Opinion Poll by Polis Slovakia for Zoznam, 22–27 July 2023
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMER–sociálna demokracia | 18.3% | 23.1% | 21.4–24.8% | 21.0–25.3% | 20.6–25.7% | 19.8–26.6% |
| Progresívne Slovensko | 7.0% | 13.6% | 12.3–15.1% | 12.0–15.5% | 11.6–15.8% | 11.1–16.6% |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia | 0.0% | 12.5% | 11.2–13.9% | 10.9–14.3% | 10.6–14.6% | 10.0–15.3% |
| REPUBLIKA | 0.0% | 8.4% | 7.4–9.6% | 7.1–10.0% | 6.9–10.3% | 6.4–10.9% |
| OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti–Kresťanská únia–Za ľudí | 0.0% | 6.2% | 5.3–7.3% | 5.1–7.5% | 4.9–7.8% | 4.5–8.4% |
| Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.7–6.5% | 4.5–6.8% | 4.3–7.1% | 3.9–7.6% |
| Slovenská národná strana | 3.2% | 5.4% | 4.6–6.4% | 4.4–6.7% | 4.2–7.0% | 3.8–7.5% |
| Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.6–6.4% | 4.4–6.7% | 4.2–7.0% | 3.8–7.5% |
| Sloboda a Solidarita | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.4–6.2% | 4.2–6.5% | 4.0–6.8% | 3.7–7.3% |
| SME RODINA | 8.2% | 4.5% | 3.8–5.5% | 3.6–5.7% | 3.4–6.0% | 3.1–6.5% |
| Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | 8.0% | 3.1% | 2.5–3.9% | 2.3–4.1% | 2.2–4.3% | 1.9–4.8% |
| SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia | 7.0% | 3.0% | 2.4–3.8% | 2.2–4.0% | 2.1–4.2% | 1.9–4.6% |
| MODRÍ–Európske Slovensko–MOST–HÍD | 0.0% | 2.5% | 2.0–3.3% | 1.8–3.5% | 1.7–3.7% | 1.5–4.1% |
| Magyar Fórum | 0.0% | 1.6% | 1.2–2.3% | 1.1–2.5% | 1.0–2.6% | 0.9–3.0% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMER–sociálna demokracia | 38 | 42 | 35–46 | 35–46 | 35–46 | 35–46 |
| Progresívne Slovensko | 0 | 23 | 20–29 | 20–29 | 20–31 | 19–31 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia | 0 | 21 | 21–23 | 21–29 | 20–29 | 19–29 |
| REPUBLIKA | 0 | 16 | 13–18 | 13–18 | 12–18 | 12–19 |
| OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti–Kresťanská únia–Za ľudí | 0 | 12 | 10–13 | 10–13 | 9–13 | 9–15 |
| Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie | 0 | 10 | 0–11 | 0–11 | 0–11 | 0–13 |
| Slovenská národná strana | 0 | 10 | 0–12 | 0–12 | 0–13 | 0–14 |
| Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja | 0 | 8 | 0–13 | 0–13 | 0–13 | 0–13 |
| Sloboda a Solidarita | 13 | 9 | 0–13 | 0–13 | 0–13 | 0–13 |
| SME RODINA | 17 | 9 | 0–10 | 0–10 | 0–12 | 0–12 |
| Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| MODRÍ–Európske Slovensko–MOST–HÍD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Magyar Fórum | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
SMER–sociálna demokracia
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SMER–sociálna demokracia page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 35 | 23% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0.3% | 77% | |
| 37 | 2% | 77% | |
| 38 | 0.2% | 75% | Last Result |
| 39 | 20% | 74% | |
| 40 | 0.6% | 54% | |
| 41 | 0.8% | 53% | |
| 42 | 5% | 53% | Median |
| 43 | 9% | 47% | |
| 44 | 25% | 38% | |
| 45 | 0.1% | 13% | |
| 46 | 13% | 13% | |
| 47 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 49 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% |
Progresívne Slovensko
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Progresívne Slovensko page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 20 | 23% | 99.4% | |
| 21 | 1.0% | 76% | |
| 22 | 2% | 75% | |
| 23 | 25% | 73% | Median |
| 24 | 10% | 48% | |
| 25 | 2% | 39% | |
| 26 | 0.2% | 37% | |
| 27 | 0.3% | 36% | |
| 28 | 20% | 36% | |
| 29 | 13% | 16% | |
| 30 | 0.4% | 3% | |
| 31 | 3% | 3% | |
| 32 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the HLAS–sociálna demokracia page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 18 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 19 | 0.6% | 99.7% | |
| 20 | 2% | 99.1% | |
| 21 | 50% | 97% | Median |
| 22 | 13% | 46% | |
| 23 | 26% | 33% | |
| 24 | 0.1% | 7% | |
| 25 | 1.4% | 7% | |
| 26 | 0.2% | 6% | |
| 27 | 0% | 6% | |
| 28 | 0.1% | 6% | |
| 29 | 5% | 5% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 31 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% |
REPUBLIKA
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the REPUBLIKA page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 12 | 3% | 99.8% | |
| 13 | 10% | 97% | |
| 14 | 3% | 87% | |
| 15 | 25% | 84% | |
| 16 | 44% | 59% | Median |
| 17 | 1.4% | 15% | |
| 18 | 13% | 13% | |
| 19 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 20 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 21 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% |
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti–Kresťanská únia–Za ľudí
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti–Kresťanská únia–Za ľudí page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.4% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 2 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 6 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 7 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 8 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 9 | 3% | 99.6% | |
| 10 | 11% | 96% | |
| 11 | 27% | 86% | |
| 12 | 33% | 59% | Median |
| 13 | 25% | 26% | |
| 14 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 15 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 16 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 17 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% |
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 29% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 71% | |
| 2 | 0% | 71% | |
| 3 | 0% | 71% | |
| 4 | 0% | 71% | |
| 5 | 0% | 71% | |
| 6 | 0% | 71% | |
| 7 | 0% | 71% | |
| 8 | 0% | 71% | |
| 9 | 0.4% | 71% | |
| 10 | 41% | 71% | Median |
| 11 | 27% | 29% | |
| 12 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 13 | 1.1% | 1.2% | |
| 14 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% |
Slovenská národná strana
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenská národná strana page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 13% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 87% | |
| 2 | 0% | 87% | |
| 3 | 0% | 87% | |
| 4 | 0% | 87% | |
| 5 | 0% | 87% | |
| 6 | 0% | 87% | |
| 7 | 0% | 87% | |
| 8 | 0% | 87% | |
| 9 | 3% | 87% | |
| 10 | 47% | 83% | Median |
| 11 | 5% | 37% | |
| 12 | 27% | 31% | |
| 13 | 3% | 4% | |
| 14 | 0.8% | 0.8% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% |
Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 45% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 55% | |
| 2 | 0% | 55% | |
| 3 | 0% | 55% | |
| 4 | 0% | 55% | |
| 5 | 0% | 55% | |
| 6 | 0% | 55% | |
| 7 | 0% | 55% | |
| 8 | 23% | 55% | Median |
| 9 | 9% | 32% | |
| 10 | 1.3% | 24% | |
| 11 | 2% | 22% | |
| 12 | 0.6% | 21% | |
| 13 | 20% | 20% | |
| 14 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% |
Sloboda a Solidarita
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sloboda a Solidarita page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 28% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 72% | |
| 2 | 0% | 72% | |
| 3 | 0% | 72% | |
| 4 | 0% | 72% | |
| 5 | 0% | 72% | |
| 6 | 0% | 72% | |
| 7 | 0% | 72% | |
| 8 | 0% | 72% | |
| 9 | 23% | 72% | Median |
| 10 | 3% | 50% | |
| 11 | 33% | 46% | |
| 12 | 0.6% | 13% | |
| 13 | 13% | 13% | Last Result |
| 14 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% |
SME RODINA
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SME RODINA page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 44% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 56% | |
| 2 | 0% | 56% | |
| 3 | 0% | 56% | |
| 4 | 0% | 56% | |
| 5 | 0% | 56% | |
| 6 | 0% | 56% | |
| 7 | 0% | 56% | |
| 8 | 0% | 56% | |
| 9 | 27% | 56% | Median |
| 10 | 26% | 29% | |
| 11 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 12 | 3% | 3% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 14 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.9% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 10 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
MODRÍ–Európske Slovensko–MOST–HÍD
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the MODRÍ–Európske Slovensko–MOST–HÍD page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Magyar Fórum
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Magyar Fórum page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – SME RODINA – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | 72 | 75 | 40% | 68–87 | 68–87 | 68–87 | 68–87 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – SME RODINA | 55 | 75 | 40% | 68–87 | 68–87 | 68–87 | 68–87 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana | 38 | 72 | 32% | 66–77 | 66–83 | 66–83 | 66–83 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA | 55 | 68 | 3% | 62–75 | 62–75 | 62–77 | 62–77 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – SME RODINA – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | 72 | 54 | 0% | 46–66 | 46–66 | 46–66 | 46–66 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – SME RODINA | 55 | 54 | 0% | 46–66 | 46–66 | 46–66 | 46–66 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana | 38 | 49 | 0% | 45–56 | 45–56 | 45–56 | 44–56 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA | 55 | 44 | 0% | 39–54 | 39–54 | 39–54 | 38–54 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia | 38 | 42 | 0% | 35–46 | 35–46 | 35–46 | 35–46 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – SME RODINA – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | 34 | 40 | 0% | 22–43 | 22–44 | 22–44 | 22–45 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – SME RODINA | 17 | 40 | 0% | 22–43 | 22–44 | 22–44 | 22–45 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana | 0 | 33 | 0% | 22–34 | 22–40 | 22–40 | 22–40 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA | 17 | 30 | 0% | 22–31 | 22–32 | 21–35 | 19–35 |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – SME RODINA – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 56 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 58 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 59 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 60 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 61 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 62 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 63 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 64 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 66 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 68 | 13% | 99.7% | |
| 69 | 0.3% | 87% | |
| 70 | 0% | 87% | |
| 71 | 0% | 87% | |
| 72 | 20% | 87% | Last Result |
| 73 | 0.1% | 67% | |
| 74 | 3% | 67% | |
| 75 | 24% | 64% | |
| 76 | 0.4% | 40% | Majority |
| 77 | 0.1% | 39% | |
| 78 | 0.7% | 39% | |
| 79 | 0% | 38% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 38% | |
| 81 | 3% | 38% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 36% | Median |
| 83 | 5% | 36% | |
| 84 | 2% | 30% | |
| 85 | 0.5% | 28% | |
| 86 | 3% | 28% | |
| 87 | 25% | 25% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – SME RODINA
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 56 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 58 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 59 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 60 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 61 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 62 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 63 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 64 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 66 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 68 | 13% | 99.7% | |
| 69 | 0.3% | 87% | |
| 70 | 0% | 87% | |
| 71 | 0% | 87% | |
| 72 | 20% | 87% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 67% | |
| 74 | 3% | 67% | |
| 75 | 24% | 64% | |
| 76 | 0.4% | 40% | Majority |
| 77 | 0.1% | 39% | |
| 78 | 0.7% | 39% | |
| 79 | 0% | 38% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 38% | |
| 81 | 3% | 38% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 36% | Median |
| 83 | 5% | 36% | |
| 84 | 2% | 30% | |
| 85 | 0.5% | 28% | |
| 86 | 3% | 28% | |
| 87 | 25% | 25% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 58 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 59 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 60 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 61 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 62 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 63 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 64 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 65 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 66 | 23% | 99.6% | |
| 67 | 0% | 77% | |
| 68 | 13% | 77% | |
| 69 | 0.4% | 64% | |
| 70 | 0% | 63% | |
| 71 | 0% | 63% | |
| 72 | 22% | 63% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 41% | Median |
| 74 | 6% | 41% | |
| 75 | 3% | 35% | |
| 76 | 0.4% | 32% | Majority |
| 77 | 25% | 32% | |
| 78 | 0.9% | 7% | |
| 79 | 0% | 6% | |
| 80 | 0% | 6% | |
| 81 | 0.7% | 6% | |
| 82 | 0% | 5% | |
| 83 | 5% | 5% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 86 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 0.1% | 100% | Last Result |
| 56 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 57 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 58 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 60 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 61 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 62 | 21% | 99.5% | |
| 63 | 0% | 79% | |
| 64 | 4% | 79% | |
| 65 | 23% | 75% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 52% | |
| 67 | 0.2% | 52% | |
| 68 | 13% | 52% | |
| 69 | 2% | 38% | |
| 70 | 0% | 36% | |
| 71 | 2% | 36% | |
| 72 | 5% | 34% | Median |
| 73 | 0% | 29% | |
| 74 | 0.3% | 29% | |
| 75 | 25% | 29% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 3% | Majority |
| 77 | 3% | 3% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – SME RODINA – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 38 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 39 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 40 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 41 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 42 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 43 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 44 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 45 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 46 | 13% | 99.7% | |
| 47 | 0.3% | 87% | |
| 48 | 0.3% | 87% | |
| 49 | 20% | 87% | |
| 50 | 0.2% | 66% | |
| 51 | 0% | 66% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 66% | |
| 53 | 3% | 66% | |
| 54 | 29% | 63% | |
| 55 | 0.8% | 35% | |
| 56 | 1.2% | 34% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 33% | |
| 58 | 2% | 33% | |
| 59 | 0% | 31% | |
| 60 | 0.5% | 30% | |
| 61 | 0.2% | 30% | Median |
| 62 | 0% | 30% | |
| 63 | 3% | 30% | |
| 64 | 2% | 27% | |
| 65 | 0% | 25% | |
| 66 | 24% | 25% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – SME RODINA
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 38 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 39 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 40 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 41 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 42 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 43 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 44 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 45 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 46 | 13% | 99.7% | |
| 47 | 0.3% | 87% | |
| 48 | 0.3% | 87% | |
| 49 | 20% | 87% | |
| 50 | 0.2% | 66% | |
| 51 | 0% | 66% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 66% | |
| 53 | 3% | 66% | |
| 54 | 29% | 63% | |
| 55 | 0.8% | 35% | Last Result |
| 56 | 1.2% | 34% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 33% | |
| 58 | 2% | 33% | |
| 59 | 0% | 31% | |
| 60 | 0.5% | 30% | |
| 61 | 0.2% | 30% | Median |
| 62 | 0% | 30% | |
| 63 | 3% | 30% | |
| 64 | 2% | 27% | |
| 65 | 0% | 25% | |
| 66 | 24% | 25% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 38 | 0% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 39 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 40 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 41 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 42 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 43 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 44 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 45 | 23% | 99.4% | |
| 46 | 13% | 76% | |
| 47 | 0.4% | 64% | |
| 48 | 0.4% | 64% | |
| 49 | 22% | 63% | |
| 50 | 0.7% | 41% | |
| 51 | 3% | 40% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 37% | Median |
| 53 | 3% | 37% | |
| 54 | 6% | 34% | |
| 55 | 3% | 29% | |
| 56 | 26% | 26% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 38 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 39 | 20% | 99.4% | |
| 40 | 0.1% | 79% | |
| 41 | 0.7% | 79% | |
| 42 | 0.4% | 78% | |
| 43 | 9% | 78% | |
| 44 | 23% | 69% | |
| 45 | 0.1% | 46% | |
| 46 | 15% | 46% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 31% | |
| 48 | 0% | 31% | |
| 49 | 0.3% | 31% | |
| 50 | 0.6% | 31% | |
| 51 | 2% | 30% | Median |
| 52 | 0.2% | 28% | |
| 53 | 0.3% | 28% | |
| 54 | 27% | 28% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0.2% | Last Result |
| 56 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 35 | 23% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0.3% | 77% | |
| 37 | 2% | 77% | |
| 38 | 0.2% | 75% | Last Result |
| 39 | 20% | 74% | |
| 40 | 0.6% | 54% | |
| 41 | 0.8% | 53% | |
| 42 | 5% | 53% | Median |
| 43 | 9% | 47% | |
| 44 | 25% | 38% | |
| 45 | 0.1% | 13% | |
| 46 | 13% | 13% | |
| 47 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 49 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – SME RODINA – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 22 | 13% | 99.8% | |
| 23 | 0% | 87% | |
| 24 | 0% | 87% | |
| 25 | 0.1% | 87% | |
| 26 | 0.1% | 87% | |
| 27 | 0% | 87% | |
| 28 | 0.2% | 87% | |
| 29 | 0.1% | 87% | |
| 30 | 0.1% | 87% | |
| 31 | 3% | 87% | |
| 32 | 0.5% | 84% | |
| 33 | 20% | 83% | |
| 34 | 0.4% | 63% | Last Result |
| 35 | 0.1% | 63% | |
| 36 | 0.2% | 62% | |
| 37 | 0.7% | 62% | |
| 38 | 1.0% | 62% | |
| 39 | 0% | 61% | |
| 40 | 28% | 61% | Median |
| 41 | 0.2% | 32% | |
| 42 | 2% | 32% | |
| 43 | 25% | 30% | |
| 44 | 5% | 6% | |
| 45 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 51 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – SME RODINA
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 22 | 13% | 99.8% | |
| 23 | 0% | 87% | |
| 24 | 0% | 87% | |
| 25 | 0.1% | 87% | |
| 26 | 0.1% | 87% | |
| 27 | 0% | 87% | |
| 28 | 0.2% | 87% | |
| 29 | 0.1% | 87% | |
| 30 | 0.1% | 87% | |
| 31 | 3% | 87% | |
| 32 | 0.5% | 84% | |
| 33 | 20% | 83% | |
| 34 | 0.4% | 63% | |
| 35 | 0.1% | 63% | |
| 36 | 0.2% | 62% | |
| 37 | 0.7% | 62% | |
| 38 | 1.0% | 62% | |
| 39 | 0% | 61% | |
| 40 | 28% | 61% | Median |
| 41 | 0.2% | 32% | |
| 42 | 2% | 32% | |
| 43 | 25% | 30% | |
| 44 | 5% | 6% | |
| 45 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 51 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 20 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 21 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 22 | 13% | 99.6% | |
| 23 | 0% | 87% | |
| 24 | 0% | 87% | |
| 25 | 0.1% | 87% | |
| 26 | 0.2% | 87% | |
| 27 | 0% | 87% | |
| 28 | 0.1% | 87% | |
| 29 | 0.1% | 87% | |
| 30 | 0.1% | 86% | |
| 31 | 26% | 86% | Median |
| 32 | 4% | 60% | |
| 33 | 46% | 57% | |
| 34 | 0.5% | 10% | |
| 35 | 2% | 10% | |
| 36 | 0.1% | 7% | |
| 37 | 0.7% | 7% | |
| 38 | 1.0% | 6% | |
| 39 | 0% | 5% | |
| 40 | 5% | 5% | |
| 41 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 18 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 19 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 20 | 0.2% | 99.3% | |
| 21 | 3% | 99.1% | |
| 22 | 13% | 96% | |
| 23 | 21% | 83% | |
| 24 | 0.1% | 62% | |
| 25 | 0.9% | 62% | |
| 26 | 0.2% | 61% | |
| 27 | 0.1% | 61% | |
| 28 | 0.2% | 61% | |
| 29 | 7% | 61% | |
| 30 | 23% | 54% | Median |
| 31 | 25% | 31% | |
| 32 | 2% | 6% | |
| 33 | 0.1% | 4% | |
| 34 | 0.1% | 4% | |
| 35 | 4% | 4% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 40 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Polis Slovakia
- Commissioner(s): Zoznam
- Fieldwork period: 22–27 July 2023
Calculations
- Sample size: 1036
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.85%