Opinion Poll by Median, 25–26 September 2023
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMER–sociálna demokracia | 18.3% | 19.8% | 18.3–21.5% | 17.8–22.0% | 17.5–22.4% | 16.8–23.2% |
| Progresívne Slovensko | 7.0% | 19.3% | 17.8–21.0% | 17.4–21.5% | 17.0–21.9% | 16.3–22.7% |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia | 0.0% | 11.9% | 10.6–13.3% | 10.3–13.7% | 10.0–14.0% | 9.4–14.7% |
| REPUBLIKA | 0.0% | 8.0% | 7.0–9.2% | 6.7–9.5% | 6.4–9.8% | 6.0–10.4% |
| Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie | 4.6% | 7.7% | 6.7–8.9% | 6.4–9.2% | 6.2–9.5% | 5.7–10.1% |
| Sloboda a Solidarita | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.4–8.5% | 6.1–8.9% | 5.9–9.2% | 5.5–9.8% |
| OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti–Kresťanská únia–Za ľudí | 0.0% | 6.2% | 5.3–7.3% | 5.0–7.6% | 4.8–7.8% | 4.5–8.4% |
| Slovenská národná strana | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.0–5.8% | 3.8–6.0% | 3.6–6.3% | 3.3–6.8% |
| SME RODINA | 8.2% | 4.1% | 3.4–5.0% | 3.2–5.3% | 3.0–5.5% | 2.7–6.0% |
| SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia | 7.0% | 3.8% | 3.1–4.7% | 2.9–4.9% | 2.8–5.2% | 2.5–5.6% |
| Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja | 3.9% | 2.5% | 2.0–3.2% | 1.8–3.5% | 1.7–3.7% | 1.5–4.1% |
| MODRÍ–Európske Slovensko–MOST–HÍD | 0.0% | 2.1% | 1.6–2.8% | 1.5–3.0% | 1.4–3.2% | 1.2–3.6% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMER–sociálna demokracia | 38 | 34 | 34–38 | 33–39 | 31–40 | 30–42 |
| Progresívne Slovensko | 0 | 35 | 32–41 | 30–41 | 29–41 | 29–43 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia | 0 | 21 | 19–24 | 19–25 | 19–25 | 18–26 |
| REPUBLIKA | 0 | 13 | 12–16 | 12–16 | 12–17 | 11–19 |
| Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie | 0 | 14 | 12–16 | 12–16 | 12–17 | 11–19 |
| Sloboda a Solidarita | 13 | 13 | 12–15 | 11–16 | 10–16 | 10–17 |
| OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti–Kresťanská únia–Za ľudí | 0 | 11 | 10–13 | 9–14 | 0–14 | 0–14 |
| Slovenská národná strana | 0 | 0 | 0–10 | 0–10 | 0–11 | 0–12 |
| SME RODINA | 17 | 0 | 0–10 | 0–10 | 0–10 | 0–10 |
| SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–9 | 0–10 |
| Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| MODRÍ–Európske Slovensko–MOST–HÍD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
SMER–sociálna demokracia
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SMER–sociálna demokracia page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 30 | 0.9% | 99.8% | |
| 31 | 1.5% | 98.9% | |
| 32 | 2% | 97% | |
| 33 | 3% | 95% | |
| 34 | 46% | 92% | Median |
| 35 | 7% | 46% | |
| 36 | 16% | 39% | |
| 37 | 10% | 24% | |
| 38 | 7% | 14% | Last Result |
| 39 | 3% | 8% | |
| 40 | 3% | 5% | |
| 41 | 1.5% | 2% | |
| 42 | 0.7% | 1.0% | |
| 43 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% |
Progresívne Slovensko
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Progresívne Slovensko page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 29 | 3% | 99.8% | |
| 30 | 2% | 97% | |
| 31 | 3% | 95% | |
| 32 | 8% | 92% | |
| 33 | 6% | 83% | |
| 34 | 7% | 77% | |
| 35 | 45% | 70% | Median |
| 36 | 3% | 26% | |
| 37 | 2% | 23% | |
| 38 | 3% | 21% | |
| 39 | 3% | 18% | |
| 40 | 0.2% | 15% | |
| 41 | 14% | 15% | |
| 42 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 43 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 44 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the HLAS–sociálna demokracia page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 18 | 2% | 99.5% | |
