Opinion Poll by Ninamedia for Dnevnik, 9–11 September 2024

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) 0.0% 34.4% 32.2–36.8% 31.6–37.4% 31.0–38.0% 29.9–39.2%
Gibanje Svoboda (RE) 0.0% 24.4% 22.4–26.6% 21.9–27.2% 21.4–27.8% 20.5–28.8%
Socialni demokrati (S&D) 0.0% 11.4% 10.0–13.1% 9.6–13.6% 9.3–14.0% 8.6–14.8%
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) 0.0% 8.6% 7.3–10.1% 7.0–10.5% 6.7–10.9% 6.2–11.6%
Levica (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 7.6% 6.4–9.0% 6.1–9.4% 5.8–9.8% 5.3–10.5%
VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 4.7% 3.8–5.9% 3.6–6.2% 3.4–6.6% 3.0–7.2%
Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) 0.0% 3.7% 2.9–4.8% 2.7–5.1% 2.5–5.4% 2.2–6.0%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) 0 4 4 3–4 3–5 3–5
Gibanje Svoboda (RE) 0 3 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Socialni demokrati (S&D) 0 1 1 1 1 1
Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Levica (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 6% 100%  
4 90% 94% Median
5 4% 4% Majority
6 0% 0%  

Gibanje Svoboda (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Gibanje Svoboda (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 24% 100%  
3 76% 76% Median
4 0.1% 0.1%  
5 0% 0% Majority

Socialni demokrati (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialni demokrati (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.1% 100% Last Result
1 99.6% 99.9% Median
2 0.3% 0.3%  
3 0% 0%  

Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nova Slovenija–Krščanski demokrati (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 18% 100% Last Result
1 82% 82% Median
2 0% 0%  

Levica (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Levica (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 57% 100% Last Result, Median
1 43% 43%  
2 0% 0%  

VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the VESNA–Zelena stranka (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.1% 0.1%  
2 0% 0%  

Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialni demokrati (S&D) 0 1 0% 1 1 1 1
Levica (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0% 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1

Socialni demokrati (S&D)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.1% 100% Last Result
1 99.6% 99.9% Median
2 0.3% 0.3%  
3 0% 0%  

Levica (GUE/NGL)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 57% 100% Last Result, Median
1 43% 43%  
2 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations