Opinion Poll by TNS Ilres for Luxemburger Wort and RTL, 23 March–6 April 2023

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Chrëschtlech-Sozial Vollekspartei (EPP) 37.6% 27.1% 25.8–28.5% 25.5–28.8% 25.1–29.2% 24.5–29.8%
Lëtzebuerger Sozialistesch Aarbechterpartei (S&D) 11.8% 17.9% 16.8–19.1% 16.5–19.4% 16.2–19.7% 15.7–20.3%
Demokratesch Partei (RE) 14.8% 17.1% 16.0–18.2% 15.7–18.6% 15.4–18.9% 15.0–19.4%
déi gréng (Greens/EFA) 15.0% 12.8% 11.8–13.8% 11.6–14.1% 11.4–14.4% 10.9–14.9%
Piratepartei Lëtzebuerg (Greens/EFA) 4.2% 10.0% 9.2–11.0% 8.9–11.2% 8.7–11.5% 8.4–11.9%
Alternativ Demokratesch Reformpartei (ECR) 7.5% 7.5% 6.8–8.3% 6.5–8.6% 6.4–8.8% 6.0–9.2%
déi Lénk (GUE/NGL) 5.8% 4.3% 3.7–5.0% 3.6–5.2% 3.5–5.3% 3.2–5.7%
Kommunistesch Partei Lëtzebuerg (*) 1.5% 0.5% 0.3–0.8% 0.3–0.8% 0.2–0.9% 0.2–1.1%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Chrëschtlech-Sozial Vollekspartei (EPP) 3 2 2 2–3 2–3 2–3
Lëtzebuerger Sozialistesch Aarbechterpartei (S&D) 1 1 1 1–2 1–2 1–2
Demokratesch Partei (RE) 1 1 1 1 1 1–2
déi gréng (Greens/EFA) 1 1 1 1 1 1
Piratepartei Lëtzebuerg (Greens/EFA) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Alternativ Demokratesch Reformpartei (ECR) 0 0 0 0 0 0
déi Lénk (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Kommunistesch Partei Lëtzebuerg (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Chrëschtlech-Sozial Vollekspartei (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Chrëschtlech-Sozial Vollekspartei (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
2 93% 100% Median
3 7% 7% Last Result
4 0% 0% Majority

Lëtzebuerger Sozialistesch Aarbechterpartei (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Lëtzebuerger Sozialistesch Aarbechterpartei (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 95% 100% Last Result, Median
2 5% 5%  
3 0% 0%  

Demokratesch Partei (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokratesch Partei (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 98.5% 100% Last Result, Median
2 1.5% 1.5%  
3 0% 0%  

déi gréng (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the déi gréng (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Piratepartei Lëtzebuerg (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Piratepartei Lëtzebuerg (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 14% 100% Last Result
1 86% 86% Median
2 0% 0%  

Alternativ Demokratesch Reformpartei (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativ Demokratesch Reformpartei (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.1% 0.1%  
2 0% 0%  

déi Lénk (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the déi Lénk (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Kommunistesch Partei Lëtzebuerg (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kommunistesch Partei Lëtzebuerg (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Chrëschtlech-Sozial Vollekspartei (EPP) 3 2 0% 2 2–3 2–3 2–3
Lëtzebuerger Sozialistesch Aarbechterpartei (S&D) 1 1 0% 1 1–2 1–2 1–2
déi gréng (Greens/EFA) – Piratepartei Lëtzebuerg (Greens/EFA) 1 2 0% 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Demokratesch Partei (RE) 1 1 0% 1 1 1 1–2
Alternativ Demokratesch Reformpartei (ECR) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0
déi Lénk (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0

Chrëschtlech-Sozial Vollekspartei (EPP)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
2 93% 100% Median
3 7% 7% Last Result
4 0% 0% Majority

Lëtzebuerger Sozialistesch Aarbechterpartei (S&D)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 95% 100% Last Result, Median
2 5% 5%  
3 0% 0%  

déi gréng (Greens/EFA) – Piratepartei Lëtzebuerg (Greens/EFA)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 14% 100% Last Result
2 86% 86% Median
3 0% 0%  

Demokratesch Partei (RE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 98.5% 100% Last Result, Median
2 1.5% 1.5%  
3 0% 0%  

Alternativ Demokratesch Reformpartei (ECR)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.1% 0.1%  
2 0% 0%  

déi Lénk (GUE/NGL)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations