Opinion Poll by Ipsos, 22–25 September 2023
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMER–sociálna demokracia | 18.3% | 20.6% | 19.0–22.3% | 18.6–22.8% | 18.2–23.2% | 17.5–24.1% |
| Progresívne Slovensko | 7.0% | 19.8% | 18.2–21.5% | 17.8–22.0% | 17.4–22.4% | 16.7–23.2% |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia | 0.0% | 11.9% | 10.7–13.3% | 10.3–13.7% | 10.0–14.1% | 9.5–14.8% |
| OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti–Kresťanská únia–Za ľudí | 0.0% | 8.2% | 7.2–9.4% | 6.9–9.8% | 6.6–10.1% | 6.2–10.7% |
| REPUBLIKA | 0.0% | 7.6% | 6.6–8.8% | 6.3–9.1% | 6.1–9.4% | 5.7–10.0% |
| Sloboda a Solidarita | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.1–8.2% | 5.8–8.5% | 5.6–8.8% | 5.2–9.3% |
| Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.0–7.0% | 4.8–7.3% | 4.6–7.5% | 4.2–8.1% |
| Slovenská národná strana | 3.2% | 5.7% | 4.9–6.8% | 4.6–7.1% | 4.4–7.3% | 4.1–7.9% |
| SME RODINA | 8.2% | 4.0% | 3.3–4.9% | 3.1–5.2% | 2.9–5.4% | 2.7–5.9% |
| Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.8–4.3% | 2.6–4.5% | 2.4–4.7% | 2.2–5.2% |
| SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia | 7.0% | 3.3% | 2.7–4.1% | 2.5–4.4% | 2.4–4.6% | 2.1–5.0% |
| Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | 8.0% | 1.6% | 1.2–2.2% | 1.1–2.4% | 1.0–2.6% | 0.8–2.9% |
| MODRÍ–Európske Slovensko–MOST–HÍD | 0.0% | 0.6% | 0.4–1.1% | 0.3–1.2% | 0.3–1.3% | 0.2–1.6% |
| Magyar Fórum | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0–0.4% | 0.0–0.5% | 0.0–0.6% | 0.0–0.7% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMER–sociálna demokracia | 38 | 35 | 34–38 | 32–39 | 32–41 | 31–42 |
| Progresívne Slovensko | 0 | 34 | 31–36 | 31–39 | 29–40 | 29–42 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia | 0 | 22 | 20–25 | 19–25 | 19–25 | 17–26 |
| OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti–Kresťanská únia–Za ľudí | 0 | 11 | 11–15 | 11–17 | 11–17 | 10–18 |
| REPUBLIKA | 0 | 14 | 12–17 | 12–17 | 11–17 | 0–17 |
| Sloboda a Solidarita | 13 | 13 | 11–16 | 11–16 | 11–17 | 9–17 |
| Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie | 0 | 12 | 9–13 | 9–14 | 0–14 | 0–14 |
| Slovenská národná strana | 0 | 0 | 0–10 | 0–11 | 0–12 | 0–14 |
| SME RODINA | 17 | 9 | 0–9 | 0–9 | 0–9 | 0–9 |
| Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–9 | 0–9 |
| SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| MODRÍ–Európske Slovensko–MOST–HÍD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Magyar Fórum | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
SMER–sociálna demokracia
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SMER–sociálna demokracia page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 29 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 30 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 31 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 32 | 6% | 99.1% | |
| 33 | 0.6% | 93% | |
| 34 | 9% | 93% | |
| 35 | 62% | 84% | Median |
| 36 | 2% | 22% | |
| 37 | 7% | 20% | |
| 38 | 7% | 13% | Last Result |
| 39 | 1.0% | 6% | |
| 40 | 2% | 5% | |
| 41 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 42 | 2% | 2% | |
| 43 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% |
Progresívne Slovensko
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Progresívne Slovensko page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 29 | 2% | 99.5% | |
| 30 | 0.4% | 97% | |
| 31 | 8% | 97% | |
| 32 | 3% | 90% | |
| 33 | 0.9% | 87% | |
| 34 | 51% | 86% | Median |
| 35 | 14% | 35% | |
| 36 | 12% | 21% | |
| 37 | 3% | 9% | |
| 38 | 0.3% | 6% | |
| 39 | 2% | 5% | |
| 40 | 2% | 4% | |
| 41 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 42 | 1.3% | 1.3% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the HLAS–sociálna demokracia page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 18 | 1.2% | 99.2% | |
| 19 | 3% | 98% | |
| 20 | 26% | 95% | |
| 21 | 2% | 69% | |
| 22 | 52% | 66% | Median |
| 23 | 1.2% | 14% | |
| 24 | 0.5% | 13% | |
| 25 | 10% | 12% | |
| 26 | 2% | 2% | |
| 27 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 28 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% |
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti–Kresťanská únia–Za ľudí
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti–Kresťanská únia–Za ľudí page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 2% | 100% | |
| 11 | 52% | 98% | Median |
| 12 | 3% | 46% | |
| 13 | 20% | 42% | |
| 14 | 9% | 23% | |
| 15 | 5% | 14% | |
| 16 | 0.6% | 8% | |
| 17 | 6% | 8% | |
| 18 | 1.3% | 1.5% | |
| 19 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 20 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% |
REPUBLIKA
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the REPUBLIKA page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1.0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 99.0% | |
| 2 | 0% | 99.0% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.0% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.0% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.0% | |
| 6 | 0% | 99.0% | |
| 7 | 0% | 99.0% | |
| 8 | 0% | 99.0% | |
| 9 | 0.2% | 99.0% | |
| 10 | 0.9% | 98.9% | |
| 11 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 12 | 14% | 97% | |
| 13 | 15% | 83% | |
| 14 | 52% | 67% | Median |
| 15 | 3% | 15% | |
| 16 | 2% | 12% | |
| 17 | 10% | 10% | |
| 18 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 19 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% |
Sloboda a Solidarita
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sloboda a Solidarita page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 2 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 6 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 7 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 8 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 9 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 10 | 2% | 99.4% | |
| 11 | 10% | 98% | |
| 12 | 4% | 88% | |
| 13 | 56% | 83% | Last Result, Median |
| 14 | 7% | 27% | |
| 15 | 10% | 20% | |
| 16 | 7% | 10% | |
| 17 | 3% | 3% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% |
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 97% | |
| 2 | 0% | 97% | |
| 3 | 0% | 97% | |
| 4 | 0% | 97% | |
| 5 | 0% | 97% | |
| 6 | 0% | 97% | |
| 7 | 0% | 97% | |
| 8 | 0% | 97% | |
| 9 | 8% | 96% | |
| 10 | 20% | 89% | |
| 11 | 4% | 68% | |
| 12 | 53% | 64% | Median |
| 13 | 3% | 11% | |
| 14 | 8% | 8% | |
| 15 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% |
Slovenská národná strana
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenská národná strana page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 70% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0% | 30% | |
| 2 | 0% | 30% | |
| 3 | 0% | 30% | |
| 4 | 0% | 30% | |
| 5 | 0% | 30% | |
| 6 | 0% | 30% | |
| 7 | 0% | 30% | |
| 8 | 0.1% | 30% | |
| 9 | 9% | 29% | |
| 10 | 13% | 21% | |
| 11 | 4% | 7% | |
| 12 | 1.5% | 3% | |
| 13 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 14 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 15 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% |
SME RODINA
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SME RODINA page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 48% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 52% | |
| 2 | 0% | 52% | |
| 3 | 0% | 52% | |
| 4 | 0% | 52% | |
| 5 | 0% | 52% | |
| 6 | 0% | 52% | |
| 7 | 0% | 52% | |
| 8 | 0.6% | 52% | |
| 9 | 51% | 51% | Median |
| 10 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 12 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 96% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0% | 4% | |
| 2 | 0% | 4% | |
| 3 | 0% | 4% | |
| 4 | 0% | 4% | |
| 5 | 0% | 4% | |
| 6 | 0% | 4% | |
| 7 | 0% | 4% | |
| 8 | 0% | 4% | |
| 9 | 4% | 4% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.7% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 9 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
MODRÍ–Európske Slovensko–MOST–HÍD
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the MODRÍ–Európske Slovensko–MOST–HÍD page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Magyar Fórum
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Magyar Fórum page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – SME RODINA – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | 72 | 66 | 0.9% | 60–67 | 52–69 | 52–72 | 52–76 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – SME RODINA | 55 | 66 | 0.9% | 60–67 | 52–69 | 52–72 | 52–76 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana | 38 | 57 | 0.8% | 57–67 | 52–67 | 52–71 | 52–76 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA | 55 | 66 | 0% | 54–66 | 52–66 | 52–66 | 51–66 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – SME RODINA – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | 72 | 44 | 0% | 35–47 | 32–48 | 32–51 | 32–54 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – SME RODINA | 55 | 44 | 0% | 35–47 | 32–48 | 32–51 | 32–54 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana | 38 | 35 | 0% | 35–47 | 32–48 | 32–51 | 32–53 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA | 55 | 44 | 0% | 34–44 | 32–44 | 32–44 | 31–44 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia | 38 | 35 | 0% | 34–38 | 32–39 | 32–41 | 31–42 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – SME RODINA – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | 34 | 31 | 0% | 25–31 | 20–32 | 20–35 | 20–40 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – SME RODINA | 17 | 31 | 0% | 25–31 | 20–32 | 20–35 | 20–40 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana | 0 | 22 | 0% | 22–30 | 20–31 | 20–33 | 20–37 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA | 17 | 31 | 0% | 20–31 | 19–31 | 19–31 | 17–31 |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – SME RODINA – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 51 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 52 | 5% | 99.9% | |
| 53 | 0% | 95% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 95% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 95% | |
| 56 | 0% | 95% | |
| 57 | 0% | 95% | |
| 58 | 0% | 95% | |
| 59 | 0.2% | 95% | |
| 60 | 9% | 95% | |
| 61 | 4% | 86% | |
| 62 | 0.4% | 82% | |
| 63 | 0.2% | 81% | |
| 64 | 10% | 81% | |
| 65 | 2% | 71% | |
| 66 | 51% | 69% | Median |
| 67 | 12% | 18% | |
| 68 | 0.6% | 6% | |
| 69 | 0.9% | 5% | |
| 70 | 0.7% | 4% | |
| 71 | 1.1% | 4% | |
| 72 | 0.3% | 3% | Last Result |
| 73 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 74 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 75 | 0.6% | 1.5% | |
| 76 | 0.6% | 0.9% | Majority |
| 77 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – SME RODINA
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 51 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 52 | 5% | 99.9% | |
| 53 | 0% | 95% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 95% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 95% | Last Result |
| 56 | 0% | 95% | |
| 57 | 0% | 95% | |
| 58 | 0% | 95% | |
| 59 | 0.2% | 95% | |
| 60 | 9% | 95% | |
| 61 | 4% | 86% | |
| 62 | 0.4% | 82% | |
| 63 | 0.2% | 81% | |
| 64 | 10% | 81% | |
| 65 | 2% | 71% | |
| 66 | 51% | 69% | Median |
| 67 | 12% | 18% | |
| 68 | 0.6% | 6% | |
| 69 | 0.9% | 5% | |
| 70 | 0.7% | 4% | |
| 71 | 1.1% | 4% | |
| 72 | 0.3% | 3% | |
| 73 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 74 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 75 | 0.6% | 1.5% | |
| 76 | 0.6% | 0.9% | Majority |
| 77 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 52 | 5% | 99.9% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 95% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 95% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 95% | |
| 56 | 0% | 95% | |
| 57 | 51% | 95% | Median |
| 58 | 0.2% | 44% | |
| 59 | 0.2% | 44% | |
| 60 | 9% | 44% | |
| 61 | 4% | 35% | |
| 62 | 0.4% | 30% | |
| 63 | 0.2% | 30% | |
| 64 | 10% | 30% | |
| 65 | 2% | 19% | |
| 66 | 0.8% | 17% | |
| 67 | 12% | 17% | |
| 68 | 0.6% | 5% | |
| 69 | 0.7% | 4% | |
| 70 | 0.6% | 3% | |
| 71 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 72 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 73 | 0.5% | 1.4% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0.9% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 0.9% | |
| 76 | 0.6% | 0.8% | Majority |
| 77 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 49 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 51 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 52 | 6% | 99.5% | |
| 53 | 0.2% | 94% | |
| 54 | 8% | 94% | |
| 55 | 2% | 85% | Last Result |
| 56 | 3% | 83% | |
| 57 | 3% | 80% | |
| 58 | 8% | 77% | |
| 59 | 0.9% | 70% | |
| 60 | 10% | 69% | |
| 61 | 5% | 59% | |
| 62 | 0.7% | 54% | |
| 63 | 0% | 53% | |
| 64 | 2% | 53% | |
| 65 | 0.3% | 51% | |
| 66 | 51% | 51% | Median |
| 67 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – SME RODINA – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | 5% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0% | 95% | |
| 34 | 0% | 95% | |
| 35 | 11% | 95% | |
| 36 | 0.5% | 84% | |
| 37 | 0.2% | 83% | |
| 38 | 0.2% | 83% | |
| 39 | 0.1% | 83% | |
| 40 | 0.1% | 83% | |
| 41 | 2% | 83% | |
| 42 | 2% | 81% | |
| 43 | 0.4% | 80% | |
| 44 | 59% | 79% | Median |
| 45 | 2% | 20% | |
| 46 | 1.1% | 19% | |
| 47 | 11% | 18% | |
| 48 | 2% | 7% | |
| 49 | 0.8% | 5% | |
| 50 | 0.2% | 4% | |
| 51 | 2% | 4% | |
| 52 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 53 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 54 | 0.9% | 1.1% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – SME RODINA
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | 5% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0% | 95% | |
| 34 | 0% | 95% | |
| 35 | 11% | 95% | |
| 36 | 0.5% | 84% | |
| 37 | 0.2% | 83% | |
| 38 | 0.2% | 83% | |
| 39 | 0.1% | 83% | |
| 40 | 0.1% | 83% | |
| 41 | 2% | 83% | |
| 42 | 2% | 81% | |
| 43 | 0.4% | 80% | |
| 44 | 59% | 79% | Median |
| 45 | 2% | 20% | |
| 46 | 1.1% | 19% | |
| 47 | 11% | 18% | |
| 48 | 2% | 7% | |
| 49 | 0.8% | 5% | |
| 50 | 0.2% | 4% | |
| 51 | 2% | 4% | |
| 52 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 53 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 54 | 0.9% | 1.1% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 0.2% | Last Result |
| 56 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | 5% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0% | 95% | |
| 34 | 0% | 95% | |
| 35 | 62% | 95% | Median |
| 36 | 0.5% | 33% | |
| 37 | 0.4% | 33% | |
| 38 | 0.2% | 32% | Last Result |
| 39 | 0.2% | 32% | |
| 40 | 0.1% | 32% | |
| 41 | 2% | 32% | |
| 42 | 2% | 30% | |
| 43 | 0.5% | 29% | |
| 44 | 8% | 28% | |
| 45 | 2% | 20% | |
| 46 | 2% | 18% | |
| 47 | 11% | 16% | |
| 48 | 2% | 6% | |
| 49 | 0.8% | 4% | |
| 50 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 51 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 52 | 0.3% | 1.2% | |
| 53 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 54 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 31 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 32 | 6% | 99.3% | |
| 33 | 0.2% | 94% | |
| 34 | 9% | 93% | |
| 35 | 11% | 85% | |
| 36 | 2% | 73% | |
| 37 | 7% | 71% | |
| 38 | 7% | 64% | |
| 39 | 0.9% | 57% | |
| 40 | 2% | 56% | |
| 41 | 2% | 55% | |
| 42 | 2% | 53% | |
| 43 | 0.6% | 52% | |
| 44 | 51% | 51% | Median |
| 45 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 49 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
SMER–sociálna demokracia
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 29 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 30 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 31 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 32 | 6% | 99.1% | |
| 33 | 0.6% | 93% | |
| 34 | 9% | 93% | |
| 35 | 62% | 84% | Median |
| 36 | 2% | 22% | |
| 37 | 7% | 20% | |
| 38 | 7% | 13% | Last Result |
| 39 | 1.0% | 6% | |
| 40 | 2% | 5% | |
| 41 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 42 | 2% | 2% | |
| 43 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – SME RODINA – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 19 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 20 | 6% | 99.9% | |
| 21 | 0% | 94% | |
| 22 | 1.2% | 94% | |
| 23 | 0.3% | 92% | |
| 24 | 0.1% | 92% | |
| 25 | 9% | 92% | |
| 26 | 2% | 83% | |
| 27 | 0.3% | 80% | |
| 28 | 2% | 80% | |
| 29 | 7% | 78% | |
| 30 | 13% | 71% | |
| 31 | 52% | 57% | Median |
| 32 | 0.9% | 5% | |
| 33 | 1.2% | 4% | |
| 34 | 0.3% | 3% | Last Result |
| 35 | 0.4% | 3% | |
| 36 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 37 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 38 | 0.1% | 1.0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 1.0% | |
| 40 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 41 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 43 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – SME RODINA
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 18 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 19 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 20 | 6% | 99.9% | |
| 21 | 0% | 94% | |
| 22 | 1.2% | 94% | |
| 23 | 0.3% | 92% | |
| 24 | 0.1% | 92% | |
| 25 | 9% | 92% | |
| 26 | 2% | 83% | |
| 27 | 0.3% | 80% | |
| 28 | 2% | 80% | |
| 29 | 7% | 78% | |
| 30 | 13% | 71% | |
| 31 | 52% | 57% | Median |
| 32 | 0.9% | 5% | |
| 33 | 1.2% | 4% | |
| 34 | 0.3% | 3% | |
| 35 | 0.4% | 3% | |
| 36 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 37 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 38 | 0.1% | 1.0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 1.0% | |
| 40 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 41 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 43 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 18 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 19 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 20 | 6% | 99.8% | |
| 21 | 0.1% | 93% | |
| 22 | 52% | 93% | Median |
| 23 | 0.4% | 42% | |
| 24 | 0.1% | 41% | |
| 25 | 9% | 41% | |
| 26 | 2% | 32% | |
| 27 | 0.3% | 29% | |
| 28 | 2% | 29% | |
| 29 | 7% | 27% | |
| 30 | 13% | 20% | |
| 31 | 2% | 6% | |
| 32 | 1.3% | 5% | |
| 33 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 34 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 35 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 36 | 0.4% | 1.2% | |
| 37 | 0.8% | 0.9% | |
| 38 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0.5% | 99.8% | Last Result |
| 18 | 1.2% | 99.4% | |
| 19 | 3% | 98% | |
| 20 | 26% | 95% | |
| 21 | 2% | 69% | |
| 22 | 2% | 67% | |
| 23 | 1.1% | 66% | |
| 24 | 0.4% | 65% | |
| 25 | 10% | 64% | |
| 26 | 2% | 54% | |
| 27 | 0.2% | 52% | |
| 28 | 0.3% | 52% | |
| 29 | 0.5% | 51% | |
| 30 | 0.1% | 51% | |
| 31 | 51% | 51% | Median |
| 32 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 33 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Ipsos
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 22–25 September 2023
Calculations
- Sample size: 1000
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.48%