Alternativ Demokratesch Reformpartei

Voting Intentions | Seats

Voting Intentions

Last result: 6.6% (General Election of 20 October 2013)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 8.0% 7.4–8.6% 7.3–8.8% 7.2–9.0% 6.9–9.3%
1 December 2017–31 May 2018 TNS
Luxemburger Wort and RTL		 8.0% 7.4–8.6% 7.3–8.8% 7.1–9.0% 6.9–9.3%
1 December 2017 TNS
Luxemburger Wort and RTL		 7.9% 7.1–8.8% 6.9–9.0% 6.8–9.3% 6.4–9.7%
9–19 October 2017 Ifop
Tageblatt		 8.0% 6.9–9.3% 6.6–9.7% 6.3–10.0% 5.8–10.7%

Probability Mass Function

The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Alternativ Demokratesch Reformpartei.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5.5–6.5% 0% 100%  
6.5–7.5% 14% 100% Last Result
7.5–8.5% 73% 86% Median
8.5–9.5% 13% 13%  
9.5–10.5% 0.1% 0.1%  
10.5–11.5% 0% 0%  

Seats

Last result: 3 seats (General Election of 20 October 2013)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 3 3–4 3–4 3–5 3–5
1 December 2017–31 May 2018 TNS
Luxemburger Wort and RTL		 3 3–4 3–4 3–5 3–5
1 December 2017 TNS
Luxemburger Wort and RTL		 3 3–5 3–5 3–5 2–6
9–19 October 2017 Ifop
Tageblatt		 4 3–5 2–5 2–6 2–7

Probability Mass Function

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Alternativ Demokratesch Reformpartei.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
2 0.2% 100%  
3 67% 99.8% Last Result, Median
4 29% 33%  
5 4% 4%  
6 0% 0%