Opinion Poll by Focus for TV Markíza, 9–16 August 2023
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMER–sociálna demokracia | 18.3% | 20.0% | 18.5–21.7% | 18.0–22.2% | 17.7–22.6% | 16.9–23.4% |
| Progresívne Slovensko | 7.0% | 15.0% | 13.6–16.5% | 13.2–16.9% | 12.9–17.3% | 12.3–18.1% |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia | 0.0% | 14.2% | 12.8–15.7% | 12.5–16.1% | 12.1–16.5% | 11.5–17.2% |
| REPUBLIKA | 0.0% | 8.8% | 7.8–10.1% | 7.5–10.4% | 7.2–10.7% | 6.7–11.4% |
| OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti–Kresťanská únia–Za ľudí | 0.0% | 6.4% | 5.5–7.5% | 5.3–7.9% | 5.1–8.1% | 4.7–8.7% |
| Sloboda a Solidarita | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.3–7.2% | 5.0–7.5% | 4.8–7.8% | 4.4–8.4% |
| Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.3–7.2% | 5.0–7.5% | 4.8–7.8% | 4.4–8.4% |
| Slovenská národná strana | 3.2% | 5.3% | 4.5–6.3% | 4.2–6.6% | 4.0–6.8% | 3.7–7.3% |
| SME RODINA | 8.2% | 5.1% | 4.3–6.1% | 4.0–6.3% | 3.9–6.6% | 3.5–7.1% |
| Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.7–4.2% | 2.6–4.5% | 2.4–4.7% | 2.1–5.1% |
| SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia | 7.0% | 3.1% | 2.5–3.9% | 2.3–4.1% | 2.2–4.3% | 1.9–4.8% |
| Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | 8.0% | 2.1% | 1.6–2.8% | 1.5–3.0% | 1.4–3.2% | 1.2–3.5% |
| MODRÍ–Európske Slovensko–MOST–HÍD | 0.0% | 1.7% | 1.3–2.3% | 1.1–2.5% | 1.1–2.7% | 0.9–3.0% |
| Magyar Fórum | 0.0% | 0.7% | 0.5–1.2% | 0.4–1.3% | 0.3–1.4% | 0.2–1.7% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMER–sociálna demokracia | 38 | 37 | 33–39 | 31–41 | 31–41 | 31–44 |
| Progresívne Slovensko | 0 | 27 | 25–29 | 23–31 | 22–32 | 22–34 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia | 0 | 27 | 23–29 | 22–29 | 22–29 | 21–32 |
| REPUBLIKA | 0 | 17 | 14–19 | 13–19 | 13–19 | 12–20 |
| OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti–Kresťanská únia–Za ľudí | 0 | 12 | 10–13 | 10–14 | 10–15 | 0–15 |
| Sloboda a Solidarita | 13 | 10 | 0–14 | 0–14 | 0–14 | 0–14 |
| Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie | 0 | 11 | 9–13 | 9–13 | 0–15 | 0–15 |
| Slovenská národná strana | 0 | 9 | 0–11 | 0–12 | 0–12 | 0–13 |
| SME RODINA | 17 | 10 | 0–11 | 0–12 | 0–12 | 0–13 |
| Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| MODRÍ–Európske Slovensko–MOST–HÍD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Magyar Fórum | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
SMER–sociálna demokracia
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SMER–sociálna demokracia page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 31 | 6% | 99.8% | |
| 32 | 0.7% | 94% | |
| 33 | 5% | 93% | |
| 34 | 11% | 88% | |
| 35 | 2% | 78% | |
| 36 | 5% | 76% | |
| 37 | 55% | 71% | Median |
| 38 | 0.5% | 16% | Last Result |
| 39 | 8% | 15% | |
| 40 | 1.1% | 8% | |
| 41 | 6% | 7% | |
| 42 | 0.6% | 1.2% | |
| 43 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 44 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 45 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% |
Progresívne Slovensko
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Progresívne Slovensko page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 22 | 4% | 99.8% | |
| 23 | 2% | 96% | |
| 24 | 1.0% | 95% | |
| 25 | 6% | 94% | |
| 26 | 35% | 88% | |
| 27 | 9% | 53% | Median |
| 28 | 3% | 44% | |
| 29 | 31% | 41% | |
| 30 | 2% | 9% | |
| 31 | 5% | 7% | |
| 32 | 0.6% | 3% | |
| 33 | 2% | 2% | |
| 34 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 35 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 36 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the HLAS–sociálna demokracia page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 22 | 8% | 99.4% | |
| 23 | 10% | 92% | |
| 24 | 7% | 81% | |
| 25 | 0.8% | 74% | |
| 26 | 10% | 73% | |
| 27 | 30% | 64% | Median |
| 28 | 1.4% | 34% | |
| 29 | 30% | 33% | |
| 30 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 31 | 0.5% | 1.4% | |
| 32 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 33 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% |
REPUBLIKA
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the REPUBLIKA page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 12 | 1.1% | 99.8% | |
| 13 | 7% | 98.7% | |
| 14 | 10% | 92% | |
| 15 | 10% | 82% | |
| 16 | 4% | 72% | |
| 17 | 56% | 67% | Median |
| 18 | 0.7% | 11% | |
| 19 | 9% | 10% | |
| 20 | 0.8% | 1.1% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 22 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% |
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti–Kresťanská únia–Za ľudí
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti–Kresťanská únia–Za ľudí page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1.4% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 98.6% | |
| 2 | 0% | 98.6% | |
| 3 | 0% | 98.6% | |
| 4 | 0% | 98.6% | |
| 5 | 0% | 98.6% | |
| 6 | 0% | 98.6% | |
| 7 | 0% | 98.6% | |
| 8 | 0% | 98.6% | |
| 9 | 1.0% | 98.6% | |
| 10 | 9% | 98% | |
| 11 | 29% | 88% | |
| 12 | 20% | 59% | Median |
| 13 | 31% | 39% | |
| 14 | 5% | 8% | |
| 15 | 3% | 4% | |
| 16 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% |
Sloboda a Solidarita
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sloboda a Solidarita page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 30% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 70% | |
| 2 | 0% | 70% | |
| 3 | 0% | 70% | |
| 4 | 0% | 70% | |
| 5 | 0% | 70% | |
| 6 | 0% | 70% | |
| 7 | 0% | 70% | |
| 8 | 0% | 70% | |
| 9 | 4% | 70% | |
| 10 | 16% | 66% | Median |
| 11 | 6% | 50% | |
| 12 | 28% | 44% | |
| 13 | 4% | 16% | Last Result |
| 14 | 11% | 12% | |
| 15 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 16 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% |
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 95% | |
| 2 | 0% | 95% | |
| 3 | 0% | 95% | |
| 4 | 0% | 95% | |
| 5 | 0% | 95% | |
| 6 | 0% | 95% | |
| 7 | 0% | 95% | |
| 8 | 0% | 95% | |
| 9 | 13% | 95% | |
| 10 | 14% | 82% | |
| 11 | 33% | 68% | Median |
| 12 | 4% | 35% | |
| 13 | 28% | 32% | |
| 14 | 0.7% | 4% | |
| 15 | 3% | 3% | |
| 16 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% |
Slovenská národná strana
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenská národná strana page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 43% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 57% | |
| 2 | 0% | 57% | |
| 3 | 0% | 57% | |
| 4 | 0% | 57% | |
| 5 | 0% | 57% | |
| 6 | 0% | 57% | |
| 7 | 0% | 57% | |
| 8 | 0% | 57% | |
| 9 | 10% | 57% | Median |
| 10 | 13% | 47% | |
| 11 | 24% | 34% | |
| 12 | 7% | 9% | |
| 13 | 2% | 2% | |
| 14 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% |
SME RODINA
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SME RODINA page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 39% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 61% | |
| 2 | 0% | 61% | |
| 3 | 0% | 61% | |
| 4 | 0% | 61% | |
| 5 | 0% | 61% | |
| 6 | 0% | 61% | |
| 7 | 0% | 61% | |
| 8 | 0% | 61% | |
| 9 | 3% | 60% | |
| 10 | 29% | 57% | Median |
| 11 | 20% | 28% | |
| 12 | 7% | 8% | |
| 13 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 14 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.9% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 10 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.9% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 9 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
MODRÍ–Európske Slovensko–MOST–HÍD
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the MODRÍ–Európske Slovensko–MOST–HÍD page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Magyar Fórum
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Magyar Fórum page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – SME RODINA – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | 72 | 75 | 48% | 66–85 | 66–85 | 63–85 | 63–88 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – SME RODINA | 55 | 75 | 48% | 66–85 | 66–85 | 63–85 | 63–88 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana | 38 | 68 | 3% | 62–75 | 60–75 | 60–77 | 60–84 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA | 55 | 71 | 2% | 63–74 | 63–74 | 60–74 | 55–80 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – SME RODINA – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | 72 | 50 | 0% | 37–58 | 37–58 | 37–60 | 37–61 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – SME RODINA | 55 | 50 | 0% | 37–58 | 37–58 | 37–60 | 37–61 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana | 38 | 42 | 0% | 37–49 | 37–51 | 33–51 | 33–54 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – SME RODINA – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | 34 | 40 | 0% | 29–48 | 29–51 | 24–51 | 24–51 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – SME RODINA | 17 | 40 | 0% | 29–48 | 29–51 | 24–51 | 24–51 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA | 55 | 45 | 0% | 37–48 | 37–49 | 36–50 | 33–53 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia | 38 | 37 | 0% | 33–39 | 31–41 | 31–41 | 31–44 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA | 17 | 34 | 0% | 26–38 | 24–39 | 22–40 | 22–42 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana | 0 | 32 | 0% | 24–39 | 23–39 | 23–39 | 23–43 |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – SME RODINA – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 62 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 63 | 3% | 99.9% | |
| 64 | 0.9% | 97% | |
| 65 | 0.8% | 96% | |
| 66 | 24% | 96% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 71% | |
| 68 | 0.3% | 71% | |
| 69 | 0.9% | 71% | |
| 70 | 0.7% | 70% | |
| 71 | 8% | 69% | |
| 72 | 0.2% | 61% | Last Result |
| 73 | 9% | 61% | |
| 74 | 1.3% | 51% | |
| 75 | 2% | 50% | |
| 76 | 4% | 48% | Majority |
| 77 | 0.3% | 44% | |
| 78 | 3% | 43% | |
| 79 | 0.5% | 40% | |
| 80 | 4% | 40% | |
| 81 | 0.2% | 35% | |
| 82 | 3% | 35% | |
| 83 | 0.2% | 32% | Median |
| 84 | 4% | 32% | |
| 85 | 27% | 28% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0.8% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0.8% | |
| 88 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 90 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – SME RODINA
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 56 | 0% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 62 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 63 | 3% | 99.9% | |
| 64 | 0.9% | 97% | |
| 65 | 0.8% | 96% | |
| 66 | 24% | 96% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 71% | |
| 68 | 0.3% | 71% | |
| 69 | 0.9% | 71% | |
| 70 | 0.7% | 70% | |
| 71 | 8% | 69% | |
| 72 | 0.2% | 61% | |
| 73 | 9% | 61% | |
| 74 | 1.3% | 51% | |
| 75 | 2% | 50% | |
| 76 | 4% | 48% | Majority |
| 77 | 0.3% | 44% | |
| 78 | 3% | 43% | |
| 79 | 0.5% | 40% | |
| 80 | 4% | 40% | |
| 81 | 0.2% | 35% | |
| 82 | 3% | 35% | |
| 83 | 0.2% | 32% | Median |
| 84 | 4% | 32% | |
| 85 | 27% | 28% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0.8% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0.8% | |
| 88 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 90 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 59 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 60 | 8% | 99.7% | |
| 61 | 0.2% | 91% | |
| 62 | 3% | 91% | |
| 63 | 4% | 88% | |
| 64 | 2% | 84% | |
| 65 | 1.0% | 82% | |
| 66 | 28% | 81% | |
| 67 | 1.4% | 53% | |
| 68 | 2% | 51% | |
| 69 | 5% | 49% | |
| 70 | 1.0% | 44% | |
| 71 | 3% | 43% | |
| 72 | 0.9% | 41% | |
| 73 | 11% | 40% | Median |
| 74 | 0.9% | 29% | |
| 75 | 25% | 28% | |
| 76 | 0% | 3% | Majority |
| 77 | 0.6% | 3% | |
| 78 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 79 | 0.3% | 1.0% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 84 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 0.8% | 100% | Last Result |
| 56 | 0% | 99.2% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 99.1% | |
| 58 | 0.4% | 99.1% | |
| 59 | 0.2% | 98.7% | |
| 60 | 2% | 98.5% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 97% | |
| 62 | 0.3% | 97% | |
| 63 | 7% | 96% | |
| 64 | 0.4% | 90% | |
| 65 | 2% | 89% | |
| 66 | 25% | 87% | |
| 67 | 5% | 62% | |
| 68 | 3% | 57% | |
| 69 | 1.1% | 54% | |
| 70 | 0.4% | 53% | |
| 71 | 13% | 53% | |
| 72 | 2% | 40% | |
| 73 | 11% | 37% | |
| 74 | 24% | 27% | Median |
| 75 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 76 | 0.6% | 2% | Majority |
| 77 | 0.6% | 1.3% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 80 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 82 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – SME RODINA – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 34 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 36 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 37 | 24% | 99.6% | |
| 38 | 0.1% | 76% | |
| 39 | 3% | 75% | |
| 40 | 0.1% | 73% | |
| 41 | 1.1% | 73% | |
| 42 | 1.3% | 71% | |
| 43 | 0.3% | 70% | |
| 44 | 4% | 70% | |
| 45 | 0.2% | 66% | |
| 46 | 0.6% | 66% | |
| 47 | 2% | 65% | |
| 48 | 8% | 64% | |
| 49 | 3% | 55% | |
| 50 | 4% | 53% | |
| 51 | 4% | 48% | |
| 52 | 3% | 44% | |
| 53 | 0.8% | 41% | |
| 54 | 5% | 41% | |
| 55 | 4% | 36% | |
| 56 | 0.3% | 32% | Median |
| 57 | 0.3% | 32% | |
| 58 | 27% | 31% | |
| 59 | 0.3% | 4% | |
| 60 | 2% | 4% | |
| 61 | 0.7% | 1.2% | |
| 62 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – SME RODINA
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 34 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 36 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 37 | 24% | 99.6% | |
| 38 | 0.1% | 76% | |
| 39 | 3% | 75% | |
| 40 | 0.1% | 73% | |
| 41 | 1.1% | 73% | |
| 42 | 1.3% | 71% | |
| 43 | 0.3% | 70% | |
| 44 | 4% | 70% | |
| 45 | 0.2% | 66% | |
| 46 | 0.6% | 66% | |
| 47 | 2% | 65% | |
| 48 | 8% | 64% | |
| 49 | 3% | 55% | |
| 50 | 4% | 53% | |
| 51 | 4% | 48% | |
| 52 | 3% | 44% | |
| 53 | 0.8% | 41% | |
| 54 | 5% | 41% | |
| 55 | 4% | 36% | Last Result |
| 56 | 0.3% | 32% | Median |
| 57 | 0.3% | 32% | |
| 58 | 27% | 31% | |
| 59 | 0.3% | 4% | |
| 60 | 2% | 4% | |
| 61 | 0.7% | 1.2% | |
| 62 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 33 | 3% | 99.8% | |
| 34 | 0.2% | 97% | |
| 35 | 0.1% | 97% | |
| 36 | 0.7% | 96% | |
| 37 | 32% | 96% | |
| 38 | 0.2% | 63% | Last Result |
| 39 | 4% | 63% | |
| 40 | 4% | 59% | |
| 41 | 3% | 55% | |
| 42 | 2% | 52% | |
| 43 | 4% | 50% | |
| 44 | 1.2% | 46% | |
| 45 | 1.5% | 44% | |
| 46 | 10% | 43% | Median |
| 47 | 2% | 33% | |
| 48 | 21% | 32% | |
| 49 | 4% | 10% | |
| 50 | 1.2% | 7% | |
| 51 | 4% | 5% | |
| 52 | 0.4% | 1.1% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0.7% | |
| 54 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – SME RODINA – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | 3% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 97% | |
| 26 | 0% | 97% | |
| 27 | 0.4% | 97% | |
| 28 | 0% | 96% | |
| 29 | 24% | 96% | |
| 30 | 0.1% | 72% | |
| 31 | 1.2% | 72% | |
| 32 | 4% | 70% | |
| 33 | 0.4% | 67% | |
| 34 | 10% | 66% | Last Result |
| 35 | 0.6% | 57% | |
| 36 | 0.5% | 56% | |
| 37 | 2% | 55% | |
| 38 | 2% | 54% | |
| 39 | 0.4% | 51% | |
| 40 | 3% | 51% | |
| 41 | 0.7% | 48% | |
| 42 | 0.9% | 47% | |
| 43 | 5% | 46% | |
| 44 | 0.4% | 42% | |
| 45 | 4% | 41% | |
| 46 | 4% | 37% | Median |
| 47 | 2% | 33% | |
| 48 | 24% | 31% | |
| 49 | 1.0% | 7% | |
| 50 | 0% | 6% | |
| 51 | 6% | 6% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – SME RODINA
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 3% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 97% | |
| 26 | 0% | 97% | |
| 27 | 0.4% | 97% | |
| 28 | 0% | 96% | |
| 29 | 24% | 96% | |
| 30 | 0.1% | 72% | |
| 31 | 1.2% | 72% | |
| 32 | 4% | 70% | |
| 33 | 0.4% | 67% | |
| 34 | 10% | 66% | |
| 35 | 0.6% | 57% | |
| 36 | 0.5% | 56% | |
| 37 | 2% | 55% | |
| 38 | 2% | 54% | |
| 39 | 0.4% | 51% | |
| 40 | 3% | 51% | |
| 41 | 0.7% | 48% | |
| 42 | 0.9% | 47% | |
| 43 | 5% | 46% | |
| 44 | 0.4% | 42% | |
| 45 | 4% | 41% | |
| 46 | 4% | 37% | Median |
| 47 | 2% | 33% | |
| 48 | 24% | 31% | |
| 49 | 1.0% | 7% | |
| 50 | 0% | 6% | |
| 51 | 6% | 6% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 33 | 1.0% | 99.7% | |
| 34 | 0.7% | 98.7% | |
| 35 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 36 | 2% | 98% | |
| 37 | 25% | 96% | |
| 38 | 0.4% | 71% | |
| 39 | 3% | 70% | |
| 40 | 0.8% | 67% | |
| 41 | 10% | 66% | |
| 42 | 2% | 57% | |
| 43 | 1.0% | 55% | |
| 44 | 4% | 54% | |
| 45 | 8% | 50% | |
| 46 | 6% | 42% | |
| 47 | 21% | 36% | Median |
| 48 | 8% | 14% | |
| 49 | 2% | 6% | |
| 50 | 3% | 4% | |
| 51 | 0.1% | 1.0% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 0.9% | |
| 53 | 0.7% | 0.8% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0.2% | Last Result |
| 56 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 31 | 6% | 99.8% | |
| 32 | 0.7% | 94% | |
| 33 | 5% | 93% | |
| 34 | 11% | 88% | |
| 35 | 2% | 78% | |
| 36 | 5% | 76% | |
| 37 | 55% | 71% | Median |
| 38 | 0.5% | 16% | Last Result |
| 39 | 8% | 15% | |
| 40 | 1.1% | 8% | |
| 41 | 6% | 7% | |
| 42 | 0.6% | 1.2% | |
| 43 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 44 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 45 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 4% | 99.9% | |
| 23 | 0.1% | 96% | |
| 24 | 5% | 95% | |
| 25 | 0.3% | 90% | |
| 26 | 0.4% | 90% | |
| 27 | 2% | 90% | |
| 28 | 1.1% | 88% | |
| 29 | 25% | 87% | |
| 30 | 0.8% | 62% | |
| 31 | 0.7% | 61% | |
| 32 | 1.0% | 61% | |
| 33 | 4% | 60% | |
| 34 | 10% | 55% | |
| 35 | 0.7% | 45% | |
| 36 | 4% | 45% | |
| 37 | 26% | 40% | Median |
| 38 | 4% | 14% | |
| 39 | 6% | 10% | |
| 40 | 3% | 4% | |
| 41 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 42 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 45 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 8% | 99.9% | |
| 24 | 5% | 92% | |
| 25 | 0.2% | 87% | |
| 26 | 0.2% | 86% | |
| 27 | 0.5% | 86% | |
| 28 | 0.4% | 86% | |
| 29 | 27% | 85% | |
| 30 | 0.4% | 58% | |
| 31 | 2% | 58% | |
| 32 | 7% | 56% | |
| 33 | 3% | 49% | |
| 34 | 0.6% | 47% | |
| 35 | 8% | 46% | |
| 36 | 2% | 38% | Median |
| 37 | 2% | 36% | |
| 38 | 23% | 34% | |
| 39 | 9% | 11% | |
| 40 | 0.1% | 1.4% | |
| 41 | 0.5% | 1.3% | |
| 42 | 0.1% | 0.8% | |
| 43 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Focus
- Commissioner(s): TV Markíza
- Fieldwork period: 9–16 August 2023
Calculations
- Sample size: 1009
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.18%