Gibanje Svoboda (RE)
Voting Intentions
Last result: 0.0% (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
N/A | Poll Average | 22.1% | 16.9–26.6% | 16.0–27.6% | 15.4–28.4% | 14.2–30.0% |
12–14 May 2025 | Ninamedia Dnevnik |
23.6% | 21.3–26.2% | 20.7–26.9% | 20.1–27.5% | 19.1–28.8% |
5–7 May 2025 | Mediana Delo |
25.7% | 23.2–28.3% | 22.6–29.1% | 22.0–29.8% | 20.9–31.1% |
25–28 April 2025 | Valicon Siol.net |
21.3% | 19.9–22.7% | 19.5–23.2% | 19.2–23.5% | 18.5–24.2% |
22–24 April 2025 | Mediana POP TV |
21.8% | 19.5–24.4% | 18.8–25.1% | 18.3–25.7% | 17.2–27.0% |
14–16 April 2025 | Ninamedia Dnevnik |
22.8% | 20.5–25.2% | 19.9–25.9% | 19.4–26.6% | 18.4–27.8% |
7–10 April 2025 | Parsifal SC Nova24TV |
17.2% | 15.4–19.4% | 14.8–20.0% | 14.4–20.6% | 13.5–21.6% |
31 March–4 April 2025 | Mediana Delo |
18.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
17–21 March 2025 | Mediana POP TV |
22.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
10–12 March 2025 | Ninamedia Dnevnik |
23.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
3–6 March 2025 | Mediana Delo |
22.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
17–20 February 2025 | Mediana POP TV |
19.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
10–12 February 2025 | Ninamedia Dnevnik |
22.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
3–6 February 2025 | Mediana Delo |
19.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
21–23 January 2025 | Mediana POP TV |
19.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
13–15 January 2025 | Ninamedia Dnevnik |
23.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
6–9 January 2025 | Mediana Delo |
22.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
16–19 December 2024 | Mediana POP TV |
23.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
9–11 December 2024 | Ninamedia Dnevnik |
22.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
2–5 December 2024 | Mediana Delo |
20.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
18–21 November 2024 | Mediana POP TV |
21.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
11–13 November 2024 | Ninamedia Dnevnik |
22.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
4–7 November 2024 | Mediana Delo |
19.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
21–24 October 2024 | Mediana POP TV |
17.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
14–16 October 2024 | Ninamedia Dnevnik |
21.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
30 September–3 October 2024 | Mediana Delo |
24.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
16–19 September 2024 | Mediana POP TV |
21.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
9–11 September 2024 | Ninamedia Dnevnik |
24.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
2–5 September 2024 | Mediana Delo |
22.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
20–22 August 2024 | Mediana POP TV |
26.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
12–14 August 2024 | Ninamedia Dnevnik |
27.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
5–8 August 2024 | Mediana Delo |
22.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
22–25 July 2024 | Mediana POP TV |
26.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
15–17 July 2024 | Ninamedia Dnevnik |
25.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
2–4 July 2024 | Mediana Delo |
22.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
18–20 June 2024 | Mediana POP TV |
24.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
17–19 June 2024 | Ninamedia Dnevnik |
22.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Gibanje Svoboda (RE).
Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
---|---|---|---|
0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
2.5–3.5% | 0% | 100% | |
3.5–4.5% | 0% | 100% | |
4.5–5.5% | 0% | 100% | |
5.5–6.5% | 0% | 100% | |
6.5–7.5% | 0% | 100% | |
7.5–8.5% | 0% | 100% | |
8.5–9.5% | 0% | 100% | |
9.5–10.5% | 0% | 100% | |
10.5–11.5% | 0% | 100% | |
11.5–12.5% | 0% | 100% | |
12.5–13.5% | 0.1% | 100% | |
13.5–14.5% | 0.7% | 99.9% | |
14.5–15.5% | 2% | 99.2% | |
15.5–16.5% | 5% | 97% | |
16.5–17.5% | 6% | 92% | |
17.5–18.5% | 6% | 86% | |
18.5–19.5% | 5% | 80% | |
19.5–20.5% | 7% | 75% | |
20.5–21.5% | 11% | 68% | |
21.5–22.5% | 12% | 57% | Median |
22.5–23.5% | 10% | 45% | |
23.5–24.5% | 9% | 36% | |
24.5–25.5% | 9% | 26% | |
25.5–26.5% | 7% | 18% | |
26.5–27.5% | 5% | 10% | |
27.5–28.5% | 3% | 5% | |
28.5–29.5% | 1.4% | 2% | |
29.5–30.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
30.5–31.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
31.5–32.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
32.5–33.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
N/A | Poll Average | 3 | 2–3 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 |
12–14 May 2025 | Ninamedia Dnevnik |
3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
5–7 May 2025 | Mediana Delo |
3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
25–28 April 2025 | Valicon Siol.net |
3 | 3 | 3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
22–24 April 2025 | Mediana POP TV |
3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–4 | 2–4 |
14–16 April 2025 | Ninamedia Dnevnik |
2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
7–10 April 2025 | Parsifal SC Nova24TV |
2 | 2 | 2 | 2–3 | 1–3 |
31 March–4 April 2025 | Mediana Delo |
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17–21 March 2025 | Mediana POP TV |
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10–12 March 2025 | Ninamedia Dnevnik |
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3–6 March 2025 | Mediana Delo |
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17–20 February 2025 | Mediana POP TV |
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10–12 February 2025 | Ninamedia Dnevnik |
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3–6 February 2025 | Mediana Delo |
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21–23 January 2025 | Mediana POP TV |
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13–15 January 2025 | Ninamedia Dnevnik |
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6–9 January 2025 | Mediana Delo |
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16–19 December 2024 | Mediana POP TV |
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9–11 December 2024 | Ninamedia Dnevnik |
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2–5 December 2024 | Mediana Delo |
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18–21 November 2024 | Mediana POP TV |
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11–13 November 2024 | Ninamedia Dnevnik |
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4–7 November 2024 | Mediana Delo |
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21–24 October 2024 | Mediana POP TV |
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14–16 October 2024 | Ninamedia Dnevnik |
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30 September–3 October 2024 | Mediana Delo |
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16–19 September 2024 | Mediana POP TV |
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9–11 September 2024 | Ninamedia Dnevnik |
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2–5 September 2024 | Mediana Delo |
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20–22 August 2024 | Mediana POP TV |
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12–14 August 2024 | Ninamedia Dnevnik |
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5–8 August 2024 | Mediana Delo |
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22–25 July 2024 | Mediana POP TV |
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15–17 July 2024 | Ninamedia Dnevnik |
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2–4 July 2024 | Mediana Delo |
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18–20 June 2024 | Mediana POP TV |
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17–19 June 2024 | Ninamedia Dnevnik |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Gibanje Svoboda (RE).
Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
---|---|---|---|
0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
1 | 0.2% | 100% | |
2 | 32% | 99.8% | |
3 | 60% | 67% | Median |
4 | 7% | 7% | |
5 | 0% | 0% | Majority |