Opinion Poll by Ilres for Luxemburger Wort and RTL, 23–30 September 2024

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Chrëschtlech-Sozial Vollekspartei (EPP) 0.0% 28.8% 27.5–30.2% 27.2–30.6% 26.8–30.9% 26.2–31.6%
Lëtzebuerger Sozialistesch Aarbechterpartei (S&D) 0.0% 20.0% 18.8–21.2% 18.5–21.6% 18.2–21.9% 17.7–22.5%
Demokratesch Partei (RE) 0.0% 18.9% 17.7–20.1% 17.4–20.4% 17.1–20.7% 16.6–21.3%
Alternativ Demokratesch Reformpartei (ECR) 0.0% 10.7% 9.8–11.7% 9.6–11.9% 9.4–12.2% 9.0–12.7%
déi gréng (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 10.1% 9.3–11.1% 9.0–11.3% 8.8–11.6% 8.4–12.0%
déi Lénk (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 3.7% 3.2–4.3% 3.0–4.5% 2.9–4.6% 2.7–5.0%
Piratepartei Lëtzebuerg (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 3.2% 2.7–3.8% 2.6–4.0% 2.5–4.1% 2.3–4.4%
Liberté – Fräiheet! (*) 0.0% 1.9% 1.6–2.4% 1.5–2.5% 1.4–2.7% 1.2–2.9%
Fokus (*) 0.0% 1.7% 1.4–2.2% 1.3–2.3% 1.2–2.4% 1.1–2.7%
Kommunistesch Partei Lëtzebuerg (*) 0.0% 0.5% 0.3–0.8% 0.3–0.8% 0.2–0.9% 0.2–1.1%
Volt Lëtzebuerg (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 0.3% 0.2–0.6% 0.2–0.6% 0.1–0.7% 0.1–0.8%
Déi Konservativ (*) 0.0% 0.2% 0.1–0.4% 0.1–0.5% 0.1–0.5% 0.0–0.7%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Chrëschtlech-Sozial Vollekspartei (EPP) 0 2 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Lëtzebuerger Sozialistesch Aarbechterpartei (S&D) 0 1 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Demokratesch Partei (RE) 0 1 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Alternativ Demokratesch Reformpartei (ECR) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
déi gréng (Greens/EFA) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
déi Lénk (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Piratepartei Lëtzebuerg (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Liberté – Fräiheet! (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Fokus (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Kommunistesch Partei Lëtzebuerg (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Volt Lëtzebuerg (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Déi Konservativ (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Chrëschtlech-Sozial Vollekspartei (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Chrëschtlech-Sozial Vollekspartei (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 69% 100% Median
3 31% 31%  
4 0% 0% Majority

Lëtzebuerger Sozialistesch Aarbechterpartei (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Lëtzebuerger Sozialistesch Aarbechterpartei (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 82% 100% Median
2 18% 18%  
3 0% 0%  

Demokratesch Partei (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokratesch Partei (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 78% 100% Median
2 22% 22%  
3 0% 0%  

Alternativ Demokratesch Reformpartei (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativ Demokratesch Reformpartei (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 25% 100% Last Result
1 75% 75% Median
2 0% 0%  

déi gréng (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the déi gréng (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 46% 100% Last Result
1 54% 54% Median
2 0% 0%  

déi Lénk (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the déi Lénk (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Piratepartei Lëtzebuerg (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Piratepartei Lëtzebuerg (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Liberté – Fräiheet! (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberté – Fräiheet! (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Fokus (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fokus (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Kommunistesch Partei Lëtzebuerg (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kommunistesch Partei Lëtzebuerg (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Volt Lëtzebuerg (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volt Lëtzebuerg (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Déi Konservativ (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Déi Konservativ (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Chrëschtlech-Sozial Vollekspartei (EPP) 0 2 0% 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Demokratesch Partei (RE) 0 1 0% 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Lëtzebuerger Sozialistesch Aarbechterpartei (S&D) 0 1 0% 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Alternativ Demokratesch Reformpartei (ECR) 0 1 0% 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
déi gréng (Greens/EFA) – Piratepartei Lëtzebuerg (Greens/EFA) – Volt Lëtzebuerg (Greens/EFA) 0 1 0% 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
déi Lénk (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0

Chrëschtlech-Sozial Vollekspartei (EPP)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 69% 100% Median
3 31% 31%  
4 0% 0% Majority

Demokratesch Partei (RE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 78% 100% Median
2 22% 22%  
3 0% 0%  

Lëtzebuerger Sozialistesch Aarbechterpartei (S&D)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 82% 100% Median
2 18% 18%  
3 0% 0%  

Alternativ Demokratesch Reformpartei (ECR)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 25% 100% Last Result
1 75% 75% Median
2 0% 0%  

déi gréng (Greens/EFA) – Piratepartei Lëtzebuerg (Greens/EFA) – Volt Lëtzebuerg (Greens/EFA)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 46% 100% Last Result
1 54% 54% Median
2 0% 0%  

déi Lénk (GUE/NGL)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations