Nacionalinis Susivienijimas (*)
Voting Intentions
Last result: 0.0% (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 3.3% | 2.6–4.1% | 2.5–4.3% | 2.3–4.5% | 2.1–4.9% |
| 19–29 January 2026 | Spinter tyrimai Delfi |
3.2% | 2.6–4.1% | 2.5–4.3% | 2.3–4.5% | 2.1–5.0% |
| 8–24 January 2026 | Baltijos tyrimai ELTA |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12–30 December 2025 | Vilmorus Lietuvos Rytas |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 11–29 December 2025 | Baltijos tyrimai ELTA |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 13–22 December 2025 | Spinter tyrimai Delfi |
3.7% | 3.0–4.6% | 2.9–4.8% | 2.7–5.1% | 2.4–5.5% |
| 11–29 November 2025 | Baltijos tyrimai ELTA |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 17–28 November 2025 | Spinter tyrimai Delfi |
4.0% | 3.3–5.0% | 3.2–5.2% | 3.0–5.4% | 2.7–5.9% |
| 6–16 November 2025 | Vilmorus Lietuvos Rytas |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 16–28 October 2025 | Baltijos tyrimai ELTA |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 17–27 October 2025 | Spinter tyrimai Delfi |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 24 September–9 October 2025 | Baltijos tyrimai ELTA |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 17–27 September 2025 | Spinter tyrimai Delfi |
3.1% | 2.5–4.0% | 2.4–4.2% | 2.2–4.4% | 2.0–4.8% |
| 4–13 September 2025 | Vilmorus Lietuvos Rytas |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 21 August–2 September 2025 | Baltijos tyrimai ELTA |
1.0% | 0.7–1.5% | 0.6–1.7% | 0.5–1.8% | 0.4–2.1% |
| 18–25 July 2025 | Spinter tyrimai Delfi |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 19–29 June 2025 | Spinter tyrimai Delfi |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 11–22 June 2025 | Vilmorus Lietuvos Rytas |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 26 April–18 May 2025 | Spinter tyrimai | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2–12 May 2025 | Vilmorus Lietuvos Rytas |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 19–29 April 2025 | Spinter tyrimai Delfi |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 17–28 April 2025 | Vilmorus Lietuvos Rytas |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 5–19 April 2025 | Baltijos tyrimai ELTA |
1.4% | 1.0–2.0% | 0.9–2.1% | 0.8–2.3% | 0.7–2.6% |
| 18–28 March 2025 | Spinter tyrimai Delfi |
3.2% | 2.5–4.2% | 2.3–4.5% | 2.1–4.8% | 1.8–5.3% |
| 8–24 March 2025 | Baltijos tyrimai Elta |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 14–23 February 2025 | Vilmorus Lietuvos Rytas |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 25 January–8 February 2025 | Baltijos tyrimai Elta |
1.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 18–29 January 2025 | Spinter tyrimai Delfi |
3.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 13–20 December 2024 | Spinter tyrimai Delfi |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12 November–1 December 2024 | Baltijos tyrimai | 1.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 7–16 November 2024 | Vilmorus | 3.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 30 October–12 November 2024 | Baltijos tyrimai | 1.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 16–25 September 2024 | Spinter tyrimai Delfi |
3.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 13–21 September 2024 | Vilmorus | 1.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 6–20 September 2024 | Baltijos tyrimai | 1.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 7–9 August 2024 | Baltijos tyrimai Delfi |
0.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 19–29 July 2024 | Spinter tyrimai Delfi |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 11–21 July 2024 | Vilmorus | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 21 June–7 July 2024 | Baltijos tyrimai LRT |
1.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 18–28 June 2024 | Spinter tyrimai Delfi |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Nacionalinis Susivienijimas (*).
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 7% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 60% | 93% | Median |
| 3.5–4.5% | 31% | 33% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 2% | 2% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 19–29 January 2026 | Spinter tyrimai Delfi |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8–24 January 2026 | Baltijos tyrimai ELTA |
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| 12–30 December 2025 | Vilmorus Lietuvos Rytas |
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| 11–29 December 2025 | Baltijos tyrimai ELTA |
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| 13–22 December 2025 | Spinter tyrimai Delfi |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 |
| 11–29 November 2025 | Baltijos tyrimai ELTA |
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| 17–28 November 2025 | Spinter tyrimai Delfi |
0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 6–16 November 2025 | Vilmorus Lietuvos Rytas |
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| 16–28 October 2025 | Baltijos tyrimai ELTA |
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| 17–27 October 2025 | Spinter tyrimai Delfi |
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| 24 September–9 October 2025 | Baltijos tyrimai ELTA |
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| 17–27 September 2025 | Spinter tyrimai Delfi |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4–13 September 2025 | Vilmorus Lietuvos Rytas |
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| 21 August–2 September 2025 | Baltijos tyrimai ELTA |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18–25 July 2025 | Spinter tyrimai Delfi |
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| 19–29 June 2025 | Spinter tyrimai Delfi |
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| 11–22 June 2025 | Vilmorus Lietuvos Rytas |
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| 26 April–18 May 2025 | Spinter tyrimai | |||||
| 2–12 May 2025 | Vilmorus Lietuvos Rytas |
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| 19–29 April 2025 | Spinter tyrimai Delfi |
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| 17–28 April 2025 | Vilmorus Lietuvos Rytas |
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| 5–19 April 2025 | Baltijos tyrimai ELTA |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18–28 March 2025 | Spinter tyrimai Delfi |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 |
| 8–24 March 2025 | Baltijos tyrimai Elta |
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| 14–23 February 2025 | Vilmorus Lietuvos Rytas |
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| 25 January–8 February 2025 | Baltijos tyrimai Elta |
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| 18–29 January 2025 | Spinter tyrimai Delfi |
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| 13–20 December 2024 | Spinter tyrimai Delfi |
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| 12 November–1 December 2024 | Baltijos tyrimai | |||||
| 7–16 November 2024 | Vilmorus | |||||
| 30 October–12 November 2024 | Baltijos tyrimai | |||||
| 16–25 September 2024 | Spinter tyrimai Delfi |
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| 13–21 September 2024 | Vilmorus | |||||
| 6–20 September 2024 | Baltijos tyrimai | |||||
| 7–9 August 2024 | Baltijos tyrimai Delfi |
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| 19–29 July 2024 | Spinter tyrimai Delfi |
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| 11–21 July 2024 | Vilmorus | |||||
| 21 June–7 July 2024 | Baltijos tyrimai LRT |
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| 18–28 June 2024 | Spinter tyrimai Delfi |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Nacionalinis Susivienijimas (*).
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.6% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |