Chrëschtlech-Sozial Vollekspartei
Voting Intentions
Last result: 33.7% (General Election of 20 October 2013)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 43.0% | 41.9–44.1% | 41.6–44.4% | 41.4–44.6% | 40.9–45.2% |
| 1 December 2017–31 May 2018 | TNS Luxemburger Wort and RTL |
43.0% | 41.9–44.1% | 41.6–44.4% | 41.4–44.6% | 40.9–45.2% |
| 1 December 2017 | TNS Luxemburger Wort and RTL |
36.7% | 35.3–38.2% | 34.8–38.6% | 34.5–38.9% | 33.8–39.7% |
| 9–19 October 2017 | Ifop Tageblatt |
39.1% | 36.9–41.3% | 36.3–41.9% | 35.8–42.4% | 34.8–43.5% |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Chrëschtlech-Sozial Vollekspartei.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 33.5–34.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 34.5–35.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 35.5–36.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 36.5–37.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 37.5–38.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 38.5–39.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 39.5–40.5% | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 40.5–41.5% | 4% | 99.8% | |
| 41.5–42.5% | 26% | 96% | |
| 42.5–43.5% | 45% | 70% | Median |
| 43.5–44.5% | 23% | 26% | |
| 44.5–45.5% | 3% | 3% | |
| 45.5–46.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 46.5–47.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 23 seats (General Election of 20 October 2013)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 29 | 29–30 | 28–30 | 28–30 | 27–31 |
| 1 December 2017–31 May 2018 | TNS Luxemburger Wort and RTL |
29 | 29–30 | 28–30 | 28–30 | 27–31 |
| 1 December 2017 | TNS Luxemburger Wort and RTL |
28 | 25–29 | 24–29 | 24–30 | 24–30 |
| 9–19 October 2017 | Ifop Tageblatt |
28 | 25–29 | 25–30 | 25–30 | 24–31 |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Chrëschtlech-Sozial Vollekspartei.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0.7% | 99.9% | |
| 28 | 7% | 99.3% | |
| 29 | 73% | 92% | Median |
| 30 | 19% | 20% | |
| 31 | 0.9% | 0.9% | Majority |
| 32 | 0% | 0% |