Gibanje Svoboda (RE)

Voting Intentions | Seats

Voting Intentions

Last result: 0.0% (General Election of 9 June 2024)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 21.3% 18.6–24.6% 17.9–25.5% 17.2–26.2% 15.7–27.6%
1–20 November 2025 IJEK
Utrip Družbe		 20.0% 17.3–23.2% 16.6–24.0% 15.9–24.8% 14.7–26.4%
10–13 November 2025 Mediana
RTV Slovenija		 23.3% 21.0–25.9% 20.4–26.6% 19.9–27.2% 18.8–28.4%
10–12 November 2025 Ninamedia
Dnevnik		 22.3% 20.0–24.8% 19.4–25.5% 18.9–26.1% 17.8–27.4%
3–6 November 2025 Mediana
Delo		 21.7% N/A N/A N/A N/A
24–26 October 2025 Valicon
TSmedia		 19.7% 18.4–21.2% 18.0–21.6% 17.7–21.9% 17.1–22.6%
20–23 October 2025 Mediana
POP TV		 23.5% 21.2–26.1% 20.6–26.8% 20.0–27.4% 18.9–28.7%
20–22 October 2025 Parsifal SC
Nova24TV		 17.2% N/A N/A N/A N/A
17–20 October 2025 Valicon
POP TV		 22.3% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–20 October 2025 IJEK
Utrip Družbe		 23.7% N/A N/A N/A N/A
13–15 October 2025 Ninamedia
Dnevnik		 23.8% N/A N/A N/A N/A
6–9 October 2025 Mediana
Delo		 20.1% N/A N/A N/A N/A
26–29 September 2025 Valicon
TSmedia		 22.9% N/A N/A N/A N/A
22–25 September 2025 Mediana
POP TV		 24.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–12 September 2025 IJEK
Utrip Družbe		 21.6% N/A N/A N/A N/A
8–10 September 2025 Ninamedia
Dnevnik		 24.7% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–4 September 2025 Mediana
Delo		 20.7% N/A N/A N/A N/A
22–25 August 2025 Valicon
TSmedia		 20.9% N/A N/A N/A N/A
18–21 August 2025 Mediana
POP TV		 22.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
11–13 August 2025 Ninamedia
Dnevnik		 25.3% N/A N/A N/A N/A
4–7 August 2025 Mediana
Delo		 24.4% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–7 August 2025 IJEK
Utrip Družbe		 18.8% N/A N/A N/A N/A
25–28 July 2025 Valicon
TSmedia		 21.6% N/A N/A N/A N/A
21–24 July 2025 Mediana
POP TV		 24.4% N/A N/A N/A N/A
7–9 July 2025 Ninamedia
Dnevnik		 24.7% N/A N/A N/A N/A
3–9 July 2025 IJEK
Utrip Družbe		 22.2% N/A N/A N/A N/A
30 June–3 July 2025 Mediana
Delo		 20.5% N/A N/A N/A N/A
27–30 June 2025 Valicon
TSmedia		 18.5% N/A N/A N/A N/A
16–19 June 2025 Mediana
POP TV		 22.3% N/A N/A N/A N/A
10–12 June 2025 Parsifal SC
Nova24TV		 19.5% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–12 June 2025 IJEK
Utrip Družbe		 24.1% N/A N/A N/A N/A
9–11 June 2025 Ninamedia
Dnevnik		 23.3% N/A N/A N/A N/A
2–5 June 2025 Mediana
Delo		 26.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
23–26 May 2025 Valicon
TSmedia		 19.9% N/A N/A N/A N/A
19–22 May 2025 Mediana
POP TV		 25.1% N/A N/A N/A N/A
12–14 May 2025 Ninamedia
Dnevnik		 23.6% N/A N/A N/A N/A
5–7 May 2025 Mediana
Delo		 25.7% N/A N/A N/A N/A
25–28 April 2025 Valicon
Siol.net		 21.3% N/A N/A N/A N/A
22–24 April 2025 Mediana
POP TV		 21.8% N/A N/A N/A N/A
14–16 April 2025 Ninamedia
Dnevnik		 22.8% N/A N/A N/A N/A
7–10 April 2025 Parsifal SC
Nova24TV		 17.2% N/A N/A N/A N/A
31 March–4 April 2025 Mediana
Delo		 18.8% N/A N/A N/A N/A
17–21 March 2025 Mediana
POP TV		 22.3% N/A N/A N/A N/A
10–12 March 2025 Ninamedia
Dnevnik		 23.5% N/A N/A N/A N/A
3–6 March 2025 Mediana
Delo		 22.8% N/A N/A N/A N/A
17–20 February 2025 Mediana
POP TV		 19.5% N/A N/A N/A N/A
10–12 February 2025 Ninamedia
Dnevnik		 22.9% N/A N/A N/A N/A
3–6 February 2025 Mediana
Delo		 19.6% N/A N/A N/A N/A
21–23 January 2025 Mediana
POP TV		 19.2% N/A N/A N/A N/A
13–15 January 2025 Ninamedia
Dnevnik		 23.3% N/A N/A N/A N/A
6–9 January 2025 Mediana
Delo		 22.3% N/A N/A N/A N/A
16–19 December 2024 Mediana
POP TV		 23.2% N/A N/A N/A N/A
9–11 December 2024 Ninamedia
Dnevnik		 22.9% N/A N/A N/A N/A
2–5 December 2024 Mediana
Delo		 20.9% N/A N/A N/A N/A
18–21 November 2024 Mediana
POP TV		 21.8% N/A N/A N/A N/A
11–13 November 2024 Ninamedia
Dnevnik		 22.1% N/A N/A N/A N/A
4–7 November 2024 Mediana
Delo		 19.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
21–24 October 2024 Mediana
POP TV		 17.4% N/A N/A N/A N/A
14–16 October 2024 Ninamedia
Dnevnik		 21.9% N/A N/A N/A N/A
30 September–3 October 2024 Mediana
Delo		 24.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
16–19 September 2024 Mediana
POP TV		 21.4% N/A N/A N/A N/A
9–11 September 2024 Ninamedia
Dnevnik		 24.4% N/A N/A N/A N/A
2–5 September 2024 Mediana
Delo		 22.4% N/A N/A N/A N/A
20–22 August 2024 Mediana
POP TV		 26.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
12–14 August 2024 Ninamedia
Dnevnik		 27.1% N/A N/A N/A N/A
5–8 August 2024 Mediana
Delo		 22.2% N/A N/A N/A N/A
22–25 July 2024 Mediana
POP TV		 26.5% N/A N/A N/A N/A
15–17 July 2024 Ninamedia
Dnevnik		 25.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
2–4 July 2024 Mediana
Delo		 22.6% N/A N/A N/A N/A
18–20 June 2024 Mediana
POP TV		 24.5% N/A N/A N/A N/A
17–19 June 2024 Ninamedia
Dnevnik		 22.1% N/A N/A N/A N/A

Probability Mass Function

The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Gibanje Svoboda (RE).

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0.0–0.5% 0% 100% Last Result
0.5–1.5% 0% 100%  
1.5–2.5% 0% 100%  
2.5–3.5% 0% 100%  
3.5–4.5% 0% 100%  
4.5–5.5% 0% 100%  
5.5–6.5% 0% 100%  
6.5–7.5% 0% 100%  
7.5–8.5% 0% 100%  
8.5–9.5% 0% 100%  
9.5–10.5% 0% 100%  
10.5–11.5% 0% 100%  
11.5–12.5% 0% 100%  
12.5–13.5% 0% 100%  
13.5–14.5% 0.1% 100%  
14.5–15.5% 0.3% 99.9%  
15.5–16.5% 0.9% 99.6%  
16.5–17.5% 2% 98.7%  
17.5–18.5% 6% 97%  
18.5–19.5% 13% 90%  
19.5–20.5% 16% 78%  
20.5–21.5% 15% 61% Median
21.5–22.5% 14% 46%  
22.5–23.5% 12% 32%  
23.5–24.5% 10% 20%  
24.5–25.5% 6% 11%  
25.5–26.5% 3% 5%  
26.5–27.5% 1.2% 2%  
27.5–28.5% 0.4% 0.5%  
28.5–29.5% 0.1% 0.1%  
29.5–30.5% 0% 0%  

Seats

Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 9 June 2024)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 3 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–4
1–20 November 2025 IJEK
Utrip Družbe		 3 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
10–13 November 2025 Mediana
RTV Slovenija		 3 3 3 3–4 2–4
10–12 November 2025 Ninamedia
Dnevnik		 2 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
3–6 November 2025 Mediana
Delo		          
24–26 October 2025 Valicon
TSmedia		 3 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
20–23 October 2025 Mediana
POP TV		 3 3–4 3–4 3–4 2–4
20–22 October 2025 Parsifal SC
Nova24TV		          
17–20 October 2025 Valicon
POP TV		          
1–20 October 2025 IJEK
Utrip Družbe		          
13–15 October 2025 Ninamedia
Dnevnik		          
6–9 October 2025 Mediana
Delo		          
26–29 September 2025 Valicon
TSmedia		          
22–25 September 2025 Mediana
POP TV		          
1–12 September 2025 IJEK
Utrip Družbe		          
8–10 September 2025 Ninamedia
Dnevnik		          
1–4 September 2025 Mediana
Delo		          
22–25 August 2025 Valicon
TSmedia		          
18–21 August 2025 Mediana
POP TV		          
11–13 August 2025 Ninamedia
Dnevnik		          
4–7 August 2025 Mediana
Delo		          
1–7 August 2025 IJEK
Utrip Družbe		          
25–28 July 2025 Valicon
TSmedia		          
21–24 July 2025 Mediana
POP TV		          
7–9 July 2025 Ninamedia
Dnevnik		          
3–9 July 2025 IJEK
Utrip Družbe		          
30 June–3 July 2025 Mediana
Delo		          
27–30 June 2025 Valicon
TSmedia		          
16–19 June 2025 Mediana
POP TV		          
10–12 June 2025 Parsifal SC
Nova24TV		          
1–12 June 2025 IJEK
Utrip Družbe		          
9–11 June 2025 Ninamedia
Dnevnik		          
2–5 June 2025 Mediana
Delo		          
23–26 May 2025 Valicon
TSmedia		          
19–22 May 2025 Mediana
POP TV		          
12–14 May 2025 Ninamedia
Dnevnik		          
5–7 May 2025 Mediana
Delo		          
25–28 April 2025 Valicon
Siol.net		          
22–24 April 2025 Mediana
POP TV		          
14–16 April 2025 Ninamedia
Dnevnik		          
7–10 April 2025 Parsifal SC
Nova24TV		          
31 March–4 April 2025 Mediana
Delo		          
17–21 March 2025 Mediana
POP TV		          
10–12 March 2025 Ninamedia
Dnevnik		          
3–6 March 2025 Mediana
Delo		          
17–20 February 2025 Mediana
POP TV		          
10–12 February 2025 Ninamedia
Dnevnik		          
3–6 February 2025 Mediana
Delo		          
21–23 January 2025 Mediana
POP TV		          
13–15 January 2025 Ninamedia
Dnevnik		          
6–9 January 2025 Mediana
Delo		          
16–19 December 2024 Mediana
POP TV		          
9–11 December 2024 Ninamedia
Dnevnik		          
2–5 December 2024 Mediana
Delo		          
18–21 November 2024 Mediana
POP TV		          
11–13 November 2024 Ninamedia
Dnevnik		          
4–7 November 2024 Mediana
Delo		          
21–24 October 2024 Mediana
POP TV		          
14–16 October 2024 Ninamedia
Dnevnik		          
30 September–3 October 2024 Mediana
Delo		          
16–19 September 2024 Mediana
POP TV		          
9–11 September 2024 Ninamedia
Dnevnik		          
2–5 September 2024 Mediana
Delo		          
20–22 August 2024 Mediana
POP TV		          
12–14 August 2024 Ninamedia
Dnevnik		          
5–8 August 2024 Mediana
Delo		          
22–25 July 2024 Mediana
POP TV		          
15–17 July 2024 Ninamedia
Dnevnik		          
2–4 July 2024 Mediana
Delo		          
18–20 June 2024 Mediana
POP TV		          
17–19 June 2024 Ninamedia
Dnevnik		          

Probability Mass Function

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Gibanje Svoboda (RE).

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 39% 100%  
3 60% 61% Median
4 1.2% 1.2%  
5 0% 0% Majority