Opinion Poll by Mediana for Delo, 2–4 July 2024

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) 0.0% 32.8% 30.7–35.1% 30.0–35.8% 29.5–36.3% 28.5–37.4%
Gibanje Svoboda (RE) 0.0% 22.6% 20.7–24.7% 20.2–25.3% 19.7–25.8% 18.8–26.8%
Socialni demokrati (S&D) 0.0% 9.9% 8.8–11.6% 8.4–12.1% 8.1–12.5% 7.5–13.3%
VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 7.0% 5.9–8.4% 5.6–8.8% 5.4–9.1% 4.9–9.8%
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) 0.0% 6.3% 5.3–7.7% 5.0–8.0% 4.8–8.4% 4.3–9.0%
Levica (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 4.6% 3.7–5.7% 3.5–6.0% 3.3–6.3% 2.9–6.9%
Resni.ca (NI) 0.0% 4.4% 3.6–5.6% 3.3–5.9% 3.1–6.2% 2.8–6.8%
Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 3.2% 2.5–4.2% 2.3–4.5% 2.1–4.7% 1.8–5.2%
Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) 0.0% 3.2% 2.5–4.2% 2.3–4.5% 2.1–4.7% 1.8–5.2%
Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) 0.0% 3.0% 2.4–4.0% 2.2–4.3% 2.0–4.6% 1.7–5.1%
Konkretno (RE) 0.0% 0.6% 0.3–1.1% 0.3–1.3% 0.2–1.4% 0.1–1.7%
Naša dežela (*) 0.0% 0.3% 0.1–0.7% 0.1–0.9% 0.1–1.0% 0.0–1.3%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) 0 4 4–5 4–5 4–5 3–5
Gibanje Svoboda (RE) 0 3 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Socialni demokrati (S&D) 0 1 1 1 1 1–2
VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Levica (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0 0 0 0–1
Resni.ca (NI) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Konkretno (RE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Naša dežela (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0.8% 100%  
4 63% 99.2% Median
5 36% 36% Majority
6 0% 0%  

Gibanje Svoboda (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Gibanje Svoboda (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 16% 100%  
3 84% 84% Median
4 0.4% 0.4%  
5 0% 0% Majority

Socialni demokrati (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialni demokrati (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.4% 100% Last Result
1 99.0% 99.6% Median
2 0.6% 0.6%  
3 0% 0%  

VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 47% 100% Last Result
1 53% 53% Median
2 0% 0%  

Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 74% 100% Last Result, Median
1 26% 26%  
2 0% 0%  

Levica (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Levica (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 98.8% 100% Last Result, Median
1 1.2% 1.2%  
2 0% 0%  

Resni.ca (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Resni.ca (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.8% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.2% 0.2%  
2 0% 0%  

Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Konkretno (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Konkretno (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Naša dežela (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Naša dežela (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialni demokrati (S&D) 0 1 0% 1 1 1 1–2
VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) – Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) 0 1 0% 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Levica (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0–1
Resni.ca (NI) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0
Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0

Socialni demokrati (S&D)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.4% 100% Last Result
1 99.0% 99.6% Median
2 0.6% 0.6%  
3 0% 0%  

VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) – Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 47% 100% Last Result
1 53% 53% Median
2 0% 0%  

Levica (GUE/NGL)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 98.8% 100% Last Result, Median
1 1.2% 1.2%  
2 0% 0%  

Resni.ca (NI)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.8% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.2% 0.2%  
2 0% 0%  

Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations