Gibanje Svoboda (RE)
Voting Intentions
Last result: 0.0% (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
N/A | Poll Average | 22.9% | 20.2–25.9% | 19.5–26.6% | 19.0–27.2% | 18.0–28.4% |
16–19 September 2024 | Mediana POP TV |
21.4% | 19.5–23.4% | 19.0–24.0% | 18.5–24.5% | 17.7–25.5% |
9–11 September 2024 | Ninamedia Dnevnik |
24.4% | 22.4–26.6% | 21.9–27.2% | 21.4–27.8% | 20.5–28.8% |
2–5 September 2024 | Mediana Delo |
22.4% | 20.5–24.5% | 20.0–25.1% | 19.5–25.6% | 18.6–26.6% |
20–22 August 2024 | Mediana POP TV |
26.0% | 24.0–28.2% | 23.5–28.9% | 23.0–29.4% | 22.0–30.5% |
12–14 August 2024 | Ninamedia Dnevnik |
27.1% | 25.0–29.4% | 24.3–30.0% | 23.8–30.6% | 22.8–31.7% |
5–8 August 2024 | Mediana Delo |
22.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
22–25 July 2024 | Mediana POP TV |
26.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
15–17 July 2024 | Ninamedia Dnevnik |
25.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
2–4 July 2024 | Mediana Delo |
22.6% | 20.7–24.7% | 20.2–25.3% | 19.7–25.8% | 18.8–26.8% |
18–20 June 2024 | Mediana POP TV |
24.5% | 22.6–26.5% | 22.1–27.1% | 21.7–27.6% | 20.8–28.6% |
17–19 June 2024 | Ninamedia Dnevnik |
22.1% | 20.2–24.2% | 19.7–24.9% | 19.2–25.4% | 18.3–26.4% |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Gibanje Svoboda (RE).
Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
---|---|---|---|
0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
2.5–3.5% | 0% | 100% | |
3.5–4.5% | 0% | 100% | |
4.5–5.5% | 0% | 100% | |
5.5–6.5% | 0% | 100% | |
6.5–7.5% | 0% | 100% | |
7.5–8.5% | 0% | 100% | |
8.5–9.5% | 0% | 100% | |
9.5–10.5% | 0% | 100% | |
10.5–11.5% | 0% | 100% | |
11.5–12.5% | 0% | 100% | |
12.5–13.5% | 0% | 100% | |
13.5–14.5% | 0% | 100% | |
14.5–15.5% | 0% | 100% | |
15.5–16.5% | 0% | 100% | |
16.5–17.5% | 0.2% | 100% | |
17.5–18.5% | 1.1% | 99.8% | |
18.5–19.5% | 4% | 98.8% | |
19.5–20.5% | 9% | 95% | |
20.5–21.5% | 14% | 86% | |
21.5–22.5% | 16% | 72% | |
22.5–23.5% | 16% | 56% | Median |
23.5–24.5% | 15% | 40% | |
24.5–25.5% | 12% | 25% | |
25.5–26.5% | 8% | 13% | |
26.5–27.5% | 4% | 5% | |
27.5–28.5% | 1.2% | 2% | |
28.5–29.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
29.5–30.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
30.5–31.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
N/A | Poll Average | 3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
16–19 September 2024 | Mediana POP TV |
3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
9–11 September 2024 | Ninamedia Dnevnik |
3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
2–5 September 2024 | Mediana Delo |
3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
20–22 August 2024 | Mediana POP TV |
3 | 3 | 3 | 3–4 | 2–4 |
12–14 August 2024 | Ninamedia Dnevnik |
3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
5–8 August 2024 | Mediana Delo |
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22–25 July 2024 | Mediana POP TV |
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15–17 July 2024 | Ninamedia Dnevnik |
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2–4 July 2024 | Mediana Delo |
3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
18–20 June 2024 | Mediana POP TV |
3 | 3 | 3 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
17–19 June 2024 | Ninamedia Dnevnik |
2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Gibanje Svoboda (RE).
Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
---|---|---|---|
0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
1 | 0% | 100% | |
2 | 18% | 100% | |
3 | 82% | 82% | Median |
4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
5 | 0% | 0% | Majority |