Opinion Poll by Spinter tyrimai for Delfi, 18–28 April 2026
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tėvynės sąjunga–Lietuvos krikščionys demokratai (EPP) | 0.0% | 24.7% | 22.6–27.0% | 22.1–27.6% | 21.6–28.2% | 20.6–29.3% |
| Lietuvos valstiečių ir žaliųjų sąjunga (ECR) | 0.0% | 13.4% | 11.8–15.2% | 11.3–15.7% | 11.0–16.2% | 10.2–17.1% |
| Liberalų Sąjūdis (RE) | 0.0% | 12.1% | 10.6–13.9% | 10.2–14.4% | 9.8–14.9% | 9.2–15.8% |
| Lietuvos socialdemokratų partija (S&D) | 0.0% | 12.0% | 10.5–13.8% | 10.1–14.3% | 9.7–14.7% | 9.0–15.6% |
| Nemuno aušra (PfE) | 0.0% | 10.3% | 8.9–12.0% | 8.5–12.5% | 8.2–12.9% | 7.6–13.7% |
| Laisvės partija (RE) | 0.0% | 5.7% | 4.7–7.0% | 4.4–7.4% | 4.1–7.7% | 3.7–8.4% |
| Demokratų sąjunga „Vardan Lietuvos“ (Greens/EFA) | 0.0% | 5.2% | 4.3–6.5% | 4.0–6.9% | 3.8–7.2% | 3.3–7.9% |
| Nacionalinis Susivienijimas (*) | 0.0% | 3.4% | 2.6–4.5% | 2.4–4.8% | 2.2–5.1% | 1.9–5.7% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tėvynės sąjunga–Lietuvos krikščionys demokratai (EPP) | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2–3 | 2–4 |
| Lietuvos valstiečių ir žaliųjų sąjunga (ECR) | 0 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| Liberalų Sąjūdis (RE) | 0 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| Lietuvos socialdemokratų partija (S&D) | 0 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| Nemuno aušra (PfE) | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| Laisvės partija (RE) | 0 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Demokratų sąjunga „Vardan Lietuvos“ (Greens/EFA) | 0 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Nacionalinis Susivienijimas (*) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 |
Tėvynės sąjunga–Lietuvos krikščionys demokratai (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Tėvynės sąjunga–Lietuvos krikščionys demokratai (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 5% | 100% | |
| 3 | 94% | 95% | Median |
| 4 | 0.9% | 0.9% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
Lietuvos valstiečių ir žaliųjų sąjunga (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Lietuvos valstiečių ir žaliųjų sąjunga (ECR) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 42% | 100% | |
| 2 | 58% | 58% | Median |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Liberalų Sąjūdis (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalų Sąjūdis (RE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 83% | 100% | Median |
| 2 | 17% | 17% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Lietuvos socialdemokratų partija (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Lietuvos socialdemokratų partija (S&D) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 76% | 100% | Median |
| 2 | 24% | 24% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Nemuno aušra (PfE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nemuno aušra (PfE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 97% | 100% | Median |
| 2 | 3% | 3% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Laisvės partija (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Laisvės partija (RE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 18% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 82% | 82% | Median |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Demokratų sąjunga „Vardan Lietuvos“ (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokratų sąjunga „Vardan Lietuvos“ (Greens/EFA) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 38% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 62% | 62% | Median |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Nacionalinis Susivienijimas (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nacionalinis Susivienijimas (*) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 98% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 2% | 2% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tėvynės sąjunga–Lietuvos krikščionys demokratai (EPP) | 0 | 3 | 0% | 3 | 3 | 2–3 | 2–4 |
| Nemuno aušra (PfE) | 0 | 1 | 0% | 1 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
Tėvynės sąjunga–Lietuvos krikščionys demokratai (EPP)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 5% | 100% | |
| 3 | 94% | 95% | Median |
| 4 | 0.9% | 0.9% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
Nemuno aušra (PfE)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 97% | 100% | Median |
| 2 | 3% | 3% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Spinter tyrimai
- Commissioner(s): Delfi
- Fieldwork period: 18–28 April 2026
Calculations
- Sample size: 651
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 0.87%