Opinion Poll by Ninamedia for Dnevnik, 17–19 June 2024

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) 0.0% 36.1% 33.9–38.5% 33.2–39.2% 32.7–39.8% 31.6–40.9%
Gibanje Svoboda (RE) 0.0% 22.1% 20.2–24.2% 19.7–24.9% 19.2–25.4% 18.3–26.4%
Socialni demokrati (S&D) 0.0% 10.9% 9.5–12.5% 9.1–13.0% 8.8–13.4% 8.1–14.2%
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) 0.0% 9.3% 8.0–10.8% 7.7–11.3% 7.3–11.7% 6.8–12.5%
Levica (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 7.4% 6.3–8.9% 6.0–9.3% 5.7–9.6% 5.2–10.3%
Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) 0.0% 4.1% 3.3–5.3% 3.1–5.6% 2.9–5.9% 2.5–6.5%
VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 3.6% 2.8–4.6% 2.6–5.0% 2.4–5.2% 2.1–5.8%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) 0 4 4–5 4–5 4–5 3–5
Gibanje Svoboda (RE) 0 2 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Socialni demokrati (S&D) 0 1 1 1 1 1
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) 0 1 1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Levica (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) 0 0 0 0 0 0
VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0.9% 100%  
4 79% 99.1% Median
5 20% 20% Majority
6 0% 0%  

Gibanje Svoboda (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Gibanje Svoboda (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 69% 100% Median
3 31% 31%  
4 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialni demokrati (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.2% 100% Last Result
1 99.7% 99.8% Median
2 0.1% 0.1%  
3 0% 0%  

Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 5% 100% Last Result
1 95% 95% Median
2 0% 0%  

Levica (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Levica (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 56% 100% Last Result, Median
1 44% 44%  
2 0% 0%  

Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialni demokrati (S&D) 0 1 0% 1 1 1 1
Levica (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0% 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1

Socialni demokrati (S&D)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.2% 100% Last Result
1 99.7% 99.8% Median
2 0.1% 0.1%  
3 0% 0%  

Levica (GUE/NGL)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 56% 100% Last Result, Median
1 44% 44%  
2 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations