Opinion Poll by Ninamedia for Dnevnik, 8–10 April 2024

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) 24.8% 38.7% 36.4–41.1% 35.7–41.8% 35.2–42.4% 34.1–43.5%
Gibanje Svoboda (RE) 0.0% 26.7% 24.6–28.9% 24.1–29.6% 23.6–30.1% 22.6–31.2%
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) 16.5% 11.6% 10.2–13.3% 9.7–13.7% 9.4–14.2% 8.8–15.0%
Socialni demokrati (S&D) 8.1% 11.1% 9.7–12.8% 9.4–13.3% 9.0–13.7% 8.4–14.5%
Levica (GUE/NGL) 5.5% 8.6% 7.3–10.1% 7.0–10.5% 6.7–10.9% 6.2–11.6%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) 3 4 4 3–4 3–5 3–5
Gibanje Svoboda (RE) 0 3 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) 1 1 1 1 1 0–1
Socialni demokrati (S&D) 1 1 1 1 1 0–1
Levica (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1

Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
3 6% 100% Last Result
4 91% 94% Median
5 3% 3% Majority
6 0% 0%  

Gibanje Svoboda (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Gibanje Svoboda (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 39% 100%  
3 61% 61% Median
4 0% 0%  

Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.7% 100%  
1 99.3% 99.3% Last Result, Median
2 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialni demokrati (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 1.5% 100%  
1 98.5% 98.5% Last Result, Median
2 0% 0%  

Levica (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Levica (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 55% 100% Last Result, Median
1 45% 45%  
2 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialni demokrati (S&D) 1 1 0% 1 1 1 0–1
Levica (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0% 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1

Socialni demokrati (S&D)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 1.5% 100%  
1 98.5% 98.5% Last Result, Median
2 0% 0%  

Levica (GUE/NGL)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 55% 100% Last Result, Median
1 45% 45%  
2 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations