Opinion Poll by TNS Ilres for Luxemburger Wort and RTL, 14–28 November 2022

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Chrëschtlech-Sozial Vollekspartei (EPP) 37.6% 23.3% 22.0–24.6% 21.7–25.0% 21.4–25.3% 20.8–25.9%
Lëtzebuerger Sozialistesch Aarbechterpartei (S&D) 11.8% 20.7% 19.5–22.0% 19.2–22.3% 18.9–22.6% 18.4–23.2%
Demokratesch Partei (RE) 14.8% 18.4% 17.3–19.6% 16.9–19.9% 16.7–20.2% 16.1–20.8%
déi gréng (Greens/EFA) 15.0% 12.1% 11.2–13.2% 10.9–13.4% 10.7–13.7% 10.3–14.2%
Piratepartei Lëtzebuerg (Greens/EFA) 4.2% 9.6% 8.8–10.6% 8.6–10.8% 8.4–11.1% 8.0–11.5%
Alternativ Demokratesch Reformpartei (ECR) 7.5% 7.7% 7.0–8.6% 6.8–8.8% 6.6–9.0% 6.2–9.5%
déi Lénk (GUE/NGL) 5.8% 5.8% 5.2–6.6% 5.0–6.8% 4.8–7.0% 4.5–7.4%
Kommunistesch Partei Lëtzebuerg (*) 1.5% 0.5% 0.3–0.8% 0.3–0.9% 0.3–0.9% 0.2–1.1%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Chrëschtlech-Sozial Vollekspartei (EPP) 3 2 2 2 2 2
Lëtzebuerger Sozialistesch Aarbechterpartei (S&D) 1 2 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Demokratesch Partei (RE) 1 1 1 1 1–2 1–2
déi gréng (Greens/EFA) 1 1 1 1 1 1
Piratepartei Lëtzebuerg (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Alternativ Demokratesch Reformpartei (ECR) 0 0 0 0 0 0
déi Lénk (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Kommunistesch Partei Lëtzebuerg (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Chrëschtlech-Sozial Vollekspartei (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Chrëschtlech-Sozial Vollekspartei (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 0.3% 100%  
2 99.7% 99.7% Median
3 0% 0% Last Result

Lëtzebuerger Sozialistesch Aarbechterpartei (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Lëtzebuerger Sozialistesch Aarbechterpartei (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 27% 100% Last Result
2 73% 73% Median
3 0% 0%  

Demokratesch Partei (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokratesch Partei (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 96% 100% Last Result, Median
2 4% 4%  
3 0% 0%  

déi gréng (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the déi gréng (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.4% 100%  
1 99.6% 99.6% Last Result, Median
2 0% 0%  

Piratepartei Lëtzebuerg (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Piratepartei Lëtzebuerg (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 76% 100% Last Result, Median
1 24% 24%  
2 0% 0%  

Alternativ Demokratesch Reformpartei (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativ Demokratesch Reformpartei (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

déi Lénk (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the déi Lénk (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Kommunistesch Partei Lëtzebuerg (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kommunistesch Partei Lëtzebuerg (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Chrëschtlech-Sozial Vollekspartei (EPP) 3 2 0% 2 2 2 2
Demokratesch Partei (RE) 1 1 0% 1 1 1–2 1–2
Lëtzebuerger Sozialistesch Aarbechterpartei (S&D) 1 2 0% 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
déi gréng (Greens/EFA) – Piratepartei Lëtzebuerg (Greens/EFA) 1 1 0% 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Alternativ Demokratesch Reformpartei (ECR) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0
déi Lénk (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0

Chrëschtlech-Sozial Vollekspartei (EPP)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 0.3% 100%  
2 99.7% 99.7% Median
3 0% 0% Last Result

Demokratesch Partei (RE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 96% 100% Last Result, Median
2 4% 4%  
3 0% 0%  

Lëtzebuerger Sozialistesch Aarbechterpartei (S&D)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 27% 100% Last Result
2 73% 73% Median
3 0% 0%  

déi gréng (Greens/EFA) – Piratepartei Lëtzebuerg (Greens/EFA)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 76% 100% Last Result, Median
2 24% 24%  
3 0% 0%  

Alternativ Demokratesch Reformpartei (ECR)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

déi Lénk (GUE/NGL)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations