Opinion Poll by Ilres for Luxemburger Wort and RTL, 8–24 April 2025
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions

Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Chrëschtlech-Sozial Vollekspartei (EPP) |
0.0% |
29.1% |
27.8–30.5% |
27.4–30.9% |
27.1–31.2% |
26.4–31.9% |
Demokratesch Partei (RE) |
0.0% |
21.0% |
19.8–22.3% |
19.5–22.6% |
19.2–22.9% |
18.7–23.5% |
Lëtzebuerger Sozialistesch Aarbechterpartei (S&D) |
0.0% |
17.9% |
16.8–19.1% |
16.5–19.4% |
16.2–19.7% |
15.7–20.3% |
déi gréng (Greens/EFA) |
0.0% |
10.5% |
9.6–11.4% |
9.4–11.7% |
9.2–12.0% |
8.7–12.5% |
Alternativ Demokratesch Reformpartei (ECR) |
0.0% |
9.3% |
8.5–10.2% |
8.2–10.5% |
8.0–10.7% |
7.7–11.2% |
déi Lénk (GUE/NGL) |
0.0% |
4.8% |
4.2–5.5% |
4.0–5.7% |
3.9–5.9% |
3.6–6.2% |
Piratepartei Lëtzebuerg (Greens/EFA) |
0.0% |
3.5% |
3.0–4.1% |
2.8–4.3% |
2.7–4.4% |
2.5–4.7% |
Fokus (*) |
0.0% |
1.9% |
1.5–2.4% |
1.4–2.5% |
1.4–2.6% |
1.2–2.9% |
Liberté – Fräiheet! (*) |
0.0% |
1.2% |
0.9–1.6% |
0.9–1.7% |
0.8–1.8% |
0.7–2.0% |
Kommunistesch Partei Lëtzebuerg (*) |
0.0% |
0.3% |
0.2–0.6% |
0.2–0.7% |
0.2–0.7% |
0.1–0.9% |
Déi Konservativ (*) |
0.0% |
0.3% |
0.2–0.6% |
0.2–0.7% |
0.2–0.7% |
0.1–0.9% |
Volt Lëtzebuerg (Greens/EFA) |
0.0% |
0.2% |
0.1–0.4% |
0.1–0.5% |
0.1–0.6% |
0.0–0.7% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats


Confidence Intervals
Chrëschtlech-Sozial Vollekspartei (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Chrëschtlech-Sozial Vollekspartei (EPP) page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
100% |
|
2 |
77% |
100% |
Median |
3 |
23% |
23% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
Demokratesch Partei (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokratesch Partei (RE) page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
47% |
100% |
|
2 |
53% |
53% |
Median |
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Lëtzebuerger Sozialistesch Aarbechterpartei (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Lëtzebuerger Sozialistesch Aarbechterpartei (S&D) page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
99.8% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
déi gréng (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the déi gréng (Greens/EFA) page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
18% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
82% |
82% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativ Demokratesch Reformpartei (ECR) page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
57% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
43% |
43% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
déi Lénk (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the déi Lénk (GUE/NGL) page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Piratepartei Lëtzebuerg (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Piratepartei Lëtzebuerg (Greens/EFA) page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Fokus (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fokus (*) page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Liberté – Fräiheet! (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberté – Fräiheet! (*) page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Kommunistesch Partei Lëtzebuerg (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kommunistesch Partei Lëtzebuerg (*) page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Déi Konservativ (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Déi Konservativ (*) page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Volt Lëtzebuerg (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volt Lëtzebuerg (Greens/EFA) page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Chrëschtlech-Sozial Vollekspartei (EPP) |
0 |
2 |
0% |
2–3 |
2–3 |
2–3 |
2–3 |
Demokratesch Partei (RE) |
0 |
2 |
0% |
1–2 |
1–2 |
1–2 |
1–2 |
Lëtzebuerger Sozialistesch Aarbechterpartei (S&D) |
0 |
1 |
0% |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
Alternativ Demokratesch Reformpartei (ECR) |
0 |
0 |
0% |
0–1 |
0–1 |
0–1 |
0–1 |
déi gréng (Greens/EFA) – Piratepartei Lëtzebuerg (Greens/EFA) – Volt Lëtzebuerg (Greens/EFA) |
0 |
1 |
0% |
0–1 |
0–1 |
0–1 |
0–1 |
déi Lénk (GUE/NGL) |
0 |
0 |
0% |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
Chrëschtlech-Sozial Vollekspartei (EPP)

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
100% |
|
2 |
77% |
100% |
Median |
3 |
23% |
23% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
Demokratesch Partei (RE)

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
47% |
100% |
|
2 |
53% |
53% |
Median |
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Lëtzebuerger Sozialistesch Aarbechterpartei (S&D)

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
99.8% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
57% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
43% |
43% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
déi gréng (Greens/EFA) – Piratepartei Lëtzebuerg (Greens/EFA) – Volt Lëtzebuerg (Greens/EFA)

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
18% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
82% |
82% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
déi Lénk (GUE/NGL)

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Ilres
- Commissioner(s): Luxemburger Wort and RTL
- Fieldwork period: 8–24 April 2025
Calculations
- Sample size: 1842
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 1.71%