Poll Average

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Summary

The table below lists the polls on which the average is based. They are the most recent polls (less than 90 days old) registered and analyzed so far.

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) DL DG PPLU VOLT LSAP DP CSV ADR DK DEM FOKUS KPL LF PID
9 June 2024 General Election 0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
N/A Poll Average 3–5%
0
9–12%
0–1
2–4%
0
0–1%
0
18–22%
1–2
17–21%
1–2
27–31%
2–3
9–12%
0–1
0%
0
N/A
N/A
1–2%
0
0–1%
0
1–3%
0
N/A
N/A
23–30 September 2024 Ilres
Luxemburger Wort and RTL
3–5%
0
9–12%
0–1
2–4%
0
0–1%
0
18–22%
1–2
17–21%
1–2
27–31%
2–3
9–12%
0–1
0–1%
0
N/A
N/A
1–2%
0
0–1%
0
1–3%
0
N/A
N/A
9 June 2024 General Election 0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0

Only polls for which at least the sample size has been published are included in the table above.

Legend:

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
déi Lénk (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 3.7% 3.2–4.3% 3.0–4.5% 2.9–4.6% 2.7–5.0%
déi gréng (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 10.1% 9.3–11.0% 9.0–11.3% 8.8–11.5% 8.4–12.0%
Piratepartei Lëtzebuerg (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 3.2% 2.7–3.8% 2.6–4.0% 2.5–4.1% 2.3–4.4%
Volt Lëtzebuerg (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 0.4% 0.2–0.6% 0.2–0.6% 0.1–0.7% 0.1–0.8%
Lëtzebuerger Sozialistesch Aarbechterpartei (S&D) 0.0% 20.0% 18.8–21.2% 18.5–21.5% 18.2–21.8% 17.7–22.4%
Demokratesch Partei (RE) 0.0% 18.9% 17.7–20.1% 17.4–20.4% 17.2–20.7% 16.6–21.3%
Chrëschtlech-Sozial Vollekspartei (EPP) 0.0% 28.9% 27.5–30.2% 27.2–30.6% 26.8–30.9% 26.2–31.6%
Alternativ Demokratesch Reformpartei (ECR) 0.0% 10.7% 9.8–11.7% 9.6–11.9% 9.4–12.2% 9.0–12.6%
Déi Konservativ (*) 0.0% 0.3% 0.1–0.4% 0.1–0.5% 0.1–0.5% 0.1–0.7%
Demokratie (*) 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Fokus (*) 0.0% 1.7% 1.4–2.2% 1.3–2.3% 1.2–2.4% 1.1–2.6%
Kommunistesch Partei Lëtzebuerg (*) 0.0% 0.5% 0.3–0.8% 0.3–0.8% 0.3–0.9% 0.2–1.1%
Liberté – Fräiheet! (*) 0.0% 2.0% 1.6–2.4% 1.5–2.5% 1.4–2.6% 1.2–2.9%
Partei fir Integral Demokratie (*) 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A

Volt Lëtzebuerg (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volt Lëtzebuerg (Greens/EFA) page.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0.0–0.5% 89% 100% Last Result, Median
0.5–1.5% 11% 11%  
1.5–2.5% 0% 0%  

Lëtzebuerger Sozialistesch Aarbechterpartei (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Lëtzebuerger Sozialistesch Aarbechterpartei (S&D) page.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0.0–0.5% 0% 100% Last Result
0.5–1.5% 0% 100%  
1.5–2.5% 0% 100%  
2.5–3.5% 0% 100%  
3.5–4.5% 0% 100%  
4.5–5.5% 0% 100%  
5.5–6.5% 0% 100%  
6.5–7.5% 0% 100%  
7.5–8.5% 0% 100%  
8.5–9.5% 0% 100%  
9.5–10.5% 0% 100%  
10.5–11.5% 0% 100%  
11.5–12.5% 0% 100%  
12.5–13.5% 0% 100%  
13.5–14.5% 0% 100%  
14.5–15.5% 0% 100%  
15.5–16.5% 0% 100%  
16.5–17.5% 0.3% 100%  
17.5–18.5% 5% 99.7%  
18.5–19.5% 26% 95%  
19.5–20.5% 41% 69% Median
20.5–21.5% 23% 28%  
21.5–22.5% 5% 5%  
22.5–23.5% 0.3% 0.4%  
23.5–24.5% 0% 0%  

Chrëschtlech-Sozial Vollekspartei (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Chrëschtlech-Sozial Vollekspartei (EPP) page.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0.0–0.5% 0% 100% Last Result
0.5–1.5% 0% 100%  
1.5–2.5% 0% 100%  
2.5–3.5% 0% 100%  
3.5–4.5% 0% 100%  
4.5–5.5% 0% 100%  
5.5–6.5% 0% 100%  
6.5–7.5% 0% 100%  
7.5–8.5% 0% 100%  
8.5–9.5% 0% 100%  
9.5–10.5% 0% 100%  
10.5–11.5% 0% 100%  
11.5–12.5% 0% 100%  
12.5–13.5% 0% 100%  
13.5–14.5% 0% 100%  
14.5–15.5% 0% 100%  
15.5–16.5% 0% 100%  
16.5–17.5% 0% 100%  
17.5–18.5% 0% 100%  
18.5–19.5% 0% 100%  
19.5–20.5% 0% 100%  
20.5–21.5% 0% 100%  
21.5–22.5% 0% 100%  
22.5–23.5% 0% 100%  
23.5–24.5% 0% 100%  
24.5–25.5% 0.1% 100%  
25.5–26.5% 1.2% 99.9%  
26.5–27.5% 9% 98.8%  
27.5–28.5% 28% 90%  
28.5–29.5% 36% 62% Median
29.5–30.5% 20% 26%  
30.5–31.5% 5% 6%  
31.5–32.5% 0.5% 0.6%  
32.5–33.5% 0% 0%  

Alternativ Demokratesch Reformpartei (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativ Demokratesch Reformpartei (ECR) page.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0.0–0.5% 0% 100% Last Result
0.5–1.5% 0% 100%  
1.5–2.5% 0% 100%  
2.5–3.5% 0% 100%  
3.5–4.5% 0% 100%  
4.5–5.5% 0% 100%  
5.5–6.5% 0% 100%  
6.5–7.5% 0% 100%  
7.5–8.5% 0.1% 100%  
8.5–9.5% 5% 99.9%  
9.5–10.5% 36% 95%  
10.5–11.5% 47% 59% Median
11.5–12.5% 12% 12%  
12.5–13.5% 0.7% 0.7%  
13.5–14.5% 0% 0%  

Kommunistesch Partei Lëtzebuerg (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kommunistesch Partei Lëtzebuerg (*) page.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0.0–0.5% 58% 100% Last Result
0.5–1.5% 42% 42% Median
1.5–2.5% 0% 0%  

Piratepartei Lëtzebuerg (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Piratepartei Lëtzebuerg (Greens/EFA) page.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0.0–0.5% 0% 100% Last Result
0.5–1.5% 0% 100%  
1.5–2.5% 3% 100%  
2.5–3.5% 74% 97% Median
3.5–4.5% 23% 23%  
4.5–5.5% 0.2% 0.2%  
5.5–6.5% 0% 0%  

déi Lénk (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the déi Lénk (GUE/NGL) page.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0.0–0.5% 0% 100% Last Result
0.5–1.5% 0% 100%  
1.5–2.5% 0.1% 100%  
2.5–3.5% 35% 99.9%  
3.5–4.5% 62% 65% Median
4.5–5.5% 4% 4%  
5.5–6.5% 0% 0%  

Fokus (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fokus (*) page.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0.0–0.5% 0% 100% Last Result
0.5–1.5% 26% 100%  
1.5–2.5% 73% 74% Median
2.5–3.5% 1.0% 1.0%  
3.5–4.5% 0% 0%  

Liberté – Fräiheet! (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberté – Fräiheet! (*) page.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0.0–0.5% 0% 100% Last Result
0.5–1.5% 9% 100%  
1.5–2.5% 87% 91% Median
2.5–3.5% 5% 5%  
3.5–4.5% 0% 0%  

Déi Konservativ (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Déi Konservativ (*) page.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0.0–0.5% 98% 100% Last Result, Median
0.5–1.5% 2% 2%  
1.5–2.5% 0% 0%  

déi gréng (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the déi gréng (Greens/EFA) page.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0.0–0.5% 0% 100% Last Result
0.5–1.5% 0% 100%  
1.5–2.5% 0% 100%  
2.5–3.5% 0% 100%  
3.5–4.5% 0% 100%  
4.5–5.5% 0% 100%  
5.5–6.5% 0% 100%  
6.5–7.5% 0% 100%  
7.5–8.5% 0.9% 100%  
8.5–9.5% 19% 99.1%  
9.5–10.5% 52% 80% Median
10.5–11.5% 25% 27%  
11.5–12.5% 2% 2%  
12.5–13.5% 0.1% 0.1%  
13.5–14.5% 0% 0%  

Demokratesch Partei (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokratesch Partei (RE) page.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0.0–0.5% 0% 100% Last Result
0.5–1.5% 0% 100%  
1.5–2.5% 0% 100%  
2.5–3.5% 0% 100%  
3.5–4.5% 0% 100%  
4.5–5.5% 0% 100%  
5.5–6.5% 0% 100%  
6.5–7.5% 0% 100%  
7.5–8.5% 0% 100%  
8.5–9.5% 0% 100%  
9.5–10.5% 0% 100%  
10.5–11.5% 0% 100%  
11.5–12.5% 0% 100%  
12.5–13.5% 0% 100%  
13.5–14.5% 0% 100%  
14.5–15.5% 0% 100%  
15.5–16.5% 0.4% 100%  
16.5–17.5% 6% 99.6%  
17.5–18.5% 29% 93%  
18.5–19.5% 41% 64% Median
19.5–20.5% 19% 23%  
20.5–21.5% 3% 4%  
21.5–22.5% 0.2% 0.2%  
22.5–23.5% 0% 0%  

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
déi Lénk (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0 0 0 0
déi gréng (Greens/EFA) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Piratepartei Lëtzebuerg (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Volt Lëtzebuerg (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Lëtzebuerger Sozialistesch Aarbechterpartei (S&D) 0 1 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Demokratesch Partei (RE) 0 1 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Chrëschtlech-Sozial Vollekspartei (EPP) 0 2 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Alternativ Demokratesch Reformpartei (ECR) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Déi Konservativ (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Demokratie (*) 0 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Fokus (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Kommunistesch Partei Lëtzebuerg (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Liberté – Fräiheet! (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Partei fir Integral Demokratie (*) 0 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A

déi Lénk (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the déi Lénk (GUE/NGL) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

déi gréng (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the déi gréng (Greens/EFA) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 46% 100% Last Result
1 54% 54% Median
2 0% 0%  

Piratepartei Lëtzebuerg (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Piratepartei Lëtzebuerg (Greens/EFA) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Volt Lëtzebuerg (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volt Lëtzebuerg (Greens/EFA) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Lëtzebuerger Sozialistesch Aarbechterpartei (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Lëtzebuerger Sozialistesch Aarbechterpartei (S&D) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 82% 100% Median
2 18% 18%  
3 0% 0%  

Demokratesch Partei (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokratesch Partei (RE) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 78% 100% Median
2 22% 22%  
3 0% 0%  

Chrëschtlech-Sozial Vollekspartei (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Chrëschtlech-Sozial Vollekspartei (EPP) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 69% 100% Median
3 31% 31%  
4 0% 0% Majority

Alternativ Demokratesch Reformpartei (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativ Demokratesch Reformpartei (ECR) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 25% 100% Last Result
1 75% 75% Median
2 0% 0%  

Déi Konservativ (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Déi Konservativ (*) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Demokratie (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokratie (*) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Fokus (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fokus (*) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Kommunistesch Partei Lëtzebuerg (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kommunistesch Partei Lëtzebuerg (*) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Liberté – Fräiheet! (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberté – Fräiheet! (*) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Partei fir Integral Demokratie (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partei fir Integral Demokratie (*) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Chrëschtlech-Sozial Vollekspartei (EPP) 0 2 0% 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Demokratesch Partei (RE) 0 1 0% 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Lëtzebuerger Sozialistesch Aarbechterpartei (S&D) 0 1 0% 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Alternativ Demokratesch Reformpartei (ECR) 0 1 0% 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Piratepartei Lëtzebuerg (Greens/EFA) – Volt Lëtzebuerg (Greens/EFA) – déi gréng (Greens/EFA) 0 1 0% 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Demokratie () – Déi Konservativ () – Fokus () – Kommunistesch Partei Lëtzebuerg () – Liberté – Fräiheet! () – Partei fir Integral Demokratie () 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0
déi Lénk (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0

Chrëschtlech-Sozial Vollekspartei (EPP)

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 69% 100% Median
3 31% 31%  
4 0% 0% Majority

Demokratesch Partei (RE)

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 78% 100% Median
2 22% 22%  
3 0% 0%  

Lëtzebuerger Sozialistesch Aarbechterpartei (S&D)

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 82% 100% Median
2 18% 18%  
3 0% 0%  

Alternativ Demokratesch Reformpartei (ECR)

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 25% 100% Last Result
1 75% 75% Median
2 0% 0%  

Piratepartei Lëtzebuerg (Greens/EFA) – Volt Lëtzebuerg (Greens/EFA) – déi gréng (Greens/EFA)

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 46% 100% Last Result
1 54% 54% Median
2 0% 0%  

Demokratie () – Déi Konservativ () – Fokus () – Kommunistesch Partei Lëtzebuerg () – Liberté – Fräiheet! () – Partei fir Integral Demokratie ()

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

déi Lénk (GUE/NGL)

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Technical Information