Opinion Poll by AKO, 20–26 September 2023
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Progresívne Slovensko | 7.0% | 18.0% | 16.5–19.6% | 16.1–20.1% | 15.7–20.5% | 15.0–21.3% |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia | 18.3% | 17.7% | 16.2–19.3% | 15.8–19.8% | 15.5–20.2% | 14.8–21.0% |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia | 0.0% | 15.0% | 13.6–16.5% | 13.2–17.0% | 12.9–17.4% | 12.3–18.1% |
| OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti–Kresťanská únia–Za ľudí | 0.0% | 9.4% | 8.3–10.7% | 8.0–11.1% | 7.7–11.4% | 7.2–12.0% |
| Sloboda a Solidarita | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.3–8.5% | 6.1–8.8% | 5.8–9.1% | 5.4–9.7% |
| Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.2–7.2% | 5.0–7.5% | 4.8–7.8% | 4.4–8.3% |
| Slovenská národná strana | 3.2% | 6.0% | 5.1–7.1% | 4.9–7.4% | 4.7–7.7% | 4.3–8.2% |
| REPUBLIKA | 0.0% | 5.4% | 4.6–6.4% | 4.3–6.7% | 4.2–7.0% | 3.8–7.5% |
| SME RODINA | 8.2% | 5.1% | 4.3–6.1% | 4.1–6.4% | 3.9–6.6% | 3.6–7.2% |
| SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia | 7.0% | 4.3% | 3.6–5.2% | 3.4–5.5% | 3.2–5.7% | 2.9–6.2% |
| Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.2–3.6% | 2.1–3.8% | 1.9–4.0% | 1.7–4.4% |
| MODRÍ–Európske Slovensko–MOST–HÍD | 0.0% | 1.0% | 0.7–1.5% | 0.6–1.7% | 0.5–1.8% | 0.4–2.1% |
| Magyar Fórum | 0.0% | 0.6% | 0.4–1.1% | 0.3–1.2% | 0.3–1.3% | 0.2–1.6% |
| Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | 8.0% | 0.3% | 0.2–0.7% | 0.1–0.8% | 0.1–0.9% | 0.1–1.1% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Progresívne Slovensko | 0 | 30 | 29–38 | 28–38 | 27–38 | 25–38 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia | 38 | 30 | 28–36 | 26–36 | 25–36 | 25–38 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia | 0 | 25 | 24–28 | 22–29 | 21–31 | 19–32 |
| OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti–Kresťanská únia–Za ľudí | 0 | 16 | 14–21 | 13–21 | 12–21 | 12–22 |
| Sloboda a Solidarita | 13 | 13 | 11–15 | 11–15 | 11–17 | 9–18 |
| Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie | 0 | 10 | 9–12 | 8–12 | 0–13 | 0–15 |
| Slovenská národná strana | 0 | 10 | 9–14 | 0–14 | 0–14 | 0–14 |
| REPUBLIKA | 0 | 9 | 0–11 | 0–11 | 0–12 | 0–12 |
| SME RODINA | 17 | 0 | 0–10 | 0–11 | 0–12 | 0–12 |
| SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia | 0 | 0 | 0–10 | 0–10 | 0–10 | 0–10 |
| Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| MODRÍ–Európske Slovensko–MOST–HÍD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Magyar Fórum | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Progresívne Slovensko
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Progresívne Slovensko page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 26 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 27 | 3% | 99.2% | |
| 28 | 4% | 96% | |
| 29 | 7% | 92% | |
| 30 | 38% | 85% | Median |
| 31 | 13% | 47% | |
| 32 | 3% | 33% | |
| 33 | 4% | 30% | |
| 34 | 7% | 27% | |
| 35 | 1.3% | 19% | |
| 36 | 0.9% | 18% | |
| 37 | 0.2% | 17% | |
| 38 | 16% | 17% | |
| 39 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 40 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 41 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SMER–sociálna demokracia page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 25 | 3% | 99.8% | |
| 26 | 2% | 96% | |
| 27 | 3% | 94% | |
| 28 | 3% | 91% | |
| 29 | 8% | 88% | |
| 30 | 33% | 79% | Median |
| 31 | 1.1% | 47% | |
| 32 | 5% | 46% | |
| 33 | 0.8% | 41% | |
| 34 | 21% | 40% | |
| 35 | 0.2% | 19% | |
| 36 | 18% | 19% | |
| 37 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 38 | 0.2% | 0.6% | Last Result |
| 39 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 40 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 41 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the HLAS–sociálna demokracia page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0.7% | 99.9% | |
| 20 | 0.1% | 99.2% | |
| 21 | 3% | 99.1% | |
| 22 | 2% | 97% | |
| 23 | 2% | 94% | |
| 24 | 20% | 92% | |
| 25 | 24% | 72% | Median |
| 26 | 15% | 48% | |
| 27 | 4% | 33% | |
| 28 | 23% | 29% | |
| 29 | 3% | 6% | |
| 30 | 0.5% | 3% | |
| 31 | 2% | 3% | |
| 32 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 33 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 34 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 35 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% |
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti–Kresťanská únia–Za ľudí
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti–Kresťanská únia–Za ľudí page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 4% | 100% | |
| 13 | 2% | 96% | |
| 14 | 4% | 94% | |
| 15 | 30% | 90% | |
| 16 | 22% | 60% | Median |
| 17 | 9% | 38% | |
| 18 | 6% | 29% | |
| 19 | 1.3% | 23% | |
| 20 | 0.8% | 21% | |
| 21 | 20% | 20% | |
| 22 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 23 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% |
Sloboda a Solidarita
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sloboda a Solidarita page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 2 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 6 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 7 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 8 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 9 | 1.1% | 99.9% | |
| 10 | 1.0% | 98.8% | |
| 11 | 27% | 98% | |
| 12 | 4% | 70% | |
| 13 | 32% | 66% | Last Result, Median |
| 14 | 7% | 35% | |
| 15 | 23% | 28% | |
| 16 | 2% | 4% | |
| 17 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 18 | 2% | 2% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% |
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 95% | |
| 2 | 0% | 95% | |
| 3 | 0% | 95% | |
| 4 | 0% | 95% | |
| 5 | 0% | 95% | |
| 6 | 0% | 95% | |
| 7 | 0% | 95% | |
| 8 | 0.7% | 95% | |
| 9 | 10% | 94% | |
| 10 | 42% | 84% | Median |
| 11 | 21% | 43% | |
| 12 | 18% | 22% | |
| 13 | 2% | 3% | |
| 14 | 0.6% | 1.2% | |
| 15 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 16 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% |
Slovenská národná strana
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenská národná strana page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 9% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 91% | |
| 2 | 0% | 91% | |
| 3 | 0% | 91% | |
| 4 | 0% | 91% | |
| 5 | 0% | 91% | |
| 6 | 0% | 91% | |
| 7 | 0% | 91% | |
| 8 | 0% | 91% | |
| 9 | 6% | 91% | |
| 10 | 42% | 86% | Median |
| 11 | 7% | 44% | |
| 12 | 23% | 37% | |
| 13 | 3% | 14% | |
| 14 | 10% | 10% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% |
REPUBLIKA
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the REPUBLIKA page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 44% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 56% | |
| 2 | 0% | 56% | |
| 3 | 0% | 56% | |
| 4 | 0% | 56% | |
| 5 | 0% | 56% | |
| 6 | 0% | 56% | |
| 7 | 0% | 56% | |
| 8 | 0.7% | 56% | |
| 9 | 19% | 56% | Median |
| 10 | 6% | 37% | |
| 11 | 26% | 31% | |
| 12 | 5% | 5% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 14 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% |
SME RODINA
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SME RODINA page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 76% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 24% | |
| 2 | 0% | 24% | |
| 3 | 0% | 24% | |
| 4 | 0% | 24% | |
| 5 | 0% | 24% | |
| 6 | 0% | 24% | |
| 7 | 0% | 24% | |
| 8 | 0.4% | 24% | |
| 9 | 11% | 24% | |
| 10 | 6% | 13% | |
| 11 | 4% | 7% | |
| 12 | 3% | 3% | |
| 13 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 73% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0% | 27% | |
| 2 | 0% | 27% | |
| 3 | 0% | 27% | |
| 4 | 0% | 27% | |
| 5 | 0% | 27% | |
| 6 | 0% | 27% | |
| 7 | 0% | 27% | |
| 8 | 0.8% | 27% | |
| 9 | 4% | 26% | |
| 10 | 22% | 22% | |
| 11 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 13 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% |
Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
MODRÍ–Európske Slovensko–MOST–HÍD
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the MODRÍ–Európske Slovensko–MOST–HÍD page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Magyar Fórum
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Magyar Fórum page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – SME RODINA – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | 72 | 70 | 10% | 65–75 | 57–79 | 54–81 | 54–83 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – SME RODINA | 55 | 70 | 10% | 65–75 | 57–79 | 54–81 | 54–83 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana | 38 | 69 | 0.5% | 60–74 | 54–74 | 54–74 | 53–77 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA | 55 | 60 | 0.2% | 55–66 | 54–69 | 54–71 | 51–73 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – SME RODINA – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | 72 | 46 | 0% | 40–50 | 32–52 | 29–54 | 29–55 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – SME RODINA | 55 | 46 | 0% | 40–50 | 32–52 | 29–54 | 29–55 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – SME RODINA – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko | 34 | 40 | 0% | 34–45 | 27–47 | 25–51 | 25–52 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – SME RODINA | 17 | 40 | 0% | 34–45 | 27–47 | 25–51 | 25–52 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana | 38 | 43 | 0% | 35–46 | 30–46 | 29–46 | 29–50 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA | 55 | 34 | 0% | 30–40 | 29–42 | 28–44 | 25–45 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana | 0 | 35 | 0% | 32–40 | 25–40 | 25–41 | 25–43 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA | 17 | 26 | 0% | 24–36 | 24–38 | 24–41 | 23–41 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia | 38 | 30 | 0% | 28–36 | 26–36 | 25–36 | 25–38 |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – SME RODINA – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 53 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 54 | 4% | 99.9% | |
| 55 | 0% | 96% | |
| 56 | 0% | 96% | |
| 57 | 0.6% | 96% | |
| 58 | 0% | 95% | |
| 59 | 0.5% | 95% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 94% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 94% | |
| 62 | 0.9% | 94% | |
| 63 | 0.4% | 93% | |
| 64 | 1.0% | 93% | |
| 65 | 17% | 92% | Median |
| 66 | 0.1% | 75% | |
| 67 | 2% | 75% | |
| 68 | 1.4% | 73% | |
| 69 | 3% | 71% | |
| 70 | 29% | 68% | |
| 71 | 4% | 39% | |
| 72 | 3% | 35% | Last Result |
| 73 | 1.1% | 32% | |
| 74 | 20% | 31% | |
| 75 | 1.1% | 11% | |
| 76 | 0.2% | 10% | Majority |
| 77 | 3% | 10% | |
| 78 | 0.6% | 7% | |
| 79 | 2% | 6% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 4% | |
| 81 | 2% | 4% | |
| 82 | 0.3% | 1.4% | |
| 83 | 1.1% | 1.1% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – SME RODINA
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 53 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 54 | 4% | 99.9% | |
| 55 | 0% | 96% | Last Result |
| 56 | 0% | 96% | |
| 57 | 0.6% | 96% | |
| 58 | 0% | 95% | |
| 59 | 0.5% | 95% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 94% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 94% | |
| 62 | 0.9% | 94% | |
| 63 | 0.4% | 93% | |
| 64 | 1.0% | 93% | |
| 65 | 17% | 92% | Median |
| 66 | 0.1% | 75% | |
| 67 | 2% | 75% | |
| 68 | 1.4% | 73% | |
| 69 | 3% | 71% | |
| 70 | 29% | 68% | |
| 71 | 4% | 39% | |
| 72 | 3% | 35% | |
| 73 | 1.1% | 32% | |
| 74 | 20% | 31% | |
| 75 | 1.1% | 11% | |
| 76 | 0.2% | 10% | Majority |
| 77 | 3% | 10% | |
| 78 | 0.6% | 7% | |
| 79 | 2% | 6% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 4% | |
| 81 | 2% | 4% | |
| 82 | 0.3% | 1.4% | |
| 83 | 1.1% | 1.1% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 54 | 5% | 99.5% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 95% | |
| 56 | 0.4% | 94% | |
| 57 | 1.0% | 94% | |
| 58 | 2% | 93% | |
| 59 | 0.6% | 91% | |
| 60 | 2% | 91% | |
| 61 | 3% | 89% | |
| 62 | 4% | 87% | |
| 63 | 2% | 83% | |
| 64 | 0.9% | 80% | |
| 65 | 17% | 79% | Median |
| 66 | 2% | 62% | |
| 67 | 2% | 60% | |
| 68 | 3% | 58% | |
| 69 | 6% | 55% | |
| 70 | 26% | 50% | |
| 71 | 1.2% | 23% | |
| 72 | 0.8% | 22% | |
| 73 | 0.8% | 21% | |
| 74 | 20% | 21% | |
| 75 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0.5% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 78 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 79 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 50 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 51 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 52 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 53 | 1.0% | 99.2% | |
| 54 | 5% | 98% | |
| 55 | 17% | 93% | Last Result, Median |
| 56 | 11% | 76% | |
| 57 | 0.8% | 66% | |
| 58 | 2% | 65% | |
| 59 | 4% | 63% | |
| 60 | 22% | 59% | |
| 61 | 2% | 37% | |
| 62 | 20% | 35% | |
| 63 | 1.3% | 15% | |
| 64 | 1.3% | 14% | |
| 65 | 1.1% | 13% | |
| 66 | 2% | 12% | |
| 67 | 2% | 10% | |
| 68 | 3% | 8% | |
| 69 | 0.7% | 5% | |
| 70 | 0.5% | 4% | |
| 71 | 3% | 4% | |
| 72 | 0% | 1.3% | |
| 73 | 1.0% | 1.3% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0.2% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – SME RODINA – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 28 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 29 | 4% | 99.9% | |
| 30 | 0.5% | 96% | |
| 31 | 0.1% | 95% | |
| 32 | 0.4% | 95% | |
| 33 | 0.3% | 95% | |
| 34 | 0.1% | 94% | |
| 35 | 0.3% | 94% | |
| 36 | 1.3% | 94% | |
| 37 | 0.2% | 93% | |
| 38 | 1.2% | 92% | |
| 39 | 0.6% | 91% | |
| 40 | 17% | 91% | Median |
| 41 | 1.4% | 73% | |
| 42 | 1.0% | 72% | |
| 43 | 2% | 71% | |
| 44 | 12% | 69% | |
| 45 | 2% | 57% | |
| 46 | 38% | 56% | |
| 47 | 1.4% | 18% | |
| 48 | 2% | 16% | |
| 49 | 3% | 15% | |
| 50 | 3% | 12% | |
| 51 | 2% | 9% | |
| 52 | 3% | 7% | |
| 53 | 1.3% | 4% | |
| 54 | 0.4% | 3% | |
| 55 | 2% | 2% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – SME RODINA
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 28 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 29 | 4% | 99.9% | |
| 30 | 0.5% | 96% | |
| 31 | 0.1% | 95% | |
| 32 | 0.4% | 95% | |
| 33 | 0.3% | 95% | |
| 34 | 0.1% | 94% | |
| 35 | 0.3% | 94% | |
| 36 | 1.3% | 94% | |
| 37 | 0.2% | 93% | |
| 38 | 1.2% | 92% | |
| 39 | 0.6% | 91% | |
| 40 | 17% | 91% | Median |
| 41 | 1.4% | 73% | |
| 42 | 1.0% | 72% | |
| 43 | 2% | 71% | |
| 44 | 12% | 69% | |
| 45 | 2% | 57% | |
| 46 | 38% | 56% | |
| 47 | 1.4% | 18% | |
| 48 | 2% | 16% | |
| 49 | 3% | 15% | |
| 50 | 3% | 12% | |
| 51 | 2% | 9% | |
| 52 | 3% | 7% | |
| 53 | 1.3% | 4% | |
| 54 | 0.4% | 3% | |
| 55 | 2% | 2% | Last Result |
| 56 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – SME RODINA – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | 4% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 96% | |
| 27 | 0.8% | 96% | |
| 28 | 0.1% | 95% | |
| 29 | 0.1% | 95% | |
| 30 | 0.1% | 95% | |
| 31 | 0% | 94% | |
| 32 | 0% | 94% | |
| 33 | 0.8% | 94% | |
| 34 | 17% | 94% | Last Result |
| 35 | 18% | 77% | Median |
| 36 | 0.5% | 58% | |
| 37 | 2% | 58% | |
| 38 | 1.4% | 55% | |
| 39 | 2% | 54% | |
| 40 | 29% | 52% | |
| 41 | 1.2% | 23% | |
| 42 | 1.4% | 22% | |
| 43 | 4% | 20% | |
| 44 | 2% | 16% | |
| 45 | 5% | 14% | |
| 46 | 0.9% | 9% | |
| 47 | 4% | 8% | |
| 48 | 0.2% | 4% | |
| 49 | 0.9% | 4% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 51 | 2% | 3% | |
| 52 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 53 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – SME RODINA
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 4% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 96% | |
| 27 | 0.8% | 96% | |
| 28 | 0.1% | 95% | |
| 29 | 0.1% | 95% | |
| 30 | 0.1% | 95% | |
| 31 | 0% | 94% | |
| 32 | 0% | 94% | |
| 33 | 0.8% | 94% | |
| 34 | 17% | 94% | |
| 35 | 18% | 77% | Median |
| 36 | 0.5% | 58% | |
| 37 | 2% | 58% | |
| 38 | 1.4% | 55% | |
| 39 | 2% | 54% | |
| 40 | 29% | 52% | |
| 41 | 1.2% | 23% | |
| 42 | 1.4% | 22% | |
| 43 | 4% | 20% | |
| 44 | 2% | 16% | |
| 45 | 5% | 14% | |
| 46 | 0.9% | 9% | |
| 47 | 4% | 8% | |
| 48 | 0.2% | 4% | |
| 49 | 0.9% | 4% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 51 | 2% | 3% | |
| 52 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 53 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 28 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 29 | 4% | 99.9% | |
| 30 | 2% | 95% | |
| 31 | 0.2% | 94% | |
| 32 | 1.2% | 93% | |
| 33 | 0.4% | 92% | |
| 34 | 0.2% | 92% | |
| 35 | 3% | 92% | |
| 36 | 3% | 89% | |
| 37 | 1.3% | 85% | |
| 38 | 3% | 84% | Last Result |
| 39 | 1.4% | 81% | |
| 40 | 21% | 80% | Median |
| 41 | 4% | 59% | |
| 42 | 3% | 55% | |
| 43 | 2% | 51% | |
| 44 | 10% | 50% | |
| 45 | 1.4% | 39% | |
| 46 | 36% | 38% | |
| 47 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 48 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 49 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 50 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 51 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 54 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0.9% | 99.9% | |
| 26 | 0.6% | 99.1% | |
| 27 | 0.7% | 98.5% | |
| 28 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 29 | 5% | 97% | |
| 30 | 27% | 92% | Median |
| 31 | 0.3% | 65% | |
| 32 | 3% | 65% | |
| 33 | 0.6% | 62% | |
| 34 | 21% | 61% | |
| 35 | 0.9% | 40% | |
| 36 | 20% | 39% | |
| 37 | 2% | 19% | |
| 38 | 3% | 17% | |
| 39 | 3% | 13% | |
| 40 | 2% | 10% | |
| 41 | 1.0% | 9% | |
| 42 | 3% | 8% | |
| 43 | 2% | 5% | |
| 44 | 2% | 3% | |
| 45 | 1.1% | 1.5% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 48 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 49 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 23 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 24 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 25 | 5% | 99.5% | |
| 26 | 0.4% | 95% | |
| 27 | 1.0% | 94% | |
| 28 | 1.2% | 93% | |
| 29 | 0.9% | 92% | |
| 30 | 0.5% | 91% | |
| 31 | 0.5% | 91% | |
| 32 | 0.6% | 90% | |
| 33 | 0.7% | 90% | |
| 34 | 23% | 89% | |
| 35 | 20% | 66% | Median |
| 36 | 3% | 45% | |
| 37 | 3% | 42% | |
| 38 | 4% | 40% | |
| 39 | 4% | 35% | |
| 40 | 29% | 32% | |
| 41 | 0.6% | 3% | |
| 42 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 43 | 1.0% | 1.1% | |
| 44 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 45 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 22 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 23 | 1.1% | 99.7% | |
| 24 | 17% | 98.7% | |
| 25 | 21% | 82% | Median |
| 26 | 12% | 61% | |
| 27 | 1.4% | 49% | |
| 28 | 21% | 48% | |
| 29 | 1.1% | 27% | |
| 30 | 2% | 26% | |
| 31 | 4% | 24% | |
| 32 | 0.7% | 20% | |
| 33 | 1.2% | 19% | |
| 34 | 3% | 18% | |
| 35 | 4% | 14% | |
| 36 | 4% | 10% | |
| 37 | 2% | 7% | |
| 38 | 2% | 5% | |
| 39 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 40 | 0.3% | 3% | |
| 41 | 2% | 3% | |
| 42 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 25 | 3% | 99.8% | |
| 26 | 2% | 96% | |
| 27 | 3% | 94% | |
| 28 | 3% | 91% | |
| 29 | 8% | 88% | |
| 30 | 33% | 79% | Median |
| 31 | 1.1% | 47% | |
| 32 | 5% | 46% | |
| 33 | 0.8% | 41% | |
| 34 | 21% | 40% | |
| 35 | 0.2% | 19% | |
| 36 | 18% | 19% | |
| 37 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 38 | 0.2% | 0.6% | Last Result |
| 39 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 40 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 41 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: AKO
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 20–26 September 2023
Calculations
- Sample size: 1000
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 5.97%