Opinion Poll by IPSOS for Denník N, 17–21 July 2023
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
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Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
SMER–sociálna demokracia |
18.3% |
19.4% |
17.9–21.1% |
17.4–21.6% |
17.1–22.0% |
16.4–22.8% |
Progresívne Slovensko |
7.0% |
15.9% |
14.5–17.5% |
14.1–17.9% |
13.8–18.3% |
13.1–19.1% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia |
0.0% |
14.9% |
13.6–16.5% |
13.2–16.9% |
12.8–17.3% |
12.2–18.0% |
REPUBLIKA |
0.0% |
8.6% |
7.5–9.8% |
7.2–10.2% |
7.0–10.5% |
6.5–11.1% |
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti–Kresťanská únia–Za ľudí |
0.0% |
7.1% |
6.1–8.2% |
5.9–8.5% |
5.6–8.8% |
5.2–9.4% |
SME RODINA |
8.2% |
6.4% |
5.5–7.5% |
5.2–7.8% |
5.0–8.1% |
4.6–8.6% |
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie |
4.6% |
5.9% |
5.0–6.9% |
4.8–7.2% |
4.6–7.5% |
4.2–8.0% |
Sloboda a Solidarita |
6.2% |
5.0% |
4.2–6.0% |
4.0–6.2% |
3.8–6.5% |
3.4–7.0% |
Slovenská národná strana |
3.2% |
5.0% |
4.2–6.0% |
4.0–6.2% |
3.8–6.5% |
3.4–7.0% |
Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja |
3.9% |
3.5% |
2.8–4.3% |
2.7–4.6% |
2.5–4.8% |
2.2–5.3% |
Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko |
8.0% |
2.6% |
2.0–3.4% |
1.9–3.6% |
1.8–3.8% |
1.5–4.2% |
SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia |
7.0% |
2.1% |
1.6–2.8% |
1.5–3.0% |
1.4–3.2% |
1.2–3.6% |
MODRÍ–Európske Slovensko–MOST–HÍD |
0.0% |
1.8% |
1.4–2.5% |
1.2–2.7% |
1.1–2.8% |
1.0–3.2% |
Magyar Fórum |
0.0% |
0.8% |
0.5–1.3% |
0.5–1.4% |
0.4–1.6% |
0.3–1.8% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
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
Confidence Intervals
SMER–sociálna demokracia
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SMER–sociálna demokracia page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
28 |
2% |
100% |
|
29 |
0% |
98% |
|
30 |
0.7% |
97% |
|
31 |
0.4% |
97% |
|
32 |
1.4% |
96% |
|
33 |
8% |
95% |
|
34 |
3% |
87% |
|
35 |
31% |
84% |
|
36 |
5% |
53% |
Median |
37 |
0.2% |
48% |
|
38 |
45% |
48% |
Last Result |
39 |
0.2% |
3% |
|
40 |
2% |
3% |
|
41 |
0.1% |
1.0% |
|
42 |
0.3% |
0.9% |
|
43 |
0.4% |
0.6% |
|
44 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
45 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
Progresívne Slovensko
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Progresívne Slovensko page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
100% |
|
2 |
0% |
100% |
|
3 |
0% |
100% |
|
4 |
0% |
100% |
|
5 |
0% |
100% |
|
6 |
0% |
100% |
|
7 |
0% |
100% |
|
8 |
0% |
100% |
|
9 |
0% |
100% |
|
10 |
0% |
100% |
|
11 |
0% |
100% |
|
12 |
0% |
100% |
|
13 |
0% |
100% |
|
14 |
0% |
100% |
|
15 |
0% |
100% |
|
16 |
0% |
100% |
|
17 |
0% |
100% |
|
18 |
0% |
100% |
|
19 |
0% |
100% |
|
20 |
0% |
100% |
|
21 |
0% |
100% |
|
22 |
0% |
100% |
|
23 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
24 |
0.8% |
99.9% |
|
25 |
1.3% |
99.1% |
|
26 |
1.2% |
98% |
|
27 |
2% |
96% |
|
28 |
9% |
95% |
|
29 |
5% |
86% |
|
30 |
46% |
81% |
Median |
31 |
3% |
35% |
|
32 |
31% |
32% |
|
33 |
0.3% |
0.9% |
|
34 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
35 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
36 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
37 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
|
HLAS–sociálna demokracia
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the HLAS–sociálna demokracia page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
100% |
|
2 |
0% |
100% |
|
3 |
0% |
100% |
|
4 |
0% |
100% |
|
5 |
0% |
100% |
|
6 |
0% |
100% |
|
7 |
0% |
100% |
|
8 |
0% |
100% |
|
9 |
0% |
100% |
|
10 |
0% |
100% |
|
11 |
0% |
100% |
|
12 |
0% |
100% |
|
13 |
0% |
100% |
|
14 |
0% |
100% |
|
15 |
0% |
100% |
|
16 |
0% |
100% |
|
17 |
0% |
100% |
|
18 |
0% |
100% |
|
19 |
0% |
100% |
|
20 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
21 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
22 |
0.1% |
99.6% |
|
23 |
2% |
99.6% |
|
24 |
0.8% |
98% |
|
25 |
31% |
97% |
|
26 |
2% |
66% |
|
27 |
3% |
64% |
|
28 |
3% |
61% |
|
29 |
10% |
57% |
Median |
30 |
45% |
47% |
|
31 |
2% |
2% |
|
32 |
0.6% |
0.8% |
|
33 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
34 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
35 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
REPUBLIKA
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the REPUBLIKA page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
100% |
|
2 |
0% |
100% |
|
3 |
0% |
100% |
|
4 |
0% |
100% |
|
5 |
0% |
100% |
|
6 |
0% |
100% |
|
7 |
0% |
100% |
|
8 |
0% |
100% |
|
9 |
0% |
100% |
|
10 |
0% |
100% |
|
11 |
0% |
100% |
|
12 |
2% |
100% |
|
13 |
1.1% |
98% |
|
14 |
1.5% |
97% |
|
15 |
3% |
96% |
|
16 |
12% |
93% |
|
17 |
76% |
82% |
Median |
18 |
3% |
6% |
|
19 |
0.7% |
3% |
|
20 |
0.2% |
2% |
|
21 |
0.3% |
2% |
|
22 |
1.5% |
1.5% |
|
23 |
0% |
0% |
|
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti–Kresťanská únia–Za ľudí
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti–Kresťanská únia–Za ľudí page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
100% |
|
2 |
0% |
100% |
|
3 |
0% |
100% |
|
4 |
0% |
100% |
|
5 |
0% |
100% |
|
6 |
0% |
100% |
|
7 |
0% |
100% |
|
8 |
0% |
100% |
|
9 |
0.9% |
100% |
|
10 |
31% |
99.1% |
|
11 |
1.3% |
68% |
|
12 |
47% |
67% |
Median |
13 |
9% |
19% |
|
14 |
5% |
10% |
|
15 |
2% |
6% |
|
16 |
3% |
4% |
|
17 |
1.0% |
1.2% |
|
18 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
19 |
0% |
0% |
|
SME RODINA
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SME RODINA page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
1.1% |
100% |
|
1 |
0% |
98.9% |
|
2 |
0% |
98.9% |
|
3 |
0% |
98.9% |
|
4 |
0% |
98.9% |
|
5 |
0% |
98.9% |
|
6 |
0% |
98.9% |
|
7 |
0% |
98.9% |
|
8 |
0% |
98.9% |
|
9 |
2% |
98.9% |
|
10 |
3% |
96% |
|
11 |
11% |
93% |
|
12 |
4% |
82% |
|
13 |
77% |
79% |
Median |
14 |
0.6% |
1.2% |
|
15 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
16 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
17 |
0% |
0.1% |
Last Result |
18 |
0% |
0% |
|
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
8% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
92% |
|
2 |
0% |
92% |
|
3 |
0% |
92% |
|
4 |
0% |
92% |
|
5 |
0% |
92% |
|
6 |
0% |
92% |
|
7 |
0% |
92% |
|
8 |
0% |
92% |
|
9 |
32% |
92% |
|
10 |
47% |
60% |
Median |
11 |
7% |
13% |
|
12 |
3% |
6% |
|
13 |
2% |
3% |
|
14 |
0.5% |
0.6% |
|
15 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
16 |
0% |
0% |
|
Sloboda a Solidarita
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sloboda a Solidarita page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
82% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
0% |
18% |
|
2 |
0% |
18% |
|
3 |
0% |
18% |
|
4 |
0% |
18% |
|
5 |
0% |
18% |
|
6 |
0% |
18% |
|
7 |
0% |
18% |
|
8 |
0% |
18% |
|
9 |
4% |
18% |
|
10 |
5% |
14% |
|
11 |
8% |
9% |
|
12 |
1.2% |
1.3% |
|
13 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
Last Result |
14 |
0% |
0% |
|
Slovenská národná strana
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenská národná strana page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
58% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
0% |
42% |
|
2 |
0% |
42% |
|
3 |
0% |
42% |
|
4 |
0% |
42% |
|
5 |
0% |
42% |
|
6 |
0% |
42% |
|
7 |
0% |
42% |
|
8 |
0% |
42% |
|
9 |
38% |
42% |
|
10 |
2% |
3% |
|
11 |
0.8% |
1.0% |
|
12 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
13 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
|
Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
99.8% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
2 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
3 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
4 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
5 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
6 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
7 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
8 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
9 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
0% |
0% |
|
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
5 |
0% |
0% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
8 |
0% |
0% |
|
9 |
0% |
0% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
|
15 |
0% |
0% |
|
16 |
0% |
0% |
|
17 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
MODRÍ–Európske Slovensko–MOST–HÍD
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the MODRÍ–Európske Slovensko–MOST–HÍD page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Magyar Fórum
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Magyar Fórum page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko |
72 |
81 |
90% |
76–82 |
68–82 |
67–83 |
66–87 |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana |
55 |
81 |
90% |
76–82 |
68–82 |
67–83 |
66–87 |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA |
55 |
75 |
50% |
73–81 |
67–81 |
67–81 |
65–82 |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana |
38 |
68 |
0.9% |
65–70 |
59–71 |
56–73 |
55–78 |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko |
72 |
51 |
0% |
48–57 |
44–57 |
40–57 |
39–59 |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana |
55 |
51 |
0% |
48–57 |
44–57 |
40–57 |
39–59 |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA |
55 |
48 |
0% |
44–51 |
43–51 |
39–51 |
39–54 |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko |
34 |
43 |
0% |
40–48 |
38–49 |
33–49 |
30–52 |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana |
17 |
43 |
0% |
40–48 |
38–49 |
33–49 |
30–52 |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana |
38 |
38 |
0% |
36–44 |
34–44 |
30–45 |
28–46 |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA |
17 |
40 |
0% |
38–43 |
37–43 |
33–43 |
29–45 |
SMER–sociálna demokracia |
38 |
36 |
0% |
33–38 |
32–38 |
29–40 |
28–43 |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana |
0 |
30 |
0% |
29–36 |
27–38 |
25–38 |
23–41 |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
65 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
66 |
0.4% |
99.7% |
|
67 |
4% |
99.3% |
|
68 |
0.5% |
95% |
|
69 |
0% |
95% |
|
70 |
1.5% |
95% |
|
71 |
0.1% |
93% |
|
72 |
0.2% |
93% |
Last Result |
73 |
0.2% |
93% |
|
74 |
2% |
93% |
|
75 |
1.4% |
91% |
|
76 |
0.4% |
90% |
Majority |
77 |
2% |
90% |
|
78 |
1.0% |
88% |
Median |
79 |
0.1% |
87% |
|
80 |
0.2% |
87% |
|
81 |
45% |
86% |
|
82 |
39% |
42% |
|
83 |
0.6% |
3% |
|
84 |
2% |
2% |
|
85 |
0.1% |
0.7% |
|
86 |
0% |
0.6% |
|
87 |
0% |
0.5% |
|
88 |
0% |
0.5% |
|
89 |
0% |
0.5% |
|
90 |
0.1% |
0.5% |
|
91 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
92 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
93 |
0% |
0% |
|
SMER–sociálna demokracia – HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
55 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
56 |
0% |
100% |
|
57 |
0% |
100% |
|
58 |
0% |
100% |
|
59 |
0% |
100% |
|
60 |
0% |
100% |
|
61 |
0% |
100% |
|
62 |
0% |
100% |
|
63 |
0% |
100% |
|
64 |
0% |
100% |
|
65 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
66 |
0.4% |
99.7% |
|
67 |
4% |
99.3% |
|
68 |
0.5% |
95% |
|
69 |
0% |
95% |
|
70 |
1.5% |
95% |
|
71 |
0.1% |
93% |
|
72 |
0.2% |
93% |
|
73 |
0.2% |
93% |
|
74 |
2% |
93% |
|
75 |
1.4% |
91% |
|
76 |
0.4% |
90% |
Majority |
77 |
2% |
90% |
|
78 |
1.0% |
88% |
Median |
79 |
0.1% |
87% |
|
80 |
0.2% |
87% |
|
81 |
45% |
86% |
|
82 |
39% |
42% |
|
83 |
0.6% |
3% |
|
84 |
2% |
2% |
|
85 |
0.1% |
0.7% |
|
86 |
0% |
0.6% |
|
87 |
0% |
0.5% |
|
88 |
0% |
0.5% |
|
89 |
0% |
0.5% |
|
90 |
0.1% |
0.5% |
|
91 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
92 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
93 |
0% |
0% |
|
SMER–sociálna demokracia – HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
55 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
56 |
0% |
100% |
|
57 |
0% |
100% |
|
58 |
0% |
100% |
|
59 |
0% |
100% |
|
60 |
0% |
100% |
|
61 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
62 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
63 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
64 |
0% |
99.7% |
|
65 |
0.9% |
99.7% |
|
66 |
0.6% |
98.8% |
|
67 |
4% |
98% |
|
68 |
0.7% |
94% |
|
69 |
0.1% |
94% |
|
70 |
1.5% |
93% |
|
71 |
0.3% |
92% |
|
72 |
0.6% |
92% |
|
73 |
38% |
91% |
|
74 |
2% |
53% |
|
75 |
1.3% |
51% |
|
76 |
0.4% |
50% |
Majority |
77 |
2% |
49% |
|
78 |
0.8% |
48% |
Median |
79 |
0.2% |
47% |
|
80 |
0.1% |
47% |
|
81 |
45% |
46% |
|
82 |
1.2% |
2% |
|
83 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
84 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
|
SMER–sociálna demokracia – HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
38 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
39 |
0% |
100% |
|
40 |
0% |
100% |
|
41 |
0% |
100% |
|
42 |
0% |
100% |
|
43 |
0% |
100% |
|
44 |
0% |
100% |
|
45 |
0% |
100% |
|
46 |
0% |
100% |
|
47 |
0% |
100% |
|
48 |
0% |
100% |
|
49 |
0% |
100% |
|
50 |
0% |
100% |
|
51 |
0% |
100% |
|
52 |
0% |
100% |
|
53 |
0% |
100% |
|
54 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
55 |
0.4% |
99.8% |
|
56 |
2% |
99.3% |
|
57 |
2% |
97% |
|
58 |
0.1% |
95% |
|
59 |
1.1% |
95% |
|
60 |
0.4% |
94% |
|
61 |
1.2% |
94% |
|
62 |
0.2% |
93% |
|
63 |
0.3% |
93% |
|
64 |
0.2% |
92% |
|
65 |
3% |
92% |
Median |
66 |
1.0% |
89% |
|
67 |
0.2% |
88% |
|
68 |
45% |
88% |
|
69 |
32% |
43% |
|
70 |
2% |
11% |
|
71 |
6% |
9% |
|
72 |
0.3% |
3% |
|
73 |
0.1% |
3% |
|
74 |
0% |
2% |
|
75 |
2% |
2% |
|
76 |
0.2% |
0.9% |
Majority |
77 |
0% |
0.7% |
|
78 |
0.5% |
0.6% |
|
79 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
39 |
2% |
100% |
|
40 |
0.7% |
98% |
|
41 |
0.5% |
97% |
|
42 |
0% |
96% |
|
43 |
0.7% |
96% |
|
44 |
2% |
96% |
|
45 |
0.5% |
94% |
|
46 |
1.3% |
93% |
|
47 |
0.9% |
92% |
|
48 |
2% |
91% |
|
49 |
0.8% |
89% |
Median |
50 |
0.7% |
88% |
|
51 |
45% |
87% |
|
52 |
0.9% |
42% |
|
53 |
7% |
41% |
|
54 |
0.5% |
35% |
|
55 |
2% |
34% |
|
56 |
0.5% |
32% |
|
57 |
31% |
31% |
|
58 |
0.1% |
0.7% |
|
59 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
60 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
61 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
62 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
63 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
64 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
65 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
66 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
39 |
2% |
100% |
|
40 |
0.7% |
98% |
|
41 |
0.5% |
97% |
|
42 |
0% |
96% |
|
43 |
0.7% |
96% |
|
44 |
2% |
96% |
|
45 |
0.5% |
94% |
|
46 |
1.3% |
93% |
|
47 |
0.9% |
92% |
|
48 |
2% |
91% |
|
49 |
0.8% |
89% |
Median |
50 |
0.7% |
88% |
|
51 |
45% |
87% |
|
52 |
0.9% |
42% |
|
53 |
7% |
41% |
|
54 |
0.5% |
35% |
|
55 |
2% |
34% |
Last Result |
56 |
0.5% |
32% |
|
57 |
31% |
31% |
|
58 |
0.1% |
0.7% |
|
59 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
60 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
61 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
62 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
63 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
64 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
65 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
66 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
31 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
32 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
33 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
34 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
35 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
36 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
37 |
0% |
99.6% |
|
38 |
0% |
99.6% |
|
39 |
2% |
99.6% |
|
40 |
0.8% |
97% |
|
41 |
1.0% |
96% |
|
42 |
0.2% |
95% |
|
43 |
0.8% |
95% |
|
44 |
9% |
94% |
|
45 |
2% |
86% |
|
46 |
2% |
84% |
|
47 |
1.0% |
81% |
|
48 |
32% |
80% |
|
49 |
0.9% |
48% |
Median |
50 |
0.1% |
47% |
|
51 |
45% |
47% |
|
52 |
0.9% |
2% |
|
53 |
0.2% |
1.0% |
|
54 |
0.4% |
0.8% |
|
55 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
Last Result |
56 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
28 |
0.5% |
100% |
|
29 |
0% |
99.5% |
|
30 |
0.2% |
99.5% |
|
31 |
0.2% |
99.3% |
|
32 |
0% |
99.1% |
|
33 |
2% |
99.1% |
|
34 |
0% |
97% |
Last Result |
35 |
0% |
97% |
|
36 |
0.8% |
97% |
|
37 |
0.8% |
97% |
|
38 |
2% |
96% |
|
39 |
4% |
94% |
|
40 |
0.9% |
90% |
|
41 |
2% |
89% |
|
42 |
0.9% |
88% |
Median |
43 |
44% |
87% |
|
44 |
2% |
43% |
|
45 |
0.3% |
41% |
|
46 |
0.2% |
41% |
|
47 |
30% |
41% |
|
48 |
2% |
10% |
|
49 |
6% |
8% |
|
50 |
0.6% |
1.2% |
|
51 |
0% |
0.6% |
|
52 |
0.1% |
0.5% |
|
53 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
54 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
55 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
17 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
18 |
0% |
100% |
|
19 |
0% |
100% |
|
20 |
0% |
100% |
|
21 |
0% |
100% |
|
22 |
0% |
100% |
|
23 |
0% |
100% |
|
24 |
0% |
100% |
|
25 |
0% |
100% |
|
26 |
0% |
100% |
|
27 |
0% |
100% |
|
28 |
0.5% |
100% |
|
29 |
0% |
99.5% |
|
30 |
0.2% |
99.5% |
|
31 |
0.2% |
99.3% |
|
32 |
0% |
99.1% |
|
33 |
2% |
99.1% |
|
34 |
0% |
97% |
|
35 |
0% |
97% |
|
36 |
0.8% |
97% |
|
37 |
0.8% |
97% |
|
38 |
2% |
96% |
|
39 |
4% |
94% |
|
40 |
0.9% |
90% |
|
41 |
2% |
89% |
|
42 |
0.9% |
88% |
Median |
43 |
44% |
87% |
|
44 |
2% |
43% |
|
45 |
0.3% |
41% |
|
46 |
0.2% |
41% |
|
47 |
30% |
41% |
|
48 |
2% |
10% |
|
49 |
6% |
8% |
|
50 |
0.6% |
1.2% |
|
51 |
0% |
0.6% |
|
52 |
0.1% |
0.5% |
|
53 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
54 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
55 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
28 |
2% |
100% |
|
29 |
0% |
98% |
|
30 |
0.5% |
98% |
|
31 |
0.1% |
97% |
|
32 |
0.6% |
97% |
|
33 |
0.8% |
96% |
|
34 |
3% |
96% |
|
35 |
0.3% |
93% |
|
36 |
3% |
93% |
Median |
37 |
0.1% |
90% |
|
38 |
45% |
90% |
Last Result |
39 |
0.3% |
44% |
|
40 |
2% |
44% |
|
41 |
0.8% |
42% |
|
42 |
7% |
41% |
|
43 |
1.1% |
35% |
|
44 |
31% |
34% |
|
45 |
0.4% |
3% |
|
46 |
2% |
2% |
|
47 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
48 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
49 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
50 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
51 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
52 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
53 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
54 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
17 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
18 |
0% |
100% |
|
19 |
0% |
100% |
|
20 |
0% |
100% |
|
21 |
0% |
100% |
|
22 |
0% |
100% |
|
23 |
0% |
100% |
|
24 |
0% |
100% |
|
25 |
0% |
100% |
|
26 |
0% |
100% |
|
27 |
0% |
100% |
|
28 |
0.5% |
100% |
|
29 |
0% |
99.5% |
|
30 |
0.4% |
99.5% |
|
31 |
0.3% |
99.1% |
|
32 |
0.1% |
98.8% |
|
33 |
2% |
98.7% |
|
34 |
0.1% |
96% |
|
35 |
0.2% |
96% |
|
36 |
0.9% |
96% |
|
37 |
1.0% |
95% |
|
38 |
34% |
94% |
|
39 |
5% |
60% |
|
40 |
7% |
56% |
|
41 |
2% |
48% |
|
42 |
0.3% |
47% |
Median |
43 |
44% |
46% |
|
44 |
1.4% |
2% |
|
45 |
0.5% |
0.8% |
|
46 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
47 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
48 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
49 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
SMER–sociálna demokracia

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
28 |
2% |
100% |
|
29 |
0% |
98% |
|
30 |
0.7% |
97% |
|
31 |
0.4% |
97% |
|
32 |
1.4% |
96% |
|
33 |
8% |
95% |
|
34 |
3% |
87% |
|
35 |
31% |
84% |
|
36 |
5% |
53% |
Median |
37 |
0.2% |
48% |
|
38 |
45% |
48% |
Last Result |
39 |
0.2% |
3% |
|
40 |
2% |
3% |
|
41 |
0.1% |
1.0% |
|
42 |
0.3% |
0.9% |
|
43 |
0.4% |
0.6% |
|
44 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
45 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
100% |
|
2 |
0% |
100% |
|
3 |
0% |
100% |
|
4 |
0% |
100% |
|
5 |
0% |
100% |
|
6 |
0% |
100% |
|
7 |
0% |
100% |
|
8 |
0% |
100% |
|
9 |
0% |
100% |
|
10 |
0% |
100% |
|
11 |
0% |
100% |
|
12 |
0% |
100% |
|
13 |
0% |
100% |
|
14 |
0% |
100% |
|
15 |
0% |
100% |
|
16 |
0% |
100% |
|
17 |
0% |
100% |
|
18 |
0% |
100% |
|
19 |
0% |
100% |
|
20 |
0% |
100% |
|
21 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
22 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
23 |
2% |
99.8% |
|
24 |
0.1% |
98% |
|
25 |
0.6% |
98% |
|
26 |
2% |
97% |
|
27 |
2% |
96% |
|
28 |
3% |
94% |
|
29 |
3% |
91% |
Median |
30 |
44% |
88% |
|
31 |
1.5% |
44% |
|
32 |
0.3% |
42% |
|
33 |
0.7% |
42% |
|
34 |
31% |
41% |
|
35 |
0.2% |
11% |
|
36 |
1.0% |
10% |
|
37 |
0.5% |
9% |
|
38 |
7% |
9% |
|
39 |
2% |
2% |
|
40 |
0.2% |
0.7% |
|
41 |
0.1% |
0.6% |
|
42 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
43 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
44 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: IPSOS
- Commissioner(s): Denník N
- Fieldwork period: 17–21 July 2023
Calculations
- Sample size: 1005
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.77%