Opinion Poll by Mediana for Delo, 2–5 September 2024

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) 0.0% 33.0% 30.8–35.3% 30.2–36.0% 29.7–36.5% 28.6–37.7%
Gibanje Svoboda (RE) 0.0% 22.4% 20.5–24.5% 20.0–25.1% 19.5–25.6% 18.6–26.6%
Socialni demokrati (S&D) 0.0% 9.5% 8.2–11.0% 7.8–11.5% 7.5–11.8% 7.0–12.6%
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) 0.0% 7.1% 6.0–8.5% 5.7–8.9% 5.4–9.2% 5.0–9.9%
Levica (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 6.8% 5.7–8.2% 5.5–8.6% 5.2–8.9% 4.7–9.6%
Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) 0.0% 4.5% 3.6–5.6% 3.4–5.9% 3.2–6.2% 2.8–6.8%
Resni.ca (NI) 0.0% 3.8% 3.0–4.8% 2.8–5.2% 2.6–5.4% 2.3–6.0%
VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 3.5% 2.7–4.5% 2.5–4.8% 2.4–5.1% 2.1–5.6%
Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 2.9% 2.3–3.9% 2.1–4.2% 1.9–4.4% 1.6–5.0%
Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) 0.0% 1.9% 1.4–2.8% 1.3–3.0% 1.2–3.2% 1.0–3.7%
Naša dežela (*) 0.0% 0.8% 0.5–1.5% 0.5–1.6% 0.4–1.8% 0.3–2.2%
Konkretno (RE) 0.0% 0.3% 0.2–0.7% 0.1–0.9% 0.1–1.0% 0.0–1.3%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) 0 4 4–5 3–5 3–5 3–5
Gibanje Svoboda (RE) 0 3 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Socialni demokrati (S&D) 0 1 1 1 1 0–1
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Levica (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Resni.ca (NI) 0 0 0 0 0 0
VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Naša dežela (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Konkretno (RE) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 9% 100%  
4 75% 91% Median
5 16% 16% Majority
6 0% 0%  

Gibanje Svoboda (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Gibanje Svoboda (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 19% 100%  
3 81% 81% Median
4 0.4% 0.4%  
5 0% 0% Majority

Socialni demokrati (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialni demokrati (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.9% 100% Last Result
1 99.1% 99.1% Median
2 0% 0%  

Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 28% 100% Last Result
1 72% 72% Median
2 0% 0%  

Levica (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Levica (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 61% 100% Last Result, Median
1 39% 39%  
2 0% 0%  

Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.1% 0.1%  
2 0% 0%  

Resni.ca (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Resni.ca (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Naša dežela (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Naša dežela (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Konkretno (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Konkretno (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialni demokrati (S&D) 0 1 0% 1 1 1 0–1
Levica (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0% 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) – Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0
Resni.ca (NI) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0
Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0

Socialni demokrati (S&D)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.9% 100% Last Result
1 99.1% 99.1% Median
2 0% 0%  

Levica (GUE/NGL)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 61% 100% Last Result, Median
1 39% 39%  
2 0% 0%  

VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) – Piratska stranka Slovenije (Greens/EFA)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Resni.ca (NI)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Slovenska nacionalna stranka (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations