Opinion Poll by IPSOS for Denník N, 10–14 August 2023
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMER–sociálna demokracia | 18.3% | 19.7% | 18.2–21.4% | 17.8–21.9% | 17.4–22.3% | 16.7–23.2% |
| Progresívne Slovensko | 7.0% | 16.9% | 15.5–18.5% | 15.1–19.0% | 14.8–19.4% | 14.1–20.2% |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia | 0.0% | 13.3% | 12.0–14.7% | 11.6–15.2% | 11.3–15.5% | 10.7–16.2% |
| REPUBLIKA | 0.0% | 7.9% | 6.9–9.1% | 6.6–9.4% | 6.4–9.7% | 5.9–10.3% |
| OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti–Kresťanská únia–Za ľudí | 0.0% | 7.7% | 6.7–8.9% | 6.4–9.2% | 6.2–9.5% | 5.7–10.1% |
| Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.3–7.3% | 5.1–7.6% | 4.8–7.8% | 4.5–8.4% |
| Sloboda a Solidarita | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.8–6.7% | 4.6–7.0% | 4.4–7.3% | 4.0–7.8% |
| SME RODINA | 8.2% | 5.5% | 4.7–6.5% | 4.4–6.8% | 4.2–7.1% | 3.9–7.6% |
| Slovenská národná strana | 3.2% | 5.1% | 4.3–6.1% | 4.1–6.4% | 3.9–6.6% | 3.5–7.1% |
| Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.9–4.5% | 2.8–4.7% | 2.6–4.9% | 2.3–5.4% |
| SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia | 7.0% | 2.9% | 2.3–3.7% | 2.1–3.9% | 2.0–4.1% | 1.8–4.5% |
| Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | 8.0% | 2.9% | 2.3–3.7% | 2.1–3.9% | 2.0–4.1% | 1.8–4.5% |
| MODRÍ–Európske Slovensko–MOST–HÍD | 0.0% | 1.4% | 1.0–2.0% | 0.9–2.2% | 0.8–2.3% | 0.7–2.7% |
| Magyar Fórum | 0.0% | 0.7% | 0.5–1.2% | 0.4–1.3% | 0.3–1.4% | 0.2–1.7% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMER–sociálna demokracia | 38 | 37 | 33–41 | 32–41 | 32–41 | 31–41 |
| Progresívne Slovensko | 0 | 32 | 28–34 | 27–34 | 27–35 | 26–36 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia | 0 | 21 | 20–27 | 20–28 | 20–28 | 19–28 |
| REPUBLIKA | 0 | 15 | 13–16 | 13–17 | 12–18 | 10–20 |
| OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti–Kresťanská únia–Za ľudí | 0 | 15 | 13–16 | 11–16 | 11–16 | 11–16 |
| Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie | 0 | 10 | 10–12 | 10–13 | 9–14 | 0–14 |
| Sloboda a Solidarita | 13 | 10 | 9–12 | 8–14 | 0–14 | 0–14 |
| SME RODINA | 17 | 9 | 0–11 | 0–11 | 0–12 | 0–13 |
| Slovenská národná strana | 0 | 0 | 0–10 | 0–10 | 0–11 | 0–13 |
| Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–9 |
| SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| MODRÍ–Európske Slovensko–MOST–HÍD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Magyar Fórum | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
SMER–sociálna demokracia
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SMER–sociálna demokracia page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 28 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 29 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 30 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 31 | 2% | 99.6% | |
| 32 | 3% | 98% | |
| 33 | 9% | 95% | |
| 34 | 9% | 86% | |
| 35 | 3% | 77% | |
| 36 | 0.5% | 73% | |
| 37 | 53% | 73% | Median |
| 38 | 2% | 20% | Last Result |
| 39 | 2% | 18% | |
| 40 | 0.3% | 16% | |
| 41 | 16% | 16% | |
| 42 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 43 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 44 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 45 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% |
Progresívne Slovensko
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Progresívne Slovensko page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 26 | 2% | 99.7% | |
| 27 | 5% | 98% | |
| 28 | 8% | 93% | |
| 29 | 4% | 85% | |
| 30 | 7% | 81% | |
| 31 | 5% | 73% | |
| 32 | 19% | 69% | Median |
| 33 | 0.1% | 50% | |
| 34 | 46% | 50% | |
| 35 | 2% | 4% | |
| 36 | 0.9% | 1.1% | |
| 37 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the HLAS–sociálna demokracia page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 19 | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 20 | 47% | 98% | |
| 21 | 5% | 51% | Median |
| 22 | 11% | 45% | |
| 23 | 3% | 35% | |
| 24 | 17% | 31% | |
| 25 | 0.5% | 14% | |
| 26 | 4% | 14% | |
| 27 | 2% | 10% | |
| 28 | 8% | 8% | |
| 29 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 31 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 32 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% |
REPUBLIKA
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the REPUBLIKA page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 2% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 12 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 13 | 14% | 97% | |
| 14 | 22% | 84% | |
| 15 | 50% | 62% | Median |
| 16 | 7% | 12% | |
| 17 | 3% | 6% | |
| 18 | 0.5% | 3% | |
| 19 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 20 | 2% | 2% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% |
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti–Kresťanská únia–Za ľudí
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti–Kresťanská únia–Za ľudí page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 11 | 7% | 99.9% | |
| 12 | 0.8% | 93% | |
| 13 | 4% | 92% | |
| 14 | 13% | 88% | |
| 15 | 56% | 75% | Median |
| 16 | 19% | 19% | |
| 17 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 18 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 19 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% |
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 98% | |
| 2 | 0% | 98% | |
| 3 | 0% | 98% | |
| 4 | 0% | 98% | |
| 5 | 0% | 98% | |
| 6 | 0% | 98% | |
| 7 | 0% | 98% | |
| 8 | 0% | 98% | |
| 9 | 2% | 98% | |
| 10 | 58% | 96% | Median |
| 11 | 22% | 39% | |
| 12 | 9% | 16% | |
| 13 | 4% | 8% | |
| 14 | 4% | 4% | |
| 15 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% |
Sloboda a Solidarita
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sloboda a Solidarita page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 95% | |
| 2 | 0% | 95% | |
| 3 | 0% | 95% | |
| 4 | 0% | 95% | |
| 5 | 0% | 95% | |
| 6 | 0% | 95% | |
| 7 | 0% | 95% | |
| 8 | 1.0% | 95% | |
| 9 | 8% | 94% | |
| 10 | 53% | 86% | Median |
| 11 | 5% | 33% | |
| 12 | 19% | 27% | |
| 13 | 1.1% | 8% | Last Result |
| 14 | 7% | 7% | |
| 15 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% |
SME RODINA
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SME RODINA page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 28% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 72% | |
| 2 | 0% | 72% | |
| 3 | 0% | 72% | |
| 4 | 0% | 72% | |
| 5 | 0% | 72% | |
| 6 | 0% | 72% | |
| 7 | 0% | 72% | |
| 8 | 0% | 72% | |
| 9 | 55% | 72% | Median |
| 10 | 5% | 17% | |
| 11 | 9% | 13% | |
| 12 | 3% | 3% | |
| 13 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 14 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 15 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Slovenská národná strana
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenská národná strana page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 77% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0% | 23% | |
| 2 | 0% | 23% | |
| 3 | 0% | 23% | |
| 4 | 0% | 23% | |
| 5 | 0% | 23% | |
| 6 | 0% | 23% | |
| 7 | 0% | 23% | |
| 8 | 1.4% | 23% | |
| 9 | 10% | 22% | |
| 10 | 7% | 11% | |
| 11 | 2% | 4% | |
| 12 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 13 | 0.9% | 1.3% | |
| 14 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% |
Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 98.6% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0% | 1.4% | |
| 2 | 0% | 1.4% | |
| 3 | 0% | 1.4% | |
| 4 | 0% | 1.4% | |
| 5 | 0% | 1.4% | |
| 6 | 0% | 1.4% | |
| 7 | 0% | 1.4% | |
| 8 | 0% | 1.4% | |
| 9 | 1.2% | 1.4% | |
| 10 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 11 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
MODRÍ–Európske Slovensko–MOST–HÍD
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the MODRÍ–Európske Slovensko–MOST–HÍD page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Magyar Fórum
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Magyar Fórum page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | 72 | 66 | 5% | 65–74 | 65–76 | 65–78 | 58–82 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana | 55 | 66 | 5% | 65–74 | 65–76 | 65–78 | 58–82 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA | 55 | 66 | 1.5% | 61–69 | 58–71 | 58–74 | 56–77 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana | 38 | 58 | 0.5% | 57–67 | 57–71 | 55–71 | 55–75 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | 72 | 46 | 0% | 41–52 | 41–52 | 41–55 | 32–59 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana | 55 | 46 | 0% | 41–52 | 41–52 | 41–55 | 32–59 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA | 55 | 46 | 0% | 35–46 | 33–48 | 33–49 | 32–51 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana | 38 | 37 | 0% | 37–43 | 33–44 | 33–49 | 32–51 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia | 38 | 37 | 0% | 33–41 | 32–41 | 32–41 | 31–41 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | 34 | 29 | 0% | 24–40 | 24–40 | 24–41 | 24–49 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana | 17 | 29 | 0% | 24–40 | 24–40 | 24–41 | 24–49 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA | 17 | 29 | 0% | 24–33 | 24–38 | 23–38 | 22–39 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana | 0 | 21 | 0% | 20–33 | 20–36 | 20–38 | 20–40 |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 58 | 0.8% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 99.2% | |
| 60 | 0% | 99.2% | |
| 61 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 62 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 99.1% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 99.1% | |
| 65 | 16% | 99.0% | |
| 66 | 48% | 83% | |
| 67 | 3% | 35% | Median |
| 68 | 0.6% | 31% | |
| 69 | 5% | 30% | |
| 70 | 4% | 26% | |
| 71 | 6% | 22% | |
| 72 | 0.9% | 16% | Last Result |
| 73 | 0.5% | 15% | |
| 74 | 9% | 15% | |
| 75 | 0.2% | 5% | |
| 76 | 1.1% | 5% | Majority |
| 77 | 0.9% | 4% | |
| 78 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 79 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 80 | 0.6% | 1.2% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 82 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 56 | 0% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0.8% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 99.2% | |
| 60 | 0% | 99.2% | |
| 61 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 62 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 99.1% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 99.1% | |
| 65 | 16% | 99.0% | |
| 66 | 48% | 83% | |
| 67 | 3% | 35% | Median |
| 68 | 0.6% | 31% | |
| 69 | 5% | 30% | |
| 70 | 4% | 26% | |
| 71 | 6% | 22% | |
| 72 | 0.9% | 16% | |
| 73 | 0.5% | 15% | |
| 74 | 9% | 15% | |
| 75 | 0.2% | 5% | |
| 76 | 1.1% | 5% | Majority |
| 77 | 0.9% | 4% | |
| 78 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 79 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 80 | 0.6% | 1.2% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 82 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 0.2% | 100% | Last Result |
| 56 | 1.4% | 99.8% | |
| 57 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 58 | 3% | 98% | |
| 59 | 0.4% | 95% | |
| 60 | 2% | 94% | |
| 61 | 4% | 92% | |
| 62 | 2% | 89% | |
| 63 | 0.2% | 87% | |
| 64 | 0.6% | 87% | |
| 65 | 23% | 86% | |
| 66 | 49% | 63% | |
| 67 | 0.5% | 15% | Median |
| 68 | 0.8% | 14% | |
| 69 | 6% | 14% | |
| 70 | 0.7% | 7% | |
| 71 | 3% | 7% | |
| 72 | 0% | 4% | |
| 73 | 0.3% | 4% | |
| 74 | 2% | 4% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 76 | 0.9% | 1.5% | Majority |
| 77 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 80 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 55 | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 56 | 0% | 97% | |
| 57 | 46% | 97% | |
| 58 | 7% | 52% | Median |
| 59 | 0.1% | 44% | |
| 60 | 0.2% | 44% | |
| 61 | 3% | 44% | |
| 62 | 0.2% | 41% | |
| 63 | 0.9% | 41% | |
| 64 | 0.3% | 40% | |
| 65 | 26% | 40% | |
| 66 | 0.6% | 14% | |
| 67 | 4% | 13% | |
| 68 | 0.9% | 9% | |
| 69 | 1.2% | 8% | |
| 70 | 2% | 7% | |
| 71 | 3% | 5% | |
| 72 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 73 | 0.6% | 1.2% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0.5% | Majority |
| 77 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 78 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | 0.8% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0% | 99.2% | |
| 34 | 0.1% | 99.2% | |
| 35 | 0.2% | 99.1% | |
| 36 | 0% | 99.0% | |
| 37 | 0.1% | 99.0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 98.9% | |
| 39 | 0.3% | 98.9% | |
| 40 | 0% | 98.6% | |
| 41 | 16% | 98.6% | |
| 42 | 0.1% | 83% | |
| 43 | 6% | 82% | |
| 44 | 7% | 76% | |
| 45 | 0.2% | 70% | |
| 46 | 49% | 69% | Median |
| 47 | 0.6% | 21% | |
| 48 | 5% | 20% | |
| 49 | 1.2% | 15% | |
| 50 | 0.9% | 14% | |
| 51 | 2% | 13% | |
| 52 | 7% | 11% | |
| 53 | 0.6% | 4% | |
| 54 | 0.5% | 3% | |
| 55 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 56 | 0% | 2% | |
| 57 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 1.4% | |
| 59 | 1.2% | 1.3% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | 0.8% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0% | 99.2% | |
| 34 | 0.1% | 99.2% | |
| 35 | 0.2% | 99.1% | |
| 36 | 0% | 99.0% | |
| 37 | 0.1% | 99.0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 98.9% | |
| 39 | 0.3% | 98.9% | |
| 40 | 0% | 98.6% | |
| 41 | 16% | 98.6% | |
| 42 | 0.1% | 82% | |
| 43 | 6% | 82% | |
| 44 | 7% | 76% | |
| 45 | 0.2% | 70% | |
| 46 | 49% | 69% | Median |
| 47 | 0.6% | 21% | |
| 48 | 5% | 20% | |
| 49 | 1.2% | 15% | |
| 50 | 0.9% | 14% | |
| 51 | 2% | 13% | |
| 52 | 7% | 11% | |
| 53 | 0.6% | 4% | |
| 54 | 0.5% | 3% | |
| 55 | 1.2% | 3% | Last Result |
| 56 | 0% | 2% | |
| 57 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 1.4% | |
| 59 | 1.2% | 1.3% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | 2% | 100% | |
| 33 | 3% | 98% | |
| 34 | 2% | 95% | |
| 35 | 3% | 93% | |
| 36 | 0.2% | 90% | |
| 37 | 0.6% | 90% | |
| 38 | 0.9% | 89% | |
| 39 | 0.6% | 88% | |
| 40 | 0.2% | 88% | |
| 41 | 16% | 87% | |
| 42 | 0.6% | 72% | |
| 43 | 11% | 71% | |
| 44 | 3% | 60% | |
| 45 | 0.4% | 57% | |
| 46 | 48% | 57% | Median |
| 47 | 0.5% | 9% | |
| 48 | 5% | 8% | |
| 49 | 2% | 3% | |
| 50 | 0.6% | 1.2% | |
| 51 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 54 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 56 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 32 | 1.0% | 99.9% | |
| 33 | 5% | 98.9% | |
| 34 | 0.1% | 94% | |
| 35 | 0.8% | 94% | |
| 36 | 0.1% | 93% | |
| 37 | 53% | 93% | Median |
| 38 | 1.0% | 40% | Last Result |
| 39 | 2% | 39% | |
| 40 | 0.1% | 38% | |
| 41 | 17% | 37% | |
| 42 | 0.2% | 20% | |
| 43 | 11% | 20% | |
| 44 | 5% | 9% | |
| 45 | 0.3% | 5% | |
| 46 | 1.1% | 4% | |
| 47 | 0.3% | 3% | |
| 48 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 49 | 2% | 3% | |
| 50 | 0.5% | 1.1% | |
| 51 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 52 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 28 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 29 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 30 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 31 | 2% | 99.6% | |
| 32 | 3% | 98% | |
| 33 | 9% | 95% | |
| 34 | 9% | 86% | |
| 35 | 3% | 77% | |
| 36 | 0.5% | 73% | |
| 37 | 53% | 73% | Median |
| 38 | 2% | 20% | Last Result |
| 39 | 2% | 18% | |
| 40 | 0.3% | 16% | |
| 41 | 16% | 16% | |
| 42 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 43 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 44 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 45 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 24 | 15% | 99.9% | |
| 25 | 0.1% | 84% | |
| 26 | 1.1% | 84% | |
| 27 | 0.1% | 83% | |
| 28 | 0% | 83% | |
| 29 | 46% | 83% | |
| 30 | 0.2% | 37% | Median |
| 31 | 0.3% | 37% | |
| 32 | 7% | 37% | |
| 33 | 4% | 30% | |
| 34 | 0.5% | 26% | Last Result |
| 35 | 1.4% | 26% | |
| 36 | 2% | 24% | |
| 37 | 2% | 22% | |
| 38 | 6% | 20% | |
| 39 | 3% | 14% | |
| 40 | 9% | 11% | |
| 41 | 0.3% | 3% | |
| 42 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 43 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 44 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 45 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 1.2% | |
| 47 | 0.2% | 1.1% | |
| 48 | 0.2% | 0.9% | |
| 49 | 0.7% | 0.7% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 24 | 15% | 99.9% | |
| 25 | 0.1% | 84% | |
| 26 | 1.1% | 84% | |
| 27 | 0.1% | 83% | |
| 28 | 0% | 83% | |
| 29 | 46% | 83% | |
| 30 | 0.2% | 37% | Median |
| 31 | 0.3% | 37% | |
| 32 | 7% | 37% | |
| 33 | 4% | 30% | |
| 34 | 0.5% | 26% | |
| 35 | 1.4% | 26% | |
| 36 | 2% | 24% | |
| 37 | 2% | 22% | |
| 38 | 6% | 20% | |
| 39 | 3% | 14% | |
| 40 | 9% | 11% | |
| 41 | 0.3% | 3% | |
| 42 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 43 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 44 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 45 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 1.2% | |
| 47 | 0.2% | 1.1% | |
| 48 | 0.2% | 0.9% | |
| 49 | 0.7% | 0.7% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 22 | 1.2% | 99.8% | |
| 23 | 3% | 98.6% | |
| 24 | 17% | 96% | |
| 25 | 0.1% | 79% | |
| 26 | 3% | 79% | |
| 27 | 0.2% | 75% | |
| 28 | 3% | 75% | |
| 29 | 46% | 72% | |
| 30 | 1.5% | 26% | Median |
| 31 | 9% | 25% | |
| 32 | 5% | 16% | |
| 33 | 3% | 11% | |
| 34 | 0.4% | 8% | |
| 35 | 0.3% | 8% | |
| 36 | 0.6% | 7% | |
| 37 | 2% | 7% | |
| 38 | 4% | 5% | |
| 39 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 40 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 41 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 43 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 20 | 46% | 99.8% | |
| 21 | 5% | 54% | Median |
| 22 | 2% | 49% | |
| 23 | 0.2% | 46% | |
| 24 | 16% | 46% | |
| 25 | 0.2% | 31% | |
| 26 | 1.3% | 30% | |
| 27 | 3% | 29% | |
| 28 | 5% | 27% | |
| 29 | 0.4% | 22% | |
| 30 | 1.2% | 21% | |
| 31 | 7% | 20% | |
| 32 | 3% | 13% | |
| 33 | 2% | 11% | |
| 34 | 0.6% | 9% | |
| 35 | 1.4% | 8% | |
| 36 | 2% | 7% | |
| 37 | 0.4% | 4% | |
| 38 | 3% | 4% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0.9% | |
| 40 | 0.8% | 0.8% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: IPSOS
- Commissioner(s): Denník N
- Fieldwork period: 10–14 August 2023
Calculations
- Sample size: 1003
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.36%