Opinion Poll by AKO for TV JOJ, 5–11 September 2023
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMER–sociálna demokracia | 18.3% | 19.4% | 17.9–21.1% | 17.4–21.6% | 17.1–22.0% | 16.4–22.8% |
| Progresívne Slovensko | 7.0% | 18.2% | 16.7–19.8% | 16.3–20.3% | 15.9–20.7% | 15.2–21.5% |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia | 0.0% | 15.1% | 13.7–16.6% | 13.3–17.1% | 13.0–17.5% | 12.4–18.2% |
| Sloboda a Solidarita | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.4–8.6% | 6.2–8.9% | 5.9–9.2% | 5.5–9.8% |
| OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti–Kresťanská únia–Za ľudí | 0.0% | 7.0% | 6.1–8.2% | 5.8–8.5% | 5.6–8.8% | 5.2–9.3% |
| Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.1–7.1% | 4.9–7.4% | 4.7–7.7% | 4.3–8.2% |
| Slovenská národná strana | 3.2% | 6.0% | 5.1–7.1% | 4.9–7.4% | 4.7–7.7% | 4.3–8.2% |
| SME RODINA | 8.2% | 5.3% | 4.5–6.3% | 4.3–6.6% | 4.1–6.9% | 3.7–7.4% |
| REPUBLIKA | 0.0% | 5.2% | 4.4–6.2% | 4.2–6.5% | 4.0–6.8% | 3.6–7.3% |
| SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia | 7.0% | 3.5% | 2.9–4.4% | 2.7–4.6% | 2.5–4.8% | 2.2–5.3% |
| Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.3–3.7% | 2.2–3.9% | 2.0–4.1% | 1.8–4.6% |
| MODRÍ–Európske Slovensko–MOST–HÍD | 0.0% | 1.4% | 1.0–2.0% | 0.9–2.2% | 0.8–2.3% | 0.7–2.7% |
| Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | 8.0% | 0.6% | 0.4–1.1% | 0.3–1.2% | 0.3–1.3% | 0.2–1.6% |
| Magyar Fórum | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.2–0.7% | 0.1–0.8% | 0.1–0.9% | 0.1–1.1% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMER–sociálna demokracia | 38 | 33 | 32–33 | 32–35 | 31–38 | 29–39 |
| Progresívne Slovensko | 0 | 32 | 31–32 | 31–32 | 30–34 | 26–38 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia | 0 | 25 | 25–27 | 25–29 | 25–32 | 23–32 |
| Sloboda a Solidarita | 13 | 15 | 10–15 | 10–15 | 10–15 | 9–18 |
| OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti–Kresťanská únia–Za ľudí | 0 | 13 | 10–13 | 10–13 | 10–14 | 9–15 |
| Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie | 0 | 13 | 10–13 | 10–13 | 10–13 | 0–13 |
| Slovenská národná strana | 0 | 10 | 10–11 | 10–11 | 9–12 | 0–14 |
| SME RODINA | 17 | 0 | 0–10 | 0–10 | 0–10 | 0–12 |
| REPUBLIKA | 0 | 9 | 9 | 0–9 | 0–10 | 0–12 |
| SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| MODRÍ–Európske Slovensko–MOST–HÍD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Magyar Fórum | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
SMER–sociálna demokracia
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SMER–sociálna demokracia page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 29 | 1.1% | 99.6% | |
| 30 | 0.1% | 98.5% | |
| 31 | 2% | 98% | |
| 32 | 11% | 97% | |
| 33 | 78% | 85% | Median |
| 34 | 1.3% | 7% | |
| 35 | 0.7% | 6% | |
| 36 | 0.8% | 5% | |
| 37 | 1.2% | 4% | |
| 38 | 2% | 3% | Last Result |
| 39 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 40 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 41 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 44 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% |
Progresívne Slovensko
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Progresívne Slovensko page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 25 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 26 | 0.6% | 99.6% | |
| 27 | 0.1% | 99.0% | |
| 28 | 0.7% | 98.9% | |
| 29 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 30 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 31 | 11% | 97% | |
| 32 | 81% | 85% | Median |
| 33 | 0.4% | 4% | |
| 34 | 3% | 4% | |
| 35 | 0.9% | 1.5% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 38 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the HLAS–sociálna demokracia page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 22 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 23 | 0.9% | 99.6% | |
| 24 | 0.2% | 98.7% | |
| 25 | 78% | 98% | Median |
| 26 | 2% | 21% | |
| 27 | 11% | 19% | |
| 28 | 2% | 7% | |
| 29 | 1.1% | 5% | |
| 30 | 0.8% | 4% | |
| 31 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 32 | 3% | 3% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 34 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% |
Sloboda a Solidarita
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sloboda a Solidarita page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 1.1% | 100% | |
| 10 | 10% | 98.9% | |
| 11 | 1.0% | 89% | |
| 12 | 3% | 88% | |
| 13 | 1.5% | 85% | Last Result |
| 14 | 3% | 83% | |
| 15 | 78% | 80% | Median |
| 16 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 17 | 0.2% | 1.4% | |
| 18 | 1.1% | 1.2% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% |
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti–Kresťanská únia–Za ľudí
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti–Kresťanská únia–Za ľudí page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.1% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 2 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 6 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 7 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 8 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 9 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 10 | 11% | 99.5% | |
| 11 | 2% | 89% | |
| 12 | 3% | 87% | |
| 13 | 79% | 84% | Median |
| 14 | 3% | 4% | |
| 15 | 2% | 2% | |
| 16 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% |
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.5% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 2 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 6 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 7 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 8 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 9 | 1.1% | 99.5% | |
| 10 | 11% | 98% | |
| 11 | 4% | 87% | |
| 12 | 5% | 83% | |
| 13 | 78% | 78% | Median |
| 14 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 16 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% |
Slovenská národná strana
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenská národná strana page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 98% | |
| 2 | 0% | 98% | |
| 3 | 0% | 98% | |
| 4 | 0% | 98% | |
| 5 | 0% | 98% | |
| 6 | 0% | 98% | |
| 7 | 0% | 98% | |
| 8 | 0% | 98% | |
| 9 | 2% | 98% | |
| 10 | 81% | 96% | Median |
| 11 | 11% | 15% | |
| 12 | 2% | 4% | |
| 13 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 14 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 15 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% |
SME RODINA
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SME RODINA page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 84% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 16% | |
| 2 | 0% | 16% | |
| 3 | 0% | 16% | |
| 4 | 0% | 16% | |
| 5 | 0% | 16% | |
| 6 | 0% | 16% | |
| 7 | 0% | 16% | |
| 8 | 0% | 16% | |
| 9 | 2% | 16% | |
| 10 | 13% | 14% | |
| 11 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 12 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 13 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
REPUBLIKA
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the REPUBLIKA page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 93% | |
| 2 | 0% | 93% | |
| 3 | 0% | 93% | |
| 4 | 0% | 93% | |
| 5 | 0% | 93% | |
| 6 | 0% | 93% | |
| 7 | 0% | 93% | |
| 8 | 0% | 93% | |
| 9 | 89% | 93% | Median |
| 10 | 3% | 5% | |
| 11 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 12 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.8% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 9 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
MODRÍ–Európske Slovensko–MOST–HÍD
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the MODRÍ–Európske Slovensko–MOST–HÍD page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Magyar Fórum
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Magyar Fórum page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – SME RODINA – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | 72 | 68 | 18% | 68–80 | 68–80 | 68–82 | 64–84 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – SME RODINA | 55 | 68 | 18% | 68–80 | 68–80 | 68–82 | 64–84 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana | 38 | 68 | 3% | 68–70 | 68–73 | 66–76 | 63–80 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA | 55 | 58 | 0.4% | 58–69 | 58–70 | 58–71 | 58–75 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – SME RODINA – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | 72 | 43 | 0% | 43–53 | 43–53 | 43–55 | 32–57 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – SME RODINA | 55 | 43 | 0% | 43–53 | 43–53 | 43–55 | 32–57 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – SME RODINA – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | 34 | 35 | 0% | 35–48 | 35–48 | 35–49 | 32–51 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – SME RODINA | 17 | 35 | 0% | 35–48 | 35–48 | 35–49 | 32–51 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana | 38 | 43 | 0% | 43 | 41–46 | 40–48 | 32–50 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA | 55 | 33 | 0% | 33–42 | 33–42 | 33–44 | 31–47 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana | 0 | 35 | 0% | 35–38 | 35–39 | 33–41 | 29–42 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia | 38 | 33 | 0% | 32–33 | 32–35 | 31–38 | 29–39 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA | 17 | 25 | 0% | 25–37 | 25–37 | 25–38 | 25–40 |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – SME RODINA – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 64 | 1.2% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 98.8% | |
| 66 | 0% | 98.8% | |
| 67 | 0.3% | 98.7% | |
| 68 | 77% | 98% | Median |
| 69 | 0.2% | 21% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 21% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 21% | |
| 72 | 0.4% | 21% | Last Result |
| 73 | 1.0% | 20% | |
| 74 | 0.6% | 19% | |
| 75 | 0.8% | 19% | |
| 76 | 0.7% | 18% | Majority |
| 77 | 0.6% | 17% | |
| 78 | 1.4% | 17% | |
| 79 | 0.4% | 15% | |
| 80 | 12% | 15% | |
| 81 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 82 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 83 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 84 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 85 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 91 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – SME RODINA
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 56 | 0% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 1.2% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 98.8% | |
| 66 | 0% | 98.8% | |
| 67 | 0.3% | 98.7% | |
| 68 | 77% | 98% | Median |
| 69 | 0.2% | 21% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 21% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 21% | |
| 72 | 0.4% | 21% | |
| 73 | 1.0% | 20% | |
| 74 | 0.6% | 19% | |
| 75 | 0.8% | 19% | |
| 76 | 0.7% | 18% | Majority |
| 77 | 0.6% | 17% | |
| 78 | 1.4% | 17% | |
| 79 | 0.4% | 15% | |
| 80 | 12% | 15% | |
| 81 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 82 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 83 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 84 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 85 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 91 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 62 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 63 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 64 | 2% | 99.4% | |
| 65 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 66 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 67 | 1.0% | 97% | |
| 68 | 79% | 96% | Median |
| 69 | 0.1% | 18% | |
| 70 | 10% | 18% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 7% | |
| 72 | 0.8% | 7% | |
| 73 | 2% | 6% | |
| 74 | 0.5% | 4% | |
| 75 | 0.8% | 4% | |
| 76 | 0.4% | 3% | Majority |
| 77 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 78 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 80 | 2% | 2% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 56 | 0% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 58 | 78% | 99.6% | Median |
| 59 | 0.1% | 22% | |
| 60 | 0.7% | 22% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 21% | |
| 62 | 0.2% | 21% | |
| 63 | 0.2% | 21% | |
| 64 | 2% | 21% | |
| 65 | 0.7% | 19% | |
| 66 | 1.4% | 18% | |
| 67 | 1.3% | 17% | |
| 68 | 0.4% | 16% | |
| 69 | 10% | 15% | |
| 70 | 2% | 5% | |
| 71 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 72 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 73 | 0.7% | 1.4% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 0.4% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 83 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – SME RODINA – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | 1.1% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0% | 98.9% | |
| 34 | 0% | 98.9% | |
| 35 | 0% | 98.9% | |
| 36 | 0.1% | 98.8% | |
| 37 | 0% | 98.7% | |
| 38 | 0% | 98.7% | |
| 39 | 0% | 98.7% | |
| 40 | 0.1% | 98.7% | |
| 41 | 0.3% | 98.6% | |
| 42 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 43 | 77% | 98% | Median |
| 44 | 0.1% | 21% | |
| 45 | 0.1% | 21% | |
| 46 | 1.3% | 20% | |
| 47 | 0.3% | 19% | |
| 48 | 2% | 19% | |
| 49 | 0.5% | 17% | |
| 50 | 3% | 16% | |
| 51 | 0.5% | 14% | |
| 52 | 0.2% | 13% | |
| 53 | 9% | 13% | |
| 54 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 55 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 56 | 2% | 2% | |
| 57 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – SME RODINA
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | 1.1% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0% | 98.9% | |
| 34 | 0% | 98.9% | |
| 35 | 0% | 98.9% | |
| 36 | 0.1% | 98.8% | |
| 37 | 0% | 98.7% | |
| 38 | 0% | 98.7% | |
| 39 | 0% | 98.7% | |
| 40 | 0.1% | 98.7% | |
| 41 | 0.3% | 98.6% | |
| 42 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 43 | 77% | 98% | Median |
