Opinion Poll by IPSOS for Pravda, 15–19 September 2023
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMER–sociálna demokracia | 18.3% | 20.1% | 18.5–21.8% | 18.1–22.2% | 17.7–22.6% | 17.0–23.5% |
| Progresívne Slovensko | 7.0% | 17.1% | 15.6–18.6% | 15.2–19.1% | 14.9–19.5% | 14.2–20.3% |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia | 0.0% | 13.0% | 11.7–14.4% | 11.3–14.8% | 11.0–15.2% | 10.5–15.9% |
| REPUBLIKA | 0.0% | 8.5% | 7.5–9.7% | 7.2–10.0% | 6.9–10.3% | 6.5–11.0% |
| OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti–Kresťanská únia–Za ľudí | 0.0% | 8.1% | 7.1–9.3% | 6.8–9.6% | 6.6–9.9% | 6.1–10.5% |
| Sloboda a Solidarita | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.2–7.1% | 4.9–7.4% | 4.7–7.7% | 4.4–8.2% |
| Slovenská národná strana | 3.2% | 5.6% | 4.7–6.6% | 4.5–6.9% | 4.3–7.1% | 3.9–7.7% |
| Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.5–6.3% | 4.2–6.6% | 4.1–6.8% | 3.7–7.3% |
| SME RODINA | 8.2% | 4.2% | 3.5–5.1% | 3.3–5.4% | 3.1–5.6% | 2.8–6.1% |
| Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.3–4.9% | 3.1–5.2% | 3.0–5.4% | 2.7–5.9% |
| SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia | 7.0% | 3.4% | 2.8–4.3% | 2.6–4.5% | 2.5–4.7% | 2.2–5.2% |
| Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | 8.0% | 2.5% | 2.0–3.3% | 1.9–3.5% | 1.7–3.7% | 1.5–4.1% |
| MODRÍ–Európske Slovensko–MOST–HÍD | 0.0% | 0.9% | 0.6–1.4% | 0.5–1.5% | 0.5–1.7% | 0.4–2.0% |
| Magyar Fórum | 0.0% | 0.6% | 0.4–1.0% | 0.3–1.2% | 0.3–1.3% | 0.2–1.5% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMER–sociálna demokracia | 38 | 38 | 32–38 | 32–40 | 32–40 | 31–43 |
| Progresívne Slovensko | 0 | 32 | 27–32 | 27–33 | 26–34 | 26–36 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia | 0 | 24 | 24–25 | 23–27 | 21–27 | 20–33 |
| REPUBLIKA | 0 | 16 | 14–16 | 14–17 | 13–19 | 11–20 |
| OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti–Kresťanská únia–Za ľudí | 0 | 16 | 13–16 | 13–16 | 13–17 | 11–20 |
| Sloboda a Solidarita | 13 | 13 | 10–13 | 10–13 | 0–13 | 0–14 |
| Slovenská národná strana | 0 | 11 | 9–11 | 9–11 | 0–12 | 0–13 |
| Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie | 0 | 0 | 0–10 | 0–11 | 0–12 | 0–14 |
| SME RODINA | 17 | 0 | 0–10 | 0–10 | 0–10 | 0–11 |
| Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–10 |
| SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| MODRÍ–Európske Slovensko–MOST–HÍD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Magyar Fórum | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
SMER–sociálna demokracia
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SMER–sociálna demokracia page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 31 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 32 | 35% | 99.4% | |
| 33 | 0.7% | 65% | |
| 34 | 0.5% | 64% | |
| 35 | 0.2% | 63% | |
| 36 | 3% | 63% | |
| 37 | 3% | 61% | |
| 38 | 51% | 58% | Last Result, Median |
| 39 | 1.2% | 7% | |
| 40 | 4% | 6% | |
| 41 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 42 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 43 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 44 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 45 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% |
Progresívne Slovensko
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Progresívne Slovensko page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 26 | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 27 | 36% | 97% | |
| 28 | 0.3% | 61% | |
| 29 | 1.4% | 61% | |
| 30 | 1.4% | 60% | |
| 31 | 4% | 58% | |
| 32 | 49% | 55% | Median |
| 33 | 0.8% | 6% | |
| 34 | 3% | 5% | |
| 35 | 0.4% | 1.5% | |
| 36 | 0.6% | 1.0% | |
| 37 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 38 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the HLAS–sociálna demokracia page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 20 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 21 | 3% | 99.2% | |
| 22 | 1.2% | 96% | |
| 23 | 2% | 95% | |
| 24 | 50% | 94% | Median |
| 25 | 37% | 44% | |
| 26 | 1.1% | 7% | |
| 27 | 4% | 6% | |
| 28 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 29 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0.7% | |
| 31 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 33 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% |
REPUBLIKA
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the REPUBLIKA page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 1.3% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0.2% | 98.6% | |
| 13 | 2% | 98% | |
| 14 | 38% | 96% | |
| 15 | 1.4% | 58% | |
| 16 | 50% | 57% | Median |
| 17 | 3% | 7% | |
| 18 | 0.7% | 4% | |
| 19 | 2% | 3% | |
| 20 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 21 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% |
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti–Kresťanská únia–Za ľudí
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti–Kresťanská únia–Za ľudí page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 1.4% | 100% | |
| 12 | 1.1% | 98.6% | |
| 13 | 39% | 98% | |
| 14 | 3% | 59% | |
| 15 | 2% | 55% | |
| 16 | 50% | 54% | Median |
| 17 | 2% | 4% | |
| 18 | 0.4% | 1.4% | |
| 19 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 20 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 21 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% |
Sloboda a Solidarita
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sloboda a Solidarita page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 97% | |
| 2 | 0% | 97% | |
| 3 | 0% | 97% | |
| 4 | 0% | 97% | |
| 5 | 0% | 97% | |
| 6 | 0% | 97% | |
| 7 | 0% | 97% | |
| 8 | 0% | 97% | |
| 9 | 0.7% | 97% | |
| 10 | 37% | 96% | |
| 11 | 2% | 59% | |
| 12 | 6% | 57% | |
| 13 | 49% | 50% | Last Result, Median |
| 14 | 1.5% | 2% | |
| 15 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 16 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% |
Slovenská národná strana
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenská národná strana page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 95% | |
| 2 | 0% | 95% | |
| 3 | 0% | 95% | |
| 4 | 0% | 95% | |
| 5 | 0% | 95% | |
| 6 | 0% | 95% | |
| 7 | 0% | 95% | |
| 8 | 0% | 95% | |
| 9 | 35% | 95% | |
| 10 | 6% | 61% | |
| 11 | 52% | 54% | Median |
| 12 | 2% | 3% | |
| 13 | 0.7% | 1.0% | |
| 14 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 15 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% |
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 55% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0% | 45% | |
| 2 | 0% | 45% | |
| 3 | 0% | 45% | |
| 4 | 0% | 45% | |
| 5 | 0% | 45% | |
| 6 | 0% | 45% | |
| 7 | 0% | 45% | |
| 8 | 0% | 45% | |
| 9 | 0.8% | 45% | |
| 10 | 37% | 44% | |
| 11 | 4% | 7% | |
| 12 | 2% | 3% | |
| 13 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 14 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 15 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% |
SME RODINA
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SME RODINA page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 62% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 38% | |
| 2 | 0% | 38% | |
| 3 | 0% | 38% | |
| 4 | 0% | 38% | |
| 5 | 0% | 38% | |
| 6 | 0% | 38% | |
| 7 | 0% | 38% | |
| 8 | 0% | 38% | |
| 9 | 2% | 38% | |
| 10 | 36% | 37% | |
| 11 | 0.7% | 0.8% | |
| 12 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.0% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0% | 1.0% | |
| 2 | 0% | 1.0% | |
| 3 | 0% | 1.0% | |
| 4 | 0% | 1.0% | |
| 5 | 0% | 1.0% | |
| 6 | 0% | 1.0% | |
| 7 | 0% | 1.0% | |
| 8 | 0% | 1.0% | |
| 9 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 10 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 11 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.9% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 9 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
MODRÍ–Európske Slovensko–MOST–HÍD
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the MODRÍ–Európske Slovensko–MOST–HÍD page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Magyar Fórum
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Magyar Fórum page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – SME RODINA – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | 72 | 73 | 40% | 73–76 | 70–77 | 67–78 | 59–84 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – SME RODINA | 55 | 73 | 40% | 73–76 | 70–77 | 67–78 | 59–84 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana | 38 | 73 | 3% | 66–73 | 66–73 | 65–77 | 59–77 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA | 55 | 62 | 0.5% | 62–67 | 61–67 | 59–69 | 55–76 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – SME RODINA – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | 72 | 49 | 0% | 49–51 | 46–51 | 40–54 | 36–57 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – SME RODINA | 55 | 49 | 0% | 49–51 | 46–51 | 40–54 | 36–57 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana | 38 | 49 | 0% | 41–49 | 41–49 | 39–50 | 36–52 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA | 55 | 38 | 0% | 38–42 | 38–42 | 37–45 | 33–50 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – SME RODINA – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | 34 | 35 | 0% | 35–44 | 32–44 | 29–44 | 22–46 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – SME RODINA | 17 | 35 | 0% | 35–44 | 32–44 | 29–44 | 22–46 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia | 38 | 38 | 0% | 32–38 | 32–40 | 32–40 | 31–43 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana | 0 | 35 | 0% | 34–35 | 32–35 | 27–37 | 21–39 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA | 17 | 24 | 0% | 24–35 | 23–35 | 21–35 | 20–36 |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – SME RODINA – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 59 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 61 | 0.3% | 99.4% | |
| 62 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 63 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 64 | 0.3% | 99.1% | |
| 65 | 0.6% | 98.8% | |
| 66 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 67 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 68 | 0.3% | 97% | |
| 69 | 0.4% | 96% | |
| 70 | 3% | 96% | |
| 71 | 1.4% | 93% | |
| 72 | 1.4% | 92% | Last Result |
| 73 | 49% | 90% | Median |
| 74 | 0.9% | 42% | |
| 75 | 0.5% | 41% | |
| 76 | 35% | 40% | Majority |
| 77 | 3% | 5% | |
| 78 | 0.4% | 3% | |
| 79 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 80 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0.8% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0.7% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0.7% | |
| 84 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 87 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – SME RODINA
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 56 | 0% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 59 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 61 | 0.3% | 99.4% | |
| 62 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 63 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 64 | 0.3% | 99.1% | |
| 65 | 0.6% | 98.8% | |
| 66 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 67 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 68 | 0.3% | 97% | |
| 69 | 0.4% | 96% | |
| 70 | 3% | 96% | |
| 71 | 1.4% | 93% | |
| 72 | 1.4% | 92% | |
| 73 | 49% | 90% | Median |
| 74 | 0.9% | 42% | |
| 75 | 0.5% | 41% | |
| 76 | 35% | 40% | Majority |
| 77 | 3% | 5% | |
| 78 | 0.4% | 3% | |
| 79 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 80 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0.8% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0.7% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0.7% | |
| 84 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 87 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 59 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 99.3% | |
| 61 | 0.3% | 99.2% | |
| 62 | 0% | 99.0% | |
| 63 | 0.2% | 98.9% | |
| 64 | 0.8% | 98.7% | |
| 65 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 66 | 35% | 97% | |
| 67 | 1.4% | 62% | |
| 68 | 0.5% | 61% | |
| 69 | 0.4% | 60% | |
| 70 | 3% | 60% | |
| 71 | 3% | 57% | |
| 72 | 1.4% | 55% | |
| 73 | 49% | 53% | Median |
| 74 | 0.3% | 4% | |
| 75 | 0.5% | 4% | |
| 76 | 0.5% | 3% | Majority |
| 77 | 2% | 3% | |
| 78 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 52 | 0% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 54 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 99.5% | Last Result |
| 56 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 57 | 0.2% | 99.3% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 99.1% | |
| 59 | 3% | 99.0% | |
| 60 | 1.2% | 96% | |
| 61 | 2% | 95% | |
| 62 | 48% | 93% | Median |
| 63 | 1.5% | 45% | |
| 64 | 0.3% | 44% | |
| 65 | 0.7% | 43% | |
| 66 | 0.3% | 43% | |
| 67 | 38% | 42% | |
| 68 | 0.6% | 4% | |
| 69 | 2% | 4% | |
| 70 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 1.5% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 1.4% | |
| 73 | 0% | 1.3% | |
| 74 | 0.5% | 1.3% | |
| 75 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0.5% | Majority |
| 77 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – SME RODINA – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 34 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 36 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 37 | 0.8% | 99.4% | |
| 38 | 0.4% | 98.7% | |
| 39 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 40 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 41 | 0.2% | 97% | |
| 42 | 0.3% | 96% | |
| 43 | 0.4% | 96% | |
| 44 | 0.3% | 96% | |
| 45 | 0.4% | 96% | |
| 46 | 0.8% | 95% | |
| 47 | 0.8% | 94% | |
| 48 | 0.6% | 94% | |
| 49 | 52% | 93% | Median |
| 50 | 3% | 41% | |
| 51 | 35% | 38% | |
| 52 | 0.5% | 3% | |
| 53 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 54 | 0.3% | 3% | |
| 55 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 56 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 62 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – SME RODINA
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 34 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 36 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 37 | 0.8% | 99.4% | |
| 38 | 0.4% | 98.7% | |
| 39 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 40 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 41 | 0.2% | 97% | |
| 42 | 0.3% | 96% | |
| 43 | 0.4% | 96% | |
| 44 | 0.3% | 96% | |
| 45 | 0.4% | 96% | |
| 46 | 0.8% | 95% | |
| 47 | 0.8% | 94% | |
| 48 | 0.6% | 94% | |
| 49 | 52% | 93% | Median |
| 50 | 3% | 41% | |
| 51 | 35% | 38% | |
| 52 | 0.5% | 3% | |
| 53 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 54 | 0.3% | 3% | |
| 55 | 0.5% | 2% | Last Result |
| 56 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 62 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 34 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 36 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 37 | 0.9% | 99.4% | |
| 38 | 0.7% | 98.5% | Last Result |
| 39 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 40 | 1.5% | 97% | |
| 41 | 35% | 96% | |
| 42 | 0.7% | 61% | |
| 43 | 0.4% | 60% | |
| 44 | 0.4% | 60% | |
| 45 | 0.7% | 60% | |
| 46 | 1.1% | 59% | |
| 47 | 2% | 58% | |
| 48 | 0.6% | 56% | |
| 49 | 51% | 55% | Median |
| 50 | 3% | 4% | |
| 51 | 0.7% | 1.3% | |
| 52 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 32 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 33 | 0.6% | 99.7% | |
| 34 | 0.2% | 99.1% | |
| 35 | 0.2% | 98.9% | |
| 36 | 1.1% | 98.7% | |
| 37 | 3% | 98% | |
| 38 | 51% | 95% | Median |
| 39 | 1.2% | 44% | |
| 40 | 4% | 43% | |
| 41 | 0.5% | 39% | |
| 42 | 35% | 38% | |
| 43 | 0.1% | 4% | |
| 44 | 0.4% | 3% | |
| 45 | 2% | 3% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 1.3% | |
| 47 | 0.2% | 1.2% | |
| 48 | 0% | 1.0% | |
| 49 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 50 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 52 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – SME RODINA – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 21 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 22 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 23 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 24 | 0.3% | 99.2% | |
| 25 | 0.1% | 98.9% | |
| 26 | 0% | 98.8% | |
| 27 | 1.3% | 98.8% | |
| 28 | 0% | 98% | |
| 29 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 30 | 0% | 97% | |
| 31 | 0.6% | 97% | |
| 32 | 3% | 96% | |
| 33 | 0.8% | 93% | |
| 34 | 0.4% | 93% | Last Result |
| 35 | 51% | 92% | Median |
| 36 | 0.8% | 42% | |
| 37 | 2% | 41% | |
| 38 | 0.4% | 38% | |
| 39 | 0.3% | 38% | |
| 40 | 0.3% | 38% | |
| 41 | 0.2% | 37% | |
| 42 | 0.2% | 37% | |
| 43 | 0% | 37% | |
| 44 | 36% | 37% | |
| 45 | 0.5% | 1.2% | |
| 46 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 48 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – SME RODINA
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 21 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 22 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 23 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 24 | 0.3% | 99.2% | |
| 25 | 0.1% | 98.9% | |
| 26 | 0% | 98.8% | |
| 27 | 1.3% | 98.8% | |
| 28 | 0% | 98% | |
| 29 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 30 | 0% | 97% | |
| 31 | 0.6% | 97% | |
| 32 | 3% | 96% | |
| 33 | 0.8% | 93% | |
| 34 | 0.4% | 93% | |
| 35 | 51% | 92% | Median |
| 36 | 0.8% | 42% | |
| 37 | 2% | 41% | |
| 38 | 0.4% | 38% | |
| 39 | 0.3% | 38% | |
| 40 | 0.3% | 38% | |
| 41 | 0.2% | 37% | |
| 42 | 0.2% | 37% | |
| 43 | 0% | 37% | |
| 44 | 36% | 37% | |
| 45 | 0.5% | 1.2% | |
| 46 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 48 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 31 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 32 | 35% | 99.4% | |
| 33 | 0.7% | 65% | |
| 34 | 0.5% | 64% | |
| 35 | 0.2% | 63% | |
| 36 | 3% | 63% | |
| 37 | 3% | 61% | |
| 38 | 51% | 58% | Last Result, Median |
| 39 | 1.2% | 7% | |
| 40 | 4% | 6% | |
| 41 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 42 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 43 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 44 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 45 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 21 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 22 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 23 | 0.3% | 99.4% | |
| 24 | 0.3% | 99.1% | |
| 25 | 0.3% | 98.7% | |
| 26 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 27 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 28 | 0.1% | 97% | |
| 29 | 0.8% | 97% | |
| 30 | 0.1% | 96% | |
| 31 | 0.6% | 96% | |
| 32 | 3% | 95% | |
| 33 | 0.9% | 92% | |
| 34 | 35% | 92% | |
| 35 | 52% | 56% | Median |
| 36 | 0.4% | 4% | |
| 37 | 3% | 4% | |
| 38 | 0.4% | 1.2% | |
| 39 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 40 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 41 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 20 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 21 | 3% | 99.5% | |
| 22 | 0.9% | 97% | |
| 23 | 1.4% | 96% | |
| 24 | 49% | 95% | Median |
| 25 | 2% | 46% | |
| 26 | 0.7% | 44% | |
| 27 | 4% | 44% | |
| 28 | 0.3% | 40% | |
| 29 | 0.8% | 40% | |
| 30 | 0.1% | 39% | |
| 31 | 0.4% | 39% | |
| 32 | 0.4% | 38% | |
| 33 | 2% | 38% | |
| 34 | 0.3% | 36% | |
| 35 | 35% | 36% | |
| 36 | 0.7% | 1.2% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 38 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 39 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: IPSOS
- Commissioner(s): Pravda
- Fieldwork period: 15–19 September 2023
Calculations
- Sample size: 1026
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.98%