Lëtzebuerger Sozialistesch Aarbechterpartei
Voting Intentions
Last result: 20.3% (General Election of 20 October 2013)
Confidence Intervals
Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
N/A | Poll Average | 15.0% | 14.2–15.8% | 14.0–16.0% | 13.9–16.2% | 13.5–16.6% |
1 December 2017–31 May 2018 | TNS Luxemburger Wort and RTL |
15.0% | 14.2–15.8% | 14.0–16.0% | 13.9–16.2% | 13.5–16.6% |
1 December 2017 | TNS Luxemburger Wort and RTL |
20.6% | 19.4–21.9% | 19.1–22.2% | 18.8–22.5% | 18.2–23.1% |
9–19 October 2017 | Ifop Tageblatt |
15.0% | 13.5–16.7% | 13.1–17.2% | 12.7–17.6% | 12.0–18.4% |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Lëtzebuerger Sozialistesch Aarbechterpartei.
Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
---|---|---|---|
11.5–12.5% | 0% | 100% | |
12.5–13.5% | 0.6% | 100% | |
13.5–14.5% | 22% | 99.4% | |
14.5–15.5% | 59% | 78% | Median |
15.5–16.5% | 18% | 19% | |
16.5–17.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
17.5–18.5% | 0% | 0% | |
18.5–19.5% | 0% | 0% | |
19.5–20.5% | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Seats
Last result: 13 seats (General Election of 20 October 2013)
Confidence Intervals
Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
N/A | Poll Average | 8 | 7–9 | 7–9 | 7–9 | 7–9 |
1 December 2017–31 May 2018 | TNS Luxemburger Wort and RTL |
8 | 7–9 | 7–9 | 7–9 | 7–9 |
1 December 2017 | TNS Luxemburger Wort and RTL |
12 | 12–14 | 12–14 | 12–14 | 11–14 |
9–19 October 2017 | Ifop Tageblatt |
9 | 7–10 | 7–10 | 7–11 | 7–12 |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Lëtzebuerger Sozialistesch Aarbechterpartei.
Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
---|---|---|---|
7 | 30% | 100% | |
8 | 54% | 70% | Median |
9 | 16% | 16% | |
10 | 0% | 0% | |
11 | 0% | 0% | |
12 | 0% | 0% | |
13 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |