% Last Result, Median
1 1.4% 1.4%  
2 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Tėvynės sąjunga–Lietuvos krikščionys demokratai (EPP) 0 2 0% 2 2–3 2–3 2–3

Tėvynės sąjunga–Lietuvos krikščionys demokratai (EPP)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 92% 100% Median
3 8% 8%  
4 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations