Gibanje Svoboda (RE)
Voting Intentions
Last result: 0.0% (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
N/A | Poll Average | 21.9% | 19.6–24.3% | 19.0–25.0% | 18.5–25.6% | 17.5–26.7% |
9–11 December 2024 | Ninamedia Dnevnik |
22.9% | 20.9–25.0% | 20.4–25.6% | 19.9–26.1% | 19.0–27.2% |
2–5 December 2024 | Mediana Delo |
20.9% | 19.0–22.9% | 18.5–23.5% | 18.0–24.0% | 17.2–25.0% |
18–21 November 2024 | Mediana POP TV |
21.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
11–13 November 2024 | Ninamedia Dnevnik |
22.1% | 20.2–24.2% | 19.7–24.9% | 19.2–25.4% | 18.3–26.4% |
4–7 November 2024 | Mediana Delo |
19.0% | 17.2–21.0% | 16.7–21.5% | 16.3–22.0% | 15.5–23.0% |
21–24 October 2024 | Mediana POP TV |
17.4% | 15.7–19.3% | 15.2–19.8% | 14.8–20.3% | 14.0–21.3% |
14–16 October 2024 | Ninamedia Dnevnik |
21.9% | 20.0–24.0% | 19.4–24.6% | 18.9–25.1% | 18.1–26.1% |
30 September–3 October 2024 | Mediana Delo |
24.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
16–19 September 2024 | Mediana POP TV |
21.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
9–11 September 2024 | Ninamedia Dnevnik |
24.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
2–5 September 2024 | Mediana Delo |
22.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
20–22 August 2024 | Mediana POP TV |
26.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
12–14 August 2024 | Ninamedia Dnevnik |
27.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
5–8 August 2024 | Mediana Delo |
22.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
22–25 July 2024 | Mediana POP TV |
26.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
15–17 July 2024 | Ninamedia Dnevnik |
25.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
2–4 July 2024 | Mediana Delo |
22.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
18–20 June 2024 | Mediana POP TV |
24.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
17–19 June 2024 | Ninamedia Dnevnik |
22.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Gibanje Svoboda (RE).
Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
---|---|---|---|
0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
2.5–3.5% | 0% | 100% | |
3.5–4.5% | 0% | 100% | |
4.5–5.5% | 0% | 100% | |
5.5–6.5% | 0% | 100% | |
6.5–7.5% | 0% | 100% | |
7.5–8.5% | 0% | 100% | |
8.5–9.5% | 0% | 100% | |
9.5–10.5% | 0% | 100% | |
10.5–11.5% | 0% | 100% | |
11.5–12.5% | 0% | 100% | |
12.5–13.5% | 0% | 100% | |
13.5–14.5% | 0% | 100% | |
14.5–15.5% | 0% | 100% | |
15.5–16.5% | 0.1% | 100% | |
16.5–17.5% | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
17.5–18.5% | 2% | 99.5% | |
18.5–19.5% | 7% | 97% | |
19.5–20.5% | 14% | 90% | |
20.5–21.5% | 19% | 77% | |
21.5–22.5% | 21% | 57% | Median |
22.5–23.5% | 17% | 36% | |
23.5–24.5% | 11% | 19% | |
24.5–25.5% | 5% | 8% | |
25.5–26.5% | 2% | 3% | |
26.5–27.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
27.5–28.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
28.5–29.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
N/A | Poll Average | 3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
9–11 December 2024 | Ninamedia Dnevnik |
3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
2–5 December 2024 | Mediana Delo |
2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
18–21 November 2024 | Mediana POP TV |
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11–13 November 2024 | Ninamedia Dnevnik |
2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
4–7 November 2024 | Mediana Delo |
2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
21–24 October 2024 | Mediana POP TV |
2 | 2 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–3 |
14–16 October 2024 | Ninamedia Dnevnik |
2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
30 September–3 October 2024 | Mediana Delo |
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16–19 September 2024 | Mediana POP TV |
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9–11 September 2024 | Ninamedia Dnevnik |
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2–5 September 2024 | Mediana Delo |
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20–22 August 2024 | Mediana POP TV |
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12–14 August 2024 | Ninamedia Dnevnik |
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5–8 August 2024 | Mediana Delo |
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22–25 July 2024 | Mediana POP TV |
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15–17 July 2024 | Ninamedia Dnevnik |
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2–4 July 2024 | Mediana Delo |
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18–20 June 2024 | Mediana POP TV |
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17–19 June 2024 | Ninamedia Dnevnik |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Gibanje Svoboda (RE).
Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
---|---|---|---|
0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
1 | 0% | 100% | |
2 | 48% | 100% | |
3 | 52% | 52% | Median |
4 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
5 | 0% | 0% | Majority |