Gibanje Svoboda (RE)
Voting Intentions
Last result: 0.0% (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 22.8% | 20.4–25.5% | 19.7–26.4% | 19.2–27.1% | 18.0–28.5% |
| 20–23 October 2025 | Mediana POP TV |
23.5% | 21.2–26.1% | 20.6–26.8% | 20.0–27.4% | 18.9–28.7% |
| 17–20 October 2025 | Valicon POP TV |
22.3% | 20.6–24.1% | 20.1–24.6% | 19.7–25.1% | 18.9–26.0% |
| 13–15 October 2025 | Ninamedia Dnevnik |
23.8% | 21.4–26.6% | 20.7–27.3% | 20.1–28.0% | 19.0–29.3% |
| 6–9 October 2025 | Mediana Delo |
20.1% | 18.0–22.6% | 17.3–23.3% | 16.8–23.9% | 15.8–25.1% |
| 26–29 September 2025 | Valicon TSmedia |
22.9% | 21.6–24.3% | 21.2–24.7% | 20.9–25.1% | 20.2–25.8% |
| 22–25 September 2025 | Mediana POP TV |
24.0% | 21.7–26.6% | 21.1–27.4% | 20.5–28.0% | 19.4–29.3% |
| 1–12 September 2025 | IJEK Utrip Družbe |
21.6% | 19.4–24.1% | 18.7–24.8% | 18.2–25.5% | 17.2–26.7% |
| 8–10 September 2025 | Ninamedia Dnevnik |
24.7% | 22.4–27.4% | 21.7–28.1% | 21.1–28.8% | 20.0–30.1% |
| 1–4 September 2025 | Mediana Delo |
20.7% | 18.5–23.2% | 17.9–23.9% | 17.4–24.5% | 16.4–25.7% |
| 22–25 August 2025 | Valicon TSmedia |
20.9% | 19.6–22.4% | 19.2–22.8% | 18.8–23.2% | 18.2–23.9% |
| 18–21 August 2025 | Mediana POP TV |
22.0% | 19.7–24.6% | 19.1–25.3% | 18.5–25.9% | 17.5–27.2% |
| 11–13 August 2025 | Ninamedia Dnevnik |
25.3% | 22.8–28.2% | 22.1–29.0% | 21.5–29.7% | 20.3–31.0% |
| 4–7 August 2025 | Mediana Delo |
24.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–7 August 2025 | IJEK Utrip Družbe |
18.8% | 16.7–21.2% | 16.2–21.9% | 15.7–22.5% | 14.7–23.7% |
| 25–28 July 2025 | Valicon TSmedia |
21.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 21–24 July 2025 | Mediana POP TV |
24.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 7–9 July 2025 | Ninamedia Dnevnik |
24.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3–9 July 2025 | IJEK Utrip Družbe |
22.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 30 June–3 July 2025 | Mediana Delo |
20.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 27–30 June 2025 | Valicon TSmedia |
18.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 16–19 June 2025 | Mediana POP TV |
22.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–12 June 2025 | Parsifal SC Nova24TV |
19.5% | 17.5–21.9% | 16.9–22.5% | 16.4–23.1% | 15.4–24.2% |
| 1–12 June 2025 | IJEK Utrip Družbe |
24.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 9–11 June 2025 | Ninamedia Dnevnik |
23.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2–5 June 2025 | Mediana Delo |
26.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 23–26 May 2025 | Valicon TSmedia |
19.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 19–22 May 2025 | Mediana POP TV |
25.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12–14 May 2025 | Ninamedia Dnevnik |
23.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 5–7 May 2025 | Mediana Delo |
25.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 25–28 April 2025 | Valicon Siol.net |
21.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 22–24 April 2025 | Mediana POP TV |
21.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 14–16 April 2025 | Ninamedia Dnevnik |
22.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 7–10 April 2025 | Parsifal SC Nova24TV |
17.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 31 March–4 April 2025 | Mediana Delo |
18.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 17–21 March 2025 | Mediana POP TV |
22.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–12 March 2025 | Ninamedia Dnevnik |
23.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3–6 March 2025 | Mediana Delo |
22.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 17–20 February 2025 | Mediana POP TV |
19.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–12 February 2025 | Ninamedia Dnevnik |
22.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3–6 February 2025 | Mediana Delo |
19.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 21–23 January 2025 | Mediana POP TV |
19.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 13–15 January 2025 | Ninamedia Dnevnik |
23.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 6–9 January 2025 | Mediana Delo |
22.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 16–19 December 2024 | Mediana POP TV |
23.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 9–11 December 2024 | Ninamedia Dnevnik |
22.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2–5 December 2024 | Mediana Delo |
20.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 18–21 November 2024 | Mediana POP TV |
21.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 11–13 November 2024 | Ninamedia Dnevnik |
22.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 4–7 November 2024 | Mediana Delo |
19.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 21–24 October 2024 | Mediana POP TV |
17.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 14–16 October 2024 | Ninamedia Dnevnik |
21.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 30 September–3 October 2024 | Mediana Delo |
24.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 16–19 September 2024 | Mediana POP TV |
21.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 9–11 September 2024 | Ninamedia Dnevnik |
24.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2–5 September 2024 | Mediana Delo |
22.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 20–22 August 2024 | Mediana POP TV |
26.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12–14 August 2024 | Ninamedia Dnevnik |
27.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 5–8 August 2024 | Mediana Delo |
22.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 22–25 July 2024 | Mediana POP TV |
26.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 15–17 July 2024 | Ninamedia Dnevnik |
25.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2–4 July 2024 | Mediana Delo |
22.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 18–20 June 2024 | Mediana POP TV |
24.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 17–19 June 2024 | Ninamedia Dnevnik |
22.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Gibanje Svoboda (RE).
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 12.5–13.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 13.5–14.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 14.5–15.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 15.5–16.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 16.5–17.5% | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 17.5–18.5% | 0.9% | 99.8% | |
| 18.5–19.5% | 3% | 98.9% | |
| 19.5–20.5% | 7% | 96% | |
| 20.5–21.5% | 14% | 89% | |
| 21.5–22.5% | 20% | 75% | |
| 22.5–23.5% | 20% | 55% | Median |
| 23.5–24.5% | 16% | 36% | |
| 24.5–25.5% | 10% | 20% | |
| 25.5–26.5% | 6% | 10% | |
| 26.5–27.5% | 3% | 4% | |
| 27.5–28.5% | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 28.5–29.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 29.5–30.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 30.5–31.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 3 | 2–3 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 |
| 20–23 October 2025 | Mediana POP TV |
3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 |
| 17–20 October 2025 | Valicon POP TV |
3 | 3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| 13–15 October 2025 | Ninamedia Dnevnik |
2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 6–9 October 2025 | Mediana Delo |
2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 26–29 September 2025 | Valicon TSmedia |
3 | 3 | 3 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| 22–25 September 2025 | Mediana POP TV |
3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 |
| 1–12 September 2025 | IJEK Utrip Družbe |
3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2–4 |
| 8–10 September 2025 | Ninamedia Dnevnik |
3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 1–4 September 2025 | Mediana Delo |
3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–4 |
| 22–25 August 2025 | Valicon TSmedia |
3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 18–21 August 2025 | Mediana POP TV |
3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–4 |
| 11–13 August 2025 | Ninamedia Dnevnik |
3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–4 |
| 4–7 August 2025 | Mediana Delo |
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| 1–7 August 2025 | IJEK Utrip Družbe |
2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 1–3 |
| 25–28 July 2025 | Valicon TSmedia |
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| 21–24 July 2025 | Mediana POP TV |
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| 7–9 July 2025 | Ninamedia Dnevnik |
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| 3–9 July 2025 | IJEK Utrip Družbe |
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| 30 June–3 July 2025 | Mediana Delo |
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| 27–30 June 2025 | Valicon TSmedia |
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| 16–19 June 2025 | Mediana POP TV |
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| 10–12 June 2025 | Parsifal SC Nova24TV |
2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 1–12 June 2025 | IJEK Utrip Družbe |
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| 9–11 June 2025 | Ninamedia Dnevnik |
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| 2–5 June 2025 | Mediana Delo |
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| 23–26 May 2025 | Valicon TSmedia |
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| 19–22 May 2025 | Mediana POP TV |
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| 12–14 May 2025 | Ninamedia Dnevnik |
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| 5–7 May 2025 | Mediana Delo |
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| 25–28 April 2025 | Valicon Siol.net |
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| 22–24 April 2025 | Mediana POP TV |
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| 14–16 April 2025 | Ninamedia Dnevnik |
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| 7–10 April 2025 | Parsifal SC Nova24TV |
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| 31 March–4 April 2025 | Mediana Delo |
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| 17–21 March 2025 | Mediana POP TV |
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| 10–12 March 2025 | Ninamedia Dnevnik |
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| 3–6 March 2025 | Mediana Delo |
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| 17–20 February 2025 | Mediana POP TV |
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| 10–12 February 2025 | Ninamedia Dnevnik |
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| 3–6 February 2025 | Mediana Delo |
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| 21–23 January 2025 | Mediana POP TV |
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| 13–15 January 2025 | Ninamedia Dnevnik |
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| 6–9 January 2025 | Mediana Delo |
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| 16–19 December 2024 | Mediana POP TV |
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| 9–11 December 2024 | Ninamedia Dnevnik |
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| 2–5 December 2024 | Mediana Delo |
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| 18–21 November 2024 | Mediana POP TV |
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| 11–13 November 2024 | Ninamedia Dnevnik |
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| 4–7 November 2024 | Mediana Delo |
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| 21–24 October 2024 | Mediana POP TV |
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| 14–16 October 2024 | Ninamedia Dnevnik |
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| 30 September–3 October 2024 | Mediana Delo |
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| 16–19 September 2024 | Mediana POP TV |
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| 9–11 September 2024 | Ninamedia Dnevnik |
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| 2–5 September 2024 | Mediana Delo |
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| 20–22 August 2024 | Mediana POP TV |
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| 12–14 August 2024 | Ninamedia Dnevnik |
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| 5–8 August 2024 | Mediana Delo |
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| 22–25 July 2024 | Mediana POP TV |
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| 15–17 July 2024 | Ninamedia Dnevnik |
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| 2–4 July 2024 | Mediana Delo |
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| 18–20 June 2024 | Mediana POP TV |
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| 17–19 June 2024 | Ninamedia Dnevnik |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Gibanje Svoboda (RE).
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 16% | 100% | |
| 3 | 78% | 84% | Median |
| 4 | 6% | 6% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% | Majority |