Opinion Poll by Ilres for Luxemburger Wort and RTL, 7–16 August 2023

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Chrëschtlech-Sozial Vollekspartei (EPP) 37.6% 28.3% 27.0–29.7% 26.6–30.0% 26.3–30.4% 25.7–31.0%
Lëtzebuerger Sozialistesch Aarbechterpartei (S&D) 11.8% 19.8% 18.7–21.0% 18.4–21.4% 18.1–21.7% 17.5–22.3%
Demokratesch Partei (RE) 14.8% 17.4% 16.3–18.5% 16.0–18.9% 15.7–19.2% 15.2–19.7%
déi gréng (Greens/EFA) 15.0% 10.7% 9.8–11.7% 9.6–11.9% 9.4–12.2% 9.0–12.7%
Piratepartei Lëtzebuerg (Greens/EFA) 4.2% 9.6% 8.8–10.5% 8.5–10.8% 8.3–11.0% 8.0–11.5%
Alternativ Demokratesch Reformpartei (ECR) 7.5% 6.9% 6.2–7.7% 6.0–7.9% 5.8–8.1% 5.5–8.5%
déi Lénk (GUE/NGL) 5.8% 5.0% 4.4–5.7% 4.2–5.9% 4.1–6.1% 3.8–6.4%
Fokus (*) 0.0% 1.1% 0.9–1.5% 0.8–1.6% 0.7–1.7% 0.6–1.9%
Kommunistesch Partei Lëtzebuerg (*) 1.5% 0.4% 0.3–0.7% 0.2–0.8% 0.2–0.8% 0.2–1.0%
Déi Konservativ (*) 0.0% 0.1% 0.0–0.3% 0.0–0.3% 0.0–0.4% 0.0–0.5%
Demokratie (*) 0.0% 0.0% 0.0–0.1% 0.0–0.2% 0.0–0.2% 0.0–0.3%
Volt Lëtzebuerg (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 0.0% 0.0–0.1% 0.0–0.2% 0.0–0.2% 0.0–0.3%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Chrëschtlech-Sozial Vollekspartei (EPP) 3 2 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Lëtzebuerger Sozialistesch Aarbechterpartei (S&D) 1 1 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Demokratesch Partei (RE) 1 1 1 1 1–2 1–2
déi gréng (Greens/EFA) 1 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Piratepartei Lëtzebuerg (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Alternativ Demokratesch Reformpartei (ECR) 0 0 0 0 0 0
déi Lénk (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Fokus (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Kommunistesch Partei Lëtzebuerg (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Déi Konservativ (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Demokratie (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Volt Lëtzebuerg (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Chrëschtlech-Sozial Vollekspartei (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Chrëschtlech-Sozial Vollekspartei (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
2 75% 100% Median
3 25% 25% Last Result
4 0% 0% Majority

Lëtzebuerger Sozialistesch Aarbechterpartei (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Lëtzebuerger Sozialistesch Aarbechterpartei (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 53% 100% Last Result, Median
2 47% 47%  
3 0% 0%  

Demokratesch Partei (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokratesch Partei (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 97% 100% Last Result, Median
2 3% 3%  
3 0% 0%  

déi gréng (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the déi gréng (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 11% 100%  
1 89% 89% Last Result, Median
2 0% 0%  

Piratepartei Lëtzebuerg (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Piratepartei Lëtzebuerg (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 64% 100% Last Result, Median
1 36% 36%  
2 0% 0%  

Alternativ Demokratesch Reformpartei (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativ Demokratesch Reformpartei (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

déi Lénk (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the déi Lénk (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Fokus (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fokus (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Kommunistesch Partei Lëtzebuerg (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kommunistesch Partei Lëtzebuerg (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Déi Konservativ (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Déi Konservativ (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Demokratie (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokratie (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Volt Lëtzebuerg (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volt Lëtzebuerg (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Chrëschtlech-Sozial Vollekspartei (EPP) 3 2 0% 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Demokratesch Partei (RE) 1 1 0% 1 1 1–2 1–2
Lëtzebuerger Sozialistesch Aarbechterpartei (S&D) 1 1 0% 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
déi gréng (Greens/EFA) – Piratepartei Lëtzebuerg (Greens/EFA) – Volt Lëtzebuerg (Greens/EFA) 1 1 0% 1–2 1–2 0–2 0–2
Alternativ Demokratesch Reformpartei (ECR) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0
déi Lénk (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0

Chrëschtlech-Sozial Vollekspartei (EPP)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
2 75% 100% Median
3 25% 25% Last Result
4 0% 0% Majority

Demokratesch Partei (RE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 97% 100% Last Result, Median
2 3% 3%  
3 0% 0%  

Lëtzebuerger Sozialistesch Aarbechterpartei (S&D)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 53% 100% Last Result, Median
2 47% 47%  
3 0% 0%  

déi gréng (Greens/EFA) – Piratepartei Lëtzebuerg (Greens/EFA) – Volt Lëtzebuerg (Greens/EFA)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 4% 100%  
1 67% 96% Last Result, Median
2 29% 29%  
3 0% 0%  

Alternativ Demokratesch Reformpartei (ECR)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

déi Lénk (GUE/NGL)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations