Lëtzebuerger Sozialistesch Aarbechterpartei (S&D)
Voting Intentions
Last result: 11.8% (General Election of 26 May 2019)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 19.8% | 18.7–21.0% | 18.4–21.4% | 18.1–21.7% | 17.6–22.3% |
| 7–16 August 2023 | Ilres Luxemburger Wort and RTL |
19.8% | 18.7–21.0% | 18.4–21.4% | 18.1–21.7% | 17.5–22.3% |
| 23 March–6 April 2023 | TNS Ilres Luxemburger Wort and RTL |
17.9% | 16.8–19.1% | 16.5–19.4% | 16.2–19.7% | 15.7–20.3% |
| 14–28 November 2022 | TNS Ilres Luxemburger Wort and RTL |
20.7% | 19.5–22.0% | 19.2–22.3% | 18.9–22.6% | 18.4–23.2% |
| 24 May–7 June 2022 | TNS Ilres Luxemburger Wort and RTL |
18.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–24 November 2021 | TNS Ilres Luxemburger Wort and RTL |
20.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 9–21 June 2021 | TNS Ilres Luxemburger Wort and RTL |
17.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–24 November 2020 | TNS Ilres Luxemburger Wort and RTL |
19.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 8–24 June 2020 | TNS Ilres Luxemburger Wort and RTL |
16.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 14–23 November 2019 | TNS Ilres Luxemburger Wort and RTL |
15.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Lëtzebuerger Sozialistesch Aarbechterpartei (S&D).
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11.5–12.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 12.5–13.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 13.5–14.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 14.5–15.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 15.5–16.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 16.5–17.5% | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 17.5–18.5% | 7% | 99.5% | |
| 18.5–19.5% | 30% | 92% | |
| 19.5–20.5% | 40% | 62% | Median |
| 20.5–21.5% | 19% | 22% | |
| 21.5–22.5% | 3% | 3% | |
| 22.5–23.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 23.5–24.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 1 seats (General Election of 26 May 2019)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 7–16 August 2023 | Ilres Luxemburger Wort and RTL |
1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 23 March–6 April 2023 | TNS Ilres Luxemburger Wort and RTL |
1 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 14–28 November 2022 | TNS Ilres Luxemburger Wort and RTL |
2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 24 May–7 June 2022 | TNS Ilres Luxemburger Wort and RTL |
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| 10–24 November 2021 | TNS Ilres Luxemburger Wort and RTL |
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| 9–21 June 2021 | TNS Ilres Luxemburger Wort and RTL |
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| 10–24 November 2020 | TNS Ilres Luxemburger Wort and RTL |
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| 8–24 June 2020 | TNS Ilres Luxemburger Wort and RTL |
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| 14–23 November 2019 | TNS Ilres Luxemburger Wort and RTL |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Lëtzebuerger Sozialistesch Aarbechterpartei (S&D).
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 53% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 2 | 47% | 47% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |