Opinion Poll by ILRES for Luxemburger Wort and RTL, 13–24 April 2026
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chrëschtlech-Sozial Vollekspartei (EPP) | 0.0% | 21.8% | 20.6–23.0% | 20.3–23.4% | 20.0–23.7% | 19.4–24.3% |
| Demokratesch Partei (RE) | 0.0% | 21.5% | 20.3–22.7% | 19.9–23.1% | 19.6–23.4% | 19.1–24.0% |
| Lëtzebuerger Sozialistesch Aarbechterpartei (S&D) | 0.0% | 20.9% | 19.7–22.1% | 19.4–22.5% | 19.1–22.8% | 18.5–23.4% |
| Alternativ Demokratesch Reformpartei (ECR) | 0.0% | 11.4% | 10.5–12.4% | 10.2–12.7% | 10.0–12.9% | 9.6–13.4% |
| déi gréng (Greens/EFA) | 0.0% | 9.5% | 8.7–10.4% | 8.4–10.7% | 8.2–10.9% | 7.9–11.4% |
| déi Lénk (GUE/NGL) | 0.0% | 5.8% | 5.2–6.6% | 5.0–6.8% | 4.8–7.0% | 4.5–7.3% |
| Piratepartei Lëtzebuerg (Greens/EFA) | 0.0% | 3.8% | 3.3–4.5% | 3.1–4.6% | 3.0–4.8% | 2.8–5.1% |
| Fokus (*) | 0.0% | 2.2% | 1.8–2.7% | 1.7–2.9% | 1.6–3.0% | 1.5–3.2% |
| Liberté – Fräiheet! (*) | 0.0% | 2.1% | 1.7–2.6% | 1.6–2.7% | 1.5–2.9% | 1.4–3.1% |
| Volt Lëtzebuerg (Greens/EFA) | 0.0% | 0.6% | 0.4–0.9% | 0.4–1.0% | 0.3–1.1% | 0.3–1.2% |
| Déi Konservativ (*) | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.2–0.6% | 0.2–0.6% | 0.1–0.7% | 0.1–0.8% |
| Kommunistesch Partei Lëtzebuerg (*) | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1–0.4% | 0.1–0.5% | 0.1–0.5% | 0.0–0.7% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chrëschtlech-Sozial Vollekspartei (EPP) | 0 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| Demokratesch Partei (RE) | 0 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| Lëtzebuerger Sozialistesch Aarbechterpartei (S&D) | 0 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| Alternativ Demokratesch Reformpartei (ECR) | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0–1 |
| déi gréng (Greens/EFA) | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| déi Lénk (GUE/NGL) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Piratepartei Lëtzebuerg (Greens/EFA) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Fokus (*) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Liberté – Fräiheet! (*) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Volt Lëtzebuerg (Greens/EFA) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Déi Konservativ (*) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kommunistesch Partei Lëtzebuerg (*) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Chrëschtlech-Sozial Vollekspartei (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Chrëschtlech-Sozial Vollekspartei (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 14% | 100% | |
| 2 | 86% | 86% | Median |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Demokratesch Partei (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokratesch Partei (RE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 33% | 100% | |
| 2 | 67% | 67% | Median |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Lëtzebuerger Sozialistesch Aarbechterpartei (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Lëtzebuerger Sozialistesch Aarbechterpartei (S&D) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 65% | 100% | Median |
| 2 | 35% | 35% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Alternativ Demokratesch Reformpartei (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativ Demokratesch Reformpartei (ECR) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 98% | 98% | Median |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
déi gréng (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the déi gréng (Greens/EFA) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 87% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 13% | 13% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
déi Lénk (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the déi Lénk (GUE/NGL) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Piratepartei Lëtzebuerg (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Piratepartei Lëtzebuerg (Greens/EFA) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Fokus (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fokus (*) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Liberté – Fräiheet! (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberté – Fräiheet! (*) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Volt Lëtzebuerg (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volt Lëtzebuerg (Greens/EFA) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Déi Konservativ (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Déi Konservativ (*) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Kommunistesch Partei Lëtzebuerg (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kommunistesch Partei Lëtzebuerg (*) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chrëschtlech-Sozial Vollekspartei (EPP) | 0 | 2 | 0% | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| Demokratesch Partei (RE) | 0 | 2 | 0% | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| Lëtzebuerger Sozialistesch Aarbechterpartei (S&D) | 0 | 1 | 0% | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| Alternativ Demokratesch Reformpartei (ECR) | 0 | 1 | 0% | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0–1 |
| déi gréng (Greens/EFA) – Piratepartei Lëtzebuerg (Greens/EFA) – Volt Lëtzebuerg (Greens/EFA) | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| déi Lénk (GUE/NGL) | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Chrëschtlech-Sozial Vollekspartei (EPP)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 14% | 100% | |
| 2 | 86% | 86% | Median |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Demokratesch Partei (RE)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 33% | 100% | |
| 2 | 67% | 67% | Median |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Lëtzebuerger Sozialistesch Aarbechterpartei (S&D)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 65% | 100% | Median |
| 2 | 35% | 35% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Alternativ Demokratesch Reformpartei (ECR)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 98% | 98% | Median |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
déi gréng (Greens/EFA) – Piratepartei Lëtzebuerg (Greens/EFA) – Volt Lëtzebuerg (Greens/EFA)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 87% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 13% | 13% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
déi Lénk (GUE/NGL)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: ILRES
- Commissioner(s): Luxemburger Wort and RTL
- Fieldwork period: 13–24 April 2026
Calculations
- Sample size: 1864
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 2.51%