Opinion Poll by AKO for TV JOJ, 7–14 August 2023
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions

Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMER–sociálna demokracia | 18.3% | 19.2% | 17.7–20.9% | 17.2–21.4% | 16.9–21.8% | 16.2–22.6% |
| Progresívne Slovensko | 7.0% | 17.8% | 16.3–19.4% | 15.9–19.9% | 15.5–20.3% | 14.9–21.1% |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia | 0.0% | 15.0% | 13.6–16.5% | 13.2–17.0% | 12.9–17.4% | 12.3–18.1% |
| OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti–Kresťanská únia–Za ľudí | 0.0% | 7.2% | 6.2–8.4% | 6.0–8.7% | 5.7–9.0% | 5.3–9.6% |
| Sloboda a Solidarita | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.7–7.7% | 5.4–8.0% | 5.2–8.3% | 4.8–8.9% |
| REPUBLIKA | 0.0% | 6.3% | 5.4–7.4% | 5.2–7.7% | 5.0–8.0% | 4.6–8.6% |
| Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.3–7.3% | 5.1–7.6% | 4.9–7.9% | 4.5–8.4% |
| Slovenská národná strana | 3.2% | 5.9% | 5.0–7.0% | 4.8–7.3% | 4.6–7.5% | 4.2–8.1% |
| SME RODINA | 8.2% | 5.7% | 4.9–6.8% | 4.6–7.1% | 4.4–7.3% | 4.1–7.9% |
| SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia | 7.0% | 2.9% | 2.3–3.7% | 2.2–3.9% | 2.0–4.1% | 1.8–4.6% |
| Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja | 3.9% | 2.5% | 2.0–3.3% | 1.8–3.5% | 1.7–3.7% | 1.5–4.1% |
| MODRÍ–Európske Slovensko–MOST–HÍD | 0.0% | 2.1% | 1.6–2.8% | 1.5–3.0% | 1.4–3.2% | 1.2–3.6% |
| Magyar Fórum | 0.0% | 0.8% | 0.5–1.3% | 0.5–1.4% | 0.4–1.6% | 0.3–1.9% |
| Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | 8.0% | 0.3% | 0.2–0.7% | 0.1–0.8% | 0.1–0.9% | 0.1–1.1% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats


Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMER–sociálna demokracia | 38 | 33 | 31–36 | 31–37 | 29–37 | 29–42 |
| Progresívne Slovensko | 0 | 30 | 28–32 | 28–33 | 28–33 | 26–35 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia | 0 | 25 | 24–27 | 24–27 | 23–28 | 21–31 |
| OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti–Kresťanská únia–Za ľudí | 0 | 12 | 11–15 | 11–15 | 11–15 | 10–16 |
| Sloboda a Solidarita | 13 | 12 | 9–13 | 9–13 | 9–14 | 0–15 |
| REPUBLIKA | 0 | 12 | 10–12 | 9–12 | 9–12 | 8–14 |
| Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie | 0 | 10 | 9–11 | 9–11 | 9–13 | 0–14 |
| Slovenská národná strana | 0 | 10 | 0–11 | 0–11 | 0–11 | 0–13 |
| SME RODINA | 17 | 9 | 8–11 | 8–11 | 0–12 | 0–13 |
| SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| MODRÍ–Európske Slovensko–MOST–HÍD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Magyar Fórum | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
SMER–sociálna demokracia
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SMER–sociálna demokracia page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 28 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 29 | 4% | 99.8% | |
| 30 | 0.4% | 96% | |
| 31 | 35% | 96% | |
| 32 | 1.1% | 61% | |
| 33 | 20% | 60% | Median |
| 34 | 2% | 40% | |
| 35 | 4% | 38% | |
| 36 | 28% | 34% | |
| 37 | 4% | 6% | |
| 38 | 1.2% | 2% | Last Result |
| 39 | 0.1% | 1.1% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0.9% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0.9% | |
| 42 | 0.9% | 0.9% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% |
Progresívne Slovensko
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Progresívne Slovensko page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0.8% | 99.9% | |
| 27 | 0.1% | 99.1% | |
| 28 | 29% | 99.0% | |
| 29 | 2% | 70% | |
| 30 | 47% | 68% | Median |
| 31 | 0.8% | 21% | |
| 32 | 11% | 21% | |
| 33 | 7% | 10% | |
| 34 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 35 | 1.1% | 1.5% | |
| 36 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 37 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 38 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the HLAS–sociálna demokracia page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 22 | 0.3% | 99.2% | |
| 23 | 2% | 98.9% | |
| 24 | 42% | 97% | |
| 25 | 16% | 55% | Median |
| 26 | 2% | 39% | |
| 27 | 33% | 37% | |
| 28 | 3% | 4% | |
| 29 | 0.3% | 1.0% | |
| 30 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 31 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 33 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 34 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% |
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti–Kresťanská únia–Za ľudí
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti–Kresťanská únia–Za ľudí page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.1% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 2 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 6 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 7 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 8 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 9 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 10 | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 11 | 28% | 98% | |
| 12 | 21% | 70% | Median |
| 13 | 13% | 49% | |
| 14 | 7% | 36% | |
| 15 | 28% | 29% | |
| 16 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 17 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% |
Sloboda a Solidarita
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sloboda a Solidarita page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 2 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 6 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 7 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 8 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 9 | 14% | 99.4% | |
| 10 | 5% | 86% | |
| 11 | 30% | 81% | |
| 12 | 29% | 51% | Median |
| 13 | 17% | 21% | Last Result |
| 14 | 3% | 4% | |
| 15 | 1.0% | 1.0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% |
REPUBLIKA
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the REPUBLIKA page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.2% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 2 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 6 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 7 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 8 | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 9 | 4% | 98% | |
| 10 | 28% | 94% | |
| 11 | 8% | 66% | |
| 12 | 57% | 58% | Median |
| 13 | 0.6% | 1.2% | |
| 14 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 15 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% |
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1.3% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 98.7% | |
| 2 | 0% | 98.7% | |
| 3 | 0% | 98.7% | |
| 4 | 0% | 98.7% | |
| 5 | 0% | 98.7% | |
| 6 | 0% | 98.7% | |
| 7 | 0% | 98.7% | |
| 8 | 0.1% | 98.7% | |
| 9 | 28% | 98.7% | |
| 10 | 27% | 71% | Median |
| 11 | 39% | 43% | |
| 12 | 2% | 5% | |
| 13 | 2% | 3% | |
| 14 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 15 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% |
Slovenská národná strana
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenská národná strana page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 36% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 64% | |
| 2 | 0% | 64% | |
| 3 | 0% | 64% | |
| 4 | 0% | 64% | |
| 5 | 0% | 64% | |
| 6 | 0% | 64% | |
| 7 | 0% | 64% | |
| 8 | 0% | 64% | |
| 9 | 2% | 64% | |
| 10 | 27% | 62% | Median |
| 11 | 33% | 35% | |
| 12 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 13 | 1.1% | 1.2% | |
| 14 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% |
SME RODINA
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SME RODINA page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 96% | |
| 2 | 0% | 96% | |
| 3 | 0% | 96% | |
| 4 | 0% | 96% | |
| 5 | 0% | 96% | |
| 6 | 0% | 96% | |
| 7 | 0% | 96% | |
| 8 | 10% | 96% | |
| 9 | 54% | 87% | Median |
| 10 | 10% | 33% | |
| 11 | 19% | 23% | |
| 12 | 4% | 4% | |
| 13 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 14 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
MODRÍ–Európske Slovensko–MOST–HÍD
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the MODRÍ–Európske Slovensko–MOST–HÍD page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Magyar Fórum
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Magyar Fórum page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – SME RODINA – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | 72 | 75 | 34% | 72–77 | 72–78 | 71–79 | 67–84 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – SME RODINA | 55 | 75 | 34% | 72–77 | 72–78 | 71–79 | 67–84 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA | 55 | 66 | 0.2% | 65–72 | 65–72 | 62–74 | 58–75 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana | 38 | 66 | 0.2% | 63–68 | 62–69 | 61–70 | 61–74 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – SME RODINA – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | 72 | 50 | 0% | 45–53 | 45–53 | 45–53 | 42–56 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – SME RODINA | 55 | 50 | 0% | 45–53 | 45–53 | 45–53 | 42–56 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – SME RODINA – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | 34 | 44 | 0% | 36–46 | 36–46 | 34–49 | 26–51 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – SME RODINA | 17 | 44 | 0% | 36–46 | 36–46 | 34–49 | 26–51 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA | 55 | 42 | 0% | 40–45 | 39–47 | 38–47 | 32–48 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana | 38 | 41 | 0% | 36–44 | 36–44 | 35–45 | 35–50 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA | 17 | 35 | 0% | 32–36 | 32–38 | 27–39 | 23–40 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana | 0 | 35 | 0% | 27–35 | 27–36 | 24–39 | 24–40 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia | 38 | 33 | 0% | 31–36 | 31–37 | 29–37 | 29–42 |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – SME RODINA – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 65 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 66 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 68 | 0.9% | 99.5% | |
| 69 | 0.2% | 98.6% | |
| 70 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 71 | 3% | 98% | |
| 72 | 28% | 95% | Last Result |
| 73 | 2% | 67% | |
| 74 | 4% | 65% | |
| 75 | 27% | 61% | |
| 76 | 0.5% | 34% | Majority |
| 77 | 28% | 34% | Median |
| 78 | 3% | 6% | |
| 79 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 80 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 0.8% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 84 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – SME RODINA

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 56 | 0% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 65 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 66 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 68 | 0.9% | 99.5% | |
| 69 | 0.2% | 98.6% | |
| 70 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 71 | 3% | 98% | |
| 72 | 28% | 95% | |
| 73 | 2% | 67% | |
| 74 | 4% | 65% | |
| 75 | 27% | 61% | |
| 76 | 0.5% | 34% | Majority |
| 77 | 28% | 34% | Median |
| 78 | 3% | 6% | |
| 79 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 80 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 0.8% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 84 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 54 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0.2% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 56 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 59 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 60 | 0.6% | 99.2% | |
| 61 | 0.6% | 98.6% | |
| 62 | 1.5% | 98% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 97% | |
| 64 | 1.0% | 96% | |
| 65 | 26% | 95% | |
| 66 | 28% | 69% | |
| 67 | 3% | 41% | Median |
| 68 | 2% | 39% | |
| 69 | 0.2% | 37% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 37% | |
| 71 | 4% | 37% | |
| 72 | 28% | 32% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 5% | |
| 74 | 3% | 5% | |
| 75 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0.2% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 60 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 61 | 3% | 99.8% | |
| 62 | 3% | 97% | |
| 63 | 29% | 94% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 65% | |
| 65 | 2% | 64% | |
| 66 | 34% | 62% | |
| 67 | 10% | 28% | |
| 68 | 13% | 18% | Median |
| 69 | 1.0% | 5% | |
| 70 | 2% | 4% | |
| 71 | 0% | 2% | |
| 72 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 73 | 0.5% | 1.3% | |
| 74 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 75 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0.2% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – SME RODINA – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 39 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 40 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 41 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 42 | 1.2% | 99.7% | |
| 43 | 0.3% | 98.5% | |
| 44 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 45 | 28% | 98% | |
| 46 | 0.6% | 70% | |
| 47 | 6% | 69% | |
| 48 | 1.1% | 63% | |
| 49 | 0.1% | 62% | |
| 50 | 20% | 62% | |
| 51 | 10% | 42% | |
| 52 | 0.2% | 32% | Median |
| 53 | 29% | 31% | |
| 54 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 55 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 56 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 58 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – SME RODINA

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 39 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 40 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 41 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 42 | 1.2% | 99.7% | |
| 43 | 0.3% | 98.5% | |
| 44 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 45 | 28% | 98% | |
| 46 | 0.6% | 70% | |
| 47 | 6% | 69% | |
| 48 | 1.1% | 63% | |
| 49 | 0.1% | 62% | |
| 50 | 20% | 62% | |
| 51 | 10% | 42% | |
| 52 | 0.2% | 32% | Median |
| 53 | 29% | 31% | |
| 54 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 55 | 0.9% | 2% | Last Result |
| 56 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 58 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – SME RODINA – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | 0.9% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 28 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 29 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 30 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 31 | 0.1% | 99.1% | |
| 32 | 0% | 99.0% | |
| 33 | 0.3% | 98.9% | |
| 34 | 3% | 98.7% | Last Result |
| 35 | 0.2% | 96% | |
| 36 | 28% | 96% | |
| 37 | 2% | 67% | |
| 38 | 0.3% | 65% | |
| 39 | 3% | 65% | |
| 40 | 0.3% | 62% | |
| 41 | 0.4% | 62% | |
| 42 | 10% | 61% | |
| 43 | 0.3% | 52% | |
| 44 | 27% | 51% | Median |
| 45 | 0.3% | 24% | |
| 46 | 20% | 24% | |
| 47 | 0.4% | 3% | |
| 48 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 49 | 2% | 3% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 51 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 52 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – SME RODINA

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0.9% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 28 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 29 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 30 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 31 | 0.1% | 99.1% | |
| 32 | 0% | 99.0% | |
| 33 | 0.3% | 98.9% | |
| 34 | 3% | 98.7% | |
| 35 | 0.2% | 96% | |
| 36 | 28% | 96% | |
| 37 | 2% | 67% | |
| 38 | 0.3% | 65% | |
| 39 | 3% | 65% | |
| 40 | 0.3% | 62% | |
| 41 | 0.4% | 62% | |
| 42 | 10% | 61% | |
| 43 | 0.3% | 52% | |
| 44 | 27% | 51% | Median |
| 45 | 0.3% | 24% | |
| 46 | 20% | 24% | |
| 47 | 0.4% | 3% | |
| 48 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 49 | 2% | 3% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 51 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 52 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 33 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 34 | 0.7% | 99.4% | |
| 35 | 0.3% | 98.7% | |
| 36 | 0% | 98% | |
| 37 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 38 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 39 | 4% | 97% | |
| 40 | 16% | 93% | |
| 41 | 10% | 77% | |
| 42 | 29% | 67% | Median |
| 43 | 1.0% | 38% | |
| 44 | 2% | 37% | |
| 45 | 28% | 35% | |
| 46 | 0.2% | 8% | |
| 47 | 6% | 7% | |
| 48 | 1.1% | 1.3% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 32 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 33 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 34 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 35 | 3% | 99.7% | |
| 36 | 28% | 97% | |
| 37 | 3% | 69% | |
| 38 | 1.1% | 66% | Last Result |
| 39 | 0.2% | 65% | |
| 40 | 4% | 65% | |
| 41 | 17% | 61% | |
| 42 | 19% | 44% | |
| 43 | 11% | 25% | Median |
| 44 | 10% | 13% | |
| 45 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 46 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 47 | 0.4% | 1.3% | |
| 48 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 49 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 50 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 22 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 23 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 24 | 0.1% | 99.3% | |
| 25 | 0.3% | 99.2% | |
| 26 | 1.2% | 98.8% | |
| 27 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 28 | 0.3% | 97% | |
| 29 | 0.1% | 97% | |
| 30 | 0.2% | 97% | |
| 31 | 0.2% | 97% | |
| 32 | 10% | 96% | |
| 33 | 12% | 86% | |
| 34 | 19% | 74% | Median |
| 35 | 18% | 55% | |
| 36 | 28% | 36% | |
| 37 | 3% | 9% | |
| 38 | 2% | 6% | |
| 39 | 3% | 4% | |
| 40 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 41 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 42 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 43 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 45 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 3% | 99.9% | |
| 25 | 0.1% | 97% | |
| 26 | 1.0% | 97% | |
| 27 | 32% | 96% | |
| 28 | 0.1% | 64% | |
| 29 | 0.2% | 64% | |
| 30 | 0.2% | 64% | |
| 31 | 0.2% | 64% | |
| 32 | 0.2% | 64% | |
| 33 | 0.7% | 64% | |
| 34 | 12% | 63% | |
| 35 | 44% | 51% | Median |
| 36 | 3% | 7% | |
| 37 | 1.0% | 4% | |
| 38 | 0.3% | 4% | |
| 39 | 2% | 3% | |
| 40 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 41 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 43 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 28 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 29 | 4% | 99.8% | |
| 30 | 0.4% | 96% | |
| 31 | 35% | 96% | |
| 32 | 1.1% | 61% | |
| 33 | 20% | 60% | Median |
| 34 | 2% | 40% | |
| 35 | 4% | 38% | |
| 36 | 28% | 34% | |
| 37 | 4% | 6% | |
| 38 | 1.2% | 2% | Last Result |
| 39 | 0.1% | 1.1% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0.9% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0.9% | |
| 42 | 0.9% | 0.9% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: AKO
- Commissioner(s): TV JOJ
- Fieldwork period: 7–14 August 2023
Calculations
- Sample size: 1000
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.62%