Déi Lénk
Voting Intentions
Last result: 4.9% (General Election of 20 October 2013)
Confidence Intervals
Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
N/A | Poll Average | 5.0% | 4.6–5.5% | 4.4–5.6% | 4.3–5.8% | 4.1–6.0% |
1 December 2017–31 May 2018 | TNS Luxemburger Wort and RTL |
5.0% | 4.6–5.5% | 4.4–5.7% | 4.3–5.8% | 4.1–6.0% |
1 December 2017 | TNS Luxemburger Wort and RTL |
7.7% | 6.9–8.6% | 6.7–8.8% | 6.5–9.0% | 6.2–9.4% |
9–19 October 2017 | Ifop Tageblatt |
6.0% | 5.1–7.3% | 4.8–7.6% | 4.6–7.9% | 4.2–8.5% |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Déi Lénk.
Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
---|---|---|---|
2.5–3.5% | 0% | 100% | |
3.5–4.5% | 10% | 100% | |
4.5–5.5% | 82% | 90% | Last Result, Median |
5.5–6.5% | 8% | 8% | |
6.5–7.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 2 seats (General Election of 20 October 2013)
Confidence Intervals
Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
N/A | Poll Average | 2 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
1 December 2017–31 May 2018 | TNS Luxemburger Wort and RTL |
2 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
1 December 2017 | TNS Luxemburger Wort and RTL |
3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 |
9–19 October 2017 | Ifop Tageblatt |
2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–4 |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Déi Lénk.
Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
---|---|---|---|
1 | 7% | 100% | |
2 | 93% | 93% | Last Result, Median |
3 | 0% | 0% |