Opinion Poll by Mediana for Delo, 2–4 April 2024

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) 24.8% 35.5% 33.2–37.9% 32.6–38.5% 32.1–39.1% 31.0–40.2%
Gibanje Svoboda (RE) 0.0% 23.2% 21.2–25.3% 20.7–25.9% 20.2–26.5% 19.3–27.5%
Socialni demokrati (S&D) 8.1% 8.3% 7.1–9.8% 6.8–10.3% 6.5–10.6% 6.0–11.4%
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) 16.5% 8.2% 7.0–9.7% 6.7–10.1% 6.4–10.5% 5.9–11.2%
Resni.ca (*) 0.0% 4.4% 3.5–5.5% 3.3–5.9% 3.1–6.2% 2.7–6.8%
Levica (GUE/NGL) 5.5% 4.4% 3.5–5.5% 3.3–5.9% 3.1–6.2% 2.7–6.8%
Slovenska nacionalna stranka (NI) 4.0% 3.5% 2.8–4.6% 2.6–4.9% 2.4–5.2% 2.1–5.7%
Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 3.3% 2.5–4.3% 2.3–4.6% 2.2–4.8% 1.9–5.4%
VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 3.1% 2.4–4.1% 2.2–4.4% 2.1–4.7% 1.8–5.2%
Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) 16.5% 2.4% 1.8–3.3% 1.6–3.6% 1.5–3.8% 1.3–4.3%
Konkretno (RE) 0.0% 0.8% 0.5–1.5% 0.5–1.7% 0.4–1.8% 0.3–2.2%
Naša dežela (*) 0.0% 0.3% 0.2–0.8% 0.1–0.9% 0.1–1.0% 0.0–1.3%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) 3 4 4–5 4–5 4–5 4–5
Gibanje Svoboda (RE) 0 3 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–4
Socialni demokrati (S&D) 1 1 1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) 1 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Resni.ca (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Levica (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Slovenska nacionalna stranka (NI) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0
VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) 1 0 0 0 0 0
Konkretno (RE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Naša dežela (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
3 0% 100% Last Result
4 51% 100% Median
5 49% 49% Majority
6 0.1% 0.1%  
7 0% 0%  

Gibanje Svoboda (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Gibanje Svoboda (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 26% 100%  
3 74% 74% Median
4 0.6% 0.6%  
5 0% 0% Majority

Socialni demokrati (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialni demokrati (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 10% 100%  
1 90% 90% Last Result, Median
2 0% 0%  

Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 15% 100%  
1 85% 85% Last Result, Median
2 0% 0%  

Resni.ca (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Resni.ca (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.8% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.2% 0.2%  
2 0% 0%  

Levica (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Levica (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.8% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.2% 0.2%  
2 0% 0%  

Slovenska nacionalna stranka (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska nacionalna stranka (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Median
1 0% 0% Last Result

Konkretno (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Konkretno (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Naša dežela (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Naša dežela (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialni demokrati (S&D) 1 1 0% 1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Levica (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0
Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) – VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0
Slovenska nacionalna stranka (NI) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0

Socialni demokrati (S&D)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 10% 100%  
1 90% 90% Last Result, Median
2 0% 0%  

Levica (GUE/NGL)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.8% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.2% 0.2%  
2 0% 0%  

Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) – VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Slovenska nacionalna stranka (NI)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations