Alternativ Demokratesch Reformpartei (ECR)
Voting Intentions
Last result: 0.0% (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 11.6% | 10.7–12.6% | 10.4–12.9% | 10.2–13.2% | 9.8–13.7% |
| 15–29 September 2025 | Ilres Luxemburger Wort and RTL |
11.6% | 10.7–12.6% | 10.4–12.9% | 10.2–13.2% | 9.8–13.7% |
| 8–24 April 2025 | Ilres Luxemburger Wort and RTL |
9.3% | 8.5–10.2% | 8.2–10.5% | 8.0–10.7% | 7.7–11.2% |
| 23–30 September 2024 | Ilres Luxemburger Wort and RTL |
10.7% | 9.8–11.7% | 9.6–11.9% | 9.4–12.2% | 9.0–12.7% |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Alternativ Demokratesch Reformpartei (ECR).
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 6% | 99.8% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 39% | 93% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 43% | 55% | Median |
| 12.5–13.5% | 11% | 12% | |
| 13.5–14.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | |
| 14.5–15.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0–1 |
| 15–29 September 2025 | Ilres Luxemburger Wort and RTL |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0–1 |
| 8–24 April 2025 | Ilres Luxemburger Wort and RTL |
0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 23–30 September 2024 | Ilres Luxemburger Wort and RTL |
1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Alternativ Demokratesch Reformpartei (ECR).
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 98% | 98% | Median |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |