OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti–Kresťanská únia–Za ľudí

Voting Intentions | Seats

Voting Intentions

Last result: 0.0% (General Election of 29 February 2020)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 8.1% 5.7–9.9% 5.3–10.4% 5.0–10.7% 4.5–11.4%
25–26 September 2023 Median 6.2% 5.3–7.3% 5.0–7.6% 4.8–7.8% 4.5–8.4%
22–26 September 2023 Focus 8.2% 7.1–9.4% 6.9–9.7% 6.6–10.0% 6.2–10.6%
20–26 September 2023 AKO 9.4% 8.3–10.7% 8.0–11.1% 7.7–11.4% 7.2–12.0%
22–25 September 2023 Ipsos 8.2% 7.2–9.4% 6.9–9.8% 6.6–10.1% 6.2–10.7%
21–24 September 2023 NMS 9.5% 8.6–10.6% 8.3–10.9% 8.1–11.1% 7.6–11.7%
16–20 September 2023 Polis Slovakia 5.7% 4.9–6.7% 4.6–7.0% 4.5–7.2% 4.1–7.7%
15–19 September 2023 IPSOS
Pravda		 8.1% 7.1–9.3% 6.8–9.6% 6.6–9.9% 6.1–10.5%
6–13 September 2023 Focus
TV Markíza		 6.3% 5.4–7.4% 5.2–7.7% 5.0–8.0% 4.6–8.5%
5–11 September 2023 AKO
TV JOJ		 7.0% 6.1–8.2% 5.8–8.5% 5.6–8.8% 5.2–9.3%
5–9 September 2023 NMS 6.1% 5.3–7.0% 5.1–7.3% 5.0–7.5% 4.6–7.9%
1–6 September 2023 Polis Slovakia
eReport		 5.4% N/A N/A N/A N/A
25–31 August 2023 Median
RTVS		 7.1% 6.1–8.2% 5.9–8.6% 5.7–8.9% 5.2–9.4%
21–24 August 2023 Median
RTVS		 6.2% N/A N/A N/A N/A
11–16 August 2023 Polis Slovakia
Zoznam		 5.6% 4.8–6.7% 4.6–7.0% 4.4–7.3% 4.0–7.8%
9–16 August 2023 Focus
TV Markíza		 6.4% 5.5–7.5% 5.3–7.9% 5.1–8.1% 4.7–8.7%
10–14 August 2023 IPSOS
Denník N		 7.7% 6.7–8.9% 6.4–9.2% 6.2–9.5% 5.7–10.1%
7–14 August 2023 AKO
TV JOJ		 7.2% 6.2–8.4% 6.0–8.7% 5.7–9.0% 5.3–9.6%
1–7 August 2023 NMS 6.3% 5.5–7.2% 5.3–7.5% 5.1–7.7% 4.8–8.1%
26 July–1 August 2023 IPSOS
Pravda		 7.9% N/A N/A N/A N/A
24–28 July 2023 AKO
TV JOJ		 6.7% 5.8–7.8% 5.5–8.2% 5.3–8.4% 4.9–9.0%
22–27 July 2023 Polis Slovakia
Zoznam		 6.2% 5.3–7.3% 5.1–7.5% 4.9–7.8% 4.5–8.4%
21–26 July 2023 Median
RTVS		 5.3% 4.5–6.4% 4.3–6.7% 4.1–6.9% 3.8–7.4%
21–26 July 2023 Focus
TV Markíza		 6.2% 5.3–7.2% 5.0–7.5% 4.8–7.8% 4.5–8.4%
19–21 July 2023 Median 5.5% N/A N/A N/A N/A
17–21 July 2023 IPSOS
Denník N		 7.1% 6.1–8.2% 5.9–8.5% 5.6–8.8% 5.2–9.4%
10–17 July 2023 AKO 7.2% 6.2–8.4% 6.0–8.7% 5.7–9.0% 5.3–9.6%
4–9 July 2023 NMS 6.9% 6.1–7.8% 5.8–8.1% 5.7–8.3% 5.3–8.8%
21–28 June 2023 Focus
TV Markíza		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
15 May–20 June 2023 Median 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
12–16 June 2023 IPSOS
Denník N		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
6–9 June 2023 AKO
TV JOJ		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
2–8 June 2023 NMS 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
24–31 May 2023 Focus
TV Markíza		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
16–19 May 2023 IPSOS
Denník N		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
3–17 May 2023 NMS 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
4–10 May 2023 AKO
TV JOJ		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
29 April–6 May 2023 Polis Slovakia 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1 April–6 May 2023 Median 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
19–26 April 2023 Focus
TV Markíza		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
10–14 April 2023 IPSOS
Denník N		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
4–11 April 2023 AKO
TV JOJ		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
28 March–2 April 2023 NMS 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–31 March 2023 IPSOS
Denník N		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
14–22 March 2023 Focus
TV Markíza		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
12 March 2023 AKO
TV JOJ		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1 February–5 March 2023 Median 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
7–13 February 2023 AKO
TV JOJ		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–8 February 2023 Focus
TV Markíza		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
9 January–5 February 2023 Median 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
28 January–1 February 2023 Polis
SITA		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
18–20 January 2023 IPSOS
Denník N		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
10–16 January 2023 AKO
TV JOJ		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
19–23 December 2022 Median 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
16–20 December 2022 Focus
TV Markíza		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
6–12 December 2022 AKO
TV JOJ		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
30 November–7 December 2022 Focus
TV Markíza		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
22–28 November 2022 IPSOS
Denník N		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
8–12 November 2022 AKO
TV JOJ		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
8–11 November 2022 Focus
TV Markíza		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
18–21 October 2022 IPSOS
Denník N		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
12–19 October 2022 AKO
TV JOJ		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
21–27 September 2022 Focus
TV Markíza		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
14–20 September 2022 IPSOS
Denník N		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
8–18 September 2022 AKO
TV JOJ		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
15–18 August 2022 AKO
TV JOJ		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
29 July–8 August 2022 IPSOS
Denník N		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
7–14 July 2022 AKO
TV JOJ		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
20–27 June 2022 Focus
TV Markíza		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
7–10 June 2022 AKO
TV JOJ		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
25–31 May 2022 Focus
TV Markíza		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
10–16 May 2022 AKO
TV JOJ		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
5–11 April 2022 AKO
TV JOJ		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
30 March–6 April 2022 Focus
TV Markíza		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
8–11 March 2022 AKO
TV JOJ		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
22 February–1 March 2022 Focus
TV Markíza		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
9–20 February 2022 Median 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
8–14 February 2022 AKO
TV JOJ		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
27 January–1 February 2022 Median 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
19–26 January 2022 Focus
TV Markíza		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
10–17 January 2022 AKO
TV JOJ		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
7–13 December 2021 AKO
TV JOJ		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
16–23 November 2021 FOCUS
TV Markíza		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
8–16 November 2021 AKO
TV JOJ		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
20–27 October 2021 FOCUS
TV Markíza		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
17–20 October 2021 Actly
Zoznam/Topky		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
4–7 October 2021 AKO
TV JOJ		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
6–13 September 2021 AKO 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–7 September 2021 FOCUS
TV Markíza		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
10–15 August 2021 AKO 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
6–12 July 2021 AKO 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
7–11 June 2021 AKO 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
2–9 June 2021 FOCUS 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
4–7 June 2021 Actly 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
11–19 May 2021 FOCUS 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
13–17 May 2021 AKO 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
12–17 April 2021 AKO 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
31 March–7 April 2021 FOCUS 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
27–31 March 2021 Actly 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
8–12 March 2021 AKO 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
17–24 February 2021 FOCUS 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
8–11 February 2021 AKO 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
31 January–8 February 2021 Polis
SITA		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
16–20 January 2021 Polis 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
12–19 January 2021 FOCUS 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
7–13 January 2021 Median SK
RTVS		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
19–22 December 2020 Polis 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
17–19 December 2020 AKO 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
8–14 December 2020 FOCUS 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
6–11 December 2020 Actly 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
20–25 November 2020 Polis 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
18–25 November 2020 FOCUS 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
6–11 November 2020 Median SK
RTVS		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
21–26 October 2020 Actly 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
15–23 October 2020 Polis 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
7–15 October 2020 FOCUS 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
7–12 October 2020 Polis 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–9 October 2020 AKO 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
14–18 September 2020 Median SK
RTVS		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
4–9 September 2020 Polis 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
26 August–2 September 2020 FOCUS 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
21–26 August 2020 Actly 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
22–27 July 2020 Polis 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
7–17 July 2020 AKO 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
17–24 June 2020 FOCUS 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
5–10 June 2020 Polis 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
23–27 May 2020 Polis 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
14–21 May 2020 FOCUS 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
15–19 April 2020 FOCUS 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
14–17 April 2020 AKO 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
4–8 April 2020 Polis 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
18–21 March 2020 FOCUS 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A

Probability Mass Function

The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti–Kresťanská únia–Za ľudí.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0.0–0.5% 0% 100% Last Result
0.5–1.5% 0% 100%  
1.5–2.5% 0% 100%  
2.5–3.5% 0% 100%  
3.5–4.5% 0.6% 100%  
4.5–5.5% 8% 99.4%  
5.5–6.5% 15% 92%  
6.5–7.5% 14% 77%  
7.5–8.5% 23% 63% Median
8.5–9.5% 23% 40%  
9.5–10.5% 13% 16%  
10.5–11.5% 3% 4%  
11.5–12.5% 0.3% 0.3%  
12.5–13.5% 0% 0%  

Seats

Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 29 February 2020)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 14 10–17 9–18 9–21 0–21
25–26 September 2023 Median 11 10–13 9–14 0–14 0–14
22–26 September 2023 Focus 16 12–17 12–17 11–17 11–18
20–26 September 2023 AKO 16 14–21 13–21 12–21 12–22
22–25 September 2023 Ipsos 11 11–15 11–17 11–17 10–18
21–24 September 2023 NMS 17 14–17 14–17 14–17 14–18
16–20 September 2023 Polis Slovakia 9 8–12 8–12 0–12 0–14
15–19 September 2023 IPSOS
Pravda		 16 13–16 13–16 13–17 11–20
6–13 September 2023 Focus
TV Markíza		 12 10–14 10–14 9–14 0–15
5–11 September 2023 AKO
TV JOJ		 13 10–13 10–13 10–14 9–15
5–9 September 2023 NMS 11 10–14 10–14 0–14 0–16
1–6 September 2023 Polis Slovakia
eReport		          
25–31 August 2023 Median
RTVS		 13 11–13 10–14 10–15 9–16
21–24 August 2023 Median
RTVS		          
11–16 August 2023 Polis Slovakia
Zoznam		 0 0–10 0–11 0–11 0–13
9–16 August 2023 Focus
TV Markíza		 12 10–13 10–14 10–15 0–15
10–14 August 2023 IPSOS
Denník N		 15 13–16 11–16 11–16 11–16
7–14 August 2023 AKO
TV JOJ		 12 11–15 11–15 11–15 10–16
1–7 August 2023 NMS 11 10–14 10–14 10–16 0–16
26 July–1 August 2023 IPSOS
Pravda		          
24–28 July 2023 AKO
TV JOJ		 11 10–13 9–14 9–15 0–15
22–27 July 2023 Polis Slovakia
Zoznam		 12 10–13 10–13 9–13 9–15
21–26 July 2023 Median
RTVS		 9 0–10 0–11 0–12 0–13
21–26 July 2023 Focus
TV Markíza		 13 11–13 10–13 0–14 0–15
19–21 July 2023 Median          
17–21 July 2023 IPSOS
Denník N		 12 10–14 10–15 10–16 9–17
10–17 July 2023 AKO 13 11–15 11–15 10–16 9–16
4–9 July 2023 NMS 14 12–16 11–16 11–17 10–17
21–28 June 2023 Focus
TV Markíza		          
15 May–20 June 2023 Median          
12–16 June 2023 IPSOS
Denník N		          
6–9 June 2023 AKO
TV JOJ		          
2–8 June 2023 NMS          
24–31 May 2023 Focus
TV Markíza		          
16–19 May 2023 IPSOS
Denník N		          
3–17 May 2023 NMS          
4–10 May 2023 AKO
TV JOJ		          
29 April–6 May 2023 Polis Slovakia          
1 April–6 May 2023 Median          
19–26 April 2023 Focus
TV Markíza		          
10–14 April 2023 IPSOS
Denník N		          
4–11 April 2023 AKO
TV JOJ		          
28 March–2 April 2023 NMS          
1–31 March 2023 IPSOS
Denník N		          
14–22 March 2023 Focus
TV Markíza		          
12 March 2023 AKO
TV JOJ		          
1 February–5 March 2023 Median          
7–13 February 2023 AKO
TV JOJ		          
1–8 February 2023 Focus
TV Markíza		          
9 January–5 February 2023 Median          
28 January–1 February 2023 Polis
SITA		          
18–20 January 2023 IPSOS
Denník N		          
10–16 January 2023 AKO
TV JOJ		          
19–23 December 2022 Median          
16–20 December 2022 Focus
TV Markíza		          
6–12 December 2022 AKO
TV JOJ		          
30 November–7 December 2022 Focus
TV Markíza		          
22–28 November 2022 IPSOS
Denník N		          
8–12 November 2022 AKO
TV JOJ		          
8–11 November 2022 Focus
TV Markíza		          
18–21 October 2022 IPSOS
Denník N		          
12–19 October 2022 AKO
TV JOJ		          
21–27 September 2022 Focus
TV Markíza		          
14–20 September 2022 IPSOS
Denník N		          
8–18 September 2022 AKO
TV JOJ		          
15–18 August 2022 AKO
TV JOJ		          
29 July–8 August 2022 IPSOS
Denník N		          
7–14 July 2022 AKO
TV JOJ		          
20–27 June 2022 Focus
TV Markíza		          
7–10 June 2022 AKO
TV JOJ		          
25–31 May 2022 Focus
TV Markíza		          
10–16 May 2022 AKO
TV JOJ		          
5–11 April 2022 AKO
TV JOJ		          
30 March–6 April 2022 Focus
TV Markíza		          
8–11 March 2022 AKO
TV JOJ		          
22 February–1 March 2022 Focus
TV Markíza		          
9–20 February 2022 Median          
8–14 February 2022 AKO
TV JOJ		          
27 January–1 February 2022 Median          
19–26 January 2022 Focus
TV Markíza		          
10–17 January 2022 AKO
TV JOJ		          
7–13 December 2021 AKO
TV JOJ		          
16–23 November 2021 FOCUS
TV Markíza		          
8–16 November 2021 AKO
TV JOJ		          
20–27 October 2021 FOCUS
TV Markíza		          
17–20 October 2021 Actly
Zoznam/Topky		          
4–7 October 2021 AKO
TV JOJ		          
6–13 September 2021 AKO          
1–7 September 2021 FOCUS
TV Markíza		          
10–15 August 2021 AKO          
6–12 July 2021 AKO          
7–11 June 2021 AKO          
2–9 June 2021 FOCUS          
4–7 June 2021 Actly          
11–19 May 2021 FOCUS          
13–17 May 2021 AKO          
12–17 April 2021 AKO          
31 March–7 April 2021 FOCUS          
27–31 March 2021 Actly          
8–12 March 2021 AKO          
17–24 February 2021 FOCUS          
8–11 February 2021 AKO          
31 January–8 February 2021 Polis
SITA		          
16–20 January 2021 Polis          
12–19 January 2021 FOCUS          
7–13 January 2021 Median SK
RTVS		          
19–22 December 2020 Polis          
17–19 December 2020 AKO          
8–14 December 2020 FOCUS          
6–11 December 2020 Actly          
20–25 November 2020 Polis          
18–25 November 2020 FOCUS          
6–11 November 2020 Median SK
RTVS		          
21–26 October 2020 Actly          
15–23 October 2020 Polis          
7–15 October 2020 FOCUS          
7–12 October 2020 Polis          
1–9 October 2020 AKO          
14–18 September 2020 Median SK
RTVS		          
4–9 September 2020 Polis          
26 August–2 September 2020 FOCUS          
21–26 August 2020 Actly          
22–27 July 2020 Polis          
7–17 July 2020 AKO          
17–24 June 2020 FOCUS          
5–10 June 2020 Polis          
23–27 May 2020 Polis          
14–21 May 2020 FOCUS          
15–19 April 2020 FOCUS          
14–17 April 2020 AKO          
4–8 April 2020 Polis          
18–21 March 2020 FOCUS          

Probability Mass Function

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti–Kresťanská únia–Za ľudí.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 1.0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 99.0%  
2 0% 99.0%  
3 0% 99.0%  
4 0% 99.0%  
5 0% 99.0%  
6 0% 99.0%  
7 0% 99.0%  
8 1.3% 99.0%  
9 6% 98%  
10 8% 91%  
11 12% 84%  
12 9% 72%  
13 10% 63%  
14 8% 53% Median
15 6% 46%  
16 15% 39%  
17 19% 24%  
18 2% 5%  
19 0.3% 4%  
20 0.2% 3%  
21 3% 3%  
22 0.1% 0.1%  
23 0% 0%