Opinion Poll by AKO for TV JOJ, 24–28 July 2023
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions

Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMER–sociálna demokracia | 18.3% | 19.9% | 18.4–21.6% | 17.9–22.1% | 17.5–22.5% | 16.8–23.3% |
| Progresívne Slovensko | 7.0% | 16.4% | 15.0–18.0% | 14.6–18.4% | 14.2–18.8% | 13.6–19.6% |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia | 0.0% | 15.2% | 13.8–16.8% | 13.4–17.2% | 13.1–17.6% | 12.5–18.3% |
| OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti–Kresťanská únia–Za ľudí | 0.0% | 6.7% | 5.8–7.8% | 5.5–8.2% | 5.3–8.4% | 4.9–9.0% |
| REPUBLIKA | 0.0% | 6.7% | 5.8–7.8% | 5.5–8.2% | 5.3–8.4% | 4.9–9.0% |
| Sloboda a Solidarita | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.7–7.7% | 5.4–8.0% | 5.2–8.3% | 4.8–8.9% |
| SME RODINA | 8.2% | 6.1% | 5.2–7.2% | 5.0–7.5% | 4.8–7.8% | 4.4–8.3% |
| Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.1–7.1% | 4.9–7.4% | 4.7–7.7% | 4.3–8.2% |
| Slovenská národná strana | 3.2% | 5.8% | 5.0–6.9% | 4.7–7.2% | 4.5–7.4% | 4.1–8.0% |
| SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia | 7.0% | 2.2% | 1.7–2.9% | 1.6–3.1% | 1.4–3.3% | 1.2–3.7% |
| Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.7–2.9% | 1.6–3.1% | 1.4–3.3% | 1.2–3.7% |
| MODRÍ–Európske Slovensko–MOST–HÍD | 0.0% | 1.5% | 1.1–2.1% | 1.0–2.3% | 0.9–2.5% | 0.7–2.8% |
| Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | 8.0% | 1.2% | 0.9–1.8% | 0.8–1.9% | 0.7–2.1% | 0.5–2.4% |
| Magyar Fórum | 0.0% | 0.9% | 0.6–1.4% | 0.5–1.6% | 0.5–1.7% | 0.4–2.0% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats


Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMER–sociálna demokracia | 38 | 35 | 32–35 | 31–37 | 29–37 | 29–41 |
| Progresívne Slovensko | 0 | 29 | 25–32 | 25–32 | 24–32 | 23–34 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia | 0 | 24 | 22–29 | 22–30 | 22–30 | 22–32 |
| OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti–Kresťanská únia–Za ľudí | 0 | 11 | 10–13 | 9–14 | 9–15 | 0–15 |
| REPUBLIKA | 0 | 12 | 10–14 | 10–15 | 9–16 | 0–16 |
| Sloboda a Solidarita | 13 | 11 | 10–13 | 9–13 | 9–14 | 0–15 |
| SME RODINA | 17 | 11 | 9–12 | 0–12 | 0–12 | 0–13 |
| Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie | 0 | 10 | 0–12 | 0–13 | 0–13 | 0–14 |
| Slovenská národná strana | 0 | 9 | 0–12 | 0–12 | 0–12 | 0–13 |
| SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| MODRÍ–Európske Slovensko–MOST–HÍD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Magyar Fórum | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
SMER–sociálna demokracia
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SMER–sociálna demokracia page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 29 | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 30 | 0.3% | 97% | |
| 31 | 2% | 97% | |
| 32 | 19% | 95% | |
| 33 | 13% | 76% | |
| 34 | 12% | 63% | |
| 35 | 41% | 50% | Median |
| 36 | 1.0% | 9% | |
| 37 | 6% | 8% | |
| 38 | 0.4% | 2% | Last Result |
| 39 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 40 | 0.7% | 1.4% | |
| 41 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 42 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% |
Progresívne Slovensko
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Progresívne Slovensko page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 23 | 1.4% | 99.9% | |
| 24 | 2% | 98.5% | |
| 25 | 10% | 97% | |
| 26 | 6% | 87% | |
| 27 | 7% | 81% | |
| 28 | 3% | 74% | |
| 29 | 30% | 70% | Median |
| 30 | 8% | 41% | |
| 31 | 14% | 33% | |
| 32 | 16% | 19% | |
| 33 | 2% | 2% | |
| 34 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 35 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the HLAS–sociálna demokracia page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 22 | 16% | 99.6% | |
| 23 | 31% | 84% | |
| 24 | 5% | 53% | Median |
| 25 | 10% | 49% | |
| 26 | 8% | 39% | |
| 27 | 13% | 31% | |
| 28 | 3% | 17% | |
| 29 | 6% | 15% | |
| 30 | 7% | 9% | |
| 31 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 32 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 34 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 36 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% |
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti–Kresťanská únia–Za ľudí
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti–Kresťanská únia–Za ľudí page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.8% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 99.2% | |
| 2 | 0% | 99.2% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.2% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.2% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.2% | |
| 6 | 0% | 99.2% | |
| 7 | 0% | 99.2% | |
| 8 | 0.1% | 99.2% | |
| 9 | 7% | 99.1% | |
| 10 | 26% | 92% | |
| 11 | 37% | 66% | Median |
| 12 | 15% | 29% | |
| 13 | 7% | 14% | |
| 14 | 3% | 6% | |
| 15 | 2% | 3% | |
| 16 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 17 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% |
REPUBLIKA
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the REPUBLIKA page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 98% | |
| 2 | 0% | 98% | |
| 3 | 0% | 98% | |
| 4 | 0% | 98% | |
| 5 | 0% | 98% | |
| 6 | 0% | 98% | |
| 7 | 0% | 98% | |
| 8 | 0% | 98% | |
| 9 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 10 | 13% | 97% | |
| 11 | 26% | 84% | |
| 12 | 20% | 58% | Median |
| 13 | 23% | 38% | |
| 14 | 9% | 15% | |
| 15 | 2% | 6% | |
| 16 | 4% | 4% | |
| 17 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% |
Sloboda a Solidarita
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sloboda a Solidarita page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1.2% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 98.8% | |
| 2 | 0% | 98.8% | |
| 3 | 0% | 98.8% | |
| 4 | 0% | 98.8% | |
| 5 | 0% | 98.8% | |
| 6 | 0% | 98.8% | |
| 7 | 0% | 98.8% | |
| 8 | 0.5% | 98.8% | |
| 9 | 7% | 98% | |
| 10 | 15% | 91% | |
| 11 | 48% | 76% | Median |
| 12 | 9% | 28% | |
| 13 | 16% | 19% | Last Result |
| 14 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 15 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 16 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 17 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% |
SME RODINA
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SME RODINA page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 9% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 91% | |
| 2 | 0% | 91% | |
| 3 | 0% | 91% | |
| 4 | 0% | 91% | |
| 5 | 0% | 91% | |
| 6 | 0% | 91% | |
| 7 | 0% | 91% | |
| 8 | 0.1% | 91% | |
| 9 | 3% | 91% | |
| 10 | 14% | 87% | |
| 11 | 32% | 74% | Median |
| 12 | 41% | 42% | |
| 13 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 14 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 15 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 16 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 12% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 88% | |
| 2 | 0% | 88% | |
| 3 | 0% | 88% | |
| 4 | 0% | 88% | |
| 5 | 0% | 88% | |
| 6 | 0% | 88% | |
| 7 | 0% | 88% | |
| 8 | 0.9% | 88% | |
| 9 | 33% | 87% | |
| 10 | 31% | 55% | Median |
| 11 | 8% | 24% | |
| 12 | 10% | 16% | |
| 13 | 6% | 6% | |
| 14 | 0.7% | 0.7% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% |
Slovenská národná strana
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenská národná strana page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 12% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 88% | |
| 2 | 0% | 88% | |
| 3 | 0% | 88% | |
| 4 | 0% | 88% | |
| 5 | 0% | 88% | |
| 6 | 0% | 88% | |
| 7 | 0% | 88% | |
| 8 | 0.1% | 88% | |
| 9 | 42% | 88% | Median |
| 10 | 15% | 46% | |
| 11 | 16% | 31% | |
| 12 | 14% | 15% | |
| 13 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 14 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% |
SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
MODRÍ–Európske Slovensko–MOST–HÍD
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the MODRÍ–Európske Slovensko–MOST–HÍD page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Magyar Fórum
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Magyar Fórum page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | 72 | 79 | 70% | 72–83 | 71–86 | 71–86 | 70–88 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana | 55 | 79 | 70% | 72–83 | 71–86 | 71–86 | 70–88 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA | 55 | 70 | 7% | 65–75 | 60–77 | 60–78 | 60–79 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana | 38 | 67 | 9% | 63–74 | 62–76 | 60–76 | 60–78 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | 72 | 55 | 0% | 45–57 | 45–58 | 45–58 | 42–60 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana | 55 | 55 | 0% | 45–57 | 45–58 | 45–58 | 42–60 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | 34 | 44 | 0% | 39–49 | 37–51 | 37–51 | 34–51 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana | 17 | 44 | 0% | 39–49 | 37–51 | 37–51 | 34–51 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA | 55 | 45 | 0% | 40–47 | 34–49 | 34–49 | 34–51 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana | 38 | 44 | 0% | 37–47 | 33–47 | 33–48 | 33–50 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana | 0 | 33 | 0% | 30–38 | 29–41 | 27–41 | 26–41 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA | 17 | 35 | 0% | 32–40 | 26–41 | 26–41 | 25–43 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia | 38 | 35 | 0% | 32–35 | 31–37 | 29–37 | 29–41 |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 69 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 71 | 6% | 99.4% | |
| 72 | 5% | 93% | Last Result |
| 73 | 0.5% | 88% | |
| 74 | 16% | 88% | |
| 75 | 2% | 72% | |
| 76 | 2% | 70% | Majority |
| 77 | 4% | 67% | |
| 78 | 10% | 64% | |
| 79 | 23% | 53% | Median |
| 80 | 2% | 31% | |
| 81 | 13% | 29% | |
| 82 | 0.3% | 16% | |
| 83 | 7% | 16% | |
| 84 | 0.8% | 8% | |
| 85 | 0.2% | 7% | |
| 86 | 6% | 7% | |
| 87 | 0.2% | 0.9% | |
| 88 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 90 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 92 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 97 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 56 | 0% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 69 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 71 | 6% | 99.4% | |
| 72 | 5% | 93% | |
| 73 | 0.5% | 88% | |
| 74 | 16% | 88% | |
| 75 | 2% | 72% | |
| 76 | 2% | 70% | Majority |
| 77 | 4% | 67% | |
| 78 | 10% | 64% | |
| 79 | 23% | 53% | Median |
| 80 | 2% | 31% | |
| 81 | 13% | 29% | |
| 82 | 0.3% | 16% | |
| 83 | 7% | 16% | |
| 84 | 0.8% | 8% | |
| 85 | 0.2% | 7% | |
| 86 | 6% | 7% | |
| 87 | 0.2% | 0.9% | |
| 88 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 90 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 92 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 97 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 56 | 0% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 59 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 60 | 6% | 99.7% | |
| 61 | 0% | 93% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 93% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 93% | |
| 64 | 1.2% | 93% | |
| 65 | 17% | 92% | |
| 66 | 3% | 75% | |
| 67 | 1.4% | 72% | |
| 68 | 7% | 70% | |
| 69 | 10% | 64% | |
| 70 | 23% | 53% | Median |
| 71 | 4% | 31% | |
| 72 | 6% | 26% | |
| 73 | 6% | 20% | |
| 74 | 0.9% | 14% | |
| 75 | 6% | 13% | |
| 76 | 0.6% | 7% | Majority |
| 77 | 2% | 6% | |
| 78 | 4% | 5% | |
| 79 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 81 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 86 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 60 | 3% | 99.9% | |
| 61 | 0.2% | 96% | |
| 62 | 2% | 96% | |
| 63 | 17% | 95% | |
| 64 | 0.6% | 78% | |
| 65 | 0.8% | 77% | |
| 66 | 11% | 76% | |
| 67 | 23% | 65% | |
| 68 | 2% | 42% | Median |
| 69 | 5% | 40% | |
| 70 | 7% | 35% | |
| 71 | 12% | 28% | |
| 72 | 6% | 17% | |
| 73 | 0.3% | 10% | |
| 74 | 1.1% | 10% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 9% | |
| 76 | 8% | 9% | Majority |
| 77 | 0.2% | 1.2% | |
| 78 | 0.6% | 1.0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 86 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 35 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 37 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 38 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 39 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 40 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 41 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 42 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 43 | 1.1% | 99.4% | |
| 44 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 45 | 11% | 98% | |
| 46 | 0.4% | 87% | |
| 47 | 0.5% | 86% | |
| 48 | 1.2% | 86% | |
| 49 | 4% | 84% | |
| 50 | 2% | 80% | |
| 51 | 1.3% | 78% | |
| 52 | 17% | 76% | |
| 53 | 1.3% | 59% | |
| 54 | 5% | 58% | |
| 55 | 7% | 53% | Median |
| 56 | 36% | 46% | |
| 57 | 2% | 10% | |
| 58 | 6% | 8% | |
| 59 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 60 | 0.7% | 1.1% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 62 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 35 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 37 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 38 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 39 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 40 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 41 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 42 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 43 | 1.1% | 99.4% | |
| 44 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 45 | 11% | 98% | |
| 46 | 0.4% | 87% | |
| 47 | 0.5% | 86% | |
| 48 | 1.2% | 86% | |
| 49 | 4% | 84% | |
| 50 | 2% | 80% | |
| 51 | 1.3% | 78% | |
| 52 | 17% | 76% | |
| 53 | 1.3% | 59% | |
| 54 | 5% | 58% | |
| 55 | 7% | 53% | Last Result, Median |
| 56 | 36% | 46% | |
| 57 | 2% | 10% | |
| 58 | 6% | 8% | |
| 59 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 60 | 0.7% | 1.1% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 62 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 30 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 31 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 32 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 33 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 34 | 0.3% | 99.6% | Last Result |
| 35 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 36 | 0.1% | 99.2% | |
| 37 | 7% | 99.1% | |
| 38 | 1.2% | 92% | |
| 39 | 6% | 91% | |
| 40 | 0.3% | 85% | |
| 41 | 4% | 85% | |
| 42 | 15% | 81% | |
| 43 | 2% | 65% | |
| 44 | 24% | 64% | Median |
| 45 | 5% | 40% | |
| 46 | 10% | 34% | |
| 47 | 5% | 25% | |
| 48 | 6% | 20% | |
| 49 | 5% | 13% | |
| 50 | 2% | 8% | |
| 51 | 6% | 7% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 30 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 31 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 32 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 33 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 34 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 35 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 36 | 0.1% | 99.2% | |
| 37 | 7% | 99.1% | |
| 38 | 1.2% | 92% | |
| 39 | 6% | 91% | |
| 40 | 0.3% | 85% | |
| 41 | 4% | 85% | |
| 42 | 15% | 81% | |
| 43 | 2% | 65% | |
| 44 | 24% | 64% | Median |
| 45 | 5% | 40% | |
| 46 | 10% | 34% | |
| 47 | 5% | 25% | |
| 48 | 6% | 20% | |
| 49 | 5% | 13% | |
| 50 | 2% | 8% | |
| 51 | 6% | 7% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 33 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 34 | 6% | 99.8% | |
| 35 | 0.6% | 94% | |
| 36 | 0.4% | 93% | |
| 37 | 1.2% | 93% | |
| 38 | 0.1% | 92% | |
| 39 | 0.2% | 91% | |
| 40 | 1.3% | 91% | |
| 41 | 3% | 90% | |
| 42 | 2% | 87% | |
| 43 | 20% | 86% | |
| 44 | 7% | 66% | |
| 45 | 19% | 59% | |
| 46 | 14% | 40% | Median |
| 47 | 20% | 27% | |
| 48 | 0.5% | 6% | |
| 49 | 5% | 6% | |
| 50 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 51 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 53 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 33 | 5% | 99.9% | |
| 34 | 1.3% | 95% | |
| 35 | 0.5% | 94% | |
| 36 | 0.1% | 93% | |
| 37 | 4% | 93% | |
| 38 | 2% | 89% | Last Result |
| 39 | 0.8% | 87% | |
| 40 | 0.5% | 86% | |
| 41 | 15% | 86% | |
| 42 | 4% | 71% | |
| 43 | 7% | 67% | |
| 44 | 28% | 60% | Median |
| 45 | 15% | 32% | |
| 46 | 7% | 18% | |
| 47 | 7% | 11% | |
| 48 | 2% | 4% | |
| 49 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 50 | 0.9% | 1.3% | |
| 51 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 26 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 27 | 4% | 99.4% | |
| 28 | 0.2% | 96% | |
| 29 | 5% | 96% | |
| 30 | 0.8% | 90% | |
| 31 | 15% | 89% | |
| 32 | 22% | 74% | |
| 33 | 6% | 53% | Median |
| 34 | 5% | 47% | |
| 35 | 9% | 42% | |
| 36 | 2% | 33% | |
| 37 | 19% | 31% | |
| 38 | 2% | 12% | |
| 39 | 2% | 9% | |
| 40 | 0.7% | 7% | |
| 41 | 6% | 6% | |
| 42 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 25 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 26 | 6% | 99.3% | |
| 27 | 0% | 93% | |
| 28 | 2% | 93% | |
| 29 | 0.2% | 91% | |
| 30 | 0.3% | 91% | |
| 31 | 0.3% | 91% | |
| 32 | 0.5% | 90% | |
| 33 | 15% | 90% | |
| 34 | 7% | 75% | |
| 35 | 31% | 68% | Median |
| 36 | 1.4% | 37% | |
| 37 | 9% | 35% | |
| 38 | 8% | 26% | |
| 39 | 6% | 18% | |
| 40 | 6% | 13% | |
| 41 | 4% | 6% | |
| 42 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 43 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 44 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 29 | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 30 | 0.3% | 97% | |
| 31 | 2% | 97% | |
| 32 | 19% | 95% | |
| 33 | 13% | 76% | |
| 34 | 12% | 63% | |
| 35 | 41% | 50% | Median |
| 36 | 1.0% | 9% | |
| 37 | 6% | 8% | |
| 38 | 0.4% | 2% | Last Result |
| 39 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 40 | 0.7% | 1.4% | |
| 41 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 42 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: AKO
- Commissioner(s): TV JOJ
- Fieldwork period: 24–28 July 2023
Calculations
- Sample size: 1000
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.56%