| 19 | 10% | 98% | |
| 20 | 24% | 88% | |
| 21 | 21% | 65% | Median |
| 22 | 11% | 44% | |
| 23 | 8% | 33% | |
| 24 | 19% | 25% | |
| 25 | 6% | 7% | |
| 26 | 0.8% | 1.2% | |
| 27 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 28 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% |
REPUBLIKA
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the REPUBLIKA page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 11 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 12 | 13% | 98% | |
| 13 | 40% | 85% | Median |
| 14 | 8% | 45% | |
| 15 | 21% | 37% | |
| 16 | 12% | 16% | |
| 17 | 2% | 4% | |
| 18 | 2% | 2% | |
| 19 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 20 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% |
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 11 | 1.4% | 99.6% | |
| 12 | 22% | 98% | |
| 13 | 8% | 76% | |
| 14 | 47% | 68% | Median |
| 15 | 11% | 21% | |
| 16 | 7% | 11% | |
| 17 | 2% | 4% | |
| 18 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 19 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 20 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% |
Sloboda a Solidarita
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sloboda a Solidarita page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 10 | 4% | 99.8% | |
| 11 | 3% | 96% | |
| 12 | 37% | 93% | |
| 13 | 22% | 56% | Last Result, Median |
| 14 | 8% | 34% | |
| 15 | 20% | 26% | |
| 16 | 6% | 6% | |
| 17 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 18 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% |
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti–Kresťanská únia–Za ľudí
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti–Kresťanská únia–Za ľudí page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 97% | |
| 2 | 0% | 97% | |
| 3 | 0% | 97% | |
| 4 | 0% | 97% | |
| 5 | 0% | 97% | |
| 6 | 0% | 97% | |
| 7 | 0% | 97% | |
| 8 | 1.2% | 97% | |
| 9 | 1.1% | 95% | |
| 10 | 37% | 94% | |
| 11 | 19% | 58% | Median |
| 12 | 24% | 39% | |
| 13 | 6% | 15% | |
| 14 | 9% | 9% | |
| 15 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 16 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% |
Slovenská národná strana
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenská národná strana page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 74% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0% | 26% | |
| 2 | 0% | 26% | |
| 3 | 0% | 26% | |
| 4 | 0% | 26% | |
| 5 | 0% | 26% | |
| 6 | 0% | 26% | |
| 7 | 0% | 26% | |
| 8 | 1.1% | 26% | |
| 9 | 11% | 25% | |
| 10 | 10% | 14% | |
| 11 | 3% | 4% | |
| 12 | 1.1% | 1.2% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
SME RODINA
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SME RODINA page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 66% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 34% | |
| 2 | 0% | 34% | |
| 3 | 0% | 34% | |
| 4 | 0% | 34% | |
| 5 | 0% | 34% | |
| 6 | 0% | 34% | |
| 7 | 0% | 34% | |
| 8 | 0% | 34% | |
| 9 | 16% | 34% | |
| 10 | 17% | 17% | |
| 11 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 95% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0% | 5% | |
| 2 | 0% | 5% | |
| 3 | 0% | 5% | |
| 4 | 0% | 5% | |
| 5 | 0% | 5% | |
| 6 | 0% | 5% | |
| 7 | 0% | 5% | |
| 8 | 0% | 5% | |
| 9 | 4% | 5% | |
| 10 | 0.9% | 1.0% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
MODRÍ–Európske Slovensko–MOST–HÍD
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the MODRÍ–Európske Slovensko–MOST–HÍD page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – SME RODINA | 55 | 64 | 0.1% | 55–68 | 55–69 | 55–69 | 54–71 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana | 38 | 58 | 0% | 54–68 | 54–69 | 54–69 | 53–70 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA | 55 | 59 | 0% | 55–67 | 54–67 | 52–67 | 51–69 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – SME RODINA | 55 | 43 | 0% | 34–46 | 34–47 | 34–48 | 32–51 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana | 38 | 35 | 0% | 34–46 | 34–47 | 34–48 | 32–50 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA | 55 | 37 | 0% | 34–44 | 33–44 | 32–44 | 30–48 |
| SMER–sociálna demokracia | 38 | 34 | 0% | 34–38 | 33–39 | 31–40 | 30–42 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – SME RODINA | 17 | 29 | 0% | 21–33 | 21–33 | 20–34 | 19–36 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana | 0 | 24 | 0% | 20–32 | 20–32 | 20–33 | 18–34 |
| HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA | 17 | 23 | 0% | 19–33 | 19–33 | 19–33 | 18–33 |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – SME RODINA
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 51 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 54 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 55 | 15% | 99.4% | Last Result, Median |
| 56 | 0.2% | 84% | |
| 57 | 3% | 84% | |
| 58 | 3% | 81% | |
| 59 | 7% | 78% | |
| 60 | 2% | 71% | |
| 61 | 5% | 69% | |
| 62 | 4% | 64% | |
| 63 | 4% | 60% | |
| 64 | 21% | 56% | |
| 65 | 7% | 35% | |
| 66 | 0.6% | 28% | |
| 67 | 14% | 27% | |
| 68 | 7% | 13% | |
| 69 | 5% | 6% | |
| 70 | 0.4% | 1.2% | |
| 71 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0.1% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 53 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 54 | 17% | 99.4% | |
| 55 | 16% | 83% | Median |
| 56 | 0.2% | 67% | |
| 57 | 3% | 67% | |
| 58 | 18% | 63% | |
| 59 | 7% | 45% | |
| 60 | 2% | 38% | |
| 61 | 5% | 36% | |
| 62 | 4% | 31% | |
| 63 | 4% | 27% | |
| 64 | 4% | 22% | |
| 65 | 7% | 19% | |
| 66 | 0.5% | 12% | |
| 67 | 0.2% | 11% | |
| 68 | 6% | 11% | |
| 69 | 5% | 5% | |
| 70 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 48 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 50 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 51 | 1.1% | 99.7% | |
| 52 | 1.5% | 98.6% | |
| 53 | 0.4% | 97% | |
| 54 | 3% | 97% | |
| 55 | 23% | 94% | Last Result, Median |
| 56 | 0.8% | 70% | |
| 57 | 5% | 70% | |
| 58 | 4% | 64% | |
| 59 | 14% | 60% | |
| 60 | 2% | 47% | |
| 61 | 5% | 45% | |
| 62 | 4% | 40% | |
| 63 | 2% | 36% | |
| 64 | 18% | 34% | |
| 65 | 0.3% | 17% | |
| 66 | 0.5% | 16% | |
| 67 | 14% | 16% | |
| 68 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 69 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 71 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – SME RODINA
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 33 | 1.4% | 99.4% | |
| 34 | 14% | 98% | Median |
| 35 | 2% | 84% | |
| 36 | 6% | 81% | |
| 37 | 6% | 75% | |
| 38 | 5% | 69% | |
| 39 | 2% | 64% | |
| 40 | 3% | 63% | |
| 41 | 3% | 60% | |
| 42 | 2% | 57% | |
| 43 | 16% | 55% | |
| 44 | 19% | 39% | |
| 45 | 4% | 20% | |
| 46 | 9% | 16% | |
| 47 | 3% | 7% | |
| 48 | 2% | 5% | |
| 49 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 50 | 0.5% | 1.1% | |
| 51 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 56 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 31 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 32 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 33 | 2% | 99.3% | |
| 34 | 45% | 98% | Median |
| 35 | 3% | 52% | |
| 36 | 6% | 50% | |
| 37 | 6% | 43% | |
| 38 | 5% | 37% | Last Result |
| 39 | 2% | 32% | |
| 40 | 3% | 29% | |
| 41 | 3% | 26% | |
| 42 | 2% | 23% | |
| 43 | 0.8% | 22% | |
| 44 | 3% | 21% | |
| 45 | 4% | 18% | |
| 46 | 9% | 14% | |
| 47 | 2% | 6% | |
| 48 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 49 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 50 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 51 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0.8% | 99.9% | |
| 31 | 1.4% | 99.1% | |
| 32 | 2% | 98% | |
| 33 | 2% | 95% | |
| 34 | 15% | 93% | Median |
| 35 | 7% | 78% | |
| 36 | 15% | 71% | |
| 37 | 9% | 56% | |
| 38 | 6% | 47% | |
| 39 | 2% | 40% | |
| 40 | 3% | 38% | |
| 41 | 2% | 36% | |
| 42 | 0.8% | 34% | |
| 43 | 15% | 33% | |
| 44 | 16% | 18% | |
| 45 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 1.3% | |
| 47 | 0.3% | 1.2% | |
| 48 | 0.8% | 0.9% | |
| 49 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
SMER–sociálna demokracia
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 30 | 0.9% | 99.8% | |
| 31 | 1.5% | 98.9% | |
| 32 | 2% | 97% | |
| 33 | 3% | 95% | |
| 34 | 46% | 92% | Median |
| 35 | 7% | 46% | |
| 36 | 16% | 39% | |
| 37 | 10% | 24% | |
| 38 | 7% | 14% | Last Result |
| 39 | 3% | 8% | |
| 40 | 3% | 5% | |
| 41 | 1.5% | 2% | |
| 42 | 0.7% | 1.0% | |
| 43 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – SME RODINA
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 0.2% | 100% | Last Result |
| 18 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 19 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 20 | 4% | 99.2% | |
| 21 | 17% | 95% | Median |
| 22 | 6% | 78% | |
| 23 | 2% | 72% | |
| 24 | 4% | 70% | |
| 25 | 5% | 66% | |
| 26 | 0.5% | 60% | |
| 27 | 1.1% | 60% | |
| 28 | 4% | 59% | |
| 29 | 8% | 55% | |
| 30 | 19% | 46% | |
| 31 | 2% | 28% | |
| 32 | 7% | 25% | |
| 33 | 15% | 18% | |
| 34 | 2% | 3% | |
| 35 | 0.7% | 1.2% | |
| 36 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 37 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 38 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 39 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 40 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 18 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 19 | 0.5% | 99.5% | |
| 20 | 21% | 99.0% | |
| 21 | 19% | 78% | Median |
| 22 | 6% | 59% | |
| 23 | 2% | 53% | |
| 24 | 18% | 51% | |
| 25 | 6% | 33% | |
| 26 | 0.7% | 27% | |
| 27 | 1.2% | 26% | |
| 28 | 4% | 25% | |
| 29 | 8% | 22% | |
| 30 | 1.3% | 14% | |
| 31 | 2% | 12% | |
| 32 | 7% | 10% | |
| 33 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 34 | 2% | 2% | |
| 35 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 36 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% |
HLAS–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0.2% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 18 | 1.4% | 99.7% | |
| 19 | 9% | 98% | |
| 20 | 7% | 89% | |
| 21 | 19% | 82% | Median |
| 22 | 11% | 63% | |
| 23 | 8% | 52% | |
| 24 | 5% | 45% | |
| 25 | 5% | 40% | |
| 26 | 0.7% | 35% | |
| 27 | 0.3% | 34% | |
| 28 | 0.3% | 34% | |
| 29 | 0.8% | 33% | |
| 30 | 17% | 33% | |
| 31 | 0.4% | 15% | |
| 32 | 0.3% | 15% | |
| 33 | 14% | 14% | |
| 34 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 35 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Median
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 25–26 September 2023
Calculations
- Sample size: 1004
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.30%