Opinion Poll by Spinter tyrimai for Delfi, 17–28 November 2025

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Tėvynės sąjunga–Lietuvos krikščionys demokratai (EPP) 0.0% 21.7% 20.1–23.4% 19.6–23.9% 19.3–24.3% 18.5–25.2%
Lietuvos socialdemokratų partija (S&D) 0.0% 14.3% 13.0–15.8% 12.6–16.2% 12.3–16.6% 11.7–17.3%
Demokratų sąjunga „Vardan Lietuvos“ (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 13.0% 11.7–14.4% 11.4–14.9% 11.1–15.2% 10.5–15.9%
Lietuvos valstiečių ir žaliųjų sąjunga (ECR) 0.0% 11.1% 10.0–12.5% 9.6–12.9% 9.3–13.2% 8.8–13.9%
Liberalų Sąjūdis (RE) 0.0% 9.0% 7.9–10.2% 7.6–10.6% 7.4–10.9% 6.9–11.5%
Nemuno aušra (S&D) 0.0% 8.6% 7.5–9.8% 7.2–10.2% 7.0–10.5% 6.5–11.1%
Laisvės partija (RE) 0.0% 6.3% 5.4–7.4% 5.2–7.7% 5.0–8.0% 4.6–8.5%
Nacionalinis Susivienijimas (*) 0.0% 4.0% 3.3–5.0% 3.2–5.2% 3.0–5.4% 2.7–5.9%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Tėvynės sąjunga–Lietuvos krikščionys demokratai (EPP) 0 2 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Lietuvos socialdemokratų partija (S&D) 0 2 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Demokratų sąjunga „Vardan Lietuvos“ (Greens/EFA) 0 1 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Lietuvos valstiečių ir žaliųjų sąjunga (ECR) 0 1 1 1 1–2 1–2
Liberalų Sąjūdis (RE) 0 1 1 1 1 1
Nemuno aušra (S&D) 0 1 1 1 1 1
Laisvės partija (RE) 0 1 1 1 0–1 0–1
Nacionalinis Susivienijimas (*) 0 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1

Tėvynės sąjunga–Lietuvos krikščionys demokratai (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Tėvynės sąjunga–Lietuvos krikščionys demokratai (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 60% 100% Median
3 40% 40%  
4 0% 0%  

Lietuvos socialdemokratų partija (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Lietuvos socialdemokratų partija (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 14% 100%  
2 86% 86% Median
3 0% 0%  

Demokratų sąjunga „Vardan Lietuvos“ (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokratų sąjunga „Vardan Lietuvos“ (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 52% 100% Median
2 48% 48%  
3 0% 0%  

Lietuvos valstiečių ir žaliųjų sąjunga (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Lietuvos valstiečių ir žaliųjų sąjunga (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 96% 100% Median
2 4% 4%  
3 0% 0%  

Liberalų Sąjūdis (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalų Sąjūdis (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 100% 100% Median

Nemuno aušra (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nemuno aušra (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 100% 100% Median

Laisvės partija (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Laisvės partija (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 3% 100% Last Result
1 97% 97% Median
2 0% 0%  

Nacionalinis Susivienijimas (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nacionalinis Susivienijimas (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 91% 100% Last Result, Median
1 9% 9%  
2 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Tėvynės sąjunga–Lietuvos krikščionys demokratai (EPP) 0 2 0% 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3

Tėvynės sąjunga–Lietuvos krikščionys demokratai (EPP)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 60% 100% Median
3 40% 40%  
4 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations