Opinion Poll by IPSOS for Denník N, 17–21 July 2023
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMER–sociálna demokracia | 18.3% | 19.4% | 17.9–21.1% | 17.4–21.6% | 17.1–22.0% | 16.4–22.8% |
| Progresívne Slovensko | 7.0% | 15.9% | 14.5–17.5% | 14.1–17.9% | 13.8–18.3% | 13.1–19.1% |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia | 0.0% | 14.9% | 13.6–16.5% | 13.2–16.9% | 12.8–17.3% | 12.2–18.0% |
| REPUBLIKA | 0.0% | 8.6% | 7.5–9.8% | 7.2–10.2% | 7.0–10.5% | 6.5–11.1% |
| OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti–Kresťanská únia–Za ľudí | 0.0% | 7.1% | 6.1–8.2% | 5.9–8.5% | 5.6–8.8% | 5.2–9.4% |
| SME RODINA | 8.2% | 6.4% | 5.5–7.5% | 5.2–7.8% | 5.0–8.1% | 4.6–8.6% |
| Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.0–6.9% | 4.8–7.2% | 4.6–7.5% | 4.2–8.0% |
| Sloboda a Solidarita | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.2–6.0% | 4.0–6.2% | 3.8–6.5% | 3.4–7.0% |
| Slovenská národná strana | 3.2% | 5.0% | 4.2–6.0% | 4.0–6.2% | 3.8–6.5% | 3.4–7.0% |
| Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.8–4.3% | 2.7–4.6% | 2.5–4.8% | 2.2–5.3% |
| Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | 8.0% | 2.6% | 2.0–3.4% | 1.9–3.6% | 1.8–3.8% | 1.5–4.2% |
| SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia | 7.0% | 2.1% | 1.6–2.8% | 1.5–3.0% | 1.4–3.2% | 1.2–3.6% |
| MODRÍ–Európske Slovensko–MOST–HÍD | 0.0% | 1.8% | 1.4–2.5% | 1.2–2.7% | 1.1–2.8% | 1.0–3.2% |
| Magyar Fórum | 0.0% | 0.8% | 0.5–1.3% | 0.5–1.4% | 0.4–1.6% | 0.3–1.8% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMER–sociálna demokracia | 38 | 36 | 33–38 | 32–38 | 29–40 | 28–43 |
| Progresívne Slovensko | 0 | 30 | 28–32 | 27–32 | 26–32 | 24–34 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia | 0 | 29 | 25–30 | 25–30 | 24–30 | 23–32 |
| REPUBLIKA | 0 | 17 | 16–17 | 15–18 | 13–19 | 12–22 |
| OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti–Kresťanská únia–Za ľudí | 0 | 12 | 10–14 | 10–15 | 10–16 | 9–17 |
| SME RODINA | 17 | 13 | 11–13 | 10–13 | 9–13 | 0–15 |
| Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie | 0 | 10 | 9–11 | 0–12 | 0–13 | 0–14 |
| Sloboda a Solidarita | 13 | 0 | 0–10 | 0–11 | 0–11 | 0–12 |
| Slovenská národná strana | 0 | 0 | 0–9 | 0–9 | 0–10 | 0–11 |
| Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| MODRÍ–Európske Slovensko–MOST–HÍD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Magyar Fórum | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
SMER–sociálna demokracia
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SMER–sociálna demokracia page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | 2% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 98% | |
| 30 | 0.7% | 97% | |
| 31 | 0.4% | 97% | |
| 32 | 1.4% | 96% | |
| 33 | 8% | 95% | |
| 34 | 3% | 87% | |
| 35 | 31% | 84% | |
| 36 | 5% | 53% | Median |
| 37 | 0.2% | 48% | |
| 38 | 45% | 48% | Last Result |
| 39 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 40 | 2% | 3% | |
| 41 | 0.1% | 1.0% | |
| 42 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 43 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 45 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% |
Progresívne Slovensko
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Progresívne Slovensko page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0.8% | 99.9% | |
| 25 | 1.3% | 99.1% | |
| 26 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 27 | 2% | 96% | |
| 28 | 9% | 95% | |
| 29 | 5% | 86% | |
| 30 | 46% | 81% | Median |
| 31 | 3% | 35% | |
| 32 | 31% | 32% | |
| 33 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 34 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 37 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the HLAS–sociálna demokracia page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 22 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 23 | 2% | 99.6% | |
| 24 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 25 | 31% | 97% | |
| 26 | 2% | 66% | |
| 27 | 3% | 64% | |
| 28 | 3% | 61% | |
| 29 | 10% | 57% | Median |
| 30 | 45% | 47% | |
| 31 | 2% | 2% | |
| 32 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 33 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 34 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 35 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% |
REPUBLIKA
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the REPUBLIKA page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 2% | 100% | |
| 13 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 14 | 1.5% | 97% | |
| 15 | 3% | 96% | |
| 16 | 12% | 93% | |
| 17 | 76% | 82% | Median |
| 18 | 3% | 6% | |
| 19 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 20 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 21 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 22 | 1.5% | 1.5% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% |
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti–Kresťanská únia–Za ľudí
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti–Kresťanská únia–Za ľudí page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0.9% | 100% | |
| 10 | 31% | 99.1% | |
| 11 | 1.3% | 68% | |
| 12 | 47% | 67% | Median |
| 13 | 9% | 19% | |
| 14 | 5% | 10% | |
| 15 | 2% | 6% | |
| 16 | 3% | 4% | |
| 17 | 1.0% | 1.2% | |
| 18 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% |
SME RODINA
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SME RODINA page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1.1% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 98.9% | |
| 2 | 0% | 98.9% | |
| 3 | 0% | 98.9% | |
| 4 | 0% | 98.9% | |
| 5 | 0% | 98.9% | |
| 6 | 0% | 98.9% | |
| 7 | 0% | 98.9% | |
| 8 | 0% | 98.9% | |
| 9 | 2% | 98.9% | |
| 10 | 3% | 96% | |
| 11 | 11% | 93% | |
| 12 | 4% | 82% | |
| 13 | 77% | 79% | Median |
| 14 | 0.6% | 1.2% | |
| 15 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 16 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 18 | 0% | 0% |
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 92% | |
| 2 | 0% | 92% | |
| 3 | 0% | 92% | |
| 4 | 0% | 92% | |
| 5 | 0% | 92% | |
| 6 | 0% | 92% | |
| 7 | 0% | 92% | |
| 8 | 0% | 92% | |
| 9 | 32% | 92% | |
| 10 | 47% | 60% | Median |
| 11 | 7% | 13% | |
| 12 | 3% | 6% | |
| 13 | 2% | 3% | |
| 14 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% |
Sloboda a Solidarita
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sloboda a Solidarita page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 82% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 18% | |
| 2 | 0% | 18% | |
| 3 | 0% | 18% | |
| 4 | 0% | 18% | |
| 5 | 0% | 18% | |
| 6 | 0% | 18% | |
| 7 | 0% | 18% | |
| 8 | 0% | 18% | |
| 9 | 4% | 18% | |
| 10 | 5% | 14% | |
| 11 | 8% | 9% | |
| 12 | 1.2% | 1.3% | |
| 13 | 0.2% | 0.2% | Last Result |
| 14 | 0% | 0% |
Slovenská národná strana
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenská národná strana page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 58% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0% | 42% | |
| 2 | 0% | 42% | |
| 3 | 0% | 42% | |
| 4 | 0% | 42% | |
| 5 | 0% | 42% | |
| 6 | 0% | 42% | |
| 7 | 0% | 42% | |
| 8 | 0% | 42% | |
| 9 | 38% | 42% | |
| 10 | 2% | 3% | |
| 11 | 0.8% | 1.0% | |
| 12 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 13 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% |
Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.8% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 9 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
MODRÍ–Európske Slovensko–MOST–HÍD
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the MODRÍ–Európske Slovensko–MOST–HÍD page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Magyar Fórum
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Magyar Fórum page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | 72 | 81 | 90% | 76–82 | 68–82 | 67–83 | 66–87 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana | 55 | 81 | 90% | 76–82 | 68–82 | 67–83 | 66–87 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA | 55 | 75 | 50% | 73–81 | 67–81 | 67–81 | 65–82 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana | 38 | 68 | 0.9% | 65–70 | 59–71 | 56–73 | 55–78 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | 72 | 51 | 0% | 48–57 | 44–57 | 40–57 | 39–59 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana | 55 | 51 | 0% | 48–57 | 44–57 | 40–57 | 39–59 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA | 55 | 48 | 0% | 44–51 | 43–51 | 39–51 | 39–54 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | 34 | 43 | 0% | 40–48 | 38–49 | 33–49 | 30–52 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana | 17 | 43 | 0% | 40–48 | 38–49 | 33–49 | 30–52 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana | 38 | 38 | 0% | 36–44 | 34–44 | 30–45 | 28–46 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA | 17 | 40 | 0% | 38–43 | 37–43 | 33–43 | 29–45 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia | 38 | 36 | 0% | 33–38 | 32–38 | 29–40 | 28–43 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana | 0 | 30 | 0% | 29–36 | 27–38 | 25–38 | 23–41 |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 67 | 4% | 99.3% | |
| 68 | 0.5% | 95% | |
| 69 | 0% | 95% | |
| 70 | 1.5% | 95% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 93% | |
| 72 | 0.2% | 93% | Last Result |
| 73 | 0.2% | 93% | |
| 74 | 2% | 93% | |
| 75 | 1.4% | 91% | |
| 76 | 0.4% | 90% | Majority |
| 77 | 2% | 90% | |
| 78 | 1.0% | 88% | Median |
| 79 | 0.1% | 87% | |
| 80 | 0.2% | 87% | |
| 81 | 45% | 86% | |
| 82 | 39% | 42% | |
| 83 | 0.6% | 3% | |
| 84 | 2% | 2% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 90 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 91 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 92 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 56 | 0% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 67 | 4% | 99.3% | |
| 68 | 0.5% | 95% | |
| 69 | 0% | 95% | |
| 70 | 1.5% | 95% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 93% | |
| 72 | 0.2% | 93% | |
| 73 | 0.2% | 93% | |
| 74 | 2% | 93% | |
| 75 | 1.4% | 91% | |
| 76 | 0.4% | 90% | Majority |
| 77 | 2% | 90% | |
| 78 | 1.0% | 88% | Median |
| 79 | 0.1% | 87% | |
| 80 | 0.2% | 87% | |
| 81 | 45% | 86% | |
| 82 | 39% | 42% | |
| 83 | 0.6% | 3% | |
| 84 | 2% | 2% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 90 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 91 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 92 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 56 | 0% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 64 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 65 | 0.9% | 99.7% | |
| 66 | 0.6% | 98.8% | |
| 67 | 4% | 98% | |
| 68 | 0.7% | 94% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 94% | |
| 70 | 1.5% | 93% | |
| 71 | 0.3% | 92% | |
| 72 | 0.6% | 92% | |
| 73 | 38% | 91% | |
| 74 | 2% | 53% | |
| 75 | 1.3% | 51% | |
| 76 | 0.4% | 50% | Majority |
| 77 | 2% | 49% | |
| 78 | 0.8% | 48% | Median |
| 79 | 0.2% | 47% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 47% | |
| 81 | 45% | 46% | |
| 82 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 83 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 84 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 56 | 2% | 99.3% | |
| 57 | 2% | 97% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 95% | |
| 59 | 1.1% | 95% | |
| 60 | 0.4% | 94% | |
| 61 | 1.2% | 94% | |
| 62 | 0.2% | 93% | |
| 63 | 0.3% | 93% | |
| 64 | 0.2% | 92% | |
| 65 | 3% | 92% | Median |
| 66 | 1.0% | 89% | |
| 67 | 0.2% | 88% | |
| 68 | 45% | 88% | |
| 69 | 32% | 43% | |
| 70 | 2% | 11% | |
| 71 | 6% | 9% | |
| 72 | 0.3% | 3% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 74 | 0% | 2% | |
| 75 | 2% | 2% | |
| 76 | 0.2% | 0.9% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0.7% | |
| 78 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 39 | 2% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 41 | 0.5% | 97% | |
| 42 | 0% | 96% | |
| 43 | 0.7% | 96% | |
| 44 | 2% | 96% | |
| 45 | 0.5% | 94% | |
| 46 | 1.3% | 93% | |
| 47 | 0.9% | 92% | |
| 48 | 2% | 91% | |
| 49 | 0.8% | 89% | Median |
| 50 | 0.7% | 88% | |
| 51 | 45% | 87% | |
| 52 | 0.9% | 42% | |
| 53 | 7% | 41% | |
| 54 | 0.5% | 35% | |
| 55 | 2% | 34% | |
| 56 | 0.5% | 32% | |
| 57 | 31% | 31% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 59 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 39 | 2% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 41 | 0.5% | 97% | |
| 42 | 0% | 96% | |
| 43 | 0.7% | 96% | |
| 44 | 2% | 96% | |
| 45 | 0.5% | 94% | |
| 46 | 1.3% | 93% | |
| 47 | 0.9% | 92% | |
| 48 | 2% | 91% | |
| 49 | 0.8% | 89% | Median |
| 50 | 0.7% | 88% | |
| 51 | 45% | 87% | |
| 52 | 0.9% | 42% | |
| 53 | 7% | 41% | |
| 54 | 0.5% | 35% | |
| 55 | 2% | 34% | Last Result |
| 56 | 0.5% | 32% | |
| 57 | 31% | 31% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 59 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 33 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 34 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 35 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 36 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 37 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 38 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 39 | 2% | 99.6% | |
| 40 | 0.8% | 97% | |
| 41 | 1.0% | 96% | |
| 42 | 0.2% | 95% | |
| 43 | 0.8% | 95% | |
| 44 | 9% | 94% | |
| 45 | 2% | 86% | |
| 46 | 2% | 84% | |
| 47 | 1.0% | 81% | |
| 48 | 32% | 80% | |
| 49 | 0.9% | 48% | Median |
| 50 | 0.1% | 47% | |
| 51 | 45% | 47% | |
| 52 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 53 | 0.2% | 1.0% | |
| 54 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 0.4% | Last Result |
| 56 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 30 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 31 | 0.2% | 99.3% | |
| 32 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 33 | 2% | 99.1% | |
| 34 | 0% | 97% | Last Result |
| 35 | 0% | 97% | |
| 36 | 0.8% | 97% | |
| 37 | 0.8% | 97% | |
| 38 | 2% | 96% | |
| 39 | 4% | 94% | |
| 40 | 0.9% | 90% | |
| 41 | 2% | 89% | |
| 42 | 0.9% | 88% | Median |
| 43 | 44% | 87% | |
| 44 | 2% | 43% | |
| 45 | 0.3% | 41% | |
| 46 | 0.2% | 41% | |
| 47 | 30% | 41% | |
| 48 | 2% | 10% | |
| 49 | 6% | 8% | |
| 50 | 0.6% | 1.2% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 55 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 30 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 31 | 0.2% | 99.3% | |
| 32 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 33 | 2% | 99.1% | |
| 34 | 0% | 97% | |
| 35 | 0% | 97% | |
| 36 | 0.8% | 97% | |
| 37 | 0.8% | 97% | |
| 38 | 2% | 96% | |
| 39 | 4% | 94% | |
| 40 | 0.9% | 90% | |
| 41 | 2% | 89% | |
| 42 | 0.9% | 88% | Median |
| 43 | 44% | 87% | |
| 44 | 2% | 43% | |
| 45 | 0.3% | 41% | |
| 46 | 0.2% | 41% | |
| 47 | 30% | 41% | |
| 48 | 2% | 10% | |
| 49 | 6% | 8% | |
| 50 | 0.6% | 1.2% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 55 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | 2% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 98% | |
| 30 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 31 | 0.1% | 97% | |
| 32 | 0.6% | 97% | |
| 33 | 0.8% | 96% | |
| 34 | 3% | 96% | |
| 35 | 0.3% | 93% | |
| 36 | 3% | 93% | Median |
| 37 | 0.1% | 90% | |
| 38 | 45% | 90% | Last Result |
| 39 | 0.3% | 44% | |
| 40 | 2% | 44% | |
| 41 | 0.8% | 42% | |
| 42 | 7% | 41% | |
| 43 | 1.1% | 35% | |
| 44 | 31% | 34% | |
| 45 | 0.4% | 3% | |
| 46 | 2% | 2% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 48 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 51 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 30 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 31 | 0.3% | 99.1% | |
| 32 | 0.1% | 98.8% | |
| 33 | 2% | 98.7% | |
| 34 | 0.1% | 96% | |
| 35 | 0.2% | 96% | |
| 36 | 0.9% | 96% | |
| 37 | 1.0% | 95% | |
| 38 | 34% | 94% | |
| 39 | 5% | 60% | |
| 40 | 7% | 56% | |
| 41 | 2% | 48% | |
| 42 | 0.3% | 47% | Median |
| 43 | 44% | 46% | |
| 44 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 45 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 49 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | 2% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 98% | |
| 30 | 0.7% | 97% | |
| 31 | 0.4% | 97% | |
| 32 | 1.4% | 96% | |
| 33 | 8% | 95% | |
| 34 | 3% | 87% | |
| 35 | 31% | 84% | |
| 36 | 5% | 53% | Median |
| 37 | 0.2% | 48% | |
| 38 | 45% | 48% | Last Result |
| 39 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 40 | 2% | 3% | |
| 41 | 0.1% | 1.0% | |
| 42 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 43 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 45 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 23 | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 24 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 25 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 26 | 2% | 97% | |
| 27 | 2% | 96% | |
| 28 | 3% | 94% | |
| 29 | 3% | 91% | Median |
| 30 | 44% | 88% | |
| 31 | 1.5% | 44% | |
| 32 | 0.3% | 42% | |
| 33 | 0.7% | 42% | |
| 34 | 31% | 41% | |
| 35 | 0.2% | 11% | |
| 36 | 1.0% | 10% | |
| 37 | 0.5% | 9% | |
| 38 | 7% | 9% | |
| 39 | 2% | 2% | |
| 40 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 41 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 42 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 44 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: IPSOS
- Commissioner(s): Denník N
- Fieldwork period: 17–21 July 2023
Calculations
- Sample size: 1005
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.77%