| 44 | 0.1% | 21% | |
| 45 | 0.1% | 21% | |
| 46 | 1.3% | 20% | |
| 47 | 0.3% | 19% | |
| 48 | 2% | 19% | |
| 49 | 0.5% | 17% | |
| 50 | 3% | 16% | |
| 51 | 0.5% | 14% | |
| 52 | 0.2% | 13% | |
| 53 | 9% | 13% | |
| 54 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 55 | 0.9% | 3% | Last Result |
| 56 | 2% | 2% | |
| 57 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – SME RODINA – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 31 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 32 | 1.1% | 99.8% | |
| 33 | 0.1% | 98.7% | |
| 34 | 0% | 98.6% | Last Result |
| 35 | 77% | 98.6% | Median |
| 36 | 0.5% | 21% | |
| 37 | 0.6% | 21% | |
| 38 | 0.9% | 20% | |
| 39 | 0.3% | 19% | |
| 40 | 1.0% | 19% | |
| 41 | 0.4% | 18% | |
| 42 | 2% | 18% | |
| 43 | 0.3% | 15% | |
| 44 | 0.1% | 15% | |
| 45 | 0.7% | 15% | |
| 46 | 0.4% | 14% | |
| 47 | 0.8% | 14% | |
| 48 | 10% | 13% | |
| 49 | 2% | 3% | |
| 50 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 51 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – SME RODINA
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 31 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 32 | 1.1% | 99.8% | |
| 33 | 0.1% | 98.7% | |
| 34 | 0% | 98.6% | |
| 35 | 77% | 98.6% | Median |
| 36 | 0.5% | 21% | |
| 37 | 0.6% | 21% | |
| 38 | 0.9% | 20% | |
| 39 | 0.3% | 19% | |
| 40 | 1.0% | 19% | |
| 41 | 0.4% | 18% | |
| 42 | 2% | 18% | |
| 43 | 0.3% | 15% | |
| 44 | 0.1% | 15% | |
| 45 | 0.7% | 15% | |
| 46 | 0.4% | 14% | |
| 47 | 0.8% | 14% | |
| 48 | 10% | 13% | |
| 49 | 2% | 3% | |
| 50 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 51 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 32 | 1.3% | 99.9% | |
| 33 | 0% | 98.7% | |
| 34 | 0% | 98.7% | |
| 35 | 0% | 98.6% | |
| 36 | 0.2% | 98.6% | |
| 37 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 38 | 0.2% | 98% | Last Result |
| 39 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 40 | 2% | 98% | |
| 41 | 0.9% | 96% | |
| 42 | 0.3% | 95% | |
| 43 | 87% | 95% | Median |
| 44 | 0.7% | 8% | |
| 45 | 0.1% | 7% | |
| 46 | 3% | 7% | |
| 47 | 0.8% | 4% | |
| 48 | 2% | 3% | |
| 49 | 0.3% | 1.1% | |
| 50 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 51 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 32 | 1.2% | 99.5% | |
| 33 | 78% | 98% | Median |
| 34 | 0% | 20% | |
| 35 | 0.4% | 20% | |
| 36 | 0.2% | 20% | |
| 37 | 0.9% | 20% | |
| 38 | 2% | 19% | |
| 39 | 1.1% | 16% | |
| 40 | 0.4% | 15% | |
| 41 | 0.9% | 15% | |
| 42 | 10% | 14% | |
| 43 | 0.5% | 4% | |
| 44 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 45 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 46 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 47 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 48 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 54 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 25 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 26 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 27 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 28 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 29 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 30 | 0.3% | 99.3% | |
| 31 | 0.1% | 99.0% | |
| 32 | 1.2% | 98.8% | |
| 33 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 34 | 0.1% | 97% | |
| 35 | 78% | 97% | Median |
| 36 | 1.2% | 19% | |
| 37 | 0.9% | 18% | |
| 38 | 11% | 17% | |
| 39 | 2% | 6% | |
| 40 | 2% | 4% | |
| 41 | 0.4% | 3% | |
| 42 | 2% | 2% | |
| 43 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 29 | 1.1% | 99.6% | |
| 30 | 0.1% | 98.5% | |
| 31 | 2% | 98% | |
| 32 | 11% | 97% | |
| 33 | 78% | 85% | Median |
| 34 | 1.3% | 7% | |
| 35 | 0.7% | 6% | |
| 36 | 0.8% | 5% | |
| 37 | 1.2% | 4% | |
| 38 | 2% | 3% | Last Result |
| 39 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 40 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 41 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 44 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 25 | 77% | 99.7% | Median |
| 26 | 0.7% | 22% | |
| 27 | 0.9% | 22% | |
| 28 | 0.2% | 21% | |
| 29 | 0.6% | 20% | |
| 30 | 0.2% | 20% | |
| 31 | 0.3% | 20% | |
| 32 | 3% | 19% | |
| 33 | 0.2% | 16% | |
| 34 | 0.5% | 16% | |
| 35 | 1.0% | 15% | |
| 36 | 0.3% | 14% | |
| 37 | 11% | 14% | |
| 38 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 39 | 0.5% | 1.5% | |
| 40 | 0.7% | 1.0% | |
| 41 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 43 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: AKO
- Commissioner(s): TV JOJ
- Fieldwork period: 5–11 September 2023
Calculations
- Sample size: 1000
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.03%