Opinion Poll by Mediana for POP TV, 18–20 June 2024

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) 0.0% 30.3% 28.3–32.5% 27.8–33.1% 27.3–33.6% 26.3–34.7%
Gibanje Svoboda (RE) 0.0% 24.5% 22.6–26.5% 22.1–27.1% 21.7–27.6% 20.8–28.6%
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) 0.0% 7.8% 6.7–9.2% 6.4–9.6% 6.2–9.9% 5.7–10.6%
Socialni demokrati (S&D) 0.0% 7.0% 5.9–8.3% 5.6–8.6% 5.4–8.9% 4.9–9.6%
VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 5.7% 4.8–6.9% 4.5–7.3% 4.3–7.6% 3.9–8.2%
Levica (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 5.2% 4.3–6.4% 4.1–6.7% 3.9–7.0% 3.5–7.6%
Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) 0.0% 4.6% 3.8–5.7% 3.6–6.0% 3.4–6.3% 3.0–6.8%
Resni.ca (NI) 0.0% 4.4% 3.6–5.4% 3.3–5.7% 3.1–6.0% 2.8–6.6%
Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 2.4% 1.8–3.2% 1.6–3.4% 1.5–3.7% 1.3–4.1%
Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) 0.0% 2.2% 1.7–3.1% 1.5–3.3% 1.4–3.5% 1.2–4.0%
Naša dežela (*) 0.0% 0.7% 0.5–1.3% 0.4–1.5% 0.3–1.6% 0.2–1.9%
Konkretno (RE) 0.0% 0.4% 0.2–0.8% 0.2–1.0% 0.1–1.1% 0.1–1.4%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) 0 4 4 4 4–5 3–5
Gibanje Svoboda (RE) 0 3 3 3 3–4 3–4
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) 0 1 1 1 0–1 0–1
Socialni demokrati (S&D) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1
Levica (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1
Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) 0 0 0 0 0 0–1
Resni.ca (NI) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Naša dežela (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Konkretno (RE) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 2% 100%  
4 94% 98% Median
5 4% 4% Majority
6 0% 0%  

Gibanje Svoboda (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Gibanje Svoboda (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0.1% 100%  
3 96% 99.9% Median
4 4% 4%  
5 0% 0% Majority

Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 4% 100% Last Result
1 96% 96% Median
2 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialni demokrati (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 15% 100% Last Result
1 85% 85% Median
2 0% 0%  

VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 92% 100% Last Result, Median
1 8% 8%  
2 0% 0%  

Levica (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Levica (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 95% 100% Last Result, Median
1 5% 5%  
2 0% 0%  

Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.3% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.7% 0.7%  
2 0% 0%  

Resni.ca (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Resni.ca (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.8% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.2% 0.2%  
2 0% 0%  

Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Naša dežela (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Naša dežela (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Konkretno (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Konkretno (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Levica (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0% 0 0–1 0–1 0–1
VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) – Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0% 0 0–1 0–1 0–1
Socialni demokrati (S&D) 0 1 0% 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Resni.ca (NI) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0
Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0

Levica (GUE/NGL)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 95% 100% Last Result, Median
1 5% 5%  
2 0% 0%  

VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) – Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 92% 100% Last Result, Median
1 8% 8%  
2 0% 0%  

Socialni demokrati (S&D)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 15% 100% Last Result
1 85% 85% Median
2 0% 0%  

Resni.ca (NI)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.8% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.2% 0.2%  
2 0% 0%  

Